Currencies tread water as tariff jitters persist; stocks down
Uncertainty around U.S. tariffs continued to dominate after Trump on Wednesday threatened to escalate a global trade war by imposing further tariffs on European Union goods.
U.S. producer price data will be in focus later in the day following a softer-than-anticipated consumer prices reading on Wednesday which gave markets only short-lived relief.
"The large uncertainty shock caused by the erratic economic policy announcements of the Trump administration greatly complicates the Fed's task," said Paolo Zanghieri, senior economist at Generali Investments.
Traders expect more than 70 basis points of U.S. rate cuts by December, with the first cut this year likely in June, according to LSEG data.
Currencies of emerging European nations weakened a touch against the euro, with Hungary's forint down 0.2%, while local stocks were largely subdued.
MSCI's index for EM stocks, meanwhile, slipped 0.5% as shares in Hong Kong and Mainland China fell, dragged down by tech stocks.
EM stocks have outperformed the U.S. S&P 500 so far in March, as beaten down Indian equities have recouped some of their losses and Beijing has vowed more support for its ailing economy.
Central Eastern Europe was not far behind as hopes of a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine lifted sentiment, in contrast to a sharp drop in American equities, where the S&P 500 briefly flirted with slipping into a correction.
South Africa's rand weakened 0.4%, extending losses from the previous session when a revised budget by South Africa's finance minister was rejected by major political parties, even though a proposed increase in value-added tax was sharply reduced.
The country's finance minister told Reuters on Thursday that budget may be tweaked further.
Ukraine's international bonds extended gains after Kyiv expressed support for Washington's proposal of a 30-day ceasefire with Russia. The Kremlin said it would review details of Washington's proposal before responding.
The 2034 maturity rose about 0.2 cents on the dollar, to be bid at 58.32 cents, Tradeweb data showed
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Crypto Insight
2 hours ago
- Crypto Insight
Crypto debanking is ‘still occurring' as banks stick to Chokepoint policies
Crypto firms have been facing account closures and denials of banking services for years under the label of de-risking. Many in the crypto industry believe that the debanking represents a policy-driven effort to suppress digital assets, referred to as 'Operation ChokePoint 2.0.' After President Donald Trump's pro-crypto team won the 2024 US election, many believed the era of debanking was over. His campaign rhetoric and early policy moves signaled a friendlier environment for digital assets, leading some to expect banks would ease restrictions on crypto clients. However, recent incidents suggest the practice remains entrenched. Last week, Andreessen Horowitz partner Alex Rampell warned that big banks are squeezing fintech and crypto apps in 'Operation Chokepoint 3.0,' by hiking fees to access account data or transfer funds to platforms like Coinbase and Robinhood. Echoing these concerns, Alex Konanykhin, CEO of Unicoin, told Cointelegraph that US banks continue to close accounts for crypto firms without explanation, despite growing political pressure to end the practice. 'We know about it first-hand, as Unicoin and its subsidiaries have been de-banked, without explanations, by several banks,' Konanykhin said. He listed five banks that have cut ties with Unicoin or its subsidiaries over the past years: Citibank, Chase, Wells Fargo, City National Bank of Florida and TD Bank. A spokesperson for Chase declined to comment on a specific case. 'We welcome the direction of the Trump administration to remove unnecessary regulatory barriers and modernize Anti-Money Laundering regulations,' they said. Cointelegraph reached out to all these banks for comment. Large-scale 'nationwide operation' Konanykhin claimed that Unicoin was debanked by four banks this year alone, which 'suggests that Chokepoint is a large-scale nationwide operation.' Unicoin is a publicly reporting corporation with six years of audited financials and over 4,000 shareholders. Konanykhin added that the debanking campaign has created 'highly disruptive and damaging' conditions for crypto companies in the US, depriving them of access to basic financial services and 'suppressing the American crypto industry.' On Thursday, Bloomberg reported that President Trump will sign an executive order directing federal bank regulators to identify and penalize financial institutions that have engaged in debanking. The order will reportedly require regulators to review complaint data, while banks overseen by the Small Business Administration must work to reinstate clients who were unlawfully denied services. Konanykhin expressed hope that Trump's proposed executive order to curb debanking could bring relief. 'The President knows the pain of de-banking first-hand and seems determined to stop this form of economic warfare against American businesses,' he said. He said ending debanking could help US crypto reclaim global leadership. 'Ending the War on Crypto will boost the American crypto industry. It may become as impactful internationally as Hollywood is in entertainment or Silicon Valley in IT,' he noted. Crypto reform hinges on final wording of rules Meanwhile, Elizabeth Blickley, a partner at Fox Rothschild's Tax Controversy & Litigation Practice, said that while Trump has directed agencies and Congress to review how crypto can be integrated into mainstream finance, meaningful change will depend on the final wording of regulations and laws. She pointed to the recently signed Genius Act, which gives the Federal Reserve's Stablecoin Certification Review Committee 180 days to design a regulatory framework. Blickley warned that most bills in Congress never make it out of committee and that any eventual legislation will likely face litigation from both sides of the regulatory debate. 'A regulation may facially comply with the President's request or a law passed, yet have little application or disproportionate impacts based solely on word-choice,' she said. For now, Blickley said, banks are likely to continue their risk-averse stance toward crypto until new rules clearly reduce perceived risks. 'It's all about making risk-averse entities and people feel like crypto is less of a risk,' she concluded. Source:


Middle East Eye
2 hours ago
- Middle East Eye
Israel's arms industry thrives on genocide and the world keeps buying
While anybody with a shred of humanity is outraged by Israel's campaign of mass starvation and death in Gaza, Germany has other priorities. It recently agreed to purchase a missile defence system from Israel's largest arms company, Elbit, for $260m. Nothing to see here. Just business as usual with a state that Israel's own leading human rights organisations say is committing genocide. Israel's arms and surveillance industries are thriving because of its violence in Gaza, the West Bank and beyond. It is a major selling point. Occupation is big business. The latest available figures, from 2024, show record sales of $14.8bn. Numbers for 2025 are likely to be even higher, fuelled by huge global demand for the arms, drones, surveillance and AI tools that Israel has deployed in Gaza. Genocide is no impediment to Israel promoting itself as the ultimate "battle-tested" entity. Far too many democratic and autocratic states are listening, learning and buying. Big Tech is up to its neck with the Israeli army - looking at you, Microsoft, Amazon and Google, among many others. New MEE newsletter: Jerusalem Dispatch Sign up to get the latest insights and analysis on Israel-Palestine, alongside Turkey Unpacked and other MEE newsletters I have spent more than a decade investigating the Israeli military-industrial complex. While it is an exaggeration to argue that Israel's endless occupation and war crimes exist solely to boost defence sales, there is no question that the money made from the war economy significantly strengthens Israel's bottom line. It is a point rightly stressed by Francesca Albanese, the UN special rapporteur for the West Bank and Gaza, in her recent report, From Economy of Occupation to Economy of Genocide, where she names and shames the corporations profiting from Israeli actions. (Albanese regularly references my latest book, The Palestine Laboratory, in explaining the rationale for Israel's geopolitical posture.) 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It has a dark history of partnering with some of the most brutal regimes since World War Two - including some that are openly antisemitic. I estimate that Israel has sold weapons or surveillance equipment to at least 140 countries in the past few decades. Arab complicity It is bad enough that many western nations embrace Israeli militarism, but too many Arab states - including Bahrain, Morocco, the UAE and Saudi Arabia - continue to do business with Israel. There is no true solidarity or tangible support for their fellow Arabs, the Palestinians. Instead, many Arab elites crave "normalisation" with the government in Tel Aviv. These Arab dictatorships fear their own people - an Arab Spring 2.0 - and purchase battle-tested Israeli surveillance tech to entrench their rule. According to a new book on Saudi ruler Mohammed bin Salman (MBS), journalist Karen Elliott House explains: "He [MBS] has this vision of Israel and Saudi Arabia as the two big powers [in the region] working hand in hand. It won't be easy until there's some resolution in Gaza, but Saudis who know him well will tell you he can't allow Saudi interests to be forever retarded by the Palestinians." It is clarifying to know that one of the Muslim world's most powerful autocrats regards the Palestinians as a distraction at best and a pest at worst. Just imagine what MBS could do for them if he demanded that Israel stop its genocide in Gaza. Instead, he appears to wish they would disappear - a view strikingly similar to Israel's own. Ending the trade The only way to truly stop the Israeli arms juggernaut is for nations to stop buying. The only way to stop the Israeli arms juggernaut is for nations to stop buying Furthermore, as the recently established Hague Group urges, countries must also stop selling weapons to Israel. The defence industry is inherently corrupt and dirty, and many states partake in it. With Israel the eighth-biggest weapons seller in the world and global military spending reaching a record $2.72 trillion in 2024, rejecting militarism and automated killing machines is the least a civilised country can do. The views expressed in this article belong to the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Middle East Eye.


Al Etihad
2 hours ago
- Al Etihad
Dollar slips before inflation report, US-China tariff deadline
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