
Bessent backs Fed independence on rates amid Trump criticism
Bessent said in a social media post on Monday evening that '[Fed] independence is a cornerstone of continued U.S. economic growth and stability.'
'The Fed's conduct of monetary policy 'is a jewel box' that should be walled off to preserve its independence,' he said.
Bessent's post sought to clarify comments he made in a Monday interview with CNBC, in which he called for a review of the Fed system. The Treasury secretary said on social media that the review should focus on 'mission creep' at the central bank, not its process for setting interest rates.
Bessent's comments follows months of Fed-bashing from President Trump that erupted last week when reports emerged that Trump had told Republican lawmakers that he might soon move to oust Powell.
Trump said later in the week that it was 'highly unlikely' he'd fire Powell but left the possibility open on the grounds that Powell might need to be removed for 'fraud' — a reference to a cost overrun for facility renovations the Fed is undertaking now in Washington.
The Journal reported Sunday that Bessent, who has assuaged markets throughout Trump's tumultuous trade war, told the president he shouldn't fire Fed chair Jerome Powell and laid out a comprehensive case as to why.
Bessent went through the possible negative reaction from financial markets, the legal challenges the White House could face for trying to fire the Fed chair, and the fact that the Fed is already projecting rate cuts later this year, the Journal reported.
The story enraged Trump, who called it 'untruthful' and said he didn't require any counseling on financial matters or on the leadership of the Fed.
'Nobody had to explain that to me. I know better than anybody what's good for the market, and what's good for the U.S.A.,' Trump fumed on social media. 'If it weren't for me, the market wouldn't be at record highs right now, it probably would have crashed! So, get your information correct. People don't explain to me, I explain to them!'
Bessent downplayed his advice to the president on CNBC, saying his remarks were just one of many data points for Trump to consider.
'President Trump solicits a whole range of opinions and then makes a decision. So, he takes a lot of inputs, and at the end of the day, it's his decision,' Bessent told CNBC on Monday.
Bessent also distanced himself from the controversy over the Fed's ongoing facility renovations, which have been singled out by White House Office of Management and Budget director Russ Vought.
'I have no knowledge or opinion on the legal basis for the massive building renovations being undertaken on Constitution Avenue,' Bessent wrote online.
Bessent has sought to balance his loyalty toward Trump with soothing concerns about the president's potential impact on the Fed.
He accused the Fed of 'fear-mongering over tariffs' during a CNBC interview on Monday.
Last month, he also said he'd be willing to step into the role of Fed chair if he was asked by President Trump to do so.
'I will do what the president wants,' he said in an interview with Bloomberg News, adding that he was pleased with his current position as Treasury secretary.

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
5 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Trump ramps up pressure on the Fed to slash rates to 1% — but would that be risky for US jobs, savings and investments?
Despite President Trump ramping up pressure on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to cut interest rates, the Fed held rates steady at 4.25% to 4.5% on Wednesday, July 30. Trump has been insistent on a major cut all the way down to 1%. Those who support the idea argue that a lower rate would reduce borrowing costs for consumers, mortgages, auto loans and corporations. Governors Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller voted against the rates, the first time since 1993 that multiple governors voted against a rate decision. But critics, including economists, former Fed officials and business leaders, warn that such heavy-handed interference in monetary policy could backfire, risking higher inflation, market instability and long-term damage to the Fed's independence. Here's what Trump's push could mean for your job prospects, investments and savings, and why experts say it's not that simple. Don't miss Thanks to Jeff Bezos, you can now become a landlord for as little as $100 — and no, you don't have to deal with tenants or fix freezers. Here's how I'm 49 years old and have nothing saved for retirement — what should I do? Don't panic. Here are 5 of the easiest ways you can catch up (and fast) Want an extra $1,300,000 when you retire? Dave Ramsey says this 7-step plan 'works every single time' to kill debt, get rich in America — and that 'anyone' can do it What experts say a Fed rate cut could mean for your wallet While Trump is pressuring the Fed to slash the federal funds rate, some experts argue that bond yields are far more important to the broader economy. In an interview with Fox Business earlier this year, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the administration is paying closer attention to the 10-year Treasury yield, not the fed funds rate. That distinction matters. The Fed funds rate primarily affects short-term borrowing — like credit cards and personal loans. But long-term borrowing, including mortgages and auto loans, is more closely tied to the yield on government bonds. For example, over the past year, even as the Fed cut its policy rate from 5.5% in September 2024 to 4.5% by August 2025, mortgage rates didn't follow suit. That's because bond yields have climbed, pushing borrowing costs higher, according to The Wall Street Journal. In fact, many economists warn that if the Fed cuts rates too quickly, bond yields could rise even further, potentially driving up mortgage rates and undermining the very goal of making borrowing cheaper. Capital flight and higher inflation In an interview with the Harvard Gazette, Daniel Tarullo, Nomura Professor of International Financial Regulatory Practice at Harvard Law School and former Federal Reserve governor, warned that Trump's efforts to pressure or potentially remove Fed leadership could be deeply counterproductive. He argues that bond yields and investor confidence are shaped by the belief that the central bank will act independently and responsibly, and that ndermining that independence could have serious consequences. The Harvard Gazette reported on the subject in April, saying 'What markets fear is that if a president removes the chair or other members of the Board of Governors, it would be with the intent of having a looser monetary policy. At that point, the markets' trust in the central bank will be substantially undermined, and thus, the central bank's credibility as an inflation fighter will be undermined. Longer-term interest rates will then rise, probably dramatically.' A similar scenario played out in Turkey, where President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan repeatedly pressured the country's central bank to cut rates against economic advice. According to the American Enterprise Institute, the result was a collapse in the value of the Turkish lira and a surge in inflation. In the U.S., there are multiple layers of protection in place, including institutional norms and legal safeguards, that make it difficult for any president to unilaterally reshape Fed leadership or monetary policy. But experts say the pressure alone can still erode market confidence. Read more: Nervous about the stock market in 2025? Find out how you can What comes next? With Powell's term as Fed chair set to end in May 2026, investors and consumers will see a change in leadership at the central bank in the not-too-distant future. Trump will have the authority to nominate a new chair or choose to re-nominate Powell, and the nominee must be confirmed by the Senate. Still, a new chair wouldn't have the power to set rates alone. The federal funds rate is determined by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which includes the chair, six Fed governors and 12 regional Federal Reserve bank presidents. 'There's no question that the chair is far and away the most important individual on the FOMC,' Tarullo says. 'But it's not the case that the chair can simply dictate what policy is going to be and the rest of the FOMC will fall into line.' For consumers, experts say the takeaway is more complicated than it might seem. While aggressive rate cuts could reduce borrowing costs in the short term, economists warn they could also lead to higher inflation and long-term instability, especially if the Fed's independence is weakened. In their view, unless inflation cools or the economy slows, rates on mortgages, credit cards and auto loans are unlikely to drop significantly anytime soon. What to read next Robert Kiyosaki warns of a 'Greater Depression' coming to the US — with millions of Americans going poor. But he says these 2 'easy-money' assets will bring in 'great wealth'. How to get in now Here are 5 simple ways to grow rich with real estate if you don't want to play landlord. And you can even start with as little as $10 Rich, young Americans are ditching the stormy stock market — here are the alternative assets they're banking on instead Here are 5 'must have' items that Americans (almost) always overpay for — and very quickly regret. How many are hurting you? Stay in the know. Join 200,000+ readers and get the best of Moneywise sent straight to your inbox every week for free. This article provides information only and should not be construed as advice. It is provided without warranty of any kind. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data


Axios
7 minutes ago
- Axios
Blue-collar revenge: The things AI can't do are making a comeback
AI is supposed to displace millions of workers in the coming years — but when your toilet won't flush at 2 am, you're not going to call ChatGPT. Why it matters: The reshaping of the American economy promises to offer a kind of revenge for the blue-collar laborer, as white-collar workers become largely dispensable, but the need for skilled trades only grows. The big picture: Companies are already boasting of saving hundreds of millions of dollars a year by using AI instead of humans. The stock market rewards are too enticing for the C-suite to ignore. But ask those same executives who's going to run the wiring for their data centers, or who's putting the roof on the building, and just how well those skilled technicians are getting paid. It's become a key Trump administration economic talking point: Blue-collar wages are rising faster now than at the start of any other administration going back to Nixon. Driving the news: A recent Microsoft paper analyzing the most "AI-proof" jobs generated a list of the work most and least vulnerable to the rise of the LLM. The 40 most-vulnerable jobs (translators, historians, sales reps, etc), basically all office work, employ about 11 million people. The 40 least-vulnerable jobs (dredge operators, roofers, etc.), just about all manual labor, employ around 5.5 million. All those extra folks have to go somewhere. What they're saying: "We've been telling kids for 15 years to code. 'Learn to code!' we said. Yeah, well, AI's coming for the coders. They're not coming for the welders. They're not coming for the plumbers. They're not coming for the steamfitters or the pipe fitters or the HVACs. They're not coming for the electricians," Mike Rowe, the TV host and skilled-trades philanthropist, said at Sen. Dave McCormick's (R-Pa.) AI summit last month. "There is a clear and present freak-out going on right now," Rowe said, as everyone from politicians to CEOs recognizes just how bad they need tradespeople to keep the economy running. Yes, but: While the AI boom will create lots of jobs for skilled trades, eventually there'll be less demand to build more data centers, which may in turns sap demand for those tradespeople too. The intrigue: There's already a labor shortage in many of these blue-collar professions, one that AI will, ironically, only make worse (think the electricians for the data centers, for example). Factories alone are short about 450,000 people a month, per the National Association of Manufacturers (NAM). "We're really talking about high-tech, 21st Century, rewarding, well-paying jobs," Jay Timmons, the CEO of the NAM, tells Axios. "Manufacturers are really embracing what's coming, and they accept the responsibility." Training is the answer, but that will require a large-scale, national effort —not just for up-and-coming students, but for mid-career folks forced into a pivot. "Everybody needs these roles, they're high-security roles," says Carolyn Lee, president of the NAM-affiliated Manufacturing Institute. She points, for example, to a program already in 16 states to train maintenance technicians to keep factories running — precisely the kind of job people like Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick have said are the future of the workforce. Students in an early cohort of that program, on average, were earning $95,000 a year within five years of graduating. One of the challenges, Timmons notes, is selling that to people who may not understand how lucrative these careers can be: "You have an economy-wide perception problem."


Axios
7 minutes ago
- Axios
Stagflation fears are back
America is showing new signs of stagflation — inflation running hotter, the job market suffering new weakness, and economists warning both are at risk of getting worse in the months ahead. Why it matters: The word "stagflation" revives miserable memories of the 1970s, when Americans faced a dreadful combination of higher prices and few job opportunities. The big picture: This was the week mainstream economists were vindicated. Predictions of weaker growth and more persistent inflation — the "stag" and the "flation" — looked farfetched, until now. What they're saying: "The bottom line is that the risk of stagflation has risen meaningfully," Olu Sonola, an economist at Fitch Ratings, wrote in a client note. "Inflation is drifting further from target, private sector economic growth has slowed materially, and the labor market has just sounded a warning bell." Catch up quick: Trump fired the Bureau of Labor Statistics' top official on Friday, hours after the agency reported weaker-than-expected jobs growth. He claimed, without evidence, that the numbers were politically manipulated. In an interview with Axios, top White House economist Stephen Miran agreed that the BLS needed new leadership to address massive data revisions, but did not claim the numbers were manipulated. By the numbers: The economy added just 73,000 jobs last month, while historic downward revisions suggested the labor market added almost no jobs at all the previous two months. What's going on: That's the "stag." Now consider the other indicators released in the past week. 💰 GDP: The economy expanded at a 3% annualized rate in the second quarter, boosted by the reversal of unprecedented importing activity in the first quarter. Dig into the report and the growth snapshot looks worse. A measure of underlying domestic demand — which strips out swings in trade, inventory and government spending — rose at only a 1.2% rate in the second quarter, the weakest since the end of 2022. 🛒 Inflation: The Fed's go-to inflation measure rose in the final two months of the second quarter, despite moderating underlying growth. The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index rose by 2.6% in the 12 months through June, the second consecutive increase. The gauge that excludes food and energy rose by 2.8%, ticking up slightly from May. Between the lines: The collection of data — especially the weak jobs report — strengthens the case for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in September. But inflation concerns will still be top of mind for the Fed. There are early signs that Trump's tariffs are pushing prices higher. No one knows whether those increases will be persistent. For the record: "We've been here before when there was large scale doom-mongering ... about the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and about the President's tariffs on China in the first term," Miran says. All of the "doom-mongering" turned out to be wrong, Miran said. He added that there was good reason to believe the economy would get stronger from here, citing Trump's tax and spending bill, as well as a spate of recent trade deals. The bottom line: If Trump gets the rate cut he has been yearning for, it might be for a reason he likely hates — a slowing economy.