
Stocks slip as investors eye tariff impact among corporate earnings - Markets & Companies
US corporate profit reports so far were painting a generally resilient picture of the American economy, but with gathering clouds in some sectors, particularly automobiles, from Trump's levies on major trading partners.
New York's broad S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq indices dipped, from record finishes on Monday, while the blue-chip Dow struggled.
In Europe, only London ended the trading day in the green. Paris and Germany both finished solidly in the red.
"European markets have been getting increasingly jittery as the (August 1) deadline approaches," said David Morrison, senior market analyst at Trade Nation. "With little sign of progress so far, investors are preparing for possible tariff retaliation from the EU."
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said meanwhile he would meet his Chinese counterparts in Stockholm next week for tariff talks, as a separate mid-August deadline approaches for US levies on China to snap back to steeper levels.
Big earnings reports
Closely-watched earnings loomed from some of the world's biggest names, including Tesla, Google parent Alphabet, Intel and Coca-Cola.
US auto giant General Motors reported a 35-percent plunge in second-quarter profits Tuesday following a $1.1-billion hit from US tariffs, but confirmed its full-year forecast.
Its shares plunged seven percent.
Elsewhere, "expectations for the earnings season include accelerated profit growth for major US technology companies in the second half of the year," said Jochen Stanzl, chief market analyst at CMC Markets.
British pharmaceutical giant AstraZeneca said Tuesday it would invest $50 billion in the United States by 2030 amid Trump's threats to impose tariffs on the sector.
The dollar continued to lose ground, which has the effect of pumping up the earnings of US multinationals earning foreign currency revenue but reporting in dollars.
The greenback's slippage is proving "a turbocharger" for those companies, according to Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management.
Investment adviser Christopher Dembik at Pictet Asset Management said European companies reporting over coming days were conversely set to be hit by the effect of a stronger euro.
Oil prices also dropped amid worries about reduced global economic activity going forward.
Earlier in Asia, Hong Kong hit its highest close since late 2021. Its index has gained around 25 percent this year thanks to a rally in Chinese tech firms and a fresh flow of cash from mainland investors.
Tokyo dipped following an earlier rally after the ruling coalition lost its upper-house majority as observers warned the government's tenure remained fragile.
Fed chief speech
Traders were also looking ahead to a speech later Tuesday by US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, ahead of the Fed's monetary policy meeting on July 29 and 30.
Powell has come under pressure from Trump to quit, with the president angry at the Fed for not lowering interest rates in response to recent turbulence, but the central bank is expected to keep them on hold until September.
Bessent said Tuesday he did not see a reason for Powell to resign "right now".
Key figures at around 1545 GMT
New York - Dow: UP 0.1 percent at 44,351.64
New York - S&P 500: DOWN 0.1 percent at 6,296.95
New York - Nasdaq Composite: DOWN 0.5 percent at 20,875.05
London - FTSE 100: UP 0.1 percent at 9,019.76 points (close)
Paris - CAC 40: DOWN 0.7 percent at 7,739.18 (close)
Frankfurt - DAX: DOWN 1.1 percent at 24,027.17 (close)
Tokyo - Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.1 percent at 39,774.92 (close)
Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: UP 0.5 percent at 25,130.03 (close)
Shanghai - Composite: UP 0.6 percent at 3,581.86 (close)
Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1734 from $1.1688
Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3507 from $1.3485
Dollar/yen: DOWN at 146.51 yen from 147.42 yen
Euro/pound: UP at 86.89 pence from 86.68 pence
Brent North Sea Crude: DOWN 1.2 percent at $68.37 per barrel
West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 1.3 percent at $65.06 per barrel.
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See - Sada Elbalad
2 hours ago
- See - Sada Elbalad
Local Gold Prices Decline as Markets Await Fed Decision and Trade War Developments
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Egypt Independent
5 hours ago
- Egypt Independent
China pitches global AI governance group as the US goes it alone
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Li's remarks came just days after the Trump administration unveiled its 28-page AI action plan, which aims to remove 'bureaucratic red tape' and establish US dominance in the sector. While Li did not directly refer to the US in his speech, he alluded to the ongoing trade tensions between the two superpowers, which include American restrictions on advanced semiconductor exports — a component vital for powering and training AI, which is currently causing a shortage in China. 'Key resources and capabilities are concentrated in a few countries and a few enterprises,' said Li in his speech on Saturday. 'If we engage in technological monopoly, controls and restrictions, AI will become an exclusive game for a small number of countries and enterprises.' People visit the Shanghai World Expo Exhibition and Convention Center during the World Artificial Intelligence Conference in Shanghai, China July 26, 2025. Go Nakamura/Reuters AI chips have become a key bargaining tool between US and China in trade negotiations, which continued this week with a meeting in Stockholm. Before the latest round of talks, both countries appeared to make concessions, with Washington lifting its ban on sales of a key Nvidia AI chip to China, and Beijing suspending its antitrust investigation into American chemical firm DuPont. Speaking from Scotland on Sunday, Trump said the US is 'very close to a deal with China,' but offered no further details. The current deadline for a deal expires on August 12. Billions spent in global AI race China has not been shy about promoting its AI ambitions: with more than 5,000 AI companies, and a core AI industry valued at 600 billion yuan ($84 billion) in April 2025, the nation is all-in on its tech rivalry with the US. This surge is being fueled by enormous government and private sector spending. 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Secretary-General of ASEAN, Dr. Kao Kim Hourn, also called for 'robust governance' of artificial intelligence to mitigate potential threats, including misinformation, deepfakes, and cybersecurity threats. People visit a Rokid booth during the World Artificial Intelligence Conference in Shanghai, China July 26, 2025. Go Nakamura/Reuters 'These developments demand urgent, coordinated action from the international community to ensure AI serves human welfare and social good,' he said in his speech at the conference, adding that AI implementation in ASEAN could further expand the region's rapidly growing digital economy and 'increase the region's GDP by 10-18%.' Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt reiterated the call for international collaboration, explicitly calling on the US and China to work together. 'As the largest and most significant economic entities in the world, the United States and China should collaborate on these issues,' said Schmidt at WAIC. 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Attended by more than 800 companies, WAIC 2025 was again dominated by Chinese tech firms, including Tencent, Alibaba, SoftBank-backed Keenon Robotics and robotics startup Unitree, with appearances from several major US corporations like Tesla, Alphabet, and Amazon. A cosplayer presents the new AI doll Mochi at the Nubia booth at the Shanghai New Expo Center during the WAIC (World Artificial Intelligence Conference) 2025 in Shanghai, China, on July 28, 2025. Ying Tang/NurPhoto/Shutterstock A PsiBot robot plays mahjong during the 2025 World AI Conference (WAIC) and High-Level Meeting on Global AI Governance at Shanghai World Expo Exhibition and Convention Center in Shanghai, on July 27, 2025. VCG/Getty Images Visitors explored tech innovations across 3,000 exhibits, which included over 100 new product debuts. 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Mid East Info
8 hours ago
- Mid East Info
Make-or-break week for stocks: key questions investors are asking
Charu Chanana, Chief Investment Strategist, Saxo Bank Macro data and monetary policy Q: Will the Fed hint at a September rate cut? A: While a July cut is unlikely, the decision is unlikely to be unanimous. A dissent from key members such as Waller or Bowman could shift market expectations toward a September move. That would likely trigger a rally in bonds and rate-sensitive equities, while putting downward pressure on the USD. Q: How would the markets react if Core PCE surprised to the downside? A: Core PCE for June, due Thursday, is expected to rise 0.3% MoM (vs. 0.2% MoM in May) and hold steady at 2.7% YoY. However, a softer-than-expected monthly reading (say, 0.2% or below) would reinforce the disinflation narrative and support risk assets. A downside surprise could also push the Fed closer to easing, especially if accompanied by weaker labor market signals. Q: Will the jobs report on Friday signal cracks in the labor market? A: The July payrolls report is expected to show job gains of +107K, down from +147K in June. That would bring the data closer to the estimated breakeven pace of around +80K, the level needed to keep the unemployment rate stable. A print below 100K, especially if accompanied by a rise in the unemployment rate to 4.2% (as expected), would suggest momentum is slowing. Focus will also be on private payrolls, which were soft last month, and average hourly earnings, expected at 3.8% YoY (vs 3.7% prior). Any signs of wage softness could ease inflation fears further. A weak overall report would amplify Fed cut bets, support bonds, and hurt cyclicals and financials, though tech and defensives may hold up better. Q: What if the Fed stays on hold but July NFP on Friday is weak? Could Trump move towards firing Powell? A: While there's no immediate risk of Powell being fired, Trump is likely to continue undermining the Fed's autonomy and credibility through public jabs. His strategy appears aimed at creating a scapegoat if economic conditions weaken closer to the election. Markets are unlikely to price in direct intervention, but escalating rhetoric could increase policy uncertainty premiums—particularly in rate-sensitive sectors like financials and real estate. The dollar could also face episodic pressure if Fed independence comes under threat, diminishing its appeal as a safe-haven currency in risk-off conditions. Q: Which sectors benefit if rate cut pricing picks up? A: Small caps, REITs, dividend payers, and defensives like utilities and staples typically benefit first as lower yields ease financing conditions and boost income appeal. But if growth isn't a concern—as is the case now—growth stocks like tech can also extend gains, especially as falling real yields support elevated valuations. Rate cuts could also broaden market participation, bringing relief to underperforming sectors like industrials and financials. In this context, a Fed pivot could set the stage for the next leg higher in U.S. equities, by easing financial conditions without undermining the growth outlook. Trade & Tariffs Q: Does the August 1 tariff deadline bring an end to the trade uncertainty? A: August 1 marks the deadline for reciprocal tariffs under the new baseline trade regime. Countries that haven't secured trade agreements with the US face tariffs. For those with agreements in principle, like the EU and Japan, the focus now shifts to how the deals are interpreted and implemented—especially around required investments into the U.S. This round of deals may offer short-term clarity and avoid immediate escalation, but it doesn't resolve the broader structural imbalances. With higher baseline tariffs and vague investment commitments, the trade framework remains fragile. Markets could enjoy cyclical relief in the near term, but investors should prepare for ongoing volatility, particularly in sectors tied to global supply chains like autos, semiconductors, and capital goods. Positioning should reflect both the temporary calm and the deeper geopolitical realignment underway. Q: Will US-China talks avert a new tariff round? A: The ongoing talks are expected to result in a 90-day extension of the current tariff pause that expires August 12, which would avoid immediate escalation and maintain the fragile status quo. While no grand deal is expected, even a modest agreement would represent progress given how strained relations have been. A truce extension would calm markets and support China tech, semis, and global cyclicals. A confrontational tone or vague outcomes could reignite fears of renewed tariffs down the line, resulting in a risk-off sentiment. Q: Is the U.S. exceptionalism trade back? A: U.S. assets are once again outperforming, underpinned by stronger economic data, AI-driven tech momentum, and fiscal support. Meanwhile, Europe is losing steam – not due to a collapse in fundamentals, but because the focus is shifting from policy promises to actual implementation. European equities rallied strongly earlier this year on hopes of fiscal stimulus, improving manufacturing data, and a synchronized recovery. But with the ECB nearing the end of its rate cut cycle and fiscal delivery falling short, markets are beginning to reassess those optimistic assumptions. The recent U.S.-EU trade deal, which locks in higher tariffs for the bloc, has further darkened the outlook, especially for export-oriented sectors. Adding to the pressure, the euro's recent strength has started to weigh on eurozone corporate earnings, as it erodes the foreign-exchange competitiveness of European exporters and reduces the value of overseas revenue. With earnings growth already fragile, this currency effect could become a meaningful drag in the quarters ahead. In contrast, the U.S. could shift toward pro-growth policies in the second half, including potential tax cuts, deregulation, and a more accommodative Fed. If those materialize alongside strong earnings and resilient data, they could reinforce the narrative of U.S. exceptionalism just as Europe faces a tougher path forward. As per the charts above, additional price strength leading to an upside break may add further momentum to the rally, not necessarily due to price-friendly fundamentals, but first of all due to buying as wrong-footed longs scale back bearish bets. For the rally to become more sustainable, thereby signalling a low in the market following three years of weakness, the global production outlook needs to deteriorate further, so for now we view the rally as technically more than fundamentally driven. Earnings Q: Can Big Tech justify the scale of AI spending? A: The focus is shifting from whether AI capex is too high to whether it's translating into monetization and operational efficiency, and investors are starting to see early signs of both. Alphabet just raised its full-year capex forecast to $85 billion, citing strong demand for cloud and AI services. Google Cloud is now growing over 30% YoY, and executives noted that AI search results are being monetized at rates similar to traditional search, with AI overviews also driving more traffic. That helped reassure markets that AI spending is beginning to yield returns. Meta has previously raised capex guidance and shown that AI is improving ad performance and user engagement. Investors will look for more evidence of that in this week's results, especially given that costs are climbing as Meta builds out a new, dedicated AI team. The company will need to show that rising investment continues to translate into tangible business results to justify its elevated spending trajectory. Microsoft and Amazon could follow Alphabet's lead on increasing AI capex now that trade uncertainty is easing, but they will need to back it up with clear monetization pathways—whether through Copilot and enterprise AI tools at Microsoft, or shopping and productivity assistants like Rufus and Q at Amazon. Apple , meanwhile, may lag on visibility. Analysts don't expect a major AI update, but any hint that Apple Intelligence-enabled regions are seeing stronger product sales could be seen as a subtle validation of the theme. Q: What other names could help gauge AI and cloud infrastructure adoption? A: Outside the big names, investors will be watching: Qualcomm (Wed), Lam Research (Wed), KLA (Thu), Tokyo Electron (Thu) for signs of AI chip demand, semiconductor capex, and hyperscaler spending. Cloudflare (Thu), MicroStrategy (Thu), Roblox (Thu) for enterprise AI tools, cloud adoption, and platform engagement trends. Q: Beyond Big Tech, which earnings could offer a read on consumer strength? A: Several key names this week will offer direct insight into U.S. and global consumer resilience: Visa (Tue), Mastercard (Thu), and Booking Holdings (Tue) will shed light on spending trends in travel and services. HSBC (Wed), UBS (Wed), and Mastercard (Thu) could also comment on capital flows, lending trends, and regional divergence in economic performance. Procter & Gamble (Tue), Mondelez (Tue), and Starbucks (Tue) will give a read on pricing power vs. volume in staples and discretionary categories. Investors will be watching for any signs of consumer trade-down or margin pressure. Royal Caribbean (Tue) and UPS (Tue) will offer views into discretionary travel and e-commerce logistics, respectively. Q: Which industrial or capex-heavy firms could shed light on global demand? A: Key industrial and logistics names reporting this week include: Boeing (Tue), Airbus (Wed), Schneider Electric (Thu), and Trane Technologies (Wed) will help gauge backlogs, capex recovery, and global supply chain normalisation. Ford (Wed), BMW (Thu), and Mercedes-Benz (Thu) will be important to assess auto demand, EV rollout challenges, and pricing power. Q: What if earnings underwhelm in a narrow market? A: With equity leadership concentrated in a handful of megacap names, the risks are asymmetric. A few big misses—especially from tech giants—could trigger outsized market reactions, spark sector rotation, or even lead to a broader pullback. In a narrow market, there's little cushion. Disappointment from one or two key players could unwind recent gains quickly, especially if valuations are already stretched and macro tailwinds are fading. Investors will be watching both the results and the guidance closely. Others Q: Is the USD bear trend reversing? A: The medium-term downtrend in the dollar remains intact, anchored by expectations of Fed easing, a narrowing yield advantage, and long-term structural imbalances. However, crowded short positioning, resilient U.S. data, and relative weakness abroad suggest the potential for a short-term reversal. The recent US-EU trade deal, initially viewed as stabilizing, is now seen as a structural drag for the eurozone, raising tariff burdens and weighing on growth assumptions. With the euro making up nearly 60% of the DXY index, this underperformance is directly lifting the dollar. If U.S. data this week holds firm, and Fed rhetoric remains cautious, the dollar may continue to find support, even as the broader trend remains bearish. Q: When will gold break out of its range? A: Gold remains range-bound for now, consolidating between $3,300 and $3,430. The immediate technical hurdle is the 50-day moving average near $3,340. A sustained break above that level would open the path toward retesting $3,400, and a breakout beyond $3,430 could signal a renewed bull leg. On the downside, $3,300 remains key support—marking the lower bound of June's consolidation zone. Signs of easing global trade tensions and resilient U.S. economic data have lifted risk appetite and pressured gold, with some safe-haven flows rotating into equities and higher-yielding assets. At the same time, the potential for short-term U.S. dollar strength adds to the headwinds for gold, particularly in the near term. However, the medium- to long-term backdrop still supports the bull case. A dovish Fed pivot, renewed risks of geopolitical shocks, or a weaker dollar could revive upside momentum. And beneath the surface, structural tailwinds—including persistent fiscal deficits, central bank gold buying, and downward pressure on real yields—continue to provide a solid floor for gold, even as short-term volatility persists.