US July budget deficit up 20% year-over-year despite record Trump tariff income
The government's shortfall has climbed 20% this fiscal year compared to the same period in 2024.
Even as Trump talks about America becoming rich because of his import tax hikes, federal spending keeps outpacing the revenues collected by the government. That financial picture might change as companies exhaust their pre-tariff inventories, forcing them to import more goods and generate even more in tax revenues that could whittle away at the deficit without meaningfully reducing it as promised.
If tariffs fail to deliver on Trump's pledge to improve the government's balance sheet, the American public could be faced with fewer job options, more inflationary pressures and higher interest rates on mortgages, auto loans and credit cards. The budget deficit is the annual gap between what the U.S. government raises in taxes and what it spends, over time feeding into the overall national debt.
A Treasury official who spoke on the condition of anonymity to preview the data said overall increased spending is in part due to a mix of expenditures, including growing interest payments on the public debt and cost-of-living increases to Social Security payouts, among other costs. This comes as the federal government's gross national debt creeps up to the $37 trillion mark.
While organizations like the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget say that tariff income can be a stream of meaningful revenue — estimated to generate about $1.3 trillion over the course of President Trump's four-year term in office; some economists like Kent Smetters of the University of Pennsylvania's Penn Wharton Budget Model say tariffs are likely to result ' in only modest reductions in federal debt.'
In June, the Congressional Budget Office estimated that President Donald Trump's sweeping tariff plan would cut deficits by $2.8 trillion over a 10-year period while shrinking the economy, raising the inflation rate and reducing the purchasing power of households overall. But revenue estimates are also difficult to predict as the president has changed his tariff rates repeatedly and the taxes declared as part of an economic emergency are currently under appeal in a U.S. court.
A Treasury official did not respond to an Associated Press request for comment on when the U.S. could begin to see tariff revenue start to put a dent in the deficit.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said last month on Fox Business Network's 'Mornings with Maria' that the administration is 'laser-focused on bringing this deficit down.' The Trump administration expects to make more trade deals with other nations, including China and other major economies.
For instance, on Monday, Trump extended a trade truce with China for another 90 days, which preserves the 30% tariffs he had imposed as a condition for negotiations. The previous deadline was set to expire at 12:01 a.m. Tuesday.
Trump posted on his Truth Social platform that he signed the executive order for the extension, and that 'all other elements of the Agreement will remain the same.' Beijing, at the same time, also announced the extension of the tariff pause, according to the Ministry of Commerce.
___
Associated Press writer Josh Boak contributed to this report.
Fatima Hussein, The Associated Press
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The stock saw gains as high as 215% on Wednesday after it opened for trade at $90. You can read more about the Bullish IPO here. (JD): Shares were up 0.2% after the Chinese e-commerce company reported that net income fell by more than 50% year over year amid new investments into the competitive food delivery space in China. Revenue of 356.66 billion yuan ($49.73 billion) beat estimates, however. Deere (DE): Shares of the farm equipment maker fell 5% as quarterly sales fell 9% from a year ago. Deere also narrowed its full-year profit forecast, and profits for the third quarter came in lighter than expected. Cisco (CSCO): The networking giant reported earnings that barely beat estimates and results that showed Cisco benefiting from a boom in AI demand. Still, the stock dropped 1.6% in premarket trading. Check out live coverage of corporate earnings here. Bitcoin, ethereum trade near record highs as Wall Street grows bullish on crypto Bitcoin (BTC-USD) saw modest gains to trade at $120,807 on Thursday morning, but the crypto was about 2% off its record high of $123,500 on Wednesday. As Yahoo Finance's Ines Ferré detailed, inflows into spot exchange-traded funds and public companies adding bitcoin to their balance sheets have been key drivers of this year's token rally. Strategists also point to the Trump administration's pro-crypto stance as a major catalyst. Meanwhile, ethereum (ETH-USD) prices traded near record levels, climbing 0.5% on Thursday morning to $4,722 per token, just shy of its 2021 record level of around $4,800. "We have stated multiple times we believe Ethereum is the biggest macro trade over the next 10-15 years," Fundstrat head of research Tom Lee wrote in a note on Wednesday. Bitcoin (BTC-USD) saw modest gains to trade at $120,807 on Thursday morning, but the crypto was about 2% off its record high of $123,500 on Wednesday. As Yahoo Finance's Ines Ferré detailed, inflows into spot exchange-traded funds and public companies adding bitcoin to their balance sheets have been key drivers of this year's token rally. Strategists also point to the Trump administration's pro-crypto stance as a major catalyst. Meanwhile, ethereum (ETH-USD) prices traded near record levels, climbing 0.5% on Thursday morning to $4,722 per token, just shy of its 2021 record level of around $4,800. "We have stated multiple times we believe Ethereum is the biggest macro trade over the next 10-15 years," Fundstrat head of research Tom Lee wrote in a note on Wednesday. Stocks may be at all-time highs, but speculative froth isn't Yahoo Finance's Hamza Shaban reports: Read more here. Yahoo Finance's Hamza Shaban reports: Read more here. Good morning. Here's what's happening today. Economic data: Initial jobless claims (week ending Aug. 9); Producer Price Index, (July); Earnings: (JD), Deere & Company (DE), Advanced Auto Parts (AAP), Birkenstock (BIRK), Applied Materials (AMAT), Nucor (NUE) Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed overnight and early this morning: These stock market all-time highs aren't quite frothy 117-year high at busiest port in the US Earnings: Foxconn beats on AI demand, Deere profit falls Bullish stock tops $75 after strong IPO debut US oil producers say OPEC+ 'price war' will halt shale boom Rate cut next month doesn't seem warranted: Fed's Daly Trump's Treasury set to decide fate of of wind, solar projects Trump-fueled crypto frenzy sparks rush to Wall Street IPOs 'Tesla shame' bypasses Norway as sales jump despite Musk's politics Economic data: Initial jobless claims (week ending Aug. 9); Producer Price Index, (July); Earnings: (JD), Deere & Company (DE), Advanced Auto Parts (AAP), Birkenstock (BIRK), Applied Materials (AMAT), Nucor (NUE) Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed overnight and early this morning: These stock market all-time highs aren't quite frothy 117-year high at busiest port in the US Earnings: Foxconn beats on AI demand, Deere profit falls Bullish stock tops $75 after strong IPO debut US oil producers say OPEC+ 'price war' will halt shale boom Rate cut next month doesn't seem warranted: Fed's Daly Trump's Treasury set to decide fate of of wind, solar projects Trump-fueled crypto frenzy sparks rush to Wall Street IPOs 'Tesla shame' bypasses Norway as sales jump despite Musk's politics Amazon grocery push stocks still in focus When Amazon (AMZN) goes big on something, usually the stock prices of its competitors get beaten up. The latest example came on Wednesday Amazon announced plans to expand its 1,000-city fresh and perishable same-day grocery delivery to 2,300 cities by year-end. This is a huge deal for the grocery industry. Albertson's (ACI) and Kroger (KR) — aka traditional grocers — saw their share prices fall. I think this is a big deal for the industry and for Amazon. The impact of Amazon's move won't be felt overnight, but just like the company's impact on department stores in recent years, the aftershocks will be felt over time. Evercore ISI analyst Michael Montani with some good thoughts this morning: When Amazon (AMZN) goes big on something, usually the stock prices of its competitors get beaten up. The latest example came on Wednesday Amazon announced plans to expand its 1,000-city fresh and perishable same-day grocery delivery to 2,300 cities by year-end. This is a huge deal for the grocery industry. Albertson's (ACI) and Kroger (KR) — aka traditional grocers — saw their share prices fall. I think this is a big deal for the industry and for Amazon. The impact of Amazon's move won't be felt overnight, but just like the company's impact on department stores in recent years, the aftershocks will be felt over time. Evercore ISI analyst Michael Montani with some good thoughts this morning: I don't hate this Cisco quarter Cisco (CSCO) is always a tricky play around its earnings report. The company isn't a fast grower, and what the Street focuses on tends to shift from quarter to quarter. Sometimes it's profit margins, sometimes it's product orders, sometimes it's the outlook. Going through the latest, I don't hate the quarter and outlook. Gross margins were up across the board, and the AI narrative and numbers were solid as well. There was some weakness in the security business, as expected, but the demand drivers out there suggest new full-year guidance could be conservative. "We think investors should look past Public Sector weakness, which likely hurt Security growth, given the opportunity around Hyperscaler/Enterprise AI, Neoclouds, and Sovereign could quickly offset the weakness. We continue to like Cisco for these drivers of growth, and when paired with a mix shift toward software/subscription over time, healthy free cash flow growth, and shareholder returns, we believe a premium to historical valuations is warranted," KeyBanc analyst Brandon Nispel said. I am live on Opening Bid today around 9:40 a.m. ET with Cisco's new CFO Mark Patterson. So we'll get to pull apart the numbers and guidance further! Cisco (CSCO) is always a tricky play around its earnings report. The company isn't a fast grower, and what the Street focuses on tends to shift from quarter to quarter. Sometimes it's profit margins, sometimes it's product orders, sometimes it's the outlook. Going through the latest, I don't hate the quarter and outlook. Gross margins were up across the board, and the AI narrative and numbers were solid as well. There was some weakness in the security business, as expected, but the demand drivers out there suggest new full-year guidance could be conservative. "We think investors should look past Public Sector weakness, which likely hurt Security growth, given the opportunity around Hyperscaler/Enterprise AI, Neoclouds, and Sovereign could quickly offset the weakness. We continue to like Cisco for these drivers of growth, and when paired with a mix shift toward software/subscription over time, healthy free cash flow growth, and shareholder returns, we believe a premium to historical valuations is warranted," KeyBanc analyst Brandon Nispel said. I am live on Opening Bid today around 9:40 a.m. ET with Cisco's new CFO Mark Patterson. So we'll get to pull apart the numbers and guidance further! Bullish stock rises to $75 after IPO debut Yahoo Finance's breaking news reporter Jake Conley looks into the Bullish (BLSH) stock market debut. Cryptocurrency exchange operator Bullish (BLSH) rose 8% on Thursday before the bell, reaching $75, doubling its IPO price of $37 and valuing the company at more than $10 billion. Still, this marked around a 16% drop from where the stock opened for trade. Bullish stock opened for trade at $90 near 1:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday, and the stock traded hands as high as $118 per share shortly after, a more than 215% gain. The stock was halted for trade due to volatility at least twice within the first few minutes of trading. The company, which operates a crypto exchange and owns the prominent trade publication CoinDesk, priced its IPO at $37 per share on Tuesday, above the $32 to $33 range the company had expected in its second shot at making a public market debut. Bullish began its IPO processes looking for a price between $28 to $31 per share. At 30 million shares offered, the IPO price saw Bullish raise $1.1 billion and value the fintech company at $5.41 billion. Bullish first attempted to go public via a SPAC merger in 2021 that would have valued the company at $9 billion, but the deal fell through after regulatory scrutiny and Bullish withdrew its registration. Read more here Yahoo Finance's breaking news reporter Jake Conley looks into the Bullish (BLSH) stock market debut. Cryptocurrency exchange operator Bullish (BLSH) rose 8% on Thursday before the bell, reaching $75, doubling its IPO price of $37 and valuing the company at more than $10 billion. Still, this marked around a 16% drop from where the stock opened for trade. Bullish stock opened for trade at $90 near 1:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday, and the stock traded hands as high as $118 per share shortly after, a more than 215% gain. The stock was halted for trade due to volatility at least twice within the first few minutes of trading. The company, which operates a crypto exchange and owns the prominent trade publication CoinDesk, priced its IPO at $37 per share on Tuesday, above the $32 to $33 range the company had expected in its second shot at making a public market debut. Bullish began its IPO processes looking for a price between $28 to $31 per share. At 30 million shares offered, the IPO price saw Bullish raise $1.1 billion and value the fintech company at $5.41 billion. Bullish first attempted to go public via a SPAC merger in 2021 that would have valued the company at $9 billion, but the deal fell through after regulatory scrutiny and Bullish withdrew its registration. Read more here Nvidia partner Foxconn profit jumps after AI spending rises Foxconn, also known as Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., ( HNHPF, HNHAF) said on Thursday it expects higher third-quarter revenue due to robust demand for its artificial intelligence servers, which has helped the world's largest contract electronics maker beat forecasts and see a 27% increase in second-quarter profit. Reuters reports: Read more here. Foxconn, also known as Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., ( HNHPF, HNHAF) said on Thursday it expects higher third-quarter revenue due to robust demand for its artificial intelligence servers, which has helped the world's largest contract electronics maker beat forecasts and see a 27% increase in second-quarter profit. Reuters reports: Read more here. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
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Natixis Corporate & Investment Banking Provides Senior Secured Term Loan for Alaska Air Group's Financing of Boeing 737 Max 8 and Boeing 787-9 Aircraft
Natixis Corporate & Investment Banking ("Natixis CIB") is pleased to announce the successful financing of two aircraft for Alaska Air Group, Inc. ("Alaska"). NEW YORK, Aug. 14, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Based in Seattle, Alaska Air Group is the fifth largest airline in the United States. Following the acquisition of Hawaiian Holdings Inc. ("Hawaiian") on September 18, 2024, Alaska and Hawaiian are integrating into a combined carrier with a comprehensive network spanning North America, Asia, the south Pacific and soon, Europe. Natixis CIB structured the financing as a senior secured commercial loan for one Boeing 787-9 aircraft operated by Hawaiian Airlines and one Boeing 737 Max 8 aircraft operated by Alaska Airlines. In this transaction, Natixis CIB served as the Mandated Lead Arranger and Lender. Cecilia Peteuil, Director, Aviation Americas at Natixis CIB, stated: "We are thrilled to support Alaska Air Group in financing one wide-body aircraft for Hawaiian Airlines and one narrow-body aircraft for Alaska Air. We look forward to continuing our partnership with Alaska Air Group as they advance the integration with Hawaiian Airlines." About Natixis Corporate & Investment BankingNatixis Corporate & Investment Banking is a leading global financial institution that provides advisory, investment banking, financing, corporate banking and capital markets services to corporations, financial institutions, financial sponsors and sovereign and supranational organizations worldwide. Our teams of experts in about 30 countries advise clients on their strategic development, helping them to grow and transform their businesses, and maximize their positive impact. Natixis CIB is committed to aligning its financing portfolio with a carbon neutrality path by 2050 while helping its clients reduce the environmental impact of their business. As part of Groupe BPCE, the second largest banking group in France through the Banque Populaire and Caisse d'Epargne retail networks, Natixis CIB benefits from the Group's financial strength and solid financial ratings (Standard & Poor's: A+, Moody's: A1, Fitch: A+, R&I: A+). Press contact:Tara Flanagan, Prosek PartnersTel: +1 646 818 9022tflanagan@ Our information is certified with blockchain that this press release is genuine at View original content to download multimedia: SOURCE Natixis Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
