
Can Disciplined Cost Management Fuel ExxonMobil's Future?
ExxonMobil mentioned on its recent earnings call that it aims to slash its breakeven costs to $35 per barrel by 2027 and $30 per barrel by 2030. Thus, XOM's upstream operations, which derive the majority of earnings, will probably remain profitable even if there is a plunge in oil prices in the future. It can also be said that the integrated major stands to earn substantially more from its upstream business, reflecting its strong footprint in the most prolific Permian basin, when prices climb.
Importantly, XOM has aimed to lower its breakeven costs while maintaining its investment program. This will not only keep its operations profitable and resilient during a challenging business environment but also help it generate long-term value for shareholders while continuing to invest in major projects.
Other Upstream Firms With Low Breakeven Costs: CVX, EOG
According to Statista, a leading platform for data collection and visualization, the breakeven price in the Permian, especially in the Delaware and Midland sub-basins, is well below $40 per barrel. Hence, companies operating in the Permian, like Chevron Corporation CVX and EOG Resources Inc. EOG, are experiencing low breakeven prices.
In 2024, CVX conducted 80% of its development activities in the Delaware basin. Chevron plans to increase the development program in the Delaware basin to 85% this year. This simplifies CVX's strong focus on low breakeven-cost operations, enabling it to maximize its profit.
On its recent earnings call, EOG stated that it could easily handle all its planned spending for this year, even if oil prices trade in the low $50 per barrel. It means that to remain financially healthy, EOG does not need high oil prices.
XOM's Price Performance, Valuation & Estimates
Shares of XOM have declined 1% over the past year compared with the 2.8% fall of the composite stocks belonging to the industry.
From a valuation standpoint, XOM trades at a trailing 12-month enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) of 6.77X. This is above the broader industry average of 4.14X.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for XOM's 2025 earnings hasn't been revised over the past seven days.
XOM stock currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Zacks' Research Chief Names "Stock Most Likely to Double"
Our team of experts has just released the 5 stocks with the greatest probability of gaining +100% or more in the coming months. Of those 5, Director of Research Sheraz Mian highlights the one stock set to climb highest.
This top pick is a little-known satellite-based communications firm. Space is projected to become a trillion dollar industry, and this company's customer base is growing fast. Analysts have forecasted a major revenue breakout in 2025. Of course, all our elite picks aren't winners but this one could far surpass earlier Zacks' Stocks Set to Double like Hims & Hers Health, which shot up +209%.
Free: See Our Top Stock And 4 Runners Up
Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report
Chevron Corporation (CVX): Free Stock Analysis Report
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM): Free Stock Analysis Report
EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG): Free Stock Analysis Report
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