How AI and tax reform could drive a white-collar squeeze
With the eyes of the world rightly trained on Iran, Amazon chief executive Andy Jassy's warning to his employees about artificial intelligence's threat to their jobs feels like a bit of a sideshow. But in the long run, Jassy's gloomy prediction may turn out to be a deeply consequential moment for many Australians.
Jassy's warning that Amazon will end up with a smaller workforce because of AI isn't necessarily new. The potential threat posed to white-collar jobs from the technology has been recognised by several Australian chief executives, including Telstra boss Vicki Brady and Commonwealth Bank's Matt Comyn. But there's a bigger shift already under way in the labour market that could compound the impact of AI.

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Perth Now
20 minutes ago
- Perth Now
State Aussies are leaving in droves
More people are fleeing NSW than any other state in Australia. Population data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics this week shows 28,118 people left NSW in 2024. Western Australia tipped over three million people for the first time as the resource-rich state recorded the highest nationwide growth rate. At the end of 2024, 27.4 million people called Australia home, an increase of 445,900 on the previous year and representative of a 1.7 per cent increase. Commonwealth Bank economist Lucinda Jerogin said population growth had slowed quicker than anticipated on the back of the post-pandemic peak. This sea of blue is not streaming into the State of Origin, instead they are headed for a Melbourne versus Collingwood AFL match. David Crosling / NewsWire Credit: News Corp Australia 'A slowdown in natural increase continues to place a drag on Australia's population growth,' she said 'Cost-of-living pressures, rising female workforce participation and broader uncertainty are likely driving this downward trend. 'Growth in deaths are outpacing births leading to the decline in natural increase.' The data shows NSW lost more than 28,000 people to net interstate migration, with 112,763 people leaving for elsewhere in the country. Queensland picked up more than 106,000 people from other states for a result of nearly 26,000 fresh faces. Nearly 40,000 Aussies moved to WA for a net increase of about 12,500 people. Australians continue to leave NSW, destined mostly for Queensland but also WA. NewsWire / Dan Peled Credit: News Corp Australia While Queensland and Victoria's total populations grew by 1.9 per cent, WA's grew 2.4 per cent. The population of every state and territory grew by at least 1.1 per cent, except Tasmania, which recorded a 0.3 per cent increase. 'Within Australia, people are continuing to leave NSW, and to a lesser extent Victoria and the smallest jurisdictions, and head into Queensland and WA,' Housing Industry Association economist Tom Devitt said. 'But even the jurisdictions losing residents interstate are absorbing enough overseas arrivals to see their populations expand.' State governments needed to do more to stimulate housing construction, he said. 'Foreign capital is highly liquid. State governments have forced institutional investors into building apartments in other countries,' Mr Devitt said. 'As a consequence, multi-unit construction volumes in Australia have halved, likely costing state governments tax revenue.'


West Australian
22 minutes ago
- West Australian
Aussies exit NSW, WA hits 3 million population milestone
More people are fleeing NSW than any other state in Australia. Population data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics this week shows 28,118 people left NSW in 2024. Western Australia tipped over three million people for the first time as the resource-rich state recorded the highest nationwide growth rate. At the end of 2024, 27.4 million people called Australia home, an increase of 445,900 on the previous year and representative of a 1.7 per cent increase. Commonwealth Bank economist Lucinda Jerogin said population growth had slowed quicker than anticipated on the back of the post-pandemic peak. 'A slowdown in natural increase continues to place a drag on Australia's population growth,' she said 'Cost-of-living pressures, rising female workforce participation and broader uncertainty are likely driving this downward trend. 'Growth in deaths are outpacing births leading to the decline in natural increase.' The data shows NSW lost more than 28,000 people to net interstate migration, with 112,763 people leaving for elsewhere in the country. Queensland picked up more than 106,000 people from other states for a result of nearly 26,000 fresh faces. Nearly 40,000 Aussies moved to WA for a net increase of about 12,500 people. While Queensland and Victoria's total populations grew by 1.9 per cent, WA's grew 2.4 per cent. The population of every state and territory grew by at least 1.1 per cent, except Tasmania, which recorded a 0.3 per cent increase. 'Within Australia, people are continuing to leave NSW, and to a lesser extent Victoria and the smallest jurisdictions, and head into Queensland and WA,' Housing Industry Association economist Tom Devitt said. 'But even the jurisdictions losing residents interstate are absorbing enough overseas arrivals to see their populations expand.' State governments needed to do more to stimulate housing construction, he said. 'Foreign capital is highly liquid. State governments have forced institutional investors into building apartments in other countries,' Mr Devitt said. 'As a consequence, multi-unit construction volumes in Australia have halved, likely costing state governments tax revenue.'


The Advertiser
28 minutes ago
- The Advertiser
Australian shares dip as Trump floats Iran deadline
The Australian share market is trading lower as Middle East strive continues and amid Donald Trump's two-week window to decide whether the US will join Israel's conflict with Iran. The S&P/ASX200 fell 56.2 points, or 0.67 per cent, to 8,466.9, as the broader All Ordinaries slipped 53.9 points, or 0.62 per cent, to 8,687.5. The slump came as the Middle East conflict weighed on investor sentiment and as thin trading conditions due to a US bank holiday sent European equities and US futures lower, market analyst Kyle Rodda said. All signs pointed to a weak finish for the ASX this week. "Like last week where hostilities were boiling over, market participants may be reluctant to hold onto risk exposure over the weekend when a historic US strike on Iran nuclear facilities is an uncomfortably high possibility," Mr Rodda said. Only two of 11 local sectors were trading higher by lunchtime, with both energy and IT stocks up 0.2 per cent. Financials weighed heavily on the bourse, down 1.3 per cent and wiping out Thursday's gains as the big four each lost between 1.2 per cent and 2.2 per cent. The slip came as expectations for a Reserve Bank interest rate cut in July fell from 86 per cent to 78 per cent. Likewise, rate-sensitive consumer-facing stocks were the next worst performing sectors, with discretionaries down 0.9 per cent and staples sinking 0.7 per cent. As attacks in Israel and Iran escalated overnight, oil prices spiked almost three per cent to $US77.50 a barrel, their highest level since January, before settling $US75.83 a barrel after Trump's deadline eased fears of an imminent US attack. Woodside was up a modest 0.5 per cent to $25.77 a share by midday. Materials stocks edged 0.1 per cent lower, as iron ore prices edged higher to take some pressure off large cap miners BHP, Rio Tinto and Fortescue. Gold continues to consolidate tightly to trade at around $US3,380 ($A5,125) an ounce. Australian gold miners were mixed, but larger players Northern Star and Newmont edged higher, while Evolution slipped 0.2 per cent days after multiple UBS downgrades indicated the sector's easy gains could be behind it. The Australian dollar is buying 64.76 US cents, up slightly from 64.71 US cents on Thursday at 5pm. The Australian share market is trading lower as Middle East strive continues and amid Donald Trump's two-week window to decide whether the US will join Israel's conflict with Iran. The S&P/ASX200 fell 56.2 points, or 0.67 per cent, to 8,466.9, as the broader All Ordinaries slipped 53.9 points, or 0.62 per cent, to 8,687.5. The slump came as the Middle East conflict weighed on investor sentiment and as thin trading conditions due to a US bank holiday sent European equities and US futures lower, market analyst Kyle Rodda said. All signs pointed to a weak finish for the ASX this week. "Like last week where hostilities were boiling over, market participants may be reluctant to hold onto risk exposure over the weekend when a historic US strike on Iran nuclear facilities is an uncomfortably high possibility," Mr Rodda said. Only two of 11 local sectors were trading higher by lunchtime, with both energy and IT stocks up 0.2 per cent. Financials weighed heavily on the bourse, down 1.3 per cent and wiping out Thursday's gains as the big four each lost between 1.2 per cent and 2.2 per cent. The slip came as expectations for a Reserve Bank interest rate cut in July fell from 86 per cent to 78 per cent. Likewise, rate-sensitive consumer-facing stocks were the next worst performing sectors, with discretionaries down 0.9 per cent and staples sinking 0.7 per cent. As attacks in Israel and Iran escalated overnight, oil prices spiked almost three per cent to $US77.50 a barrel, their highest level since January, before settling $US75.83 a barrel after Trump's deadline eased fears of an imminent US attack. Woodside was up a modest 0.5 per cent to $25.77 a share by midday. Materials stocks edged 0.1 per cent lower, as iron ore prices edged higher to take some pressure off large cap miners BHP, Rio Tinto and Fortescue. Gold continues to consolidate tightly to trade at around $US3,380 ($A5,125) an ounce. Australian gold miners were mixed, but larger players Northern Star and Newmont edged higher, while Evolution slipped 0.2 per cent days after multiple UBS downgrades indicated the sector's easy gains could be behind it. The Australian dollar is buying 64.76 US cents, up slightly from 64.71 US cents on Thursday at 5pm. The Australian share market is trading lower as Middle East strive continues and amid Donald Trump's two-week window to decide whether the US will join Israel's conflict with Iran. The S&P/ASX200 fell 56.2 points, or 0.67 per cent, to 8,466.9, as the broader All Ordinaries slipped 53.9 points, or 0.62 per cent, to 8,687.5. The slump came as the Middle East conflict weighed on investor sentiment and as thin trading conditions due to a US bank holiday sent European equities and US futures lower, market analyst Kyle Rodda said. All signs pointed to a weak finish for the ASX this week. "Like last week where hostilities were boiling over, market participants may be reluctant to hold onto risk exposure over the weekend when a historic US strike on Iran nuclear facilities is an uncomfortably high possibility," Mr Rodda said. Only two of 11 local sectors were trading higher by lunchtime, with both energy and IT stocks up 0.2 per cent. Financials weighed heavily on the bourse, down 1.3 per cent and wiping out Thursday's gains as the big four each lost between 1.2 per cent and 2.2 per cent. The slip came as expectations for a Reserve Bank interest rate cut in July fell from 86 per cent to 78 per cent. Likewise, rate-sensitive consumer-facing stocks were the next worst performing sectors, with discretionaries down 0.9 per cent and staples sinking 0.7 per cent. As attacks in Israel and Iran escalated overnight, oil prices spiked almost three per cent to $US77.50 a barrel, their highest level since January, before settling $US75.83 a barrel after Trump's deadline eased fears of an imminent US attack. Woodside was up a modest 0.5 per cent to $25.77 a share by midday. Materials stocks edged 0.1 per cent lower, as iron ore prices edged higher to take some pressure off large cap miners BHP, Rio Tinto and Fortescue. Gold continues to consolidate tightly to trade at around $US3,380 ($A5,125) an ounce. Australian gold miners were mixed, but larger players Northern Star and Newmont edged higher, while Evolution slipped 0.2 per cent days after multiple UBS downgrades indicated the sector's easy gains could be behind it. The Australian dollar is buying 64.76 US cents, up slightly from 64.71 US cents on Thursday at 5pm. The Australian share market is trading lower as Middle East strive continues and amid Donald Trump's two-week window to decide whether the US will join Israel's conflict with Iran. The S&P/ASX200 fell 56.2 points, or 0.67 per cent, to 8,466.9, as the broader All Ordinaries slipped 53.9 points, or 0.62 per cent, to 8,687.5. The slump came as the Middle East conflict weighed on investor sentiment and as thin trading conditions due to a US bank holiday sent European equities and US futures lower, market analyst Kyle Rodda said. All signs pointed to a weak finish for the ASX this week. "Like last week where hostilities were boiling over, market participants may be reluctant to hold onto risk exposure over the weekend when a historic US strike on Iran nuclear facilities is an uncomfortably high possibility," Mr Rodda said. Only two of 11 local sectors were trading higher by lunchtime, with both energy and IT stocks up 0.2 per cent. Financials weighed heavily on the bourse, down 1.3 per cent and wiping out Thursday's gains as the big four each lost between 1.2 per cent and 2.2 per cent. The slip came as expectations for a Reserve Bank interest rate cut in July fell from 86 per cent to 78 per cent. Likewise, rate-sensitive consumer-facing stocks were the next worst performing sectors, with discretionaries down 0.9 per cent and staples sinking 0.7 per cent. As attacks in Israel and Iran escalated overnight, oil prices spiked almost three per cent to $US77.50 a barrel, their highest level since January, before settling $US75.83 a barrel after Trump's deadline eased fears of an imminent US attack. Woodside was up a modest 0.5 per cent to $25.77 a share by midday. Materials stocks edged 0.1 per cent lower, as iron ore prices edged higher to take some pressure off large cap miners BHP, Rio Tinto and Fortescue. Gold continues to consolidate tightly to trade at around $US3,380 ($A5,125) an ounce. Australian gold miners were mixed, but larger players Northern Star and Newmont edged higher, while Evolution slipped 0.2 per cent days after multiple UBS downgrades indicated the sector's easy gains could be behind it. The Australian dollar is buying 64.76 US cents, up slightly from 64.71 US cents on Thursday at 5pm.