logo
Asian currencies strengthen as Dollar slips on Fed cut bets

Asian currencies strengthen as Dollar slips on Fed cut bets

Business Upturn3 hours ago
Asian currencies mostly moved higher on Thursday, helped by growing expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September. The Japanese yen led the gains, benefiting from speculation that the Bank of Japan might raise its own rates soon.
The yen strengthened after comments from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who said Japan's central bank was falling behind in tackling inflation and would need to raise rates. His remarks stood in contrast to BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda, who has been more cautious about moving too quickly. Still, traders believe the BOJ could hike rates again in September, which would be its fourth increase since early 2024.
By mid-morning in Asia, the dollar slipped 0.5% against the yen to trade around 146.72. The move came as the dollar weakened more broadly, with traders pricing in an almost certain chance of a 25-basis-point Fed cut next month. Recent U.S. data showing cooling inflation and slower jobs growth has fueled those expectations.
Other Asian currencies also advanced. The Chinese yuan edged higher, helped by news that the U.S. and China extended their trade truce by 90 days. Markets are now watching for key Chinese data on industrial output and retail sales, due Friday.
The Australian dollar inched up after labor market figures showed slower-than-expected job growth in July, adding to speculation that the Reserve Bank of Australia could cut rates. The South Korean won gained 0.4%, while the Singapore dollar was steady.
The Indian rupee held its ground after dropping sharply last week. However, traders remain cautious as the U.S. considers imposing steep 50% tariffs on Indian goods in response to its purchases of Russian oil.
While the softer dollar and improving risk sentiment supported Asian markets, gains were tempered by trade concerns and political uncertainties. All eyes are now on upcoming economic data and a planned meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin in Alaska, where oil trade and the Ukraine war are expected to be discussed.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Stocks Hit Record High; Bessent: Rates Should Be 1.5-1.75% Lower
Stocks Hit Record High; Bessent: Rates Should Be 1.5-1.75% Lower

Bloomberg

time5 minutes ago

  • Bloomberg

Stocks Hit Record High; Bessent: Rates Should Be 1.5-1.75% Lower

Scott Bessent feeds the rally, as Treasuries gain and US stocks close at another record high. The Treasury Secretary tells Bloomberg interest rates should be up to 175 basis points lower. Donald Trump warns of "very severe consequences" if Russia's Vladimir Putin doesn't agree to a ceasefire at tomorrow's summit. And Bloomberg learns Apple is planning to introduce an ambitious slate of new AI devices... including robots, a lifelike Siri and home-security cameras. (Source: Bloomberg)

Bessent Says BOJ Is Falling Behind the Curve, Expects Hike
Bessent Says BOJ Is Falling Behind the Curve, Expects Hike

Yahoo

timean hour ago

  • Yahoo

Bessent Says BOJ Is Falling Behind the Curve, Expects Hike

(Bloomberg) -- US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the Bank of Japan is falling behind the curve in addressing inflation, in a rare comment admonishing policy decisions by a foreign central bank. 'They're behind the curve,' Bessent told Bloomberg TV on Wednesday, noting that that was his opinion, and that he discussed inflation in Japan with BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda. 'So they're going to be hiking and they need to get their inflation problem under control,' he added. The US-Canadian Road Safety Gap Is Getting Wider Sunseeking Germans Face Swiss Backlash Over Alpine Holiday Congestion To Head Off Severe Storm Surges, Nova Scotia Invests in 'Living Shorelines' Five Years After Black Lives Matter, Brussels' Colonial Statues Remain For Homeless Cyclists, Bikes Bring an Escape From the Streets Bessent's comments come as the BOJ continues to have one of the lowest policy rates among major economies, while the nation's key price gauge has remained at or above the bank's 2% target for more than three years. After the BOJ's decision to keep rates on hold last month, Ueda delivered a largely dovish message and avoided committing to a timeline for the next hike. Following the Treasury Secretary's comments, the yen gained against the dollar Thursday in Tokyo, while Japanese 10-year yields ticked up. 'Bessent may be trying to weaken the dollar through his comments on US and Japanese monetary policy,' said Hideo Kumano, executive economist at Dai-Ichi Life Research Institute and a former BOJ official. By commenting on another country's policy, 'he's breaking the rules, and it's possible that this actually makes it more difficult for the BOJ to take action.' A BOJ spokesperson said Thursday that Bessent and Ueda regularly exchange views at international conferences, but they can't comment on the content or timing of these exchanges. In the latest Bloomberg survey of economists watching the BOJ, around 42% of respondents said they expected an increase in borrowing costs in October, with a third expecting a move in January. The BOJ is broadly expected to stand pat when it next sets policy on Sept. 19. 'The market had been a bit uncertain whether the BOJ will hike rates this year, but with pressure like this from the US, they'll have to hike,' said Marito Ueda, general manager of the market research department at SBI Liquidity Market. 'I think opinions will start to emerge that the BOJ will hike in December at the latest, and more people may think October.' Bessent has in the past spoken approvingly of BOJ rate hikes, characterizing such moves as consistent with economic fundamentals. As a result of stronger domestic data 'the Bank of Japan is raising rates, so all that's natural,' he said in April. 'BOJ policy tightening should continue to proceed in response to domestic economic fundamentals including growth and inflation, supporting a normalization of the yen's weakness against the dollar,' the US Treasury said in a statement in June. US President Donald Trump has in the past criticized Japan for its currency policy, claiming Tokyo was seeking an unfair advantage by weakening its currency. Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba and others have denied those accusations. 'If there is a rate hike by the BOJ right after Bessent's comment, and if the market narrative is tilted towards political pressure, I'll be quite worried,' said Anna Wu, a cross-asset investment strategist at VanEck in Sydney. Such a move would show 'how the US can put pressure on one of the most advanced economies in Asia.' In its latest quarterly economic outlook, the central bank raised its median inflation forecast for the current fiscal year to 2.7% from 2.2%, citing persistent increases in food prices. Projections for fiscal years 2026 and 2027 were also revised upward, suggesting the BOJ is gradually approaching its goal of achieving stable inflation. Data due next week are expected to show Japan's overall inflation gauge registered 3% growth in July. Bessent also said that US bond yields have been affected by trends abroad, including in Japan and Germany. Yields on Japan's super-long bonds have surged to the highest level in decades in recent months, with various auctions showing acutely weak demand. 'This is a global phenomenon,' said Bessent, although he noted that the US 10-year yield is one of the few that are down this year. 'That tells me that there's credibility from Treasury, credibility from the Fed that the inflation expectations are well anchored, but there is definitely 'leakage.'' --With assistance from Sumio Ito, Mia Glass, Brett Miller and Alice French. (Updates with additional analyst comments, context.) Americans Are Getting Priced Out of Homeownership at Record Rates Dubai's Housing Boom Is Stoking Fears of Another Crash Why It's Actually a Good Time to Buy a House, According to a Zillow Economist Bessent on Tariffs, Deficits and Embracing Trump's Economic Plan The Electric Pickup Truck Boom Turned Into a Big Bust ©2025 Bloomberg L.P.

Gold Holds Gain After Bessent Urges Fed to Slash Interest Rates
Gold Holds Gain After Bessent Urges Fed to Slash Interest Rates

Yahoo

timean hour ago

  • Yahoo

Gold Holds Gain After Bessent Urges Fed to Slash Interest Rates

(Bloomberg) -- Gold held a small gain after traders increased bets the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next month, following pressure from US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. Bullion rose as much as 0.6% on Thursday before paring gains to trade near $3,365 an ounce. Prices saw a modest increase in the previous session, supported by a fall in Treasury yields after Bessent suggested the Fed's benchmark rate ought to be at least 1.5 percentage points lower than it is now. Lower borrowing costs and declining yields tend to support gold, as it pays no interest. The US-Canadian Road Safety Gap Is Getting Wider Sunseeking Germans Face Swiss Backlash Over Alpine Holiday Congestion To Head Off Severe Storm Surges, Nova Scotia Invests in 'Living Shorelines' Five Years After Black Lives Matter, Brussels' Colonial Statues Remain For Homeless Cyclists, Bikes Bring an Escape From the Streets The increased bets on monetary easing mark a shift from last month, when markets at one point saw less than a 50% chance of a September rate cut. The consensus is now for a quarter-point move next month, with some betting on a larger reduction. Gold has climbed 28% this year, with the bulk of those gains occurring in the first four months. It has been supported by heightened geopolitical and trade tensions that have spurred haven demand, while central bank purchases have also underpinned its strength. Spot gold was up 0.2% to $3,363.35 an ounce at 8:14 a.m. in London, after rising 0.2% in the previous session. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was steady. Silver and platinum were little changed, while palladium edged higher. The market is still seeking official clarification over whether US imports of gold bars would be subject to tariffs, after days of confusion that prompted a spike in the premium for gold futures in New York over the spot price in London. President Donald Trump said on Monday that there would not be a levy — causing the two markets to converge — but he didn't elaborate. Americans Are Getting Priced Out of Homeownership at Record Rates Dubai's Housing Boom Is Stoking Fears of Another Crash Why It's Actually a Good Time to Buy a House, According to a Zillow Economist Bessent on Tariffs, Deficits and Embracing Trump's Economic Plan The Electric Pickup Truck Boom Turned Into a Big Bust ©2025 Bloomberg L.P.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store