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House Republicans wanted the Senate to fix their megabill. They 'miscalculated.'

House Republicans wanted the Senate to fix their megabill. They 'miscalculated.'

Politico01-07-2025
Usually, it's far-right conservatives in the House proposing politically precarious policies, leaving the careful moderates in the Senate — the 'cooling saucer,' according to the old Hill cliche — to dial them back.
This time, Senate Republicans were dead-set on making an expensive suite of pro-growth business tax cuts permanent. That required finding deep offsetting cuts, and the cold, hard calculus by the Senate GOP's chief architects was that enough of their 53-member conference would ultimately swallow their protests and go along.
That bet paid off Tuesday with a 51-50 nail-biter vote. But now GOP senators are having to do some explaining to House Republicans who are already balking at the remodeled bill — particularly moderates who were counting on senators to water down the Medicaid and clean-energy provisions.
Sen. Kevin Cramer (R-N.D.) said House members who thought the Senate would walk back some of its changes had 'miscalculated.'
'We are a more conservative body,' Cramer said in an interview, adding that there are moderates in the House who 'cringe at the sound of any word that starts with 'Medi.''
As for conservatives who are cringing at the higher deficits created by the Senate bill, they're not finding much sympathy among their Senate counterparts, who ended up embracing a controversial accounting tactic that effectively zeros out the cost of extending expiring tax cuts.
'We actually make the business provisions permanent, right? That's the main difference,' Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) said in an interview Monday about complaints by the House Freedom Caucus that the bill would add $651 billion to the deficit. Johnson was among a group of Senate fiscal hawks who railed against the legislation for months, then fell in line for the final vote Tuesday, just like their colleagues anticipated.
No permanence enemies
In the end, the fiscal impact of the bill grew in two directions: Despite Senate leaders' vow to find more spending cuts, their bill might well have increased spending on net as a result of negotiations with holdouts who successfully pushed for increased funding for rural hospitals and carve-outs on safety-net program cutbacks.
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Ex-Gov. David Paterson backing Eric Adams for NYC mayor— after endorsing Andrew Cuomo in Dem primary
Ex-Gov. David Paterson backing Eric Adams for NYC mayor— after endorsing Andrew Cuomo in Dem primary

New York Post

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  • New York Post

Ex-Gov. David Paterson backing Eric Adams for NYC mayor— after endorsing Andrew Cuomo in Dem primary

Former Gov. David Paterson is backing a new horse in the crowded field for New York City mayor — putting his support behind Eric Adams' bid to hang onto City Hall. The 55th governor of New York became the highest-profile Democrat to back the incumbent's re-election bid, after previously endorsing his successor in Albany, Andrew Cuomo, in the June Democratic primary for mayor. 'I'm here to stand for someone who has already run this city for nearly four years and has made huge changes over the past administrations,' Paterson said outside City Hall Wednesday, surrounded by more than two dozen Adams supporters. Paterson made his latest endorsement on Wednesday. Matthew McDermott Eric Adams has been polling in the single digits with his long-shot independent bid for mayor. stefano Giovannini 'At this particular time, in this moment where so many issues are occurring, so many difficulties are coming to this state … the person we need to protect us is Mayor Eric Adams,' he said. The endorsement comes just weeks after Paterson called for the candidates — GOP nominee Curtis Sliwa and independents Adams, Cuomo and lawyer Jim Walden — to unite behind one person as the best way to beat the frontrunner, socialist Zohran Mamdani, in the November election. Under the proposal, the contender who continues to campaign would be determined by an independent poll closer to the election or by leaders across Big Apple institutions. But Paterson said Wednesday he was dropping the idea, which Cuomo had publicly endorsed. 'It was an idea to generate conversation. None of the candidates seemed particularly interested, so I considered the issue to be mute,' he said. Cuomo has maintained his runner-up status behind Mamdani in a handful of polls over the last month, while Adams has been struggling to muster double-digit support, putting him in fourth place. Paterson has repeatedly spoken out against Mamdani, who shocked the political world when he won the Democratic nomination and gave Cuomo an electoral shellacking in the primary. 'It would kind of be like comparing a lit match to a forest fire,' Paterson said Wednesday, when asked why he was supporting Adams over the party's nominee. 'Mr. Mamdani has proposed some very interesting concepts and idea. The problem is that he can't really solve them unless he has the resources. And he never really discusses where he's going to get the resources from,' Paterson said. He compared the Queens assemblyman to lefty Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson, whose popularity has dipped as the Windy City's budget woes worsen. 'We don't want to go through that. We don't want to have these situations where the government is falling apart and there's no leadership and nobody know what to do,' Paterson said. The endorsement is the latest shift for Paterson, who also worked Walden early on in the lawyer's independent campaign for mayor. Veteran political operative Bill Cunningham predicted that having the backing of Paterson — the state's first black governor who served from 2008 to 2010 — will help Adams and take a bite out of Cuomo's chances of winning the race. 'It will make a difference for Cuomo. His strategy rests on being the choice of moderate to liberal elderly voters of color,' Cunningham told The Post. 'David's endorsement of Adams is like the iceberg cutting a slit at the Titanic's waterline,' he said, 'and it may help Mamdani for the same reason. 'The questions for Adams' team is how can they use it to best advantage given his money problems.' Meanwhile Sliwa, who has a longtime personal and professional relationship with Paterson, thanked the ex-gov for not backing him — calling an endorsement from him the political 'kiss of death.' 'I have political vertigo from my husband-in-law David Paterson,' Sliwa told Politico. 'You went from Adams to Jim Walden to Cuomo, now you are back to Adams. Stay away from me. Say bad things about me! But please don't endorse me.' When asked about Sliwa's comments, Paterson fired back. 'Curtis Sliwa is a kiss of death.'

U.S. Ethics Agency Warns Bessent Over Conflicts of Interest
U.S. Ethics Agency Warns Bessent Over Conflicts of Interest

New York Times

time13 minutes ago

  • New York Times

U.S. Ethics Agency Warns Bessent Over Conflicts of Interest

The U.S. government's ethics watchdog agency warned this week that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has failed to comply with an agreement that required him to divest his financial assets, posing potential conflicts of interest as he leads the Trump administration's economic policy agenda. The United States Office of Government Ethics sent a letter dated Aug. 11 to Senator Michael D. Crapo, the Republican chairman of the Senate Finance Committee, alerting him to Mr. Bessent's delinquency in fulfilling or amending the agreement. The questions about conflicts of interest come as Mr. Bessent is steering President Trump's agendas on taxes, trade and financial deregulation. A millionaire former hedge fund manager, Mr. Bessent pledged before his confirmation hearing in January to divest from dozens of funds, trusts and farmland investments. In a letter to the Treasury's ethics office at the time, Mr. Bessent, who was formerly the top investor for the liberal billionaire philanthropist George Soros, said that he would do so to 'avoid any actual or apparent conflict of interest.' Cabinet officials are required to shed certain holdings and investments within 90 days of being confirmed to avoid the potential for conflicts of interest. Mr. Trump has pushed the boundaries of traditional government ethics norms by publicly pushing his business interests, and top Trump administration officials have reached unusual ethics agreements that have allowed them to oversee government matters that involve former lobbying clients or could benefit family members. Most members of Mr. Trump's cabinet have completed their compliance agreements, but Mr. Bessent has not yet lived up to that commitment. 'I am notifying you that Scott Bessent, secretary of the Department of the Treasury, has failed to timely comply with certain terms of the ethics agreement he signed and that O.G.E. previously provided to your office for consideration during his confirmation process,' Dale Christopher, the ethics office's deputy director of compliance, wrote to Mr. Crapo in a letter on Monday that was reviewed by The New York Times. Mr. Christopher said that Mr. Bessent was required to divest from certain investments or sell assets by April 28. The Treasury secretary made changes to his ethics agreement on May 2 and June 5, but still has yet to fully honor his pledge and has offered no timeline for when he will comply. 'O.G.E. will continue to monitor the status of the secretary's compliance with his ethics agreement,' Mr. Christopher wrote. 'O.G.E. has also advised Treasury's ethics officials to emphasize to the secretary that it is his personal responsibility to avoid taking any action that could create a real or apparent conflict of interest with regard to his holdings.' In a follow-up letter that the ethics office sent to the Senate Finance Committee on Wednesday, Mr. Christopher said that Mr. Bessent subsequently indicated through Treasury ethics officials that he was committed to complying with the divestiture agreement by Dec. 15. 'The ethics officials explain that the assets are illiquid and are not readily marketable,' Mr. Christopher wrote. 'They add that excluding the farmlands, the assets also have significant restrictions on who can acquire them and that the secretary has been working to divest them since his confirmation in January 2025.' Treasury officials told Mr. Christopher that Mr. Bessent would continue to be recused from 'particular matters' affecting his assets and that the department's ethics staff had given Mr. Bessent's office a 'screening memorandum' to help identify potentially conflicting matters that the secretary might encounter. Mr. Bessent said in a statement that he divested 90 percent of the assets that he was required to before assuming office and that just 4 percent of the required divestitures remain. He explained that much of what remains is farmland, which is 'an inherently highly illiquid asset,' and made clear that he was not using the job for personal financial gain. 'The honor of serving the American people under President Trump can't be ascribed a dollar value,' Mr. Bessent said. 'As agreed upon with O.G.E., I am working towards selling the rest of my required divestitures before the end of this year.' The Treasury secretary added that he was 'committed to full transparency and disclosure in my personal finances.' After he was nominated, Mr. Bessent shuttered his Key Square Capital Management investment fund and resigned from several nonprofit organizations and trusts that he oversaw. The letter from the Office of Government Ethics does not specify exactly which holdings Mr. Bessent has yet to divest. However, in a June letter to the Treasury's ethics office, Mr. Bessent said that he would not divest from a private equity fund or his investments in a flavored water company and a clinical stage drug development company. He explained that the assets, which he originally pledged to divest, proved too difficult to sell and that officials from the government ethics office confirmed that they did not pose conflicts of interest. 'I initiated the process to find buyers for these private holdings, but all three assets are privately held investments for which there is no liquid market for their resale,' Mr. Bessent wrote. The biggest potential conflict of interest for Mr. Bessent is his ownership of as much as $25 million of soybean and corn farmland in North Dakota. The land spans thousands of acres in Burleigh, Kidder, Eddy, Benson and Wells Counties and earns Mr. Bessent as much as $1 million a year in rental income, according to his financial disclosure form. Cropland values in the state have been rising by more than 10 percent annually over the last four years, according to data from North Dakota State University. Farm brokers in North Dakota were not aware of a public listing of Mr. Bessent's properties and noted that there was traditionally a six-week marketing period before an auction. Wealthy individuals such as Mr. Bessent might also try to sell a big portfolio of land privately. The sale of Mr. Bessent's farms could be complicated by the U.S. trade war with China, which the Treasury secretary has been actively trying to defuse. According to William Wilson, a professor at North Dakota State University, about 70 percent of North Dakota soybeans are exported to China. As trade tension escalated this year, however, China has purchased more of its soybeans from Brazil and has bought virtually none from the United States. Although real estate holdings can be more complicated to sell than other assets, senior government officials have historically been able to take other measures to distance themselves from assets that could pose conflicts of interest. In 1977, President Jimmy Carter, who was a peanut farmer, put his family farm supply business into a blind trust. According to his presidential library, the trust allowed for a law firm in Atlanta to take full administration of the business while he was in office. When Mr. Carter reclaimed the business after his failed re-election bid, it was $1 million in debt. It is not clear how Mr. Bessent, who has at times referred to himself as a farmer, is disentangling his holdings from trade negotiations with China. At his confirmation hearing in January, he said that one of his first acts as Treasury secretary would be to push China to honor the commitments to buy American farm products that it made during Mr. Trump's first term. Soybean purchases have continued to be a central part of the trade negotiations with China. In a post on Truth Social this week, Mr. Trump urged China to quadruple its purchases of American soybeans. 'Our great farmers produce the most robust soybeans,' Mr. Trump said. Ethics watchdog groups have raised alarm about Mr. Bessent having conflicts of interest while serving as the nation's top economic policymaker. On Wednesday, the Campaign Legal Center and the Democracy Defenders Fund filed a formal complaint with the government ethics office and requested that the Treasury's inspector general investigate whether Mr. Bessent had violated criminal conflict-of-interest laws. The groups pointed to Mr. Bessent's role overseeing trade negotiations, regulation of cryptocurrency markets and policies that affect private equity funds. 'Secretary Bessent's continued deferral of his ethics obligations raises serious concerns about whether he is complying with the ethics laws or not,' wrote officials from the Campaign Legal Center and the Democracy Defenders Fund, which is led by the former Obama administration ethics czar Norm Eisen. Democrats in Congress have also been scrutinizing Mr. Bessent's holdings. Senator Ron Wyden of Oregon, the top Democrat on the Finance Committee, suggested that Trump administration officials were being duplicitous by flouting federal ethics guidelines. 'If these guys gave a whit about clearing the stink of corruption off this administration,' Mr. Wyden said, 'then you wouldn't have the Treasury secretary picking and choosing which ethics requirements to follow and which to blow off.'

The Democrats Are in Danger. So Are the Republicans.
The Democrats Are in Danger. So Are the Republicans.

New York Times

time13 minutes ago

  • New York Times

The Democrats Are in Danger. So Are the Republicans.

'Twenty years from now, will we be a country of Democrats and Republicans taking turns on who's in power?' Pete Buttigieg asked recently. 'I'm not so sure.' Speaking to Mosheh Oinounou, a podcaster and former CBS News producer, the conspicuous institutionalist casually blasted the country's institutions and proposed that, amid the wreckage, America's political future was not at all intuitive. 'We're past the point of just believing that there's some pendulum that comes back and forth,' Buttigieg went on. 'I think that both parties should examine the chances of their survival.' Americans love to decry the country's limited political menu, and talking up third-party challenges to the two-party system has been a cottage industry at least since Ross Perot. In a time of anti-establishment feeling, there's additional incentive to hype a crackup, even though structural forces make that chatter look perennially foolish. And I'm not predicting that America's two major parties are going to actually split up anytime soon. But peek across the Atlantic at the changing shape of our close-cousin democracy in Britain, and the possibilities seem, as Buttigieg suggests, open. It was just last summer that Keir Starmer and Labour won a smashing victory over Rishi Sunak and the Conservatives, bringing a striking end to more than a decade of Tory austerity rule and securing the second-largest parliamentary majority since World War II. But just over a year later, Starmer's net approval rating has fallen from plus 10 to minus 40. Labour as a whole has lost more support in its first 10 months in office than any other governing party in 40 years. Labour's Rachel Reeves, the chancellor of the Exchequer, broke into tears last month in Parliament, in a richly symbolic event for the British political media. Since resuming power, her party has struggled to deliver meaningful new policy or escape the widespread impression of nervous, triangulating centrism. To trust the polls, the strongest challenger is now not the Conservative Party, as tradition would suggest, but Reform — Nigel Farage's rebrand of the upstart Brexit party, a populist-nihilist meme factory very much in the MAGA mold. Reform won only five seats in Parliament last summer, but it has maintained a steady polling lead over Labour since April — and an even larger lead over the Tory coalition from which it mostly sprang. Through the summer, polls have suggested that in the event of a sudden election, Reform would win, indeed quite spectacularly: Estimates suggest a huge 200-seat margin, for a party that did not even exist at the time of the Brexit vote. Want all of The Times? Subscribe.

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