logo
Readout royale

Readout royale

Politico13-06-2025
Presented by The Canadian Medical Association
Send tips | Subscribe here | Email Canada Playbook | Follow Politico Canada
Thanks for reading Canada Playbook.
In today's edition:
→ How the most Canadian part of the U.S. is responding to Trump's trade war.
→ Just in time for the G7, BRIAN CLOW on the art of the 'readout.'
→ On the agenda in Kananaskis: wildfires.
FIRST IN CANADA PLAYBOOK
'IT COULD GET UGLY' — Few swaths of Trump Country are more at risk from the U.S. president's belligerent isolationism than Minnesota's Northwest Angle, a conservative community surrounded by Canada and water that's only part of the United States due to an 18th century surveying error.
POLITICO's CORBIN HIAR paid a visit to the 150-person U.S. exclave to find out how it's dealing with Trump's 51st-state musings and punishing tariffs, as border crossings get ever more hostile.
As Hiar reports for POLITICO Magazine, if the president further provokes his Canadian hosts at the G7 Summit in Kananaskis, few places in the U.S. are more at risk from the potential diplomatic fallout than the inherently isolated Northwest Angle.
Trade war
READOUTS 101 — Prepare for an onslaught of high-stakes world leader bilats in the foothills of the Canadian Rockies — and the carefully crafted summaries that offer each side's take on the one-on-one conversations.
BRIAN CLOW, a former top Canada-U.S. adviser to then-Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU, considers them an art form. Go-to senior public servants pride themselves on their artistry, Clow said, as they send their drafts to political aides for review.
Most of the time, readouts — as they're known in the jargon — aren't labor intensive and don't draw much attention.
Some of the time, they require more TLC.
— The obvious exception: The Trump White House.
Clow said the Prime Minister's Office spent a lot of time in the drafting process.
'Sometimes we would wait to see exactly how the White House described a conversation before we would issue ours, just to ensure there was some alignment,' he said.
— The process: In Clow's time, most drafts emerged from the Privy Council Office's foreign and defense policy team. The PMO would either tinker or do a massive rewrite.
In the raucous early days of Trump 2.0, Clow sometimes held the pen himself.
On Feb. 3, when Trudeau used X to announce a mutual 30-day tariff pause, Clow and a small crew wrote the post 'very quickly' after the two leaders hung up — and then ran it by Trump comms director STEVEN CHEUNG.
'It's not the norm, but sometimes you do work with the other country, or at least check language with them if you're going to speak for them in your readout,' he said.
— Who's watching: Journalists mine readouts for details. Diplomats scan them for tone. Stakeholders pore over them for any mention, whether positive or negative.
Then there's the other country. 'You don't want to offend them. You don't want to cause some issue or cause them to disagree with your readout,' Clow said. 'But it's also an opportunity to emphasize certain messages to the other country.'
— Bland alert: Clow acknowledged the vagueness of many readouts, but stands by the opacity: 'There are times where it's just not in the national interest to put out in our own communication some of the things that are said, particularly from Donald Trump.'
Exhibit A: That time Trump brought up an obscure 1908 border treaty. 'We didn't want to amplify nonsensical, absurd threats from the U.S. president,' Clow said.
— Word to watch for: Constructive.
Every word is intentional. 'We would put that word in only if the call was constructive and the tone was positive,' Clow said. 'Often phone calls with Donald Trump were not constructive, and therefore we would not say that.'
— Speed dating, Kananaskis-style: A government official briefing Canadian reporters Thursday had high hopes for Carney's dance card.
'Scheduling will be challenging, but the intent will be for the prime minister to meet with as many of the leaders as possible, and we certainly hope all of them,' the official said.
Watch for potential readouts following bilats with Trump and the rest of the G7 leaders, Mexican President CLAUDIA SHEINBAUM, South African President CYRIL RAMAPHOSA, Indian Prime Minister NARENDRA MODI, Ukrainian President and VOLODYMYR ZELENSKYY — and U.K. Prime Minister KEIR STARMER, who's stopping in Ottawa ahead of the summit.
— In related reading: A Globe team examines the global challenges weighing on the G7 agenda. 'This year's summit will draw together leaders as a group. But the greatest priority for most of those leaders is one man alone.'
Want more POLITICO? Download our mobile app to save stories, get notifications on U.S.-Canada relations, and more. In iOS or Android .
THE ROOMS THAT MATTER
— At 2 p.m., Prime Minister MARK CARNEY will chair a meeting of the National Security Council in West Block.
— U.K. Prime Minister KEIR STARMER will meet the PM in Ottawa on Saturday, en route to their first G7 leaders' summit in Kananaskis.
For your radar
FIRE WEATHER — Canada is battling one of the worst wildfire seasons in its history. More than 200 wildfires are currently burning, including in Alberta where world leaders will touch down on Sunday.
And while skies over Kananaskis are expected to be clear of smoke, the fires are on the G7's agenda.
— Taking the reins: Prime Minister MARK CARNEY will present G7 leaders with a 'Kananaskis Wildfire Charter' dealing with fire mitigation, preparedness, response and recovery. All G7 partners, including the U.S., are expected to pledge their support.
'Given that wildfires are a global responsibility, given that they affect the other G7 nations equally, it's sensible for us to work with them and in coordination with them to develop an international agreement with respect to how wildfires are dealt with,' Emergency Management Minister ELEANOR OLSZEWSKI told reporters Thursday.
— You've got a friend: The G7 nations already share firefighting equipment and other resources. In January, firefighters from Alberta, British Columbia and Quebec helped as wildfires tore through the Los Angeles area.
— How bad can it be?: Approximately 8.65 million acres has burned this year. Canada is on track for its second-worst wildfire season on record, just behind 2023.
Firefighters and equipment in every jurisdiction in Canada is currently being used, a Public Safety official said during a briefing with reporters on Thursday. Canada has enlisted the help of some 500 firefighters from Australia, the U.S. and requested another 100 from Costa Rica.
— Evacuation plan: There are no fires near the summit venue, but CP reports that RCMP have a plan in case Mother Nature crashes their party.
WHO'S UP, WHO'S DOWN
Up: Invites to Alberta. Leaders from Australia, Brazil, India, Indonesia, Mexico, South Korea, South Africa and Ukraine are heading to the G7 as guests.
DYLAN ROBERTSON of The Canadian Press took a closer look at the invite list.
Down: The U.S. in a new global popularity survey that includes a 22 percentage-point slide in Canada from last year, according to the Pew Research Center.
MORNING MUST-CLICKS
— Top of POLITICO: Israel launches strike against Iran. And from POLITICO's ELENA GIORDANO: World leaders urge restraint.
— Defense Minister DAVID MCGUINTY is on the latest 'It's Political' pod with ALTHIA RAJ.
— ERICA IFILL writes in The Guardian on Bill C-2: 'a MAGA-inspired border bill.'
— The Globe editorial board slapped an advisory on Bill C-4: 'The government tried to pull a fast one by sticking a set of bespoke privacy protection rules for federal parties at the bottom of a bill dealing with the cost of living.'
— The Narwhal's CARL MEYER notes that Bill C-5 and other laws to fast-track development risk eroding trust of First Nations.
— Liberal MP JUDY SGRO spoke with the Globe's MARIE WOOLF after her drive to gain jailed Hong Kong publisher JIMMY LAI honorary Canadian citizenship 'went off the rails.'
— JIM BRONSKILL of The Canadian Press landed an interview with Canada's fentanyl czar, KEVIN BROSSEAU.
— Over on Maclean's, KENT FELLOWS of the University of Calgary suggests 'modernizing ports, fixing key choke points and planning future corridors with intent' are achievable goals for the short term on the way to fixing Canada's transportation infrastructure.
PLAYBOOKERS
Birthdays: HBD to JEAN-YVES DUCLOS (60!); Investigative Journalism Foundation CEO ZANE SCHWARTZ; TONY BURMAN, former head of Al Jazeera English and CBC News; as well as former Bloc Québécois MP JEAN-YVES LAFOREST and former Alberta MLA ROB ANDERSON.
Celebrating Saturday: Podcaster and strategist DAVID HERLE; Montreal Mayor VALÉRIE PLANTE; former Ontario MPP JOHN YAKABUSKI; New Brunswick MLA FRANCINE LANDRY; former MPs HOANG MAI, DOUG ROWLAND (85!) and MARK ASSAD (85!).
On Sunday: Liberal MP NATE ERSKINE-SMITH.
Spotted: KING CHARLES III, approving a new Great Seal of Canada.
Noted: Jobs Minister PATTY HAJDU has approved Canada Post's request that its final offer on a new collective agreement go to a vote of union members. The company applauded the move.
The Canadian Union of Postal Workers very much did not: 'We will not stand by as the Government and Canada Post work together to try to undermine our hard-fought rights, gut our collective agreements and re-write them on their own terms. Postal workers know how to fight back. We've done it before, and we're ready to do it again.
Movers and shakers: Sen. LARRY SMITH joins the Senate Conservative caucus.
Lobby watch: Energy Connections Canada, an association of pipeline companies, logged a May 5 meeting with Prime Minister MARK CARNEY.
— The Canadian Steel Producers Association posted June meetings with Cabmins FRANÇOIS-PHILIPPE CHAMPAGNE, DOMINIC LEBLANC, MÉLANIE JOLY, ANITA ANAND, Ambo KIRSTEN HILLMAN, Chief Trade Negotiator AARON FOWLER and Conservative MPs SHELBY KRAMP-NEUMAN and RAQUEL DANCHO.
— The Canadian Urban Transit Research & Innovation Consortium posted May 21 meetings with Cabmins Champagne, Joly, Anand, LeBlanc, MANINDER SIDHU, CHRYSTIA FREELAND, JULIE DABRUSIN, SEAN FRASER, GREGOR ROBERTSON and TIM HODGSON.
— J.D. Irving logged recent meetings with Hillman, Fowler, Secretary of State for Canada Revenue Agency and Financial Institutions WAYNE LONG and TIM KRUPA from the Prime Minister's Office.
Send Playbookers tips to canadaplaybook@politico.com
PROZONE
Headlines for our Pro subscribers:
— GM slow-rolls its all-EV aspirations.
— World Bank moves to invest in nuclear again.
— Pentagon to review US role in AUKUS submarine pact.
— Democratic strategist to become Coinbase's newest adviser.
— US to skip Bonn climate talks as world charts path to COP30.
TRIVIA
Thursday's answer: On June 12, 1991, BORIS YELTSIN was elected as the first president of the Russian Federation.
Props to AMY CASTLE, JEFFREY VALOIS, KEVIN BOSCH, RAY DEL BIANCO, NATHAN RUTHERFORD, ROBERT MCDOUGALL, MALCOLM MCKAY, MARCEL MARCOTTE and STEPHEN HAAS.
Friday's question: What do LARRY BAGNELL, AUDREY MCLAUGHLIN, ERIK NIELSEN, MARTHA LOUISE BLACK and PAT DUNCAN have in common? For bonus marks, connect your answer to this date in history.
Answer to canadaplaybook@politico.com
Writing Monday's Playbook from the G7 in Alberta: NICK TAYLOR-VAISEY
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

US budget deficit forecast $1 trillion higher over next decade, watchdog says
US budget deficit forecast $1 trillion higher over next decade, watchdog says

Yahoo

time12 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

US budget deficit forecast $1 trillion higher over next decade, watchdog says

By David Lawder WASHINGTON (Reuters) -U.S. federal budget deficits will be nearly $1 trillion higher over the next decade than projected in January by the Congressional Budget Office as a result of tax and spending legislation and tariffs, a budget watchdog said on Wednesday. The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget's latest forecasts show a cumulative deficit of $22.7 trillion from fiscal 2026 to 2035, compared to the CBO's January forecast of $21.8 trillion, which was based on laws and policies that were in place before U.S. President Donald Trump took office in January. The CBO, Congress' non-partisan budget referee agency, said on Monday that it will not issue its customary mid-year budget update this year and will issue its next 10-year budget and economic outlook in early 2026, offering no explanation for the move. The CRFB, which advocates for deficit reduction, projected a $1.7 trillion deficit in fiscal 2025 or 5.6% of GDP, down slightly from $1.83 trillion in 2024 and the CBO's 2025 projection of $1.87 trillion in January. But it said deficits steadily rise over the decade, reaching $2.6 trillion or 5.9% of GDP by 2035. The new CRFB estimates include the budget effects of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act tax and spending bill, as well as Trump's tariffs that are currently in place. But like CBO, they do not include the dynamic economic effects on growth from these changes, a forecasting rule that has drawn criticism from the Trump administration. The group projects the tax cut and spending bill to increase deficits, including interest, by $4.6 trillion through 2035, adding another year to the CBO's $4.1 trillion cost estimate through 2034. But CRFB estimates that this will be offset by $3.4 trillion worth of extra import duty revenue over the next decade due to Trump's new tariffs that are currently in place. New rules restricting eligibility for health insurance subsidies will reduce deficits by another $100 billion through 2035, and Congress' rescission of prior funding to foreign aid, public broadcasting and other programs would save another $100 billion if sustained over a decade, CRFB said. Net interest payments on the national debt will total $14 trillion over the decade, CRFB projected, rising from nearly $1 trillion or 3.2% of GDP in 2025 to $1.8 trillion or 4.1% of GDP in 2035. TARIFF CHALLENGE The forecasts are based on legislative and tariff changes since January but keep CBO's economic forecasts unchanged. Under an alternative scenario forecast by CRFB, the budget picture looks far worse, boosting deficits nearly $7 trillion higher than the CBO baseline. This scenario would see a significant part of Trump's tariffs canceled if the Court of International Trade's ruling against many of Trump's new tariffs is upheld, cutting $2.4 trillion from revenues over a decade. The alternative scenario also assumes extension of a number of temporary tax cuts in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, including tax breaks on overtime, tips, Social Security income and car loan interest, higher state and local tax deduction allowances and full expensing of factory investments, adding $1.7 trillion to deficits over 10 years. CRFB's alternative scenario also ditches the CBO's projection of a decline in 10-year U.S. Treasury yields over the decade to about 3.8%. If that interest rate stays at the current level of about 4.3%, interest costs would grow by about $1.6 trillion through 2035, CRFB said. The total 2035 debt-to-GDP ratio would grow from 118% in the CBO January baseline to 120% under the CRFB's projected baseline scenario and 134% under the CRFB's alternative scenario. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

Trump administration revokes security clearances of 37 U.S. officials
Trump administration revokes security clearances of 37 U.S. officials

Axios

time13 minutes ago

  • Axios

Trump administration revokes security clearances of 37 U.S. officials

The Trump administration revoked the security clearances of 37 current and former officials on Tuesday that it accused of "politicization or weaponization" to "advance personal, partisan or non-objective agendas." The big picture: National Intelligence Director Tulsi Gabbard publicly released a memo naming the officials, which Mark Zaid, a lawyer who represents intelligence officers and who's suing the Trump administration to have his revoked security clearance restored, said may have broken the law. Driving the news: Gabbard accused the officials in an X post on the administration's latest move to revoke security clearances of "politicizing and manipulating intelligence, leaking classified intelligence without authorization, and/or committing intentional egregious violations of tradecraft standards." Neither the memo nor Gabbard's post detailed evidence on these claims, but among the intelligence community public servants included in the list are officials who were involved in assessments on Russia's efforts to interfere in the 2016 election and others who worked on national security under former Presidents Biden and Obama. Others signed a letter supporting the impeachment inquiry into President Trump on allegations that he pressured Ukraine, which far-right activist Laura Loomer amplified last month as she noted some still held security clearances. What they're saying: Zaid wrote on X in response to Gabbard's post: "Can you say 'Privacy Act violation'? I certainly can. Further proof of weaponization and politicization. The vast majority of these individuals are not household names & are dedicated public servants who have worked across multiple presidential administrations." He said in a Tuesday night email that information regarding someone's security clearance "is maintained in a protected Privacy Act System of records" and the government "cannot simply release that information without written consent from the individual or the existence of a Routine Use, which I do not believe exists for this purpose." Representatives for the Office of the Director of National Intelligence did not immediately respond to Axios' Tuesday evening request for comment on the matter. Of note: Loomer noted on X that she had previously called for the security clearance of one of those named in the memo to be revoked, adding: "Thank you, Tulsi! MORE SCALPS." That official worked under then-Director of National Intelligence James Clapper on an Intelligence Community Assessment that found Russia interfered in the first election that President Trump won, a conclusion that's received bipartisan support in Congress. However, Gabbard last month accused the Obama administration of a " manipulation of intelligence" around Russia's role in the 2016 election. Flashback: On his first day in office, President Trump revoked the security clearances of 51 former intelligence officials who signed a letter in 2020 saying emails from Hunter Biden's laptop carried "classic earmarks of a Russian information operation."

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store