Oil Heads for Weekly Gain as Traders Focus on Russia, US Tariffs
West Texas Intermediate was steady above $69 a barrel, up more than 6% for the week, the largest weekly move since Israel attacked Iran. Brent settled below $72 on Thursday. Trump has threatened economic penalties on Moscow if a swift truce on the war in Ukraine isn't reached, and singled out India for higher levies, in part due to its buying of Russian crude and weapons.
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Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN): A Bull Case Theory
We came across a bullish thesis on Triumph Financial, Inc. on by HighLine09. In this article, we will summarize the bulls' thesis on TFIN. Triumph Financial, Inc.'s share was trading at $55.96 as of August 4th. TFIN's trailing P/E was 124.66 according to Yahoo Finance. A close-up of a cash register, with passengers lined up at the window, illustrating the company's payments and holdings. Triumph Financial (TFIN), a Dallas-based financial holding company, has evolved from a traditional community bank into a fintech platform focused on modernizing the trucking industry's financial infrastructure. Positioned as a non-traditional community bank, Triumph operates through four segments—Banking, Factoring, Payments, and Intelligence—creating an integrated ecosystem to streamline freight transactions. The company's freight factoring arm provides immediate liquidity to trucking firms, leveraging its banking subsidiary for low-cost funding, and has achieved high returns through invoice purchases. By introducing Factoring-as-a-Service (FaaS) and AI-driven instant decision models, Triumph has extended its technology to large brokers, reinforcing its market presence and monetizing its platform. The Payments division, anchored by TriumphPay, addresses the inefficiencies and fraud risks inherent in analog payment systems. With its acquisition of HubTran, Triumph enhanced auditing capabilities and now processes over 50% of U.S. brokered freight transactions, touching $30.5 billion in annualized volume. Complementing this is LoadPay, a digital wallet offering 24/7 access to funds for small carriers, bypassing traditional ACH systems while building loyalty through integrated financial solutions. The Intelligence segment, launched in late 2024, leverages Triumph's vast, neutral dataset to deliver actionable insights and dynamic pricing through recent acquisitions like and ISO, boasting gross margins above 90%. Despite a challenging freight recession and declining EPS since 2021, Triumph continues to invest heavily in technology, prioritizing scale and network density before monetization. Management expects its fee-based revenues from Payments, LoadPay, FaaS, and Intelligence to surpass historical factoring income by late 2025, offering higher-margin, resilient earnings. With catalysts including freight market normalization and product adoption, Triumph is positioned to become the dominant digital payments and intelligence network in trucking, unlocking significant long-term value. Previously, we covered a bullish thesis on Northeast Bank (NBN) by Rock & Turner in May 2025, which highlighted its disciplined loan acquisition strategy and strong credit quality. The stock has appreciated about 9.7% since our coverage, as the thesis played out with sustained growth. The thesis still stands, given its hybrid model. HighLine09 shares a similar view on Triumph Financial but focuses on its fintech-driven trucking ecosystem. Triumph Financial, Inc. is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 13 hedge fund portfolios held TFIN at the end of the first quarter which was 14 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the potential of TFIN as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. READ NEXT: 8 Best Wide Moat Stocks to Buy Now and 30 Most Important AI Stocks According to BlackRock. Disclosure: None. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
4 minutes ago
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Countries push for last-minute deals as Thursday tariff deadline looms
An array of trade crosscurrents continued in Tuesday afternoon. There has been a push for last-minute deals, continued fuzziness on previously announced trade commitments—and an indication from President Trump that a deal to delay tariffs on China is "close." It all comes as global importers brace for the Thursday morning deadline. That's when President Trump promises to implement a central plank of his trade agenda: a tiered approach to "reciprocal" tariffs from 10% to 50%. Meanwhile, talks continued on varied fronts. For example, the Swiss president announced she would fly to Washington to try to win last-minute concessions. She added Tuesday that "the aim is to present a more attractive offer to the United States" to avert a 39% tariff on goods from her nation. Meanwhile India faces a divergent situation, with Trump telling CNBC Tuesday morning "we settled on 25% [tariffs], but I think I am going to raise that very substantially over the next 24 hours." India has slammed Trump's threats as unjustified and has seen its chances of a deal dwindle with top aides for Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi also reportedly traveling this week — but not to the US but instead to Moscow. It's part of flurry of last minute moves and a message from Trump that he's full-speed ahead with no plans to delay a tariff increase starting Thursday. For rolling updates on tariffs, check out our liveblog > He even teased during the CNBC appearance that he probably won't run for president again, but that he'd like to, in part because, in his view, "people love the tariffs." (Trump is, of course, barred by the Constitution from running for a third term, but he's often floated the idea.) Switzerland and India are two countries currently on the outside looking in but even nations that recently struck a trade deal continued to try and prepare for the tariff piece to take effect. 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Read more: What Trump's tariffs mean for the economy and your wallet New details for some nations — and a focus on India and Switzerland There is also some new clarity on some technical details around how the new tariff landscape will likely work beginning at 12:01 a.m. ET on Thursday. US customs officials this week offered additional technical guidance in a new document about how it'll handle some tariff exemptions. The news there may give some select importers a short-term breather. But with a full tally, according to Bloomberg Economics, the average US tariff rate is now expected to rise to 15.2% if duties go forward as planned. That's a jump from current rates of 13.3% and another jump from the 2.3% duties seen in 2024 before Trump took office. That overall landscape set to be in effect Thursday will cover nearly every country on the globe. It also comes after Trump and his team set "bespoke" rates largely based on the trade deficit, with many of America's top trading partners seeing a key new standard of 15% tariff, while others will see higher rates. Read more: 5 ways to tariff-proof your finances Countries from the European Union to South Korea to Japan also struck deals at that 15% rate, but open questions remain. Other Asian countries have struck deals in the 19%-20% range. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer recently said on CBS that the published rates included many agreements, "some of these deals are announced, some are not," with other nations simply being dictated tariffs based on the level of the trade deficit. Switzerland is one nation for which the US has dictated tariffs. Its delegation will be in Washington on Tuesday, set to push for lower rates. But on Tuesday morning, Trump suggested that it would be an uphill climb and that a recent call with the country didn't go well because "they essentially pay no tariffs," even as talks are clearly set to continue there. As for India, any immediate offramp appears unlikely because of that nation's connections with Russia and Russian oil. A note Tuesday from Capital Economics suggested that India could, in theory, offer concessions to diversify its energy sources, "but we doubt that India would make a wholehearted effort to wean itself off Russian oil [as it could upset relations and] it would not play well to be seen caving to Trump's demands." At the same time, reports from Bloomberg and the Times of India revealed that two top aides to Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi are traveling not to the US but to Russia in the coming days and weeks— even amid Trump's ever-escalating threats. Trump on Tuesday morning suggested talks are on ice for now and will be complicated when they resume, adding that "the sticking point with India is that tariffs are too high." This story has been updated with additional developments. Ben Werschkul is a Washington correspondent for Yahoo Finance. Click here for political news related to business and money policies that will shape tomorrow's stock prices Sign in to access your portfolio
Yahoo
4 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Canadian dollar steadies as trade data meets expectations
By Fergal Smith (Reuters) -The Canadian dollar was barely changed against its U.S. counterpart on Tuesday as oil prices fell and data showed a widening of the Canadian trade deficit that was close to expectations. The loonie was trading nearly unchanged at 1.3775 per U.S. dollar, or 72.60 U.S. cents, after moving in a range of 1.3764 to 1.3810. Canada's merchandise trade deficit widened in June to C$5.9 billion ($4.24 billion) as imports grew faster than exports due to a one-time high-value oil equipment import. Analysts had predicted the deficit would increase to C$6.3 billion from a downwardly revised C$5.5 billion in May. "Despite the usual volatility, Canada's trade figures came in line with expectations for June," Shelly Kaushik, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets, said in a note. "While trade flows have recovered a touch from the spring, normalization is unlikely until the Canada-U.S. relationship stabilizes." The U.S. has increased tariffs on Canadian goods to 35% from 25%, but products covered by the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement are exempt from duties. About 90% of Canadian exports to the U.S. in May were exempt under that trade deal. The price of oil, one of Canada's major exports, fell 1.4% to $65.35 a barrel on rising OPEC+ supply and worries of weaker global demand, while the U.S. dollar steadied against a basket of major currencies. Canada's employment report for July, due on Friday, could offer further clues on the state of the domestic economy. A Reuters poll of economists expects a gain of 13,500 jobs. The Canadian 10-year yield was little changed at 3.382% after earlier touching its lowest level since July 7 at 3.360%. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
