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The Irish Independent's View: Donald Trump's tariff woes may turn into Europe's golden opportunity

The Irish Independent's View: Donald Trump's tariff woes may turn into Europe's golden opportunity

Were he to do so, a quote from Julius Caesar about 'a tide in the affairs of man' and how 'we must take the current when it serves, Or lose our ventures' seems pertinent.
Portentous events within the US courts, and in his own political circle, should give pause for thought.
The ruling putting a brake on his 'Liberation Day' tariff wall is a setback, no matter what Republicans say.
The sudden departure of the world's richest man, Elon Musk, from his court of invincibles has suddenly introduced a sense of vulnerability to the administration.
Insiders played down the implications of the tariffs block being turned around on appeal.
'If anybody thinks this caught the administration by surprise, think again,' trade adviser Peter Navarro said.
But the timing is fortuitous, to say the least, for the EU, as it goes eyeball to eyeball in a crucial stage of crunch trade talks with Trump.
Brussels is in a desperate race to avoid a 50pc general tariff that the president threatened.
However, a 'very nice' call with European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen has secured a stay on this until July 9.
The finding by the US Court of International Trade that the president had exceeded his authority in ­invoking the International Emergency Economic Powers Act as a basis for imposing draconian levies is a blow.
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Analysts feel the impact may be limited for the trade talks, given the other tariff options available.
However, the court's insistence that the US constitution confers on Congress exclusive powers to regulate commerce with other nations, and therefore could not be over-ridden by the president, may embolden countries to hold out, at the very least, until there is greater clarity.
As noted by Letitia James, the attorney general of New York, one of 12 states involved in the lawsuit: 'The law is clear: no president has the power to single-handedly raise taxes whenever they like.'
The tariffs saga is likely to have many more twists and turns, as illustrated by the US federal appeals court decision last night to temporarily reinstate the tariffs.
Trump has bristled at the latest 'Taco' label he has been tagged with (Trump always chickens out) when the markets put the heat on, but there is enough truth in it to encourage some to be defiant.
Brussels has been given another card to play, and it would be naive not to. Kowtowing can only result in more volatility as Trump will surely up the ante. If the bloc is to be taken seriously as a player on the world stage, it must flex some financial muscle.
The departure of Elon Musk also suggests there may be some blood in the water. Quitting only a day after slamming Trump's landmark 'big beautiful bill' for undermining spending cuts suggests division in the ranks.
Trump's difficulty could be the EU's opportunity.

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Elon Musk wanted to ‘move fast and break things' in Washington. The main thing he broke was his reputation
Elon Musk wanted to ‘move fast and break things' in Washington. The main thing he broke was his reputation

Irish Times

timean hour ago

  • Irish Times

Elon Musk wanted to ‘move fast and break things' in Washington. The main thing he broke was his reputation

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[ Elon Musk leaves Trump's club, yet he was never quite part of it Opens in new window ] To abet Trump's fake reality, the craven House Republicans refused to put up a plaque honouring the police officers and others who defended the Capitol that awful day. I take it personally because my dad spent 20 years as a police inspector in Washington in charge of Senate security. He would run to the House whenever there was trouble. So if on January 6th Mike Dowd had been preventing insurrectionists from assaulting lawmakers, he would now be, in Trump's eyes, not a hero deserving of a plaque, but a blackguard who was thwarting 'patriots', as Trump calls the rioters he pardoned. It is a disturbing bizarro world. Trump was rewriting reality again Friday afternoon as one of the most flamboyant, destructive bromances in government history petered out in the Oval Office. 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The Trump and the Tony Stark prototype tried to convey the idea that they would remain tight, even though Musk would no longer be getting into angry altercations with Scott Bessent outside the Oval, sleeping on the floor of the Eisenhower Executive Office Building and hanging around Mar-a-Lago. (Trump wants the $100 million Musk has pledged for his political operation.) Musk, wearing a black Doge cap and black 'Dogefather' T-shirt, looked around the Oval, which Trump has tarted up to look like a Vegas gift shop, and gushed that it 'finally has the majesty that it deserves, thanks to the president'. Trump gave Musk a golden ceremonial White House key, the kind of thing small-town mayors give out, and proclaimed: 'Elon's really not leaving. He's going to be back and forth, I think.' Trump said that the father of (at least) 14 would never desert Doge completely because 'It's his baby'. Musk brought the Silicon Valley mantra 'Move fast and break things' to Washington. 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EU prepared to retaliate to Trump's steel and aluminum tariff hikes
EU prepared to retaliate to Trump's steel and aluminum tariff hikes

Irish Examiner

time6 hours ago

  • Irish Examiner

EU prepared to retaliate to Trump's steel and aluminum tariff hikes

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Netanyahu will obliterate Iran's nuke empire on his own terms – and could snub Trump in final plan to cement legacy
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The Irish Sun

time8 hours ago

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Shtrauchler said although Netanyahu would want America's help, he will make sure Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's nuclear ambitions are destroyed "at all costs". "He changed the equation from the start," he added. "Iran was choking Israel from both sides from north, south and from other sides and he changed the equation by attacking Hezbollah and putting this threat out. Advertisement "There is no real threat rocket threat from Gaza today. And we know the situation with Syria has changed rapidly since the start of the war. "We also know that Iran has been folded or been attacked on these anti-aircraft missiles. "So he has a clear way, if he wants to do it. "Of course, he will want to do it with the American administration but nevertheless, this is his main goal. Advertisement "So if it's just knocking on a door before getting inside, it could be a sign but for sure is getting planned on that. "He wants to do it [strike Iran] and he's working on how to do it. And I think in the end he will try to do it with the Americans. "But if he sees it's not going, he will find a solution to change the equation with Iran and make sure that they don't have any nuclear weapon at all costs." 7 Donald Trump, pictured boarding Air Force One last week, is trying to negotiate with Tehran Credit: Reuters Advertisement 7 IDF sources, speaking to The Sun in Israel, previously said how is now 'many, many steps back' as forces have been working for months to clear the path for a major strike on Iran. They told how three air campaigns in Iran have eliminated strategic aerial defences which were 'the main obstacle' protecting the rogue nation's nuke facilities. The insider said the IDF has also worked to significantly downgrade the threat posed by Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthi - effectively leaving Iran isolated. Advertisement Vitally, this would allow Israeli aircraft to get to Iran's borders with diminished fear of being blasted. The IDF source told The Sun: 'We struck in Yemen three or four times, and we had three air campaigns in Iran, eliminating on the way most of the aerial defence systems in Syria, Iraq, and Iran. 'They were the main obstacle when thinking about a big aerial operation on the way to Iran. Their proxy aerial defence systems.' Netanyahu believes this gaping weakness in Iran's defence makes it the prime time to strike as it will not last. Advertisement But Trump has argued that negotiation coupled with the back-up threat of bombing is the ideal exploitation of Iran's vulnerability. Iran's secret nuke site 'Rainbow' Exclusive by Katie Davis, Chief Foreign Reporter (Digital) CHILLING satellite pictures reveal Iran's sprawling secret nuclear site codenamed "Rainbow". Sources in the country have uncovered how the base is being used to develop nuclear-capable missiles with a 2,000-mile range - able to strike US bases in the Tehran's tyrannical regime is using oil and chemical facilities as a cover for nuclear bases, bombshell docs shared with The Sun by the Haunting aerial images expose a network of clandestine sites - including "Rainbow" - used by iron-fist leaders to create terrifying nuclear weapons. A powerful nuclear blast from Iran could have disastrous consequences for the Middle East - and beyond - thanks to the capability of the warheads. Now sources inside Iran have revealed the regime's nuclear weaponisation entity, Organization of Defensive Innovation and Research's (SPND) secret project to accelerate nuclear ability. Hidden under the guise of a chemical production facility, the crowning jewel of the operation is a base known internally as the 'Rangin Kaman (Rainbow) Site". It is some distance from Iran's already known nuke bases, and is masked as a chemical production company known as Diba Energy Siba. Ex-Israeli foreign affairs minister Gabi Ashkenazi warned military force will be the only alternative if talks hit a wall. The former IDF chief of general staff, speaking at a gathering of officials attended by The Sun is Paris, said: "From the national defence perspective, definitely the most important issue is Iran. "I think definitely we have to solve the issue of Gaza, but Iran is the most challenging issue for a simple reason. Advertisement "This is the only potential existential threat to the state of Israel. And I think no government is going to accept a nuclear Iran. "Imagine the 7th of October, and the Iranian nuclear umbrella. Can you imagine what would happen then? So we cannot do it. "Hopefully it will be solved through diplomacy, and if not, we will have to use military force, because we don't have any other alternative." Israel has not been involved in talks between Washington and Tehran and continues to push for military action. Advertisement Government sources in both Israel and Europe, however, have resonated with Trump and cautioned Netanyahu to refrain from striking. Former Israeli ambassador Daniel Shek told The Sun: "I do hope that there will be an agreement because I think diplomacy has more to gain on the Iranian issue than military intervention. "And people forget, historically wars aren't won on the battlefield. Battles are won on the battlefield. 7 Smoke rises following an explosion over Beirut's southern suburbs after an Israeli strike on Lebanon in October 2024 Credit: Reuters Advertisement 7 "Wars are won around the negotiating table for an exit strategy for stable arrangements that avoid the next war etc. "That's how it's done. When did you see in history a war that ended simply because you killed the very last of the opposing soldiers? "It doesn't work that way. Advertisement "So what should concern Israelis - and especially the Israeli government - is that the US seems to be much more motivated in that direction than them. "Currently you have an American president who just goes above our heads and things are happening and things will be concluded. "It's not done until it's over without including Israel simply because Israel is dragging its feet and doesn't show any enthusiasm." A source close to the French government meanwhile insisted Iran must be bombed "immediately" if they develop the capacity to explode a nuke - but not before. Advertisement The insider told The Sun in the French capital: "Iran has the capacity to have about three to five bombs. "But that is only about the uranium. What they don't have is the industrial capacity to make a bomb explode. "Something worrying is that Russians or North Korea could give them this capacity. "If Iran develops capacity to explode a nuclear bomb, they must be bombed immediately. Advertisement "Nobody wants to have a nuclear Iran. "If we discover one day that they could make a nuclear test, the only way would be to bomb Iran. "Israel says that we have to bomb it in advance, before they have the capacity to explode a nuclear bomb."

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