
US job openings unexpectedly rise in May, hiring falls
Job openings, a measure of labor demand, were up 374,000 to 7.769 million by the last day of May, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said in its Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or JOLTS report, on Tuesday.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 7.30 million vacancies. Hiring decreased by 112,000 to 5.503 million in May. Layoffs dropped 188,000 to 1.601 million.
Economists say the lack of clarity on what happens after July 9, when the 90-day pause on President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs expires, had left businesses unable to make long-term plans. A 90-day temporary reduction in tariffs between the U.S. and China is due to end in mid-August.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Monday that trade partners could still face sharply higher tariffs next Wednesday, adding that any potential negotiating extensions will be up to Trump, who hinted that Japan may soon be notified of higher import duties.
US federal workers receive second email on justifying jobs
Data last week showed a surge in the number of people collecting unemployment checks to more than a 3-1/2-year high in mid-June. A survey from the Conference Board showed the share of consumers who viewed jobs as being 'plentiful' dropped to the lowest level in more than four years in June.
Economists polled by Reuters expect the government's closely watched employment report on Thursday to show the jobless rate increased to 4.3% in June from 4.2% in May. Nonfarm payrolls are forecast to rise by 110,000 jobs after advancing by 139,000 in May. The employment report is being published a day early because of the Independence Day holiday on Friday.
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Express Tribune
4 hours ago
- Express Tribune
US Senate passes Trump's sweeping tax, spending bill
People pass by the National Debt Clock in New York City, U.S., July 1, 2025. PHOTO: REUTERS Listen to article The Republican-controlled US Senate on Tuesday passed President Donald Trump's sweeping tax and spending bill, a massive legislative package that would enshrine many of his top policy goals into law while adding $3.3 trillion to the national debt. The bill now heads back to the House of Representatives for final approval. Trump has urged lawmakers to deliver the legislation to his desk for signature by the July 4 Independence Day holiday. Republicans, who hold slim majorities in both chambers, have faced a difficult path pushing the 940-page bill through Congress. With Democrats unified in opposition, the GOP has had just three votes to spare in each chamber as they negotiated controversial provisions on tax cuts and healthcare that could reshape entire industries and impact millions of Americans. Despite internal disagreements, Senate Republicans remained mostly united. Only three of the chamber's 53 Republicans voted against the measure, which passed by a 51-50 margin after Vice President JD Vance cast the tie-breaking vote. The House, where Republicans hold a narrow 220-212 majority, is expected to face a similarly close vote. An earlier version of the bill passed the House in May by just two votes. 'Not fiscal responsibility' Several House Republicans have expressed concern over the Senate's revisions to the bill, which the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates would add $800 billion more to the national debt than the House version. The House Freedom Caucus, a group of hardline conservatives, is demanding deeper spending cuts than those included in the Senate's version. 'The Senate's version adds $651 billion to the deficit – and that's before interest costs, which nearly double the total,' the caucus posted online. 'That's not fiscal responsibility. It's not what we agreed to.' Moderate Republicans have also raised objections, particularly over the bill's steep Medicaid cuts. 'I will not support a final bill that eliminates vital funding streams our hospitals rely on,' said Rep. David Valadao, a California Republican, during weekend debate. Despite these concerns, House Republicans are likely to face heavy pressure from Trump to support the bill in the coming days. Dubbed the 'One Big Beautiful Bill Act,' the legislation would permanently extend Trump's 2017 business and personal income tax cuts, which are set to expire at the end of this year. It also introduces new tax breaks for tipped income, overtime, and seniors—key promises from Trump's 2024 campaign. The bill includes tens of billions of dollars for Trump's immigration crackdown and repeals many of President Joe Biden's green energy incentives. It would also tighten eligibility for food and healthcare safety-net programs—changes that nonpartisan analysts say would effectively reduce incomes for lower-income Americans by shifting more costs onto them. The CBO estimates the legislation would increase the national debt by $3.3 trillion over the next decade, pushing the total to $36.2 trillion. Analysts warn that such debt growth could slow economic progress, raise borrowing costs, and crowd out other spending, disproportionately affecting younger generations. The bill also raises the national borrowing limit by $5 trillion, avoiding a potential debt default this summer that could disrupt global markets. Republicans have rejected the CBO's cost projections, but global bond markets remain wary. As deficits deepen, investors may seek alternatives to U.S. Treasuries. Republican Divisions Over Healthcare, SALT Cap While the GOP broadly supports the bill's goals, disagreements remain over key details. Some Republicans from high-tax states—including New York, New Jersey, and California—are demanding relief from the cap on state and local tax (SALT) deductions. Others are concerned that proposed changes to Medicaid funding could result in service cuts, particularly in rural areas. On the party's right flank, some lawmakers have also pushed for deeper Medicare cuts to reduce the bill's fiscal impact. Trump has publicly criticized dissenters on his Truth Social platform and excluded some from White House events. Few Republicans have openly defied him since he returned to office in January. One Republican who did break ranks, Senator Thom Tillis of North Carolina, announced on Sunday that he would not seek re-election next year.


Business Recorder
4 hours ago
- Business Recorder
Oil rises on signs of strong demand, investors await OPEC+ output decision
NEW YORK: Oil prices edged higher on Tuesday as investors took stock of positive demand indicators, while also treading cautiously ahead of an OPEC+ meeting to decide the group's August output policy. Brent crude was up 18 cents, or 0.3%, to $66.92 a barrel at 11:36 a.m. ET (1536 GMT), while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was up 27 cents, or around 0.4%, to $65.38 a barrel. The gains were likely due to supportive data from a private-sector survey in China, which showed factory activity returned to expansion in June, said Randall Rothenberg, risk intelligence expert at U.S. oil brokerage Liquidity Energy. Expectations that Saudi Arabia will raise its August crude oil prices for buyers in Asia to a four-month high, and firm premiums for Russian ESPO Blend crude oil, were also supporting the notion of robust demand, Rothenberg said. Meanwhile, oil's gains were kept in check by expectations that the OPEC+ group will raise its August crude oil output by an amount similar to the outsized hikes agreed in May, June, and July. Four OPEC+ sources told Reuters last week that the group plans to raise output by 411,000 bpd next month when it meets on July 6. 'All eyes will be on OPEC+'s decision over the weekend, when the group is expected to add another 411,000 bpd of production in an effort to gain more market share, primarily over the US shale producers,' StoneX energy analyst Alex Hodes wrote to clients.. Oil prices slip on easing Middle East risks Besides gaining market share from U.S. shale producers, which pumped oil at a record pace in April according to official data released on Monday, the group has also been trying to punish overproducing members. OPEC+ member Kazakhstan, one of world's 10 largest oil producers, raised oil production last month to match an all-time high, a source familiar with the data told Reuters on Tuesday. Saudi Arabia, the de facto leader of the OPEC+ group, raised its June crude oil exports to the fastest rate in a year, data from Kpler showed. 'These exports are flooding out even faster than the OPEC+ deal implies during the summer when peak domestic demand typically keeps oil supplies closer to home,' Hodes said. Investors are also watching trade negotiations ahead of U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff deadline of July 9. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned that countries could be notified of sharply higher tariffs despite good-faith negotiations as that deadline approaches, when tariff rates are scheduled to revert from a temporary 10% level to the ones Trump announced on April 2 and then suspended. The European Union wants immediate relief from tariffs in key sectors as part of any trade deal with the U.S. due by the July 9 deadline, EU diplomats told Reuters. Morgan Stanley expects Brent futures to retrace to around $60 by early next year, with the market being well supplied and geopolitical risk abating following the de-escalation of the Israel-Iran conflict. It expects an oversupply of 1.3 million bpd in 2026.


Business Recorder
4 hours ago
- Business Recorder
Bessent says US trade deal with India is very close
The U.S. and India are nearing a deal to lower tariffs on American imports to the South Asian country and to help India avoid levies imposed by the Trump administration rising sharply next week, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Tuesday. 'We are very close with India,' Bessent told Fox News in response to a question about progress on trade negotiations. Indian officials extended a visit to Washington last week through Monday to try to reach agreement on a trade deal with President Donald Trump's administration and address lingering concerns on both sides, Indian government sources told Reuters. India is one of more than a dozen countries actively negotiating with the Trump administration to try to avoid a steep spike in tariff rates on July 9, when a 90-day tariff pause ends. India could see its new 'reciprocal' tariff rate rise to 27% from the current 10%. The U.S.-India talks have hit roadblocks over disagreements on import duties for auto components, steel, and farm goods, ahead of Trump's deadline to impose reciprocal tariffs. India to finalise interim trade deal with US as early as this week, FT reports 'We are in the middle – hopefully more than the middle – of a very intricate trade negotiation,' Indian Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar told an event in New York on Monday. 'Obviously, my hope would be that we bring it to a successful conclusion. I cannot guarantee it, because there's another party to that discussion,' said Jaishankar, who is in the a meeting of the China-focused Quad grouping. He added that there 'will have to be give and take' and the two sides will have to find middle ground. Bessent told Fox News that different countries have different agendas for trade deals, including Japan, which Trump complained about on Monday. But Bessent added that career trade negotiators are impressed with the offers that countries are making to the U.S. 'People who have been at Treasury, at Commerce, at USTR for 20 years, are saying that these are deals that they have never seen before,' Bessent said. So far, only Britain has negotiated a limited trade deal with the Trump administration, accepting a 10% U.S. tariff on many goods, including autos, in exchange for special access for aircraft engines and British beef.