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New report finds Bybit's rapid response to historic hack helped prevent systemic collapse in crypto markets

New report finds Bybit's rapid response to historic hack helped prevent systemic collapse in crypto markets

Zawya02-07-2025
​​​​​Bybit, the world's second-largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, has been featured in a new research report by Glassnode, the leading onchain market intelligence provider trusted by top-tier financial institutions worldwide. The findings highlight Bybit's unprecedented recovery rate and how the exchange's zero-time response helped contain a potential crisis, absorbing market shock that could have sent the crypto industry into a downward spiral.
The comprehensive report, titled Digital Asset Market Resilience: A Deep Dive into the Bybit-Lazarus Hack, analyzes the timeline, trading activity, and critical market data from February 2025's unprecedented cyber attack—the largest crypto hack in history at a hefty $1.4 billion—while benchmarking it against major disruption events across both the digital asset and traditional financial markets. Defying historical patterns of financial crises and crypto collapses, the industry's response to the Bybit-Lazarus hack heralds a new era of digital asset market resilience.
Perpetual Open Interest and Volumes Recovery
The report examined the performance of three key assets traded on Bybit: BTC, ETH, and SOL. A day after the hack on February 22, ETH open interest on Bybit experienced one of its most severe contractions on record due to widespread position unwinding and forced deleveraging. However, over the following two months, open interest changes turned predominantly positive, with most values returning to long-term averages and at times exceeding normal volatility thresholds.
Both BTC and SOL followed a similar pattern to ETH's after the breach. According to the report, at the time of publication, all three had been restored to pre-hack levels, with BTC and SOL achieving significant milestones in May—BTC reached a new high in futures perpetual open interest at $8.5 billion, while SOL hit $1.2 billion.
'When examining perpetual trade volumes for the Ethereum asset, we observe stability in trading activity before and after the hack event, with volumes remaining largely unchanged. Additionally, following Ethereum's outperformance in recent weeks, trade volume on Bybit has surged, reaching a new all-time high of $8.5B/day, a remarkable milestone given that Ethereum was the primary asset targeted in the hack,' wrote the analysts in the report.
Narrowing Spreads: Liquidity Conditions Stabilized
Following the hack, Bybit's deep liquidity—long considered one of its key competitive advantages—was challenged. Its market liquidity experiencing immediate stress as bid-ask spreads widened drastically and market depth contracted sharply. The phenomenon indicated widespread participant withdrawal during the period of uncertainty. The exchange completed a record 350,000 withdrawals within 12 hours after the breach.
However, both metrics have shown steady recovery since mid-April, with bid-ask spreads returning to near pre-incident levels and market depth actually surpassing pre-hack values by May, signaling restored market maker confidence and normal trading conditions.
Breaking the Crisis Pattern: Why the Bybit Hack Didn't Trigger Industry Collapse
Instead of cascading into industry-wide panic and systemic pressure, the hacking incident left only a temporary dent in Bybit's liquidity before the exchange bounced back to pre-hack levels.
To assess Bybit's operational stability, Glassnode developed a proprietary model based on two key indicators: Internal Reshuffling Ratio and Whale Withdrawal Ratio. Both metrics showed a period of post-hack spikes before returning to normal levels.
The report attributed the prevention of market spillover to Bybit's "swift operational response, transparent communication, and strong internal controls," which enabled the exchange to protect customer funds, maintain platform integrity, and contain contagion risk.
The report adds to growing analytical literature on the historic hacking incident, whose aftermath demonstrated the industry's evolving resilience by avoiding systemic collapse seen in previous crises like FTX and Terra. Bybit not only contained potential market-wide damage but saw key assets reach new trading records, proving institutional-grade practices are now embedded in digital asset markets. This incident marks a pivotal shift in crypto's capacity to absorb major disruptions, potentially transforming investor confidence and accelerating industry maturation.
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Afreximbank to avail $75 million to Central Bank of The Gambia in a cross-currency swap

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Bitcoin's surge & beyond: An Octa broker forecast
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Bitcoin's surge & beyond: An Octa broker forecast

KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA - Media OutReach Newswire - 24 July 2025 - Bitcoin (BTC) has been rising almost uninterruptedly over the past three months, setting new all-time highs (ATH) essentially every week since mid-May. According to Coinbase, BTCUSD surpassed the crucial $112,000 mark on 10 July and went on to touch the $123,200 level on 14 July. Since then, the market seems to have entered a period of consolidation, with prices fluctuating in the $116,000–120,000 range. The critical question now facing investors is whether this represents a prelude to a significant downward correction or if the current consolidation will merely serve as a springboard for the rally to continue its upward trajectory. Kar Yong Ang, a financial market analyst at Octa Broker, explains the reasons for the rally and examines potential scenarios. 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This news improved risk appetite and sent BTCUSD up by 6.82% on 22 April alone. Optimism for global trade was further fueled on 8 May, when Donald Trump unveiled a new trade deal with the United Kingdom (UK)—the first since the 'reciprocal' tariff pause—propelling BTCUSD higher by an additional 6.38%. Apart from positive headlines, deeper structural transformations—notably, a mismatch between supply and demand—have also played a key role. It is no secret that Bitcoin's total final emission is limited to 21 million coins. Additionally, bitcoin undergoes a "halving" event approximately every four years, which cuts the reward for mining new blocks in half, thus limiting the daily average supply of new bitcoins. Following the most recent halving, a new Bitcoin block is now mined roughly every 10 minutes, and the reward per block is 3.125 BTC. Therefore, the daily issuance of new Bitcoin currently stands at just around 450 coins per day. 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This growing supply-demand imbalance has coincided with significant regulatory milestones in the U.S. Specifically, the Republicans have pushed forward three pieces of legislation (the Genius Act, the Clarity Act and the Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act) aimed at creating a regulatory framework for the growing cryptocurrency market. The Genius Act, which focuses on stablecoins, creating a comprehensive regulatory framework for their issuance and oversight, has already been signed into law by President Trump, while the Clarity Act and the Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act are yet to be passed by the Senate. Overall, the increasing crypto interest and adoption drove the crypto market capitalization to hit $4 trillion on 18 July, reflecting its strength and maturity with bitcoin in particular becoming a central part of the global investment landscape. BTC Rally Outlook: A Burning Topic With so many factors working in Bitcoin's favour, it seems reasonable to infer that its price will likely continue to go higher in the long term. And while this may be true, it is still important to highlight major risks that lie ahead. Kar Yong Ang, comments: 'Technically, Bitcoin looks like it is preparing for a major downward correction. BTCUSD failed to hold above the 0.618 extension level of the bullish trend, which commenced in early April. The price has formed a long wick on the daily chart, signalling an exhaustion of the bullish trend. A decline towards the 112,000 level is now highly likely. A break below 112,000 would open the way towards the 105,000 level.' BTCUSD DAILY CHART Indeed, the failure to hold the 121,500 level on 14 July and the subsequent correction on 15 July occurred on very strong volume, meaning that traders are uncertain about the next big move and doubt that a rally can be sustained in the short term. Furthermore, fundamentals have turned sour lately. After a 0.1% increase in May, U.S. consumer prices rose 0.3% in June, a roughly 3.5% annual rate, which is uncomfortably above the Fed's target rate. This renewed inflationary pressure diminishes the likelihood of a September interest rate cut by the Fed and may exert bearish pressure on equity and crypto valuations. A similar scenario is evident in other major economies. For example, UK CPI rose to 3.6% in June from 3.4% in May and also undermined the widespread anticipation of a rate cut by the Bank of England (BoE). In other words, the global monetary policy may not be as accommodative as investors had hoped for previously, making them reluctant to purchase in risky assets Three BTC price action scenarios Kar Yong Ang of Octa Broker has come up with three potential scenarios for BTCUSD. The most optimistic scenario envisions a continued upward climb beyond current highs, driven by persistent institutional inflows and favourable regulatory developments. However, given signs of short-term overextension and waning upside momentum on the daily chart, this outcome appears less likely in the short term. There is the risk of a deeper, prolonged correction, particularly if macroeconomic headwinds or regulatory setbacks dampen sentiment. While not impossible, this scenario is seen as less probable for now, given strong underlying fundamentals such as limited BTC supply and sustained demand from ETFs. A more probable, base-case scenario is a modest correction toward support levels, followed by a resumption of the broader uptrend. Such a pullback would allow the market to consolidate and establish a stronger foundation, ultimately preserving the bullish structure while shaking out weak hands. Kar Yong Ang comments: 'Bitcoin looks a little stretched right now, and you can see it struggling to punch clean through resistance at the highs. A pullback into the $112,000–105,000 area would actually be healthy—that's where smart money will likely step back in. The fundamentals are still stacked in Bitcoin's favour: supply is tight, ETFs money keeps flowing, and regulatory progress is finally breaking through'. ___ Disclaimer: This press release does not contain or constitute investment advice or recommendations and does not consider your investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. Any actions taken based on this content are at your sole discretion and risk—Octa does not accept any liability for any resulting losses or consequences. Hashtag: #Octa The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. Octa Octa is an international CFD broker that has been providing online trading services worldwide since 2011. It offers commission-free access to financial markets and various services used by clients from 180 countries who have opened more than 52 million trading accounts. To help its clients reach their investment goals, Octa offers free educational webinars, articles, and analytical tools. The company is involved in a comprehensive network of charitable and humanitarian initiatives, including improving educational infrastructure and funding short-notice relief projects to support local communities. In Southeast Asia, Octa received the 'Best Trading Platform Malaysia 2024' and the 'Most Reliable Broker Asia 2023' awards from Brands and Business Magazine and International Global Forex Awards, respectively. Octa

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