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Tropical Storm Erin likely to become first Atlantic season's first hurricane

Tropical Storm Erin likely to become first Atlantic season's first hurricane

CBS Newsa day ago
Forecasters say Tropical Storm Erin, which formed in the eastern Atlantic Ocean on Monday, is expected to become the Atlantic's first hurricane of the season.
The storm formed just west of the Cabo Verde islands, off the western coast of Africa, and was moving west, the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami said.
Early models showed that the storm was expected to strengthen into a major hurricane by the time it nears the Caribbean islands toward the end of the week. It doesn't pose an immediate threat to the U.S., but there is uncertainty about its longer-term path.
As of 5 a.m. EDT Wednesday, the center of Erin was about 1,400 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands in the West Indies, with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph and moving westward at about 20 mph, according to the hurricane center.
"On the forecast track," the hurricane center said early Wednesday, "the center of Erin is likely to move near or just north of the northern Leeward Islands over the weekend."
The center added that "gradual strengthening is forecast to begin today, and Erin will likely become a hurricane by late Thursday or early Friday."
Drone video footage posted to social media showed the aftermath of flooding from the storm in Cabo Verde, a group of islands about 385 miles off the African coast. Local media reported at least eight people were killed, and officials declared a state of emergency as crews dealt with the damage.
There's uncertainty about where Erin goes after this week, but most models show the storm pivoting to the northwest and north, CBS News Miami meteorologist Shane Hinton reported.
The new activity in the Atlantic comes as parts of South Florida, home to two of the largest school districts in the U.S., are starting a new school year. Classes in Broward County began Monday, and students in neighboring Miami-Dade County are set to go back to school later in the week.
Erin is the fifth named storm to develop during the Atlantic hurricane season, which started just over two months ago. Last week, Tropical Storm Dexter formed in the western Atlantic but didn't pose a threat to land. In early July, Tropical Storm Chantal made landfall on the Carolina coast, bringing deadly flooding to the region.
The Atlantic hurricane season started in June and runs through November, with its peak months being August, September and October.
The Pacific Ocean has already seen six hurricanes this year, including Henriette, which weakened to a tropical storm Tuesday and was not expected to hit land.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, NOAA, predicted an above-normal season for the Atlantic basin this year, with an expected number of named storms between 13 and 18, five to nine of which could become hurricanes.
A tropical cyclone becomes a tropical storm when its maximum sustained wind speeds reach at least 39 mph. Hurricanes are more powerful with sustained winds of at least 74 mph. Hurricanes are rated on a scale ranging from Category 1 to Category 5, which is the most severe rating. A storm is considered to be a major hurricane when it reaches Category 3 strength with sustained winds of at least 111 mph. Erielle Delzer and
Nikki Nolan
contributed to this report.
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Satellite Images Show Tropical Storm Erin as it Gears Up to Become Major Hurricane
Satellite Images Show Tropical Storm Erin as it Gears Up to Become Major Hurricane

Newsweek

time31 minutes ago

  • Newsweek

Satellite Images Show Tropical Storm Erin as it Gears Up to Become Major Hurricane

Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Satellite imagery has captured Tropical Storm Erin—which the National Hurricane Center (NHC) expects to become a hurricane by Friday—moving over the Atlantic Ocean. A meteorologist told Newsweek, "There is a window of opportunity where Erin could explode into a Category 4 hurricane in the Atlantic this weekend or early next week." Why It Matters Forecasters predict Erin may become the first major hurricane of the 2025 season. It's the fifth named storm in the Atlantic so far, after Andrea, Barry, Chantal, and Dexter—none of which reached hurricane strength. Chantal brought heavy rain and flooding to North Carolina in early July. What To Know Satellite imagery shared to social media by the Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA) on Wednesday showed the system swirling over the waters of the Atlantic Ocean. Tropical Storm Erin showing some signs of life this morning as convection fires within. Erin is still forecast to become a major hurricane over the weekend. — CIRA (@CIRA_CSU) August 13, 2025 "Tropical Storm Erin showing some signs of life this morning as convection fires within," it said. "Erin is still forecast to become a major hurricane over the weekend." In its most recent advisory for Tropical Storm Erin, the NHC said the system was moving west at around 17 miles per hour, with maximum sustained winds near 60 mph. "A turn toward the west-northwest is expected tonight, with this motion expected to continue into the weekend," the agency said. "On the forecast track, the center of Erin is likely to move near or just north of the northern Leeward Islands over the weekend." The NHC warned that swells generated by the storm could begin impacting parts of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico by this weekend, adding that these were likely to lead to "life-threatening surf and rip current conditions." What People Are Saying AccuWeather lead hurricane expert Alex DaSilva said, in an advisory shared with Newsweek on Thursday: "Erin is moving into an area of the Atlantic primed for rapid intensification. The waters are incredibly warm. There's little disruptive wind shear, dry air, or dust to slow this storm down. "Erin is forecast to strengthen into a Category 1 hurricane by Friday afternoon and then rapidly intensify into a Category 3 hurricane by Saturday afternoon. There is a window of opportunity where Erin could explode into a Category 4 hurricane in the Atlantic this weekend or early next week." ABC News chief meteorologist and chief climate correspondent Ginger Zee on X, Thursday: "Tropical Storm #Erin is now less than 1000 miles from the Virgin Islands- looks like it becomes a hurricane by late Friday then could rapidly intensify passing just north of Puerto Rico. "High surf & rip currents this weekend in the Leeward Islands. THEN the Bermuda high steering the storm should weaken allowing it to turn north even more, most models keeping it off the east coast. "However, this is still a week away so from Bermuda to the outer banks, enjoy your weekend but watch carefully for every deviation west & east to see impacts for next week." What Happens Next Agencies such as the NHC issue regular forecast updates.

Where is Tropical Storm Erin? Will Sarasota, Bradenton be impacted?
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Tropical Storm Erin is starting to strengthen as it continues its westward path across the Atlantic, according to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center. Erin is expected to become a hurricane Friday, Aug. 15, and a major hurricane by Sunday morning. A major hurricane is a Category 3 or stronger storm with maximum sustained winds of at least 111 mph. ➤ Track all active storms ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location The current forecast calls for Erin's winds to increase to 125 mph within five days, making it a strong Category 3 storm. A Category 4 storm has maximum sustained winds of at least 130 mph. Erin is expected to turn north at some point, staying away from Sarasota, Bradenton, Manatee County, Florida and the east coast of the United States. However, the "risk of dangerous surf and rip currents across the western Atlantic basin next week is increasing," the National Hurricane Center said. The fifth-named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, Erin formed on Aug. 11, earlier than the historical average of Aug. 22. ➤ Hurricane drama vs. data: Why Erin is a minuscule threat to Florida, U.S. east coast Tropical Storm Erin update, path Special note on the NHC cone: The forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time. Location: 890 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands Maximum sustained winds: 60 mph Movement: west at 17 mph Pressure: 999 mb When will Tropical Storm Erin become a hurricane? Tropical Storm Erin is expected to become a hurricane Friday, Aug. 15. "Significant intensification" is possible Friday and Saturday, and Erin is expected to become a strong Category 3 storm with maximum sustained winds of 125 mph in five days, according to the National Hurricane Center. ➤ Hurricane drama vs. data: Why Erin is a miniscule threat to Florida, U.S. east coast Spaghetti models for Tropical Storm Erin. Where is the storm going? Special note about spaghetti models: Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts. ➤ Track Tropical Storm Erin Is there a hurricane coming to Sarasota, Bradenton, Manatee County, Florida? No. Erin should gradually turn more west-northwestward Thursday night, with that path continuing into the weekend. On that path, Erin would remain over open water and away from Florida and the U.S. Remember, forecasts can change, so it's always best to be prepared. What impacts could Tropical Storm Erin have on Florida? "There is still a greater than normal uncertainty about what impacts Erin may bring to portions of the Bahamas, the east coast of the United States, and Bermuda in the long range," the National Hurricane Center said. However, "the risk of dangerous surf and rip currents across the western Atlantic basin next week is increasing." How strong is Tropical Storm Erin and where could it go? See the scenarios At 11 a.m., the center of Tropical Storm Erin was located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 49.7 West. Erin is moving toward the west near 17 mph. A turn toward the west-northwest is expected tonight, with this motion expected to continue into the weekend. On the forecast track, the center of Erin is likely to move near or just north of the northern Leeward Islands over the weekend. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, and Erin is expected to become a hurricane on Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles from the center. Key messages from the National Hurricane Center: What you need to know about Tropical Storm Erin Swells generated by Erin will begin affecting portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico by this weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Erin is beginning to strengthen and is expected to become a hurricane Aug. 14. "There continues to be confidence that Erin will be a large and powerful hurricane over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean this weekend." There is still a greater than normal uncertainty about what impacts Erin may bring to portions of the Bahamas, the east coast of the United States, and Bermuda in the long range. Locally heavy rainfall, high surf and rip currents, and tropical-storm force winds could occur in portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico this weekend as the core of Erin passes north of those islands. The risk of dangerous surf and rip currents across the western Atlantic basin next week is increasing. Current forecast: How strong could Tropical Storm Erin get? At 11 a.m.: 60 mph 12 hours: 65 mph 24 hours: 75 mph 36 hours: 90 mph 48 hours: 105 mph 60 hours: 110 mph 72 hours: 115 mph 96 hours: 120 mph 120 hours: 125 mph Interactive map: What tropical storms, hurricanes have impacted your area in the past? Stay informed. Get weather alerts via text What's next? We will update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This article originally appeared on Sarasota Herald-Tribune: NOAA hurricane tracker: Tropical Storm Erin path. 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Caribbean officials warn of heavy rains and big waves as Tropical Storm Erin nears
Caribbean officials warn of heavy rains and big waves as Tropical Storm Erin nears

Los Angeles Times

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  • Los Angeles Times

Caribbean officials warn of heavy rains and big waves as Tropical Storm Erin nears

SAN JUAN, Puerto Rico — Officials in the northern Caribbean warned Thursday of heavy rains and dangerous swells as Tropical Storm Erin approached the region. The storm is expected to remain over open waters and move north-northeast of islands including Antigua and Barbuda, the U.S. and British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami. Erin was located about 890 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands. It had maximum sustained winds of 60 mph and was moving west at 17 mph. Erin is forecast to become a hurricane by Friday and strengthen into a Category 3 storm by late Saturday, which would mark the first major storm this season. 'Erin is moving into an area of the Atlantic primed for rapid intensification. The waters are incredibly warm,' said Alex DaSilva, lead hurricane expert for AccuWeather. Tropical-storm force winds could occur in parts of the northern Leeward Islands, the U.S. and British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico this weekend, forecasters said. 'There is still a greater than normal uncertainty about what impacts Erin may bring to portions of the Bahamas, the east coast of the United States, and Bermuda in the long range,' the hurricane center said. Hurricane specialist and storm surge expert Michael Lowry said nearly all models have Erin turning 'safely east of the broader U.S. next week.' Erin is the fifth named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to Nov. 30. Forecasters are expecting another unusually busy season for the Atlantic, with predictions calling for six to 10 hurricanes, with up to half reaching major status.

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