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News24
8 hours ago
- News24
Africa's nuclear capacity could expand tenfold by 2050 — report
For now, South Africa remains the only African country generating nuclear power. But Africa's nuclear sector is poised for significant growth, with a new International Atomic Energy Agency report projecting generating capacity could increase tenfold by 2050. Despite having just one operational nuclear plant today, a new report projects that Africa's generating capacity could increase tenfold by 2050. The report, Outlook for Nuclear Energy in Africa by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), was launched at the G20 Energy Transitions meeting in South Africa held between July 30 to August 1, 2025, at the Sun City resort in the North West. The report examines how nuclear power could help address the continent's electricity shortages, diversify its energy mix away from fossil fuels, and drive industrial growth. According to MaryAnne Osike from the Nuclear Power and Energy Agency (NuPEA), 'Nuclear is not here to replace wind, solar, or hydro, it's here to strengthen them.' 'Its ability to provide constant, reliable baseload power means renewables can operate more effectively without being limited by weather or seasonal variations,' she shared in a call. 'When integrated into a diversified energy mix, nuclear offers long-term price stability, strengthens grid resilience, and reduces dependence on imported fuels. It's part of the same clean energy toolbox that Africa needs to achieve both climate goals and industrial growth,' she added. The IAEA outlook report also highlights the role of emerging technologies such as small modular reactors, outlines national programmes already underway, and stresses the need for supportive policies, regional cooperation, and innovative financing. According to Rafael Mariano Grossi, IAEA director-general, 'Access to reliable and low-carbon energy sources such as nuclear can enable Africa to further explore and add value to its vast natural resources.' The shift comes as African governments face the dual challenge of powering economies where more than 500 million people still lack electricity and replacing fossil fuels, which currently provide more than 70% of the continent's power. In the IAEA's high-growth scenario, nuclear capacity in Africa could more than triple by 2030 and expand tenfold by 2050, requiring more than US$100 billion in investment. Even in the low-growth case, output would double by 2030 and increase fivefold by mid-century. For now, South Africa remains the only African country generating nuclear power. Its two-unit Koeberg nuclear power station supplies nearly two gigawatts to the grid, and in 2024, Unit 1 received a 20-year life extension. But several other countries are moving from planning to implementation. Egypt is building the 4.8-gigawatt El Dabaa Nuclear Power Plant, with its first unit expected online by 2028. Ghana, Rwanda, Kenya, Namibia and Nigeria have made firm decisions to adopt nuclear technology and are working with the IAEA to prepare infrastructure, establish regulatory bodies, and develop human capital. Kenya set up its Nuclear Energy Programme Implementing Organisation in 2012, has since established an independent regulator, and is targeting 2038 for its first reactor, with SMRs under review to match demand patterns. Ghana's Nuclear Power Ghana is in vendor talks for both a large nuclear plant and SMRs, while Nigeria has opened bids for a 4,000-megawatt facility and signed agreements with multiple suppliers. A large part of this momentum is driven by growing interest in small modular reactors (SMRs), which offer flexible power generation in smaller increments than traditional gigawatt-scale plants. 'Global interest in SMRs is increasing due to their ability to meet the need for flexible power generation for a wider range of users and applications,' according to Zizamele Mbambo, South Africa's deputy director-general for nuclear energy. SMRs are well suited to Africa's small or fragmented grids, require less upfront capital, and can be deployed more quickly. They also offer off-grid potential for industrial projects such as mining and desalination. The IAEA outlook notes that SMRs could even be integrated into existing coal power sites, reusing infrastructure while cutting emissions, a theme it plans to explore in a forthcoming coal-to-nuclear transition report for the G20. Africa already holds a significant advantage, being home to 14% of the world's uranium production. Namibia ranks as the world's third-largest producer, while Niger and South Africa are also in the top ten. In Namibia, the previously idled Langer Heinrich mine has been reopened, with production expected to resume in 2026, and new projects are due by 2028. Tanzania has confirmed large reserves, such as the US$1.2-billion Mkuju River plant in jointly with Russia, is on course for pilot production. This resource base could bolster both export earnings and domestic energy security if countries invest in fuel cycle capabilities to convert raw uranium into reactor-ready fuel. However, according to experts like Osike, the pace at which Africa's nuclear ambitions materialise will hinge on financing, given the sector's high upfront costs and decades-long project lifecycles. 'Nuclear projects demand substantial upfront investment and a commitment that spans decades… Without innovative financing models and strong partnerships, many African countries will struggle to move from ambition to reality.' In June 2025, the IAEA and the World Bank signed an agreement, the Bank's first formal engagement with nuclear energy in decades. This opens the door for World Bank support in extending reactor lifespans, upgrading grids, and accelerating SMR deployment, while signalling to other multilateral lenders, including the African Development Bank, that nuclear is part of the clean energy transition toolkit. Vendor financing is also in play. Egypt's El Dabaa project, for example, is backed by large concessional loans from Russia with low interest rates and extended repayment terms. However, many African nations face low credit ratings and high debt-to-GDP ratios, so new financing models, from regional SMR purchase agreements to blended public-private investment, will be key. 'Developing a nuclear programme requires a century-long commitment, from construction through decommissioning and waste management,' Osike shared. 'Stable national policy, public support, and regulatory readiness are therefore essential,' she added. The IAEA's Milestones Approach identifies 19 infrastructure issues that must be addressed before construction begins. Continental and regional integration could further accelerate nuclear rollout. The Africa Single Electricity Market, launched by the African Union, aims to link national grids into the world's largest single electricity market. This could allow countries to share nuclear output, stabilise grids, and make large-scale investments viable. Shared infrastructure, training, and regulatory capacity could mirror the cooperative models already used in hydropower projects. *
Yahoo
16 hours ago
- Yahoo
Reunert (JSE:RLO) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. That's why when we briefly looked at Reunert's (JSE:RLO) ROCE trend, we were pretty happy with what we saw. AI is about to change healthcare. These 20 stocks are working on everything from early diagnostics to drug discovery. The best part - they are all under $10bn in marketcap - there is still time to get in early. What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)? If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Reunert is: Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities) 0.15 = R1.4b ÷ (R12b - R3.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2025). Thus, Reunert has an ROCE of 15%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Industrials industry average of 10% it's much better. View our latest analysis for Reunert In the above chart we have measured Reunert's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Reunert . What Does the ROCE Trend For Reunert Tell Us? While the current returns on capital are decent, they haven't changed much. The company has consistently earned 15% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 38% in that time. Since 15% is a moderate ROCE though, it's good to see a business can continue to reinvest at these decent rates of return. Over long periods of time, returns like these might not be too exciting, but with consistency they can pay off in terms of share price returns. Our Take On Reunert's ROCE The main thing to remember is that Reunert has proven its ability to continually reinvest at respectable rates of return. And the stock has done incredibly well with a 133% return over the last five years, so long term investors are no doubt ecstatic with that result. So while investors seem to be recognizing these promising trends, we still believe the stock deserves further research. One more thing to note, we've identified 1 warning sign with Reunert and understanding it should be part of your investment process. While Reunert isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
16 hours ago
- Yahoo
Invicta Holdings Limited (JSE:IVT) Looks Interesting, And It's About To Pay A Dividend
Invicta Holdings Limited (JSE:IVT) stock is about to trade ex-dividend in three days. The ex-dividend date is two business days before a company's record date in most cases, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade can take two business days or more to settle. In other words, investors can purchase Invicta Holdings' shares before the 20th of August in order to be eligible for the dividend, which will be paid on the 25th of August. The company's next dividend payment will be R01.15 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of R1.15 per share. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, Invicta Holdings has a trailing yield of approximately 3.3% on its current stock price of R034.98. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing. AI is about to change healthcare. These 20 stocks are working on everything from early diagnostics to drug discovery. The best part - they are all under $10bn in marketcap - there is still time to get in early. If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Invicta Holdings paid out just 15% of its profit last year, which we think is conservatively low and leaves plenty of margin for unexpected circumstances. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. Dividends consumed 51% of the company's free cash flow last year, which is within a normal range for most dividend-paying organisations. It's positive to see that Invicta Holdings's dividend is covered by both profits and cash flow, since this is generally a sign that the dividend is sustainable, and a lower payout ratio usually suggests a greater margin of safety before the dividend gets cut. Check out our latest analysis for Invicta Holdings Click here to see how much of its profit Invicta Holdings paid out over the last 12 months. Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing? Businesses with strong growth prospects usually make the best dividend payers, because it's easier to grow dividends when earnings per share are improving. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. That's why it's comforting to see Invicta Holdings's earnings have been skyrocketing, up 49% per annum for the past five years. The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Invicta Holdings has seen its dividend decline 8.1% per annum on average over the past 10 years, which is not great to see. Invicta Holdings is a rare case where dividends have been decreasing at the same time as earnings per share have been improving. It's unusual to see, and could point to unstable conditions in the core business, or more rarely an intensified focus on reinvesting profits. The Bottom Line Is Invicta Holdings worth buying for its dividend? Earnings per share have grown at a nice rate in recent times and over the last year, Invicta Holdings paid out less than half its earnings and a bit over half its free cash flow. Overall we think this is an attractive combination and worthy of further research. Want to learn more about Invicta Holdings's dividend performance? Check out this visualisation of its historical revenue and earnings growth. Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
