AFL live ladder predictor: Every club's finals chances during round 23
It is officially ladder predictor season.
Fans of the nine teams in contention for the finals have all spent hours working on permutations, and there is still two weeks to go.
So much hinges on a season-shaping Friday night game in the west, with positions in the top four and the top eight all on the line when Fremantle faces Brisbane.
We've run the rule over every fixture and delivered the verdict on how the final AFL ladder will look here.
But how do you think it will all shape up?
Have a go at our ladder predictor below and check back here across the weekend as we update every team's possible scenario as it changes live.
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AFL Ladder Predictor 2025
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24 Reset
Essendon VS St Kilda
Marvel Stadium
50+ 40+ 30+ 20+ 10+ 1+ Draw 1+ 10+ 20+ 30+ 40+ 50+
Fremantle VS Brisbane
Optus Stadium
50+ 40+ 30+ 20+ 10+ 1+ Draw 1+ 10+ 20+ 30+ 40+ 50+
Gold Coast VS Greater Western Sydney
People First Stadium
50+ 40+ 30+ 20+ 10+ 1+ Draw 1+ 10+ 20+ 30+ 40+ 50+
Carlton VS Port Adelaide
Marvel Stadium
50+ 40+ 30+ 20+ 10+ 1+ Draw 1+ 10+ 20+ 30+ 40+ 50+
Hawthorn VS Melbourne
Melbourne Cricket Ground
50+ 40+ 30+ 20+ 10+ 1+ Draw 1+ 10+ 20+ 30+ 40+ 50+
Adelaide VS Collingwood
Adelaide Oval
50+ 40+ 30+ 20+ 10+ 1+ Draw 1+ 10+ 20+ 30+ 40+ 50+
North Melbourne VS Richmond
Ninja Stadium
50+ 40+ 30+ 20+ 10+ 1+ Draw 1+ 10+ 20+ 30+ 40+ 50+
Sydney VS Geelong
Sydney Cricket Ground
50+ 40+ 30+ 20+ 10+ 1+ Draw 1+ 10+ 20+ 30+ 40+ 50+
Bulldogs VS West Coast
Marvel Stadium
50+ 40+ 30+ 20+ 10+ 1+ Draw 1+ 10+ 20+ 30+ 40+ 50+
POS
TEAM
P
PTS
%
W
L
D
1
-
Adelaide
21
64
142.39
16
5
0
2
-
Geelong
21
60
139.76
15
6
0
3
-
Collingwood
21
60
124.20
15
6
0
4
-
Fremantle
21
60
112.68
15
6
0
5
-
Brisbane
21
58
111.30
14
6
1
6
-
Gold Coast
20
56
125.13
14
6
0
7
-
Hawthorn
21
56
121.22
14
7
0
8
-
Greater Western Sydney
21
56
114.05
14
7
0
9
-
Bulldogs
21
52
135.44
13
8
0
10
-
Sydney
21
44
95.34
11
10
0
11
-
St Kilda
21
32
87.93
8
13
0
12
-
Port Adelaide
21
32
80.47
8
13
0
13
-
Melbourne
21
28
94.96
7
14
0
14
-
Carlton
21
28
91.38
7
14
0
15
-
Essendon
20
24
71.25
6
14
0
16
-
Richmond
21
20
66.26
5
16
0
17
-
North Melbourne
21
18
72.52
4
16
1
18
-
West Coast
21
4
63.04
1
20
0
Originally published as AFL live ladder: Who will finish in the top eight, miss the finals
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Scenic Point opened with Ladbrokes at $3.90 but has firmed into $2.80 after some huge bets including $750 at $4.10, $1000 at $3.90, $720 at $3.80, $500 at $3.30, $1000 at $3.15, $540 at $2.85 and $1000 at $2.60, She is the most popular runner at the meeting with just over $18,000 invested. — Racenet (@RacenetTweets) August 15, 2025 At Rosehill Gardens, the track will be very heavy for the first Sydney stakes race of the season, the Listed $200,000 The Rosebud (1100m) in which the Michael Freedman-trained Pallaton is a firming favourite at $2.30 favourite after some brilliant recent barrier trials. In an unusual twist, the Team Hawkes-trained Theblade was entered for Caulfield, Rosehill and Doomben today. The Hawkes stable landed on the Class 3 Plate (1200m) at Doomben as the best option for Theblade who has drawn well in barrier six and is into $3 favouritism. Meanwhile, NSW's wet winter has claimed another race meeting with the Kembla Grange races postponed when the track was deemed unsuitable for racing today. ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ TRACK CONDITIONS ROSEHILL GARDENS Weather: Cool, mostly cloudy day and a forecast top temperature of 18c. Track: Heavy (9). Rail: 1m out. CAULFIELD Weather: Cold, partly cloudy day with a forecast top temperature of 12c. Track: Soft (7). Rail: 9m out. DOOMBEN Weather: Warm, sunny day with a forecast top temperature of 25c. Track: Good (4). Rail: 0.5m out. MORPHETTVILLE PARKS Weather: Cool, cloudy day with increasing showers and a forecast top temperature of 14c. Track: Soft (5). Rail: 9m out, 6m out remainder. ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ BE WARY Rosehill's track is Heavy (9) but it won't be the bottomless surface we had at the same course two weeks ago. Rosehill played quite fairly that day although it was difficult to make up ground. The rail was out 4m the last time we raced here but has been shifted to 1m out for today's meeting. 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THE NEXT BEST: Race 4 No.9 AMREEKIYAH is a promising mare by unbeaten US Triple Crown hero Justify who has made the perfect start to her race career, winning each of her three starts. Her two provincials wins back in autumn were good without being spectacular but she was very impressive first-up at Canterbury when she unleashed a brilliant finishing sprint to win easily. Amreekiyah handled then soft 7 track with ease first-up so she is as good a chance as any of handling the heavy Rosehill surface. She's suited getting back on a bigger track and can maintain her unbeaten record. VALUE BET: Race 7 No.3 PALMETTO isn't a noted first-up performer but he has never been trialling better than he has leading into today's race. He's won two deep Group-class trials at Randwick in recent weeks, defeating Beiwacht and Autumn Glow in the first then comfortably holding off Pericles and Lady Shenandoah in the most recent trial. 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He showed promise in his debut preparation winning three of his five starts before finishing fourth as favourite in the Group 1 Australian Guineas. But it is worth noting Sepals' best effort was his dominant, runaway win in the Group 3 Hayes Stakes over 1400m at Flemington when the track was rated a soft 7. Sepals will enjoy the give in the track at Caulfield today and despite drifting to $10, he's good each way value. THE WHISPER: Race 6 No.4 SCENIC POINT is unbeaten in two starts including the Listed Redoute's Choice Stakes over the Caulfield 1100m course back last season. She's looked the part in two recent Flemington jump-outs and the Team Hayes-trained filly can control the race from the inside barrier. Significantly, Scenic Point has been sensationally backed to win the Quezette Stakes. • EXPERT TIPS: Brad Waters' best bets for Caulfield, plus quaddie picks and race-by-race analysis ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ TAB FIXED ODDS BIG BETS AND MARKET MOVERS ROSEHILL GARDENS Race 1: Monkhana $8-$4.60, King Ratel $15-$7, Prety Tavi $15-$9 Race 2: Kranich $8-$5.50, Adolphus $8-$6 Race 3: Karinska $15-$11, Wisnierska $51-$26 Race 4: Amreekiyah $5-$3.70, Pippie Beach $11-$6.50 Race 5: Pallaton $2.70-$2.40, Grand Prairie $8-$6.5 Race 6: Pure Alpha $8-$6.50, So You Are $15-$9 Race 7: War Eternal $6-$3.40, Our Gold Hope $11-$8, Ang Pow $15-$13 Race 8: Captain Furai $6-$4.20, Denman Star $15, $9 Race 9: Polyglot $4.20-$3.70, Regimental Colours $13-$8.50, Useapin $16-$9.50 Race 10: Bunker Hut $10-$5.50, Disneck $18-$10 ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ LADBROKE BIG BETS AND MARKET MOVERS ROSEHILL GARDENS Race 1: King Ratel $13-$8.50 including bets of $266 and $200 at $9.25, $120 at $9, $120 at $8.50, Convergent $6-$5.50 with a bet of $500 at $6), Monkhana $5.50-$4.20 with a bet of $445 at $5.50 Race 2: Kranich $9-$5.50 with a bet of $250 at $9, Ninja $2.05-$1.90 Race 3: Karinska $11-$10 after a bet of $250 at $11 Race 4: Pippie Beach $9.50-$6.50 Race 5: Skyhook $4.80-$3.60 after bets of $525 at $4.80, $590 at $4.40 Race 6: Hasty Honey $10-$9.50 after a bet of $220 at $10, Pure Alpha $7-$4.80 after a bet of $330 at $7, She's Unusual $500 at $8.25 Race 7: Adelaide River $10-$8.50 after bets of $510 at $9.75, $2000 at $8.50, War Eternal $4.20-$3.50 after three bets of $400 at $4.20, Semillion $81-$26, Ang Pow $34-$12 after bets of $100 at $37, $405 at $18, $500 at $16, $145 at $15, $155 at $14 Race 8: Captain Furai $7-$5 after bets of $250 and $200 at $7, $360 at $6.50, Denman Star $11-$19 with bets of $150 at $11, $220 a $10 Race 9: Bonita Queen $9-$8.50 after a bet of $220 at $9, Ravenclaw $10-$8, Polyglot $500 at $5, Useapin $18-$10 Race 10: Perfumist $5-$6-$5.50 after bets of $2000 at $6, $250 at $5.75, $445 at $5.50 CAULFIELD Race 1: Verdoux $5-$3.50 with a bet of $525 at $4.80, Shadhaver $200 at $10.25, Behaviour $200 at $11 Race 2: Skippers Canyon $5.50-$3.60 after bets of $875 at $5.50, $390 at $5.25, $2000, $2000, $400 and $350 at $5, $740 at $3.70, Boga Legend $165 at $13 Race 3: Gala Queen $4.80-$3.80 with bets of $525 at $4.80, $500 at $4, $749 and $600 at $3.70 Race 4: Freak Of Nature $150 at $18 Race 5: Tycoon Star $200 at $6, $500 at $5.50, Shining Smile $665 at $4, Hay Street $12-$7.50 with a bet of $180 at $12 Race 6: Scenic Point $3.90-$2.80 after bets of $750 at $4.10, $1000 at $3.90, $720 at $3.80, $500 at $3.30, $1000 at $3.15, $540 at $2.85, $1000 at $2.60, Ferivia $12-$9 with bets of $230 at $12.50, $180 and $140 at $12, $150 at $11 Race 7: Royal Insignia $350 at $6, $500 and $315 at $5.50, Pop Award $330, $215 and $200 at $7 Race 8: Private Eye $3.70-$2.90, Evaporate $500 at $4.15 Race 9: Revelare $4.80-$4 after two bets of $525 a $4.80, King's Valley $11-$7.50 after a $200 bet at $11 • LAURIE'S LONGSHOTS: Laurie Sainsbury says $51 roughie 'worth a throw at the stumps' ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ INTERSTATE MAIL Doomben Race 1 No.4 DRACENA Doomben Race 6 No.15 THEBLADE Morphettville Parks Race 3 No.1 BEAST MODE Morphettville Parks Race 4 No.6 LAVISH THINKER • EXPERT TIPS: Graeme Carey's best bets, race-by-race tips, analysis and quaddie picks for Doomben • EXPERT TIPS: Heath Pope's $10 value play for Morphettville Parks; Aaron Mills' best bets for Belmont #Good luck today and I hope you back plenty of winners Originally published as The Last Say: Tips, inside mail, market movers for today's racing Horse Racing Racenet form analyst Chris Vernuccio's best bet is in the feature Group 2 PB Lawrence Stakes as he gives his top picks and best lay at Caulfield on Saturday. Opinion Form analyst Shayne O'Cass provides his best bets and race-by-race analysis for Kembla Grange plus tips for Narrandera and Gilgandra on Saturday.
