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Earnings to events: Motilal Oswal says investors must alter their focus

Earnings to events: Motilal Oswal says investors must alter their focus

With most adverse developments now under control, analysts from Motilal Oswal Private Wealth suggest investors switch their attention towards 'earnings' from 'events'
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It has been a choppy ride for the Indian stock markets in the last few weeks as they negotiated geopolitical issues between India and Pakistan, Donald Trump's tariff related tantrums amid corporate earnings for the March 2025 (Q4-FY25) quarter.
With most adverse developments now under control, analysts from Motilal Oswal Private Wealth suggest investors switch their attention towards 'earnings' from 'events'.
As an investment strategy, they advise investors with lower equity allocations to consider lump-sum investments in Hybrid, Large-Cap, and Flexi Cap funds, and adopt a staggered approach for mid-and-small-caps over the next two–three months, with faster deployment if

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OECD pegs FY26 India growth at 6.3%
OECD pegs FY26 India growth at 6.3%

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time9 minutes ago

  • Time of India

OECD pegs FY26 India growth at 6.3%

Live Events (You can now subscribe to our (You can now subscribe to our Economic Times WhatsApp channel New Delhi: India will continue to experience "strong and broadly stable economic growth", OECD said Tuesday while pointing out that global economic growth is slowing more than expected as the tariff war takes a bigger toll on the US Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development projects India to remain one of the world's fastest-growing economies in FY26, with its gross domestic product (GDP) growth forecast at 6.3%. The country's economic momentum will be driven by private consumption, supported by rising incomes and lower personal income taxes, it said in its economic outlook released her budget speech, finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman announced that individuals earning up to ₹12 lakh per annum would not need to pay income tax under the new tax FY27, the Paris-based organisation projects 6.4% growth. India's GDP grew to a four-quarter high of 7.4% in Q4 of FY25, bringing full-year growth to 6.5%, according to official data released last the OECD warned that new tariffs imposed by the US could dampen investor sentiment, especially in export-oriented sectors like chemicals, textiles and electronics, the overall impact on India's growth is expected to be India, the OECD projects inflation to moderate further to 4.1% in FY26 and 4% in FY27. It was 4.6% in will pave the way for further policy rate cuts by the central bank's monetary policy committee, according to ahead, the organisation recommended phasing out tax expenditures, rationalising subsidies and expanding tax bases would improve the quality and sustainability of public finances, create room for enhanced social protection, increased public investment and strong labour market the OECD highlighted the need for policies to focus on increasing female workforce participation through coordinated reforms in childcare access, safe and affordable transportation, skill development and enforcement of workplace global economy is projected to slow from 3.3% last year to 2.9% in 2025 and 2026, it said, trimming its estimates from March for growth of 3.1% this year and 3.0% next US President Donald Trump's policies have raised average US tariff rates from around 2.5% when he returned to the White House to 15.4%, highest since 1938, it said. India stares at a reciprocal tariff of 26%, which was put on hold for 90 days. However, a higher 10% tariff is effective on all imports into the the growth outlook would likely be even weaker if protectionism increases, further fuelling inflation, disrupting supply chains and rattling financial markets, the organisation GDP growth is anticipated to decline to 2.9% in 2025 from 3.3% in 2024, assuming tariff rates as of mid-May persist despite ongoing legal challenges."The slowdown is concentrated in the US, Canada and Mexico, with China and other economies expected to see smaller downward adjustments," it the US, economic growth is forecast to slow to 1.6% in 2025 from 2.8% in 2024, while China's growth is expected to fall to 4.7% from 5% in the same period.

Entrepreneur finds alternative to make areca plates safer after US ban
Entrepreneur finds alternative to make areca plates safer after US ban

Time of India

time19 minutes ago

  • Time of India

Entrepreneur finds alternative to make areca plates safer after US ban

Mangaluru: Entrepreneur and researcher Nivedan Nempe has developed an innovative, eco-friendly alternative following the recent US ban on arecanut leaf sheath dinnerware. His intervention comes at a crucial time, as areca growers and industry experts from Karnataka's areca belt have appealed to Prime Minister Narendra Modi to seek the lifting of the restriction. The US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) issued an import alert banning dinnerware made from areca catechu sheaths, citing the presence of naturally occurring toxins that may migrate into food at unsafe levels. The FDA's concerns significantly impacted India's $400-500 million areca plate industry, with nearly 80–85% of exports directed to the US. Most manufacturers are concentrated in Dakshina Kannada and Shivamogga, and the ban threatens the livelihoods of many families. Nivedan, founder of Areca Tea and operating in Udupi and Shivamogga, acknowledged the FDA's concerns and told TOI: "As a preventive step, the FDA banned imports. But this severely affects Indian manufacturers. The Indian industry made efforts, including writing to the FDA, but the industry is at risk." In response, Nempe engineered a food-grade, anti-microbial paper lining that acts as a barrier between the food and the areca plate, preventing toxin migration and fungal growth. "The material is certified, heat-resistant up to 300°C, durable, printable, and gives a premium finish. It meets international safety standards without altering the existing production process," he said. While the innovation may increase production costs by 10–15%, Nivedan believes that it is the best way forward. "Our lab results were positive on all parameters. It even looks better than bagasse plates. My goal is to safeguard the industry and support the farmers by supplying this new food-grade paper."

OECD sees India growing 6.3% in FY26, projects global slowdown
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Mint

time20 minutes ago

  • Mint

OECD sees India growing 6.3% in FY26, projects global slowdown

New Delhi: The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) on Tuesday lowered India's GDP growth rate a notch, as it projected global growth to slow down more than expected on account of Trump tariffs. The Paris-based OECD in its June Economic Outlook lowered India's growth rate to 6.3% in FY26 and 6.4% in FY27, compared with earlier projections, made in March, of 6.4% for FY26 and 6.6% for FY27. It projected global growth to slow to 2.9% in 2025 and 2026 from 3.3% in 2024, trimming its estimates from March. It said the US economy would grow only 1.6% in 2025 and 1.5% in 2026, citing US President Donald Trump's tariff announcements. Also read: India poised for growth amid global uncertainty, says finance ministry While private consumption in India is set to strengthen gradually, supported by rising real incomes, moderate inflation, tax cuts, and an improving labour market, investments will be buoyed by falling interest rates and strong public capital expenditure, the OECD report said. 'Monetary conditions remain restrictive, despite policy rate cuts in February and April. Headline inflation eased to 3.2% in April 2025 and is now within the central bank's target range of 4% (± 2%), largely due to a substantial moderation in food inflation, which accounts for nearly half of the CPI basket, and declining energy prices," it said. 'Easing food prices reflect a strong autumn harvest, and government interventions, such as export restrictions. As a major oil importer, India has benefited from lower global crude oil prices in recent months, which reduced domestic fuel costs and helped contain input costs in energy-intensive sectors such as transport, manufacturing, and agriculture," it added. However, the OECD warned that higher US tariffs could weigh on exports, while inflation is likely to remain near 4%, with risks from a weak monsoon or rising global commodity prices. Also read: India calls for end to export controls among BRICS nations Globally, rising trade barriers and policy uncertainty have hurt business and consumer confidence, leading the OECD to downgrade its growth forecast and warn of broad-based impacts on income and jobs. 'In the past few months, we have seen a significant increase in trade barriers as well as in economic and trade policy uncertainty. This sharp rise in uncertainty has negatively impacted business and consumer confidence and is set to hold back trade and investment," the report said. 'Weakened economic prospects will be felt around the world, with almost no exception. Lower growth and less trade will hit incomes and slow job growth," it added. India, facing potential GDP losses of up to 0.6% due to the Trump administration's escalated tariffs according to a Goldman Sachs analysis, is particularly vulnerable, especially in sectors like pharmaceuticals, textiles, and automobiles. In response, India is actively negotiating a bilateral trade agreement with the US, aiming to finalize it soon, to mitigate the impact and strengthen economic ties. 'Tariff increases and broader trade tensions may dampen investor sentiment, particularly in export-oriented sectors such as chemicals, textiles, and electronics. However, the overall GDP effects will be limited by the moderate share of exports in GDP, with merchandise exports towards the United States accounting for only 2.1% of GDP," the OECD report said. 'India has scope to accelerate trade liberalization, simplify customs procedures, and reduce tariffs. Further reforms are needed to improve the efficiency of logistics networks, upgrade digital infrastructure, and reduce regulatory uncertainty, especially in tax administration," it said. 'Enhancing the availability and accessibility of long-term finance, including through deepening capital markets and improving credit access for SMEs, would further strengthen the investment climate," it added. Also read: Centre eyes large dividend from public sector banks in FY25 Meanwhile, UBS on Tuesday upgraded India's FY26 GDP growth forecast to 6.4% from 6%, citing resilient domestic demand and potential trade gains, with stronger household consumption supported by favourable monsoon prospects and policy stimulus. India's Central government's economic outlook for FY26 is cautiously optimistic, with GDP growth forecast between 6.3% and 6.8%; the finance ministry expects to achieve the higher end if global conditions improve but remains confident of meeting the lower bound despite global challenges.

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