logo
24% US tariff looms for Malaysia

24% US tariff looms for Malaysia

The Stara day ago

PETALING JAYA: With just one month remaining before the United States imposes a 24% tariff on all Malaysian goods exported there, exporters are expressing concerns that more than half of them will be negatively affected if Malaysia fails to secure a deal.
The Federation of Malaysian Manufacturers (FMM) said about 52% of local exporters expect demand to decline if the United States proceeds with its tariff hike, with nearly half anticipating profit margins to be slashed by over 30%.
Its president Tan Sri Soh Thian Lai warned that such pressures could force some companies, especially those in cost-sensitive sectors like electrical machinery services (EMS), which supports US-linked manufacturing operations in Malaysia, to scale back operations.
'While the full financial impact and potential job losses remain difficult to quantify, FMM cautions that the combined effects of order cuts, shrinking margins and prolonged cost pressures could have serious repercussions for the country's export-reliant industries,' he said when contacted recently.
In April, the United States offered a 90-day pause to negotiate new country-specific rates based on trade imbalances.
The window is expected to close early next month.
Soh added that even if Washington settles for a lower tariff range of 10 to 15%, Malaysia would still be at a competitive disadvantage compared to countries with preferential US market access, raising concerns over a possible long-term shift in sourcing decisions by American buyers.
'Since April 2025, all Malaysian exports entering the United States have already been subjected to an across-the-board 10% tariff, which has added considerable pressure on companies, especially those whose products previously enjoyed low or zero tariffs.
'A further escalation of tariffs would significantly deepen this impact and pose a serious threat to Malaysia's export performance,' added Soh.
At the same time, FMM lauded the Investment, Trade and Industry Ministry (Miti) for its proactive efforts through the National Geoeconomic Command Centre Task Force and its recent trade mission to Washington, DC, which included negotiations with the US Trade Representative.
FMM said that these engagements are crucial for seeking exemptions from existing levies on products such as steel and aluminium.
Socio-Economic Research Cen­tre executive director Lee Heng Guie said that based on its engagement with local players, many businesses are still closely monitoring how the situation unfolds.
'What we've observed since April is that some local exporters, particularly in the electrical and electronics (E&E) sector, have been front-loading their shipments to the United States to beat the higher tariff deadline.
'This spike in export numbers is likely to continue until May or perhaps early June, based on feedback from businesses and buyers we've spoken to,' he said.
However, he added that some US buyers are taking a more cautious approach.
'They are delaying shipments and deliveries, adopting a 'wait-and-see' attitude regarding the final tariff decision.
'The concern is that if the tariff jumps to 24%, they may not be willing to absorb that additional cost.
'On the other hand, if the outcome is less than or remains at 10%, they would prefer to wait and only proceed once the situation is clear,' said Lee.
He said there were also ongoing negotiations between US buyers and Malaysian sellers on how to manage the tariff burden.
Lee stressed that the adjustment process will likely continue well beyond the 90-day pause, as businesses prepare for various outcomes.
Malay Economic Action Council senior fellow Ahmad Yazid Othman said, in principle, the council's position is that Malaysia must accept that tariffs would be imposed.
'We hope that the government will do more to spur domestic consumption and be prepared that tariffs will increase.
'As an exporting country, not every sector will be equally affected, which is why we shouldn't put all our eggs in one basket.
'We need to diversify and spread the risk by investing in more economic opportunities across other sectors, especially those not reliant on exports. I believe there's a silver lining in this situation as well,' he said.

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

MIDF Research: Oil prices under pressure as supply outpaces demand
MIDF Research: Oil prices under pressure as supply outpaces demand

The Sun

timean hour ago

  • The Sun

MIDF Research: Oil prices under pressure as supply outpaces demand

KUALA LUMPUR: Crude oil prices are expected to remain under pressure and could fall below US$65 per barrel (pb) due to persistent oversupply and weaker demand projections, according to MIDF Amanah Investment Bank Bhd (MIDF Research). However, MIDF Research noted that prices may stabilise over the longer term, even as inventories continue to rise. Sentiment surrounding trade policy developments between the United States (US) and China remains a significant risk to market movements, it said in a note today. 'Natural gas and liquified natural gas (LNG) are expected to see a rebound after May 2025's maintenance round concluded for most of the global gas and LNG facilities. 'Nevertheless, the downside risks to the lower oil price remain on new exploration projects, but may be beneficial for onshore storage, long-term tankers and retail fuel,' it said. MIDF Research opines that the scenarios of the global oil market and global economy will continue to keep Brent crude oil price within the US$60-65 pb range, averaging around US$62 pb in June 2025. 'This lower expectation is considering the risks of post-US trade tariff pause, as well as the stockpiling of oil inventories in the near term,' said MIDF Research. Meanwhile, the investment bank said ASEAN collaborations have offered a brighter outlook for the oil and gas (O&G) sector. MIDF Research stated that Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) is continuing its aggressive exploration and production (E&P) activities in the upstream sector, despite lower crude oil prices. Meanwhile, the midstream and downstream divisions are expected to turn towards sustainability and green energy solutions, integrating these initiatives into their operations. 'During the ASEAN summit that concluded in May 2025, the transportation and logistics of LNG and carbon capture and storage (CCS) were highlighted as strategic priorities for the region. 'More focus was set on renewable energy and hydrogen projects to be integrated with the conventional O&G developments, providing a balanced and sound energy transition as highlighted in Malaysia's National Energy Transition Roadmap (NETR),' it noted. MIDF Research added that regional cooperation is likely to expand through energy security, carbon credit management, Environmental Corporation America (ECA) compliance and CCS solutions. 'In addition, we opine that domestic demand and robust LNG exports will continue to locally support the sector. 'Overall, we retain a 'Neutral' view on the O&G sector, as it continues to face challenges, primarily from oil price volatility, driven by output hikes from the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries plus (OPEC+) and non-OPEC producers, including sluggish global demand due to tariff-related uncertainties,' it added.

Oil prices may dip below $65 amid weak demand, oversupply
Oil prices may dip below $65 amid weak demand, oversupply

The Sun

timean hour ago

  • The Sun

Oil prices may dip below $65 amid weak demand, oversupply

KUALA LUMPUR: Crude oil prices are expected to remain under pressure and could fall below US$65 per barrel (pb) due to persistent oversupply and weaker demand projections, according to MIDF Amanah Investment Bank Bhd (MIDF Research). However, MIDF Research noted that prices may stabilise over the longer term, even as inventories continue to rise. Sentiment surrounding trade policy developments between the United States (US) and China remains a significant risk to market movements, it said in a note today. 'Natural gas and liquified natural gas (LNG) are expected to see a rebound after May 2025's maintenance round concluded for most of the global gas and LNG facilities. 'Nevertheless, the downside risks to the lower oil price remain on new exploration projects, but may be beneficial for onshore storage, long-term tankers and retail fuel,' it said. MIDF Research opines that the scenarios of the global oil market and global economy will continue to keep Brent crude oil price within the US$60-65 pb range, averaging around US$62 pb in June 2025. 'This lower expectation is considering the risks of post-US trade tariff pause, as well as the stockpiling of oil inventories in the near term,' said MIDF Research. Meanwhile, the investment bank said ASEAN collaborations have offered a brighter outlook for the oil and gas (O&G) sector. MIDF Research stated that Petroliam Nasional Bhd (Petronas) is continuing its aggressive exploration and production (E&P) activities in the upstream sector, despite lower crude oil prices. Meanwhile, the midstream and downstream divisions are expected to turn towards sustainability and green energy solutions, integrating these initiatives into their operations. 'During the ASEAN summit that concluded in May 2025, the transportation and logistics of LNG and carbon capture and storage (CCS) were highlighted as strategic priorities for the region. 'More focus was set on renewable energy and hydrogen projects to be integrated with the conventional O&G developments, providing a balanced and sound energy transition as highlighted in Malaysia's National Energy Transition Roadmap (NETR),' it noted. MIDF Research added that regional cooperation is likely to expand through energy security, carbon credit management, Environmental Corporation America (ECA) compliance and CCS solutions. 'In addition, we opine that domestic demand and robust LNG exports will continue to locally support the sector. 'Overall, we retain a 'Neutral' view on the O&G sector, as it continues to face challenges, primarily from oil price volatility, driven by output hikes from the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries plus (OPEC+) and non-OPEC producers, including sluggish global demand due to tariff-related uncertainties,' it added.

Asian currencies poised for weekly gains; rate cut lifts Indian equities
Asian currencies poised for weekly gains; rate cut lifts Indian equities

New Straits Times

timean hour ago

  • New Straits Times

Asian currencies poised for weekly gains; rate cut lifts Indian equities

SINGAPORE/HONG KONG: Asian currencies were steady on Friday and poised for weekly gains after a phone call between US President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping signalled further trade talks, while most regional equities tracked Wall Street's overnight losses. In India, equities reversed course to rise 0.9 per cent after the Reserve Bank of India delivered a larger-than-expected cut to its key repo rate and lowered the cash reserve ratio to bolster economic growth. "The RBI may have decided to move quickly to a more appropriate policy rate level. A shift towards neutral stance means more rate cuts may be unlikely in the near-term," Jeff Ng, Head of Asia Macro Strategy at SMBC, said. The rupee inched up 0.1 per cent to 85.74 per dollar. Other regional currencies moved within a narrow band. The Thai baht and Singapore dollar were largely flat but were on track for weekly gains of 0.5 per cent and 0.4 per cent, respectively. The Malaysian ringgit was up nearly 0.6 per cent for the week. MSCI's index of emerging market currencies was flat after touching an all-time high on Thursday. The index is up 0.5 per cent for the week. The dollar index was little changed, after hitting a six-week low on Thursday, and was headed for a weekly loss of 0.5 per cent. Trump's erratic tariff moves and a worsening US fiscal outlook have triggered a flight from the dollar, prompting analysts to expect most emerging market currencies will retain or build on their gains over the next six months. In their closely watched hour-long phone call on Thursday, Xi pressed Trump to ease trade tensions that have rattled the global economy and warned against provocative moves on Taiwan, according to a summary released by the Chinese government. But Trump said on social media that the talks, focused primarily on trade, led to "a very positive conclusion". "The talks look positive, and coupled with Federal Reserve rate cut expectations due to weak US data, might lead to further USD softening," said Saktiandi Supaat, Head of FX research at Maybank. Markets are now bracing for the US jobs and non-farm payrolls report due later in the day, with concerns that a downside surprise could stoke stagflation fears and boost pressure on the Federal Reserve to quickly ease policy. Other regional stocks were broadly lower, tracking Wall Street's losses from overnight. MSCI's gauge of Asian emerging market equities edged down 0.1 per cent. Equities in Malaysia and Thailand fell 0.1 per cent and 0.8 per cent, respectively.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into the world of global news and events? Download our app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store