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Trump's war on innovation is a golden opportunity for Australia, if we're smart enough to take it

Trump's war on innovation is a golden opportunity for Australia, if we're smart enough to take it

The Age03-06-2025
Our productivity growth, the only reliable way to raise living standards, is sclerotic. We now rank 27 out of 31 OECD countries, with the UK and US achieving three times and eight times our growth rate respectively. And with the future of our resource exports growing cloudy, the 'lucky country' might be starting to run out of luck.
Jump-starting Australian innovation would give us a chance to break out of this uninspiring position and provide a path to a more prosperous future.
Frustratingly, we're on track to squander this opportunity. While competing destinations have launched ambitious programs like the Choose Europe for Science Initiative, backed by €500 million ($881 million), Australia has dragged its feet. A recent proposal to tax unrealised capital gains has spooked start-ups and their investors, and Labor's ongoing desire to cap foreign student numbers actively harms our chances.
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To reverse course and win the war for global talent, we require a bold, coordinated, 'big push' strategy to ensure that Australia offers the most compelling alternative to the US as a place to discover scientific breakthroughs, develop technologies and build companies.
Our big push strategy should target the four key types of individuals that define the best innovation ecosystems: world-class researchers; risk-taking entrepreneurs; high-skilled technical workers and promising young students.
We can target each talent category with two types of policy levers.
First, make it as easy as possible to choose Australia. For top talent and their families, getting an Australian visa should be a fast and seamless experience. Labor's National Innovation Visa is a good start but is too restrictive; it could be significantly expanded, for example by removing the 'invitation only' requirement and introducing a fast track for affected Harvard scholars. Supply-side housing action to address the ongoing crisis, such as zoning reform, is long overdue to make Australia welcoming to new migrants. Select new arrivals could merit limited financial support to smooth the transition, and for top professors who bring research affiliates in tow – think of the benefits we have seen from international researchers like Professor Michelle Simmons basing their careers in Australia – tailored incentive packages would provide excellent bang for the public buck.
Second, invest in the success of Australian-based innovators. For scientists, that means aggressively reversing the decline in R&D funding that Robyn Denholm, chair of the ongoing National R&D Review, has called a 'national emergency'. Opportunities to fund 'shovel-ready' research projects cut by the US are plentiful. For entrepreneurs and high-skilled workers, selective support for companies in high-potential or strategic sectors such as public offtake agreements, can support the growth of new products and businesses.
These policies can be targeted at places where Aussie innovators have already proved their strength. Hubs such as Melbourne's biotech district, Sydney's SaaS (Software as a Service) scene, or the Gold Coast's growing space industry provide natural focal points for new talent to coalesce and amplify.
Labor's historic election victory has given them a rare licence to invest in a better, more exciting future. For Albanese and Chalmers, who have publicly committed to solve our productivity crisis, this opportunity to boost innovation in Australia couldn't have come at a better time. They should seize the chance to do so.
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Negative gearing reform is back on the agenda, but younger voters now hold the power
Negative gearing reform is back on the agenda, but younger voters now hold the power

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Negative gearing reform is back on the agenda, but younger voters now hold the power

It's time to put the 2019 election to bed, along with the messages we pretend were sent from voters from that disastrous campaign for Labor. It has been six years since Labor leader Bill Shorten took what were quite radical proposals to the voting public, including negative gearing reforms. Since that election, Australia has changed profoundly. We have endured a global pandemic with consequences we are only beginning to realise, and an acute housing crisis that has changed us. We have seen the biggest change to the demographics of the dominant voting bloc, with millennials and Gen Z now being the largest voting group in Australia, outnumbering boomers. By the next election, that shift will be even more profound. Voters younger than their mid-40s are consistently telling pollsters they believe the system is stacked against them. They have made it crystal clear they are hungry for change. 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The tax burden is not being shared fairly, and governments that continue to ignore this reality risk losing the trust of younger voters who are hungry for reform. At the same time, the Productivity Commission has called for a 20 per cent tax rate on profits for companies with revenue of up to $1 billion. The commission also called for a new 5 per cent tax on net cashflow rather than profits, which could see some large companies pay a higher rate but would provide immediate tax relief for smaller companies seeking to build their capital. Already, this is being fiercely resisted by the big end of town. But it's time to involve a wider range of Australians from across the tax scale to have an input on what is fair and what is just. Perhaps the proposal won't work — who knows — but we should ventilate big and radical ideas, and we should applaud the Productivity Commission for thinking radically and creatively. Returning to the negative gearing conversation, you'll recall this was a scare campaign Peter Dutton unsuccessfully tried to inject into the May campaign. At the time, it forced Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Treasurer Jim Chalmers to deny that Labor was preparing to make changes to negative gearing. The issue re-emerged during the leaders' debate on the ABC, when Mr Albanese said he had not commissioned Treasury modelling on the potential economic impact of changes to the policy. His response prompted Opposition Leader Peter Dutton to laugh and accuse him of lying. Reports first emerged last year that the federal Treasury had investigated a potential overhaul of the tax concessions awarded to property owners. "It certainly wasn't commissioned by us to do so," the PM said when asked during the second debate about the Treasury modelling. 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Inheritance tax wake-up call for all expat Brits in Australia still with private pensions in the UK!
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Prices have slumped in 2025 after the emergence of Chinese AI disruptor DeepSeek challenged assumptions that the technology would fuel a massive increase in energy demand globally. Uranium has rebounded slightly since but Paladin faced a further setback in late July when its Langer Heinrich mine in Namibia missed its output guidance. Traders dumped shares in the Perth-based miner, which is down nearly 21 per cent since the start of 2025. Paladin has taken the title of the most shorted stock on the ASX, while second-placed Boss Energy suffered an even more brutal 40 per cent sell-off after it warned traders it would miss its projected output at its Honeymoon uranium mine in South Australia. Boss Energy chief executive Duncan Craib will be second cab off the rank to deliver a presentation at Diggers. The previous prime target for short sellers - lithium miners - will be feeling slightly more bullish as they look to revive interest in the industry at the forum. There is increasing optimism that prices for the battery ingredient may have bottomed out following a dire three-year bear market, as China looks to stamp out oversupply. The Diggers and Dealers mining forum will take on a radioactive yellow hue as uranium miners take centre stage on opening day. While goldminers dominate the speaking program of the three-day mining industry networking fest, uranium will be the focus of the curtain-raiser keynote on Monday morning. For the first time in the conference's 34-year history, the keynote will take the form of a panel discussion. Canadian physician turned nuclear evangelist Chris Keefer has been flown into the Western Australian gold-mining town of Kalgoorlie, alongside Centre for Independent Studies energy analyst Aidan Morrison and the free market think tank's executive director Tom Switzer. The panel was scheduled before the coalition's catastrophic federal election meltdown in May, when their nuclear power ambitions went up in flames. But Diggers chairman Jim Walker says the setback doesn't dim the importance of the topic. As Australia grapples with the question of how to power its energy transition, it's worth listening to an international perspective, he says. "Look, we've seen a change going from diesel-powered submarines to nuclear-powered submarines," he told AAP. "We are non-political, all right. We are definitely non-political. We just thought, from the interest we've had from miners around the place asking the question about where we're going to get our power from, let's grab hold of these people and let them give their presentation." Paul Hemburrow, chief operating officer of the ASX's largest dedicated uranium miner, Paladin Energy, will try to drum up investor interest as he follows up the keynote with the first presentation of the forum. Even without the evaporated prospect of a domestic nuclear market, it's been a tricky time for the uranium sector. Prices have slumped in 2025 after the emergence of Chinese AI disruptor DeepSeek challenged assumptions that the technology would fuel a massive increase in energy demand globally. Uranium has rebounded slightly since but Paladin faced a further setback in late July when its Langer Heinrich mine in Namibia missed its output guidance. Traders dumped shares in the Perth-based miner, which is down nearly 21 per cent since the start of 2025. Paladin has taken the title of the most shorted stock on the ASX, while second-placed Boss Energy suffered an even more brutal 40 per cent sell-off after it warned traders it would miss its projected output at its Honeymoon uranium mine in South Australia. Boss Energy chief executive Duncan Craib will be second cab off the rank to deliver a presentation at Diggers. The previous prime target for short sellers - lithium miners - will be feeling slightly more bullish as they look to revive interest in the industry at the forum. There is increasing optimism that prices for the battery ingredient may have bottomed out following a dire three-year bear market, as China looks to stamp out oversupply. The Diggers and Dealers mining forum will take on a radioactive yellow hue as uranium miners take centre stage on opening day. While goldminers dominate the speaking program of the three-day mining industry networking fest, uranium will be the focus of the curtain-raiser keynote on Monday morning. For the first time in the conference's 34-year history, the keynote will take the form of a panel discussion. Canadian physician turned nuclear evangelist Chris Keefer has been flown into the Western Australian gold-mining town of Kalgoorlie, alongside Centre for Independent Studies energy analyst Aidan Morrison and the free market think tank's executive director Tom Switzer. The panel was scheduled before the coalition's catastrophic federal election meltdown in May, when their nuclear power ambitions went up in flames. But Diggers chairman Jim Walker says the setback doesn't dim the importance of the topic. As Australia grapples with the question of how to power its energy transition, it's worth listening to an international perspective, he says. "Look, we've seen a change going from diesel-powered submarines to nuclear-powered submarines," he told AAP. "We are non-political, all right. We are definitely non-political. We just thought, from the interest we've had from miners around the place asking the question about where we're going to get our power from, let's grab hold of these people and let them give their presentation." Paul Hemburrow, chief operating officer of the ASX's largest dedicated uranium miner, Paladin Energy, will try to drum up investor interest as he follows up the keynote with the first presentation of the forum. Even without the evaporated prospect of a domestic nuclear market, it's been a tricky time for the uranium sector. Prices have slumped in 2025 after the emergence of Chinese AI disruptor DeepSeek challenged assumptions that the technology would fuel a massive increase in energy demand globally. Uranium has rebounded slightly since but Paladin faced a further setback in late July when its Langer Heinrich mine in Namibia missed its output guidance. Traders dumped shares in the Perth-based miner, which is down nearly 21 per cent since the start of 2025. Paladin has taken the title of the most shorted stock on the ASX, while second-placed Boss Energy suffered an even more brutal 40 per cent sell-off after it warned traders it would miss its projected output at its Honeymoon uranium mine in South Australia. Boss Energy chief executive Duncan Craib will be second cab off the rank to deliver a presentation at Diggers. The previous prime target for short sellers - lithium miners - will be feeling slightly more bullish as they look to revive interest in the industry at the forum. There is increasing optimism that prices for the battery ingredient may have bottomed out following a dire three-year bear market, as China looks to stamp out oversupply. The Diggers and Dealers mining forum will take on a radioactive yellow hue as uranium miners take centre stage on opening day. While goldminers dominate the speaking program of the three-day mining industry networking fest, uranium will be the focus of the curtain-raiser keynote on Monday morning. For the first time in the conference's 34-year history, the keynote will take the form of a panel discussion. Canadian physician turned nuclear evangelist Chris Keefer has been flown into the Western Australian gold-mining town of Kalgoorlie, alongside Centre for Independent Studies energy analyst Aidan Morrison and the free market think tank's executive director Tom Switzer. The panel was scheduled before the coalition's catastrophic federal election meltdown in May, when their nuclear power ambitions went up in flames. But Diggers chairman Jim Walker says the setback doesn't dim the importance of the topic. As Australia grapples with the question of how to power its energy transition, it's worth listening to an international perspective, he says. "Look, we've seen a change going from diesel-powered submarines to nuclear-powered submarines," he told AAP. "We are non-political, all right. We are definitely non-political. We just thought, from the interest we've had from miners around the place asking the question about where we're going to get our power from, let's grab hold of these people and let them give their presentation." Paul Hemburrow, chief operating officer of the ASX's largest dedicated uranium miner, Paladin Energy, will try to drum up investor interest as he follows up the keynote with the first presentation of the forum. Even without the evaporated prospect of a domestic nuclear market, it's been a tricky time for the uranium sector. Prices have slumped in 2025 after the emergence of Chinese AI disruptor DeepSeek challenged assumptions that the technology would fuel a massive increase in energy demand globally. Uranium has rebounded slightly since but Paladin faced a further setback in late July when its Langer Heinrich mine in Namibia missed its output guidance. Traders dumped shares in the Perth-based miner, which is down nearly 21 per cent since the start of 2025. Paladin has taken the title of the most shorted stock on the ASX, while second-placed Boss Energy suffered an even more brutal 40 per cent sell-off after it warned traders it would miss its projected output at its Honeymoon uranium mine in South Australia. Boss Energy chief executive Duncan Craib will be second cab off the rank to deliver a presentation at Diggers. The previous prime target for short sellers - lithium miners - will be feeling slightly more bullish as they look to revive interest in the industry at the forum. There is increasing optimism that prices for the battery ingredient may have bottomed out following a dire three-year bear market, as China looks to stamp out oversupply.

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