
Transformer sales to cross ₹40,000 crore by FY26 on T&D push: Report
electric transformer industry
are projected to rise 10-11% annually through next fiscal, taking the market size beyond ₹40,000 crore from an estimated ₹33,000 crore in FY25,
CRISIL Ratings
said on Tuesday.
The growth will be driven by significant investments in transmission and distribution (T&D) infrastructure to meet the sharp rise in electricity demand, as installed generation capacity is expected to increase from 485 GW to 570-580 GW, while peak demand is likely to jump over 20 per cent to 296 GW in the same period.
The
National Electricity Plan
(NEP) has targeted a 776,330 MVA increase in transformer capacity to 1,847,280 MVA by FY27, of which only 30% has been achieved till FY25, indicating the need for accelerated investments.
'The strong pipeline in power T&D is creating a revenue opportunity of ₹70,000-75,000 crore for the transformer sector through this and the next fiscal,' said Rahul Guha, senior director, CRISIL Ratings. 'Order books will swell to more than a year's sales from the current nine months, ensuring high sales visibility.'
CRISIL noted that capacity utilisation will climb above 80%, pushing up working capital requirements and capex, estimated at ₹200 crore by next fiscal. Companies are expected to take on additional debt to fund this, but credit profiles should remain stable due to healthy balance sheets and rising cash flows.
Replacement demand will also contribute, as units installed during 2000-05 reach the end of their average 25-year life. Operating margins are projected to hold at 8-10% with no aggressive bidding expected.
'Despite higher debt levels, our rated portfolio's gearing and interest coverage ratio will likely remain stable at 0.6x and 4x respectively through next fiscal,' said Nitin Kansal, director, CRISIL Ratings.
However, the agency flagged timely payments, pace of order awards, and bidding aggression as key factors to watch.

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