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Stocks rally and oil slumps as Israel agrees to ceasefire with Iran

Stocks rally and oil slumps as Israel agrees to ceasefire with Iran

The National3 hours ago

Stocks gained while oil prices slipped after US President Donald Trump announced that Israel and Iran had agreed to a ceasefire.
Brent, the benchmark for about a third of global crude, fell 2.87 per cent to $69.53 a barrel at 9.05am UAE time. The slide comes after it closed 7 per cent lower on Monday following Iran's attack on a US airbase in Qatar, a more restrained response than previously feared in retaliation against US strikes on its nuclear sites.
West Texas Intermediate, the gauge for US crude, fell about 3 per cent to $66.62 a barrel after losing more than 8 per cent in Monday's trading.
'Crude futures were continuing to weaken early Tuesday … after US President Donald Trump said in a social media post late-Monday that Israel and Iran had agreed to a complete and total ceasefire,' Singapore-based consultancy Vanda Insights said on Tuesday.
Although Mr Trump said an official end to the 12-day war would soon follow, 'crude's decline was cautious', it added.
The Israeli government agreed to the ceasefire on Tuesday after 'achieving the objectives' of its attacks on Iran.
A statement from the office of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel has now 'removed a dual immediate existential threat – both in the nuclear and ballistic missile fields'.
Iran had said earlier that it would agree to stop attacking Israel only if it did the same. Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi posted on X: 'As Iran has repeatedly made clear: Israel launched war on Iran, not the other way around.'
The war has threatened to disrupt energy supplies from the region and stoked fears of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz, a vital water way for global crude flows.
The conflict has rattled global equities markets as well, adding to the already heightened volatility due to tariff concerns.
Stocks rally
Shares in Asia advanced on Tuesday, with Japan's Nikkei index gaining 1.16 per cent and China's Hang Seng rising 2.03 per cent. Stocks in Mumbai also gained 0.8 per cent, on hopes the conflict will soon come to an end.
Futures of S&P and Nasdaq also advanced 0.6 per cent and 0.83 per cent respectively, while those of the FTSE 100 gained 0.39 per cent, indicating a positive start for the US and European equities.
S&P 500 on Monday closed 0.96 per cent higher, the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.94 per cent and the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index ended 0.89 per cent higher.
While the conflict in the Middle East is dominating headlines, sell-offs caused by geopolitical events tend to be brief, Bloomberg cited Morgan Stanley's strategists led by Michael Wilson as saying in a note.
According to the Morgan Stanley team, prior geopolitical risk events have led to some volatility for equities in the short term, but one, three and 12 months after the events, the S&P 500 has been up 2 per cent, 3 per cent, and 9 per cent, on average, respectively.

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