logo
Soybean futures climb on US-China trade optimism; wheat and corn fall

Soybean futures climb on US-China trade optimism; wheat and corn fall

BEIJING: Chicago soybean futures rose for a third session on Monday, supported by positive developments in US-China trade negotiations over the weekend in Switzerland.
Talks concluded on Sunday with US officials touting a 'deal' to reduce the US trade deficit, while Chinese officials spoke of reaching an 'important consensus' and the launch of a new economic dialogue forum.
The most-active CBOT soybean contract edged up 0.24% to $10.54 a bushel as of 0212 GMT.
Soybeans are the hardest-hit crop in the US-China trade standoff, as China - the world's top soy importer - continues to shift more purchases to top global producer Brazil and reduce reliance on the United States.
In Brazil, farmers are poised to expand soybean acreage by around 500,000 hectares in the 2025/26 season starting in September, according to Andre Pessoa, president of agribusiness consultancy Agroconsult.
Meanwhile, wheat and corn futures lost ground.
Wheat slipped 0.91% to $5.17 a bushel, lingering near a nine-month low.
Prices were weighed down by weak exports and favourable weather across the US Plains.
Corn dipped 0.22% to $4.49 per bushel, weighed by ideal planting and growing weather in the US corn belt.
Pakistan makes large US soybean purchase as tensions with India rise
The upcoming Brazilian corn harvest is also expected to pull global demand away from US corn in the coming weeks.
Traders are positioning ahead of the United States Department of Agriculture's report on Monday, which will provide the first 2025/26 supply and demand estimates. US soybean supplies are forecast to hold steady year-on-year, while global stocks are set to rise.
Corn ending stocks for 2025/26 in the US are expected to jump nearly 40% on the year due to a massive acreage. Global wheat stocks for 2025/26 are projected to remain largely unchanged from 2024/25.

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

PSX extends rally on improved confidence
PSX extends rally on improved confidence

Express Tribune

time2 hours ago

  • Express Tribune

PSX extends rally on improved confidence

Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX), after hitting the second-highest single-day gain a day ago, extended its bull-run on Wednesday as investors remained upbeat about the market outlook. The excitement from Tuesday's historic surge, when the KSE-100 index jumped over 6,000 points, was carried forward into the new session due to rising investor confidence, fuelled by easing geopolitical tensions and supportive economic signals. In opening hours, the index jumped 900 points, before entering a range-bound session, where traders locked in profits. The upward momentum was driven by relative calm in the Middle East following ceasefire between Israel and Iran and improving domestic economic indicators. The approval of $194 million in financing from the World Bank and $350 million from the Asian Development Bank (ADB) strengthened Pakistan's external position and broader economic outlook. The index touched the intra-day high of 123,257 and low of 122,169, before settling at 122,762, up 515 points, or 0.42%. Arif Habib Corp MD Ahsan Mehanti noted that stocks recovered as investors weighed Israel-Iran ceasefire talks, easing inflation, a surge in exports and approval of $194 million and $350 million in World Bank and ADB loans, respectively. "Surging global equities, deliberations on privatisation of state enterprises, strong rupee and the circular debt management plan were the key catalysts for bullish close at the PSX," he said. KTrade Securities, in its report, wrote that the PSX extended its rally following the US-brokered ceasefire between Israel and Iran. The index rose 515 points while trading volumes climbed to 750 million shares, largely fuelled by rollover activity ahead of futures expiry. It observed that positive sentiment was driven by strong performance in banking, cement, fertiliser and food sectors, with notable support coming from stocks such as Bank AL Habib, HBL, Fatima Fertiliser, DG Khan Cement and National Foods. The broader market outlook remains upbeat as momentum is likely to continue, provided the ceasefire remains in place, the report added. Arif Habib Limited (AHL) said that the KSE-100 index built on the previous day's surge with a 0.42% gain and closed at the high for June. A total of 55 stocks advanced while 41 declined, where Bank AL Habib (+4.15%), HBL (+3.03%) and Fatima Fertiliser (+6.54%) were the biggest contributions to index gains. AHL pointed out that in a statement regarding trade talks with the US, Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb said "both sides showed satisfaction over the ongoing negotiations and resolved to conclude them next week". JS Global analyst Mubashir Anis Naviwala commented that the KSE-100 index surged over 500 points, extending its bullish run on the back of sustained investor confidence. Positive sentiment dominated the session, where the index touched the intra-day high of 123,257. Overall trading volumes decreased to 749.8 million shares compared with Tuesday's tally of 804.8 million. The value of shares traded was Rs28 billion. Shares of 472 companies were traded. Of these, 274 stocks closed higher, 161 fell and 37 remained unchanged. WorldCall Telecom was the volume leader with trading in 102.4 million shares, gaining Rs0.03 to close at Rs1.49. It was followed by Pakistan Refinery with 47.1 million shares, rising Rs2.39 to close at Rs35.27 and Cnergyico PK with 39.6 million shares, gaining Rs0.09 to close at Rs7.25. Foreign investors sold shares worth Rs949 million, the National Clearing Company reported.

A strategic triad rewiring Eurasia
A strategic triad rewiring Eurasia

Express Tribune

time5 hours ago

  • Express Tribune

A strategic triad rewiring Eurasia

The writer is a public policy analyst based in Lahore. She can be reached at durdananajam1@ Listen to article On May 28, 2025, the leaders of Azerbaijan, Türkiye and Pakistan gathered in Lachin to formalise a trilateral partnership that could reshape how countries in this region trade, cooperate and respond to crises. This wasn't just another summit. It was the beginning of a serious effort to build a new kind of regional alliance - one rooted in shared history, mutual respect and a desire to chart a more independent future. At the heart of this vision is the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). Originally a bilateral project between China and Pakistan, CPEC is now evolving into something much larger. The plan is to connect it with the Middle Corridor and the Lapis Lazuli Route, creating a seamless land bridge from Gwadar to Istanbul via Baku. That's not just a logistical improvement -— it's a strategic shift. In an era where global supply chains are vulnerable to disruption — from Red Sea piracy to Indo-Pacific militarization — land-based corridors offer resilience, speed and autonomy. The proposed tri-corridor integration could reduce cargo transit time from China to Europe from 35-40 days to just 15-18 days, while slashing freight costs by up to 15%. But beyond the numbers lies a deeper narrative: the emergence of a multipolar Eurasia, where regional actors assert agency through cooperation rather than dependency. The Lachin Summit laid out a comprehensive framework for trilateral cooperation across energy, defense, crisis response and diplomacy. That vision is already taking shape: Pakistan has exported over 100 JF-17 Block III fighter jets to Azerbaijan, cementing a strong defence partnership. On the energy front, Azerbaijan's hydropower capacity — exceeding 1,000 megawatts — could help develop a regional energy grid that includes Pakistan. Türkiye, with its modern infrastructure and transit corridors, provides a natural gateway to European markets hubs. Economically, Pakistan and Türkiye have set a targeted bilateral trade goal of $5 billion, with prospects for expansion through trilateral mechanisms involving Azerbaijan. Meanwhile, Azerbaijan's LNG exports to Pakistan are shaping a new East-West energy corridor. With these three countries connected through CPEC, the Middle Corridor and the Lapis Lazuli Route, the population impact stretches across 1.5 billion people — turning this trilateral framework into a strategic and economic force across the wider Eurasian region. To understand why this matters, it helps to look back. The ancient Silk Road once connected China, Central Asia, the Middle East and Europe, allowing goods, ideas and cultures to flow freely. What we're seeing now is a modern revival of that vision — but with new players and new priorities. At the same time, we must remember the lessons of dependency theory which warns that countries that rely too heavily on external powers often find themselves trapped in cycles of underdevelopment and political vulnerability. This new alliance is, in many ways, an attempt to break that cycle. Of course, there are challenges. The global balance of power is shifting. The US-China rivalry, Russia's evolving role in Central Asia and India's assertive diplomacy — all create uncertainty. There's also the risk of overextension — building and maintaining thousands of kilometers of infrastructure is no small task. And political changes in any one of the three countries could slow progress. But the potential rewards are worth the effort. For Pakistan, this alliance offers more than just economic benefits. It provides a stronger voice on the world stage, greater energy security and a chance to move beyond traditional dependencies. For Azerbaijan and Türkiye, it's an opportunity to deepen their influence in South and Central Asia and to work with a partner that shares their concerns on issues like Kashmir and Karabakh. So what needs to happen next? First, the alliance should establish permanent mechanisms for coordination - something more than just occasional summits. Second, it should invest in digital infrastructure to make trade faster, more transparent and more secure. Third, it should focus on people-to-people ties: student exchanges, academic networks and cultural programmes that build trust and understanding from the ground up. This triad also has the chance to lead by example on multilateral platforms like OIC, ECO, SCO and the UN. At the 51st OIC Summit in 2025, Azerbaijan reiterated its support for Pakistan's position on Kashmir. That kind of diplomatic alignment can amplify each country's voice and help shape a more balanced global order. In the end, this isn't just about roads, railways or pipelines. It's about rewriting the rules of how countries in our region work together. It's about learning from the past — both the promise of the Silk Road and the warnings of dependency theory — and building something better. If the Azerbaijan-Türkiye-Pakistan alliance can stay focused, flexible and fair, it could become one of the most important stories of our time.

Pakistan, US to finalise trade deal next week
Pakistan, US to finalise trade deal next week

Express Tribune

time10 hours ago

  • Express Tribune

Pakistan, US to finalise trade deal next week

Listen to article Pakistan and the US have resolved to conclude trade talks next week, the finance ministry said on Wednesday after a meeting between Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb and US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick. The negotiations, focused on reciprocal tariffs, are part of a broader push to reset economic ties at a time of shifting geopolitical alignments and Pakistan's efforts to avoid steep US duties on exports. 'Both sides showed satisfaction on the ongoing negotiations and resolved to conclude the trade negotiations next week,' finance ministry said in a statement, adding that a longer-term strategic and investment partnership is also under discussion. Pakistan faces a 29% tariff on exports to the US under President Donald Trump's measures to target countries with large trade surpluses with the US. Pakistan's surplus was around $3 billion in 2024. To offset the imbalance and ease tariff pressures, Islamabad has offered to import more US goods, including crude oil, and to open up investment opportunities through concessions for US firms in Pakistan's mining sector. Earlier this week, Pakistan-US co-hosted a webinar promoting investment in Pakistan's mineral sector, including the $7 billion Reko Diq copper-gold project. Read More: Trump says Pakistani officials visiting US next week for trade talks Senior officials from both governments and US investors discussed public-private partnerships and regulatory reforms. The US Export-Import Bank is reviewing financing proposals worth $500 million to $1 billion in Reko Diq. Trump, who hosted Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir at the White House last week, has earlier said trade helped avert a deeper conflict between Pakistan and India. After last month's Pakistan-India conflict, which led to heightened military tensions in the region, Trump repeatedly stated that the nuclear-armed South Asian neighbours agreed to a ceasefire following US-mediated talks. He claimed hostilities ended after he urged both countries to focus on trade instead of war. The Trump statements came in the context of heightened tensions triggered by the killing of 26 people—mostly tourists—in Indian Illegally Occupied Jammu and Kashmir (IIOJK). Read More: 'If you don't stop, no trade': Trump on Pakistan-India ceasefire The attack led to a dramatic escalation between the two nuclear-armed neighbours. India accused Pakistan of supporting the militants behind the assault, a claim Islamabad strongly denied. India launched airstrikes against what it described as militant training camps across the border. Pakistan said the strikes hit civilian areas, causing dozens of casualties. In retaliation, Pakistan hit 26 Indian military facilities and dozens of Pakistani drones hovered over major Indian cities, including capital New Delhi, in the offensive operations on May 10.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store