logo
South African rand slightly weaker, local politics could provide support

South African rand slightly weaker, local politics could provide support

JOHANNESBURG: The South African rand was slightly weaker on Tuesday, but analysts said local political developments could lend it support in the coming days.
At 0745 GMT, the rand traded at 17.64 against the dollar, down 0.1% on Monday's closing level.
The dollar was up 0.1% against a basket of global currencies.
On Monday, President Cyril Ramaphosa removed a minister accused of misconduct by his party's key coalition partner, which could defuse tensions between the two main governing parties before a budget vote on Wednesday.
The budget has been held up by months of political wrangling, but Wednesday's vote on the Appropriation Bill is the final hurdle for it to pass.
Morgan Stanley said it had turned more bullish on South African government debt in the wake of the minister's removal.
It said it now viewed South Africa's spreads - the premium investors demand to buy South African bonds rather than benchmark debt like U.S. Treasuries - as attractive compared with countries with similar credit ratings.
South Africa's benchmark 2035 government bond was stronger on Tuesday, as the yield fell 9 basis points to 9.895%.
Markets reacted little to a decline in a central bank business cycle indicator that gauges the economic outlook. The leading indicator fell 1.3% month-on-month in May, following a 0.6% decrease in April.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

European shares rise to 4-month high after US-EU trade deal
European shares rise to 4-month high after US-EU trade deal

Business Recorder

time43 minutes ago

  • Business Recorder

European shares rise to 4-month high after US-EU trade deal

European shares advanced to a four-month high on Monday, led by gains in auto and pharmaceutical stocks, after the EU cinched a trade deal with the US, avoiding a wider trade war ahead of the August 1 deadline. The pan-European STOXX 600 index rose 0.8% by 0715 GMT. Most regional bourses were also in the green, with UK's FTSE 100 adding 0.3%, Germany's blue-chip DAX rising 0.7% and France's CAC 40 gaining 1.1%. The trade agreement imposes a 15% tariff on most EU goods and requires the EU to invest around $600 billion in the U.S., with tariff rates on spirits still under negotiation. Automobile stocks were boosted on the day with Porsche and Volkswagen gaining 1.6% and 1.9%, respectively. Mercedes-Benz, Stellantis and Volvo Cars, which have pulled their 2025 financial guidance due to U.S. trade uncertainty, rose between 1.6% and 3%. Pharmaceutical stocks also gained with the base tariff rate extending to cover healthcare. Novo Nordisk and Roche both rose more than 1.5%. Expectations of similar trade agreements with other US trading partners before the August 1 tariff deadline have helped lift the benchmark STOXX 600 to within 1.8% of its all-time high hit on March 4, marking a 19.5% rebound from its April trough. LVMH rose 0.7% after media reports said French luxury goods group is in discussions with multiple buyers to offload its fashion label Marc Jacobs.

Yuan touches one-month low as investors await Sino-US trade talk
Yuan touches one-month low as investors await Sino-US trade talk

Business Recorder

time2 hours ago

  • Business Recorder

Yuan touches one-month low as investors await Sino-US trade talk

SHANGHAI: China's yuan touched a one-month low against the U.S. dollar in early trade on Monday but reversed most of its loss by midday, as investors awaited details from tariff talks as well as from the Politburo's July meeting to gauge the currency's direction. Chinese and U.S. officials will resume tariff talks in Stockholm on Monday to tackle economic disputes at the centre of their trade war, with the aim of extending a truce by three months and keeping sharply higher U.S. tariffs at bay. 'Considering the recent tariff announcements - 15% for US allies, 20% for ASEAN countries, and 40% for transshipping goods - there is limited scope for substantial tariff reductions in the Stockholm negotiations,' said analyst Liang Ding at researcher Macro Hive. The onshore yuan touched 7.1897 a dollar shortly after market open, its lowest since June 23. Ding said the yuan has been supported over the past week by a robust equity market and strong central bank fixes - the point around which the bank allows the yuan to trade. Still, the yuan could face renewed pressure as trade flows are set to become less favourable for non-U.S. countries in the coming months as U.S. tariff uncertainty dissipates and the 'sell U.S.' narrative may lose momentum, Ding said. The spot yuan opened at 7.1670 a dollar and last traded at 7.169 as of 0312 GMT, 10 pips lower than the previous late session close and 0.31% weaker than the midpoint. Prior to market open, the People's Bank of China set its midpoint rate at 7.1467 a dollar, 186 pips firmer than a Reuters' estimate. The PBOC allows spot yuan to trade 2% either side of the midpoint each day. Domestically, investors are awaiting details of the July Politburo meeting as well as manufacturing activity data due this week. 'We think the government is likely to keep a supportive macro policy tone, but the urgency and likelihood of rolling out major additional stimulus measures are low, given the robust Q2 GDP growth,' said UBS economists in a client note. The government may elaborate on efforts to curb involution competition, discuss measures to stabilise the housing market, and offer preliminary information about its new five-year plan, they said. The offshore yuan traded at 7.1695 yuan a dollar, down about 0.01% in Asian trading hours. The yuan is down 0.1% against the dollar this month but 1.8% firmer this year. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the euro, was 0.010% higher at 97.62. The U.S. agreed a trade framework with the European Union on Sunday, imposing a 15% import tariff on most EU goods.

JGBs rebound as traders reassess BOJ rate-hike trajectory
JGBs rebound as traders reassess BOJ rate-hike trajectory

Business Recorder

time2 hours ago

  • Business Recorder

JGBs rebound as traders reassess BOJ rate-hike trajectory

TOKYO: Japan's shorter-dated government bonds rose on Monday, recovering from a sell-off last week, as investors re-evaluated the pace of Bank of Japan's rate hikes. The 10-year JGB yield fell 4.5 basis points (bps) to 1.555%, after surging to 1.605% on Friday, its highest level since October 2008. The five-year yield fell 4 bps to 1.11%. Yields move inversely to bond prices. 'The yields rose last week on expectations that the BOJ would raise interest rates by the end of this year,' said Naoya Hasegawa, chief bond strategist at Okasan Securities. 'But investors wanted to wait and see the central bank's message about the next interest rate hike at the end of the policy meeting this week.' The BOJ will hold its next policy meeting on July 30-31, and the market expects the central bank to hold its policy rate unchanged. But a trade deal to lower the hefty tariffs U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to impose on goods from Japan opened scope for the BOJ to raise interest rates again this year, sources said. Swap rates indicated a nearly 80% chance of the BOJ raising rates by 25 basis points to 0.75% at its policy meeting in December. 'The market wanted to know if there is a higher chance of the BOJ raising rates earlier than December,' Haseagawa said. The 10-year JGB futures rose 0.48 yen to 137.91. The two-year JGB yield fell 1 bp to 0.845%. Yields on super-long dated bonds rose, with the 30-year JGB yield rising 1.5 bps to 3.075%. The 40-year JGB yield rose 1.5 bps to 3.365%. The 20-year JGBs have not been priced yet, as of 0540 GMT.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store