Palmeiras vs Botafogo predictions: Club World Cup tips and odds
Our expert tipster has three tips for Friday's Club World Cup last-16 contest between Brazilian clubs Palmeiras and Botafogo at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (kick-off, 5pm BST). We think Botafogo are worth backing to progress to the quarter-finals.
Palmeiras vs Botafogo tips
Botafogo to win tie @ 11/10 with Sky Bet
32+ match total fouls committed @ 5/2 with Sky Bet
Igor Jesus to have 2+ shots on target @ 7/4 with Sky Bet
Odds courtesy of Sky Bet. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
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Value lies with Botafogo
Bookmakers are struggling to split these Brazilian Serie A rivals in the last 16 of the Club World Cup, but there is a bit of value in backing Botafogo to progress to the quarter-finals, be it in 90 minutes, after extra time or on penalties.
Botafogo are eighth in the league, four place and four points behind Palmeiras, but they came into this tournament on a run of three wins before taking down Seattle Sounders and Champions League winners PSG, then came close to nicking a point off Atletico Madrid.
As for Palmeiras, they were underwhelming against Inter Miami, recovering from 2-0 down to draw 2-2, but they moved the ball slowly and it was arguably their worst performance of the tournament.
They will also be wary of the fact Botafogo beat them three times in 2024 and they were held to a 0-0 draw by them at their Sao Paulo home in March.
Defensive midfielder Gregore is suspended for Botafogo, but that may not be too big an issue given they could field a more attacking line-up than they did in the group stage and they are a great bet at 11/10 to win the tie.
Fouls could fly between rivals
This is by no means a traditional Brazilian rivalry – Palmeiras hail from Sao Paulo and Botafogo are from Rio de Janeiro – but there has been no love lost between the sides in recent seasons.
Palmeiras snatched the Serie A title from Botafogo two years ago, while Botafogo got their revenge with a win when the sides met in the Copa Libertadores last season.
This promises to be a high-intensity match between two aggressive sides and 32+ match total fouls is worth a bet at 5/2.
Botafogo are averaging 16.3 fouls per game at the Club World Cup, while Palmeiras are averaging 15 per match and there were 40 fouls committed when these sides clashed in Serie A back in March.
Jesus can cause Palmeiras problems
There are a few players who appeal in the shots and goalscorer markets for this game, but punters should keep it simple with Botafogo striker Igor Jesus to have 2+ shots on target at 7/4.
Likely to join Nottingham Forest this summer, Jesus has impressed at the Club World Cup with two goals in three appearances, averaging two shots per game.
That shot-per-game average jumps to 3.5 in Serie A this season and he was especially active in the March meeting between the sides with five shots, including three on target, plus three key passes.
Palmeiras vs Botafogo odds
All odds courtesy of Sky Bet. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
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