Core inflation in Japan's capital stays above BOJ target in July
The data will be among factors the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will scrutinise at its next rate review on July 30–31, when the board is expected to revise up this fiscal year's inflation forecast in a quarterly review of its projections.
The Tokyo consumer price index (CPI), which excludes volatile fresh food costs, rose 2.90 per cent in July from a year earlier, government data showed, slightly below a median market forecast for a 3.00 per cent increase. It followed a 3.10 per cent rise in June.
A separate index for Tokyo that strips away both fresh food and fuel costs – closely watched by the BOJ as a measure of domestic demand-driven prices – rose 3.10 per cent in July from a year earlier after a 3.10 per cent gain in June, the data showed.
The BOJ exited a decade-long, radical stimulus programme last year and raised short-term interest rates to 0.50 per cent in January on the view Japan was on the cusp of sustainably hitting its 2 per cent inflation target.
While the central bank has signalled readiness to raise rates further, the economic impact of higher US tariffs forced it to cut its growth forecasts in May and complicated decisions around the timing of the next rate increase.
But US President Donald Trump's surprise announcement on Wednesday of a trade deal with Japan has diminished uncertainty over the country's economic outlook, prodding some investors to renew their bets on another rate hike by the end of this year.
Hours after the announcement, BOJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida said the deal would reduce uncertainty and heighten the chance of Japan durably hitting the bank's inflation target.
A Reuters poll, taken before the trade deal announcement, showed a majority of economists expect the BOJ to raise its key interest rate again by year-end, though most expect the bank to stand pat at this month's meeting.
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