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How Will Corning Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?

How Will Corning Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?

Forbes2 days ago
CHONGQING, CHINA - JULY 27: In this photo illustration, a person holds a smartphone displaying the ... More logo of Corning Incorporated (NYSE: GLW), an American multinational technology company specializing in glass, ceramics, and advanced materials, with the company's white wordmark on a blue background visible in the background, on July 27, 2025 in Chongqing, China. (Photo illustration by)
Corning (NYSE:GLW) is set to report its earnings on Tuesday, July 29, 2025. Analyzing data from the last five years, GLW stock has often shown negative one-day returns after earnings announcements, occurring in 60% of cases. The median one-day decrease was -3.1%, while the largest single-day negative return was -6.9%.
Although the actual earnings results relative to consensus estimates are important, recognizing these historical trends can provide a benefit for traders focused on events. Two primary strategies can be used to take advantage of this information:
Analysts' consensus projection for the forthcoming quarter is earnings of $0.57 per share on revenues of $3.84 billion. This reflects a predicted improvement from the same quarter last year, which had earnings of $0.47 per share on revenues of $3.60 billion.
From a fundamental viewpoint, Corning currently boasts an estimated market capitalization of around $48 billion. In the past twelve months, the company generated $14 billion in revenue. It was operationally profitable, recording $1.3 billion in operating profits and a net income of $454 million.
However, if you are looking for potential upside with less volatility compared to individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio offers an alternative — having outperformed the S&P 500 and delivered returns exceeding 91% since its inception.
Check the earnings reaction history of all stocks
Corning's Historical Chances of Positive Post-Earnings Return
Here are some insights into one-day (1D) post-earnings returns:
Additional data regarding observed 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) returns following earnings is summarized along with the statistics in the table below.
GLW 1D, 5D, and 21D Post-Earnings Returns
Correlation Among 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns
A relatively less risky approach (though not effective if the correlation is weak) is to examine the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns following earnings, identify a pair with the strongest correlation, and implement the suitable trade. For instance, if 1D and 5D display the highest correlation, a trader can position themselves 'long' for the succeeding 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is positive. Here is some correlation data based on 5-year and 3-year (more recent) history. Note that the correlation 1D_5D refers to the relationship between 1D post-earnings returns and subsequent 5D returns.
GLW Correlation Between 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns
Is There Any Correlation With Competitor Earnings?
Occasionally, the performance of competitors can affect the post-earnings stock response. In fact, the pricing-in effect may commence prior to the earnings announcement. Below is some historical data comparing the recent post-earnings performance of Corning stock with that of peers that reported earnings just before Corning. For a fair evaluation, peer stock returns also represent post-earnings one-day (1D) returns.
GLW Correlation With Peers' Earnings
Discover more about Trefis RV strategy that has outperformed its all-cap stock benchmark (which covers all three: the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000), providing strong returns for investors. Additionally, if you prefer upside with a steadier performance than an individual stock like Corning, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the S&P and achieved >91% returns since inception.
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