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Oil prices hold gains ahead of US-China trade talks

Economic Times5 hours ago

Oil prices held on to last week's gains early on Monday as investors waited for U.S.-China trade talks to be held in London later in the day.
ADVERTISEMENT Brent crude futures were flat at $66.47 a barrel at 0008 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was trading up 1 cent at $64.59.
The prospect of a U.S.-China trade deal supported prices as three of Donald Trump's top aides were set to meet with counterparts in London on Monday for the first meeting of the U.S.-China economic and trade consultation mechanism.
The announcement on Saturday followed a rare Thursday call between the two countries' top leaders, with both under pressure to dial down tensions as China's export controls on rare earths disrupt global supply chains. Oil prices posted their first weekly gain in three weeks on the news.
A U.S. jobs report showing unemployment held steady in May appeared to increase the odds of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, further supporting last week's gains. Inflation data from China on Monday morning will give a reading of domestic demand in the world's largest crude importer.
The economic data and the prospect of a trade deal that could support economic growth and increase demand for oil outweighed worries about increased OPEC+ supply after the group announced another big output hike for July on May 31.
ADVERTISEMENT HSBC expects OPEC+ to accelerate supply hikes in August and September, which are likely to raise downside risks to the bank's $65 per barrel Brent forecast from the fourth quarter of 2025, according to a research note on Friday. Capital Economics researchers said they believe this "new faster pace of (OPEC+) production rises is here to stay".
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How Trump's trade war is supercharging fast fashion industry
How Trump's trade war is supercharging fast fashion industry

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time20 minutes ago

  • Mint

How Trump's trade war is supercharging fast fashion industry

Sydney, When US President Donald Trump introduced sweeping new tariffs on Chinese imports the goal was to bring manufacturing back to American soil and protect local jobs. However, this process of re-shoring is complex and requires years of investment and planning – far too slow for the world of ultra-fast fashion, where brands are used to reacting in weeks, not years. Many clothing companies started to move production out of China during Trump's first term. They relocated to countries such as Vietnam and Cambodia when the initial China-specific tariffs hit. This trend accelerated with the newer 'reciprocal' tariffs. Instead of re-shoring production, many fashion brands are simply sourcing from whichever country offers the lowest total cost after tariffs. The result? The ultra-fast fashion machine adapted quickly and became even more exploitative. From Guangzhou to your wardrobe in days Platforms such as Shein and Temu built their success by offering trend-driven clothing at shockingly low prices. A USD 5 dress or USD 3 top might seem like a bargain, but those prices hide a lot. Much of Shein's production takes place in the so-called 'Shein village' in Guangzhou, China, where workers often sew for 12–14 hours a day under poor conditions to keep pace with the demand for new items. When the US cracked down on Chinese imports, the intention was to make American-made goods more competitive. This included raising the tariff on Chinese goods as high as 145 per cent , and closing the 'de minimis' loophole, which had allowed imports under USD 800 to enter tariff-free. But these tariffs did not halt ultra-fast fashion. They just rerouted production to countries with lower tariffs and even lower labour costs. The Philippines, with a comparatively low tariff rate of 17 per cent, emerged as a surprising alternative. 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Power shift: How Tesla's turmoil is steering global capital towards India
Power shift: How Tesla's turmoil is steering global capital towards India

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Power shift: How Tesla's turmoil is steering global capital towards India

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US and China to hold trade talks in London focusing on export controls
US and China to hold trade talks in London focusing on export controls

First Post

timean hour ago

  • First Post

US and China to hold trade talks in London focusing on export controls

In the second round of trade talks today in London, the United States and China are set to be focussed on export controls regarding critical technologies and rare earths instead of tariffs. read more US President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping are seen during an engagement on the sidelines of the G20 Summit in Osaka, Japan, in 2019. (Photo: Reuters) The United States and China will hold second round of trade talks in London on Monday. The focus is going to be on export controls instead of tariffs. In recent weeks, both the countries have sought to choke the other's access to critical supply chain elements that they dominate. While the Donald Trump administration has sought to restrict China's access to semiconductors, jet engines, and certain chemicals and machinery, China has restricted the supply of rare earths, which are critical to manufacture virtually everything from cars to fighter planes and electronic chips. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Both the United States and China have accused the other of violating the trade truce reached last month. On May 12, the United States and China reached a truce and agreed to reduce tariffs by 115 per cent for 90 days so talks could continue. However, within days, the Trump administration tightened export controls regarding semiconductors. China responded by not relaxing rare earths' supplies that were halted in April. While Trump has said that China has 'totally' violated the truce and that Chinese leader Xi Jinping 'extremely hard' to make a deal with, China claimed that the United States had 'severely violated the common understandings reached in Geneva'. US-China trade talks to now focus on export controls Unlike the first round of talks in Switzerland's Geneva, the second round of talks in London will be focussed on export controls. The new focus comes as China's s stoppage rare earths supplies has threatened to bring manufacturing units in the United States and elsewhere, including India, to a halt, particularly in sectors like automobiles. This would be a major blow to Trump, who has championed revitalising the US manufacturing industry. The US delegation will be led by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent but will also include Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick. The inclusion of Lutnick, who was not part of talks in Geneva and oversees the US export control regime, reinforces the understanding that talks will be focussed on export controls instead of tariffs. The Chinese delegation will be led by He Lifeng, the vice premier for economic policy who also led the delegations in Geneva. While American negotiators are expected to press for China to relax curbs on the export of rare earths, Chinese officials are expected to press for the removal of US curbs on China's access to semiconductors, jet engines, and other critical technologies, according to Wall Street Journal. There are signs that the two sides may be headed towards achieving an understanding that makes way for an off-ramp. Even though they have accused each other of violating the spirit of talks, Trump said ahead of Monday's talks that conversations with China 'very far advanced' and described a phone call with Xi last week as 'very good' and said 'there should no longer be any questions respecting the complexity of rare-earth products'. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD In what is seen as a goodwill gesture, China on Saturday said it had granted a number of export licences related rare earths. 'Up until the phone call, both sides were spiraling toward uncontrolled supply-chain warfare. I think the administration played this card to get China to re-engage and back off the magnet restrictions,' Jimmy Goodrich, a China and technology expert and senior adviser to Rand, told Journal.

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