logo
CFIB economic forecast predicts significant contraction in second quarter

CFIB economic forecast predicts significant contraction in second quarter

Globe and Mail24-04-2025
A forecast by the Canadian Federation of Independent Business estimates the economy saw muted growth in the first three months of the year and predicts a significant contraction for the second quarter.
The report estimates the Canadian economy grew at an annualized rate of 0.8 per cent in the first quarter of the year.
However, it forecasts the economy will contract at an annualized rate of 5.6 per cent in the second quarter.
The report, based on the CFIB's most recent monthly business barometer data, says the drop comes from a historically low long-term business sentiment in the context of the trade war.
U.S. President Donald Trump has hit Canada with a broad range of tariffs, while Ottawa has responded with its own set of tariffs on goods coming from the U.S.
CFIB chief economist Simon Gaudreault says the raging trade war will likely drive up the costs of doing business and lead to inflation.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Dana White says UFC fight at the White House is part of Paramount deal
Dana White says UFC fight at the White House is part of Paramount deal

National Post

time5 minutes ago

  • National Post

Dana White says UFC fight at the White House is part of Paramount deal

Hours after Paramount and UFC announced a billion-dollar rights deal, Dana White said he had yet to hear from his friend, President Donald Trump, on his thoughts about the fight company's new streaming home. Article content That was fine with White. The UFC CEO was set to travel to Washington on Aug. 28 to meet with Trump and his daughter, Ivanka, to catch up and discuss logistics on the proposed Fourth of July fight card next year at the White House. Article content Article content Trump said last month he wanted to stage a UFC match on the White House grounds with upwards of 20,000 spectators to celebrate 250 years of American independence. Article content 'It's absolutely going to happen,' White told The Associated Press. 'Think about that, the 250th birthday of the United States of America, the UFC will be on the White House south lawn live on CBS.' Article content The idea of cage fights at the White House would have seemed improbable when the Frittata brothers purchased UFC for $2 million in 2001 and put White in charge of the fledging fight promotion. Article content White helped steer the company into a $4 billion sale in 2016 and broadcast rights deals with Fox and ESPN before landing owner TKO Group's richest one yet — a seven-year deal with Paramount starting in 2026 worth an average of $1.1 billion a year, with all cards on its streaming platform Paramount+ and select numbered events also set to simulcast on CBS. Article content ESPN, Amazon and Netflix and other traditional sports broadcast players seemed more in play for UFC rights — White had previously hinted fights could air across different platforms — but Paramount was a serious contender from the start of the negotiating window. Article content The Paramount and UFC deal came just days after Skydance and Paramount officially closed their $8 billion merger — kicking off the reign of a new entertainment giant after a contentious endeavor to get the transaction over the finish line. White said he was impressed with the vision Skydance CEO David Ellison had for the the global MMA leader early in contract talks and how those plans should blossom now that Ellison is chairman and CEO of Paramount. Article content 'When you talk about Paramount, you talk about David Ellison, they're brilliant businessmen, very aggressive, risk takers,' White said. 'They're right up my alley. These are the kind of guys that I like to be in business with.' Article content The $1.1 billion deals marks a notable jump from the roughly $550 million that ESPN paid each year for UFC coverage today. But UFC's new home on Paramount will simplify offerings for fans — with all content set to be available on Paramount+ (which currently costs between $7.99 and $12.99 a month), rather than various pay-per-view fees.

China adds ‘additional pressure' with new tariffs on Canadian canola
China adds ‘additional pressure' with new tariffs on Canadian canola

Global News

time35 minutes ago

  • Global News

China adds ‘additional pressure' with new tariffs on Canadian canola

China on Tuesday announced preliminary anti-dumping duties on Canadian canola imports, a fresh escalation in the year-long trade dispute that began with Ottawa's imposition of tariffs on Chinese electric vehicle imports last August. The provisional rate will be set at 75.8 per cent, effective from Thursday, the Ministry of Commerce said in a statement. ICE November canola futures fell four per cent to a three-month low after the announcement. China, the world's largest importer of canola – also known as rapeseed – sources nearly all of its supplies of the product from Canada. The steep duties would likely all but end imports if they are maintained. 'This is huge. Who will pay a 75 per cent deposit to bring Canadian canola to China? It is like telling Canada that we don't need your canola, thank you very much,' said one Singapore-based oilseed trader. Story continues below advertisement China's Ministry of Commerce said on Tuesday an anti-dumping probe launched in September 2024 had found Canada's agricultural sector and particularly the canola industry had benefited from 'substantial' government subsidies and preferential policies. 1:49 Alberta farmers brace for China's 100% tariff on Canola oil and meals China has until September, when the investigation formally ends, to make a final decision on the duties, though it has the option of extending that deadline by six months. A final ruling could result in a different rate, or overturn Tuesday's decision. Get breaking National news For news impacting Canada and around the world, sign up for breaking news alerts delivered directly to you when they happen. Sign up for breaking National newsletter Sign Up By providing your email address, you have read and agree to Global News' Terms and Conditions and Privacy Policy The decision marks a shift from the conciliatory tone struck in June when China's Premier Li Qiang said there were no deep-seated conflicts of interest between the countries during a phone call with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney. 'This move… will put additional pressure on Canada's government to sort through trade frictions with China,' said Trivium China agriculture analyst Even Rogers Pay. Story continues below advertisement The Canadian embassy in Beijing did not respond to a request for comment. Separately, China also launched an anti-dumping investigation into Canadian pea starch and imposed provisional duties on imports of halogenated butyl rubber, according to ministry statements. Replacing millions of tons of Canadian canola is likely to be difficult at short notice, say analysts. China primarily uses imported canola to make animal feed for its aquaculture sector. A separate duty on Canadian canola meal imports in March has already put these supplies at risk. The move provides an opportunity for Australia, which looks set to regain access to the Chinese market with a few test cargoes this year after a years-long freeze in the trade, Pay said. Australia, the second-largest canola exporter, has been shut out of the Chinese market since 2020 due mainly to Chinese rules to stop the spread of fungal plant disease. However, even if Australian imports increase, 'fully replacing Canadian canola will be very difficult unless import demand drops sharply,' said Donatas Jankauskas, an analyst with commodity data firm CM Navigator.

COSRX Brings the Best of K-Beauty to Sephora Canada. Authentic, Award-Winning Skincare Now Just a Sephora Trip Away.
COSRX Brings the Best of K-Beauty to Sephora Canada. Authentic, Award-Winning Skincare Now Just a Sephora Trip Away.

Cision Canada

time35 minutes ago

  • Cision Canada

COSRX Brings the Best of K-Beauty to Sephora Canada. Authentic, Award-Winning Skincare Now Just a Sephora Trip Away.

TORONTO, Aug. 12, 2025 /CNW/ -- Canadian beauty lovers, your wait is over. COSRX, the award-winning Korean skincare brand loved by millions worldwide for its gentle yet effective formulas, has officially landed in all Sephora Canada stores and online (English | Français) on August 8. From viral TikTok sensations to winter skin saviors, the brand's most coveted products are now available directly from an official Sephora source, no worries about counterfeits, just 100% authentic COSRX formulas you can trust. This launch marks the first time Canadians can shop the brand's iconic Advanced Snail 96 Mucin Power Essence, The Ceramide Skin Barrier Moisturizer (hailed as one of the best moisturizers for Canadian winter) and other globally beloved products directly from Sephora shelves. A Curated Collection for Canadian Skin Concerns Whether it's braving sub-zero winds or chasing that glass-skin glow year-round, the Sephora Canada COSRX line up has you covered Advanced Snail 96 Mucin Power Essence: The TikTok-favorite that transformed millions of skincare routines. Packed with 96% snail mucin, this lightweight essence delivers deep hydration and boosts elasticity for a plump, youthful look. It works to fade dark spots, calm irritation, and strengthen the skin barrier, all while leaving your skin silky-smooth and glowing. Loved for its lightweight feel and visible results, it's a must-have in any skincare routine. The Ceramide Skin Barrier Moisturizer: A rich yet silky moisturizer that delivers deep, lasting hydration while strengthening the skin's natural barrier, helping reduce sensitivity and breakouts. Its unique, weightless texture and smooth gliding texture sets it apart from the heavy, greasy formulas often seen in traditional ceramide creams, making it the perfect base under makeup. After selling out within days of its March 2025 debut in the U.S., it is now available for the first time in Canada. Other key products to keep your eye on include: Advanced Snail 92 All In One Cream: Lightweight, all-over hydration for daily comfort. Advanced Snail Peptide Eye Cream: Brightens and hydrates the delicate under-eye area. Advanced Snail Mucin Gel Cleanser: A soft, nourishing cleanse enriched with snail mucin. The 6 Peptide Skin Booster Serum: Firming, smoothing multi-peptide complex; perfect as a first-step booster for skincare layering. The Vitamin C 23 Serum: Potent brightening for dull, uneven skin tone. The Niacinamide 15 Serum: Targets oiliness, blemishes, and uneven texture. The Retinol 0.1 Cream: Gentle, beginner-friendly retinol to refine and smooth skin. Master Patch Original Fit: Invisible hydrocolloid patches that target breakouts overnight. "We know Canadians face unique skin challenges and require solutions that work as hard in the summer heat as they do in the winter chill," said a COSRX spokesperson. "That's why we're excited to bring a curated collection that allows users to put together a personalized routine addressing everything from a radiant year-round glow to dry, dehydrated, barrier-compromised skin. And best of all, Canadian customers can shop 100% authentic COSRX products confidently - in store or online at Sephora Canada." About COSRX With its powerful yet affordable skincare solutions, COSRX has quickly become a favourite among beauty enthusiasts worldwide. Using a minimal number of highly effective ingredients in concentrated doses, COSRX products deliver visible results by giving skin only what it needs and nothing it doesn't.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store