Oil surges 7pc as Israel-Iran conflict raises supply disruption fears
Oil gains of up to 14 per cent were largest intraday move since 2022
Iran's nuclear facility in Natanz damaged in Israeli attack
No impact to oil flows in the region so far, say analysts
Israeli attacks kill key Iranian military commanders
Trump urges Iran to make a deal over its nuclear programme
HOUSTON, June 14 — Oil prices jumped yesterday and settled 7 per cent higher as Israel and Iran traded air strikes, feeding investor worries that the combat could widely disrupt oil exports from the Middle East.
Brent crude futures settled at US$74.23 (RM315) a barrel, up US$4.87, or 7.02 per cent, after earlier soaring over 13 per cent to an intraday high of US$78.50, the strongest level since January 27. Brent was 12.5 per cent higher than a week ago.
US West Texas Intermediate crude finished at US$72.98 a barrel, up US$4.94, or 7.62 per cent. During the session, WTI jumped over 14 per cent to its highest since January 21 at US$77.62. WTI climbed 13 per cent to its level a week ago.
Both benchmarks had their largest intraday moves since 2022 when Russia's invasion of Ukraine caused a spike in energy prices.
Israel said it had targeted Iran's nuclear facilities, ballistic missile factories and military commanders on Friday at the start of what it warned would be a prolonged operation to prevent Tehran from building an atomic weapon. Iran has promised a harsh response.
Shortly after trading ended yesterday, Iranian missiles hit buildings in Tel Aviv, Israel, according to multiple media reports. Explosions were also heard in southern Israel.
US President Donald Trump urged Iran to make a deal over its nuclear programme to put an end to the 'next already planned attacks.'
The National Iranian Oil Refining and Distribution Company said oil refining and storage facilities had not been damaged and continued to operate.
Iran, a member of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), currently produces around 3.3 million barrels per day (bpd), and exports over 2 million bpd of oil and fuel. Spare capacity among OPEC and its allies, including Russia, to pump more oil to offset any disruption is roughly equivalent to Iran's output, according to analysts and OPEC watchers.
The latest developments have also stoked concerns about disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping passage.
'Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Iraq and Iran are wholly locked into one tiny passage for exports,' said Rabobank in a note, regarding the Strait.
About a fifth of the world's total oil consumption passes through the strait, or some 18 to 19 million barrels per day (bpd) of oil, condensate and fuel.
'Israeli action has so far avoided Iranian energy infrastructure, including Kharg Island, the terminal responsible for an estimated 90 per cent of Iran's crude oil exports,' said Ben Hoff, head of commodity research at Societe Generale.
'This raises the possibility that any further escalation could follow an 'energy-for-energy' logic where an attack on one side's oil infrastructure might invite a retaliatory strike on the other's,' Hoff said.
Iran could pay a heavy price for blockage of the Strait of Hormuz, analysts said yesterday.
'Iran's economy heavily relies on the free passage of goods and vessels through the seaway, as its oil exports are entirely sea-based. Finally, cutting off the Strait of Hormuz would be counterproductive to Iran's relationship with its sole oil customer, China, said analysts with JP Morgan.
Money managers raised their net long US crude futures and options positions in the week to June 10, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) said on Friday. The speculator group raise its combined futures and options position in New York and London by 15,157 contracts to 121,911 during the period.
Baker Hughes said the number of US oil and natural gas rigs fell for seventh week in a row with the total count down by 35 rigs or 6 per cent below this time last year.
The oil rig count fell by three to 439 this week, its lowest since October 2021, while gas rigs slipped by one to 113.
In other markets, stocks dived and there was a rush to safe havens such as gold, the US dollar and Swiss franc. — Reuters
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