Justin Jefferson fantasy football preview 2025: Stats, season outlook, predictions
Justin Jefferson 2025 Fantasy Football Snapshot
6.1 catches, 90.4 yards per game still netted WR2 finish in 2024.
McCarthy takes over after Vikings averaged 233 pass yards with Darnold.
Elite volume and talent keep Jefferson in WR1 overall conversation.
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2024: After years of dominating fantasy leagues with Kirk Cousins chucking him the ball, Jefferson finally had to strike out on his own with Sam Darnold as his quarterback. Darnold played well and kept the trains running on time, but Minnesota fell to 233 passing yards per game, the lowest mark since Jefferson joined the team. This, in turn, put a squeeze on his counting stats. Jefferson's 6.1 catches and 90.4 yards per game were both low-water marks since his debut season and his 2.4 yards per route were the worst of his career. Being the living legend that he is, down years don't hit the same for Jefferson. Despite all of this, he ranked as PPR's WR2 overall.
What's changed: The reason Minnesota turned to Darnold in 2025 was that their initial succession plan for Cousins, J.J. McCarthy, missed the year with a knee injury. The Vikings let Darnold walk in the offseason, teeing McCarthy up for 17 starts this year. The move to a complete unknown seems like a risk for Jefferson and the entire offense, but Darnold had been bouncing around the league as a backup for years. Kevin O'Connell worked his magic and got an astounding season from the journeyman. He's a good bet to do something similar with McCarthy.
2025 Outlook: Ja'Marr Chase's triple crown season puts him ahead of Jefferson for the upcoming season. Saquon Barkley's record-setting season should also keep him at the No. 2 spot, but receiver-crazed fantasy drafters have already started taking Jefferson over him. After Chase is off the board, it's all fair game. Jefferson is at least in the conversation for the second-best fantasy asset this year.
**Projections from Spotlight Sports Group
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Hill still has game-breaking potential and deserves a spot inside the Top 10 of my rankings based on his past production and ceiling, but he could be an inconsistent WR1. Thomas was the No. 4 fantasy football wide receiver last season, when he hauled in 87 of his 133 targets. He should continue to provide Top 10 value in 2025, but could lose some targets to rookie phenom Travis Hunter Jr. I expect Thomas to nearly mirror his rookie production, with at least 1,200 yards and close to 10 scores. He is my No. 9 option and an ideal WR1 if you opt to choose an elite RB1 with your first pick. Just Napping 11. Marvin Harrison Jr., 23. Calvin Ridley, 24. Xavier Worthy, 26. Jameson Williams This group is another collection of pass catchers who are great targets as WR2s and could provide low-end WR1 value if you choose to start your draft with running back selections. Ridley and Worthy are my favorite targets here. Ridley is a great WR2 option and can be slotted in as a low-end WR1 this year if you are in a deeper league. The Tennessee Titans target already formed chemistry with rookie quarterback Cam Ward, the No. 1 overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, and should see a ton of looks this season. The Titans also have a very favorable schedule, with just two games against teams that ranked inside the Top 10 for the fewest fantasy points allowed to wide receivers last season. They don't face any teams that ranked inside the Top 5 for fewest points allowed to the position. Worthy sits right behind Ridley as the No. 24 player in my wide receiver rankings. The Kansas City Chiefs playmaker should be heavily involved to start the season, especially due to the likely suspension of fellow wide receiver Rashee Rice. Like Ridley, he also has a very favorable schedule. That slate includes five games against teams that ranked inside the Top 10 for the most fantasy points allowed to wide receivers last year. He has three matchups against teams that ranked inside the Top 10 for the fewest points allowed to the position. He will not face any teams that ranked inside the Top 5 for the fewest points allowed to wide receivers. Worthy caught just 59 passes for 638 yards, but scored a total of nine times during his rookie campaign. Look for coach Andy Reid to continue to find creative ways to get the ball into Worthy's hands. He could be an inconsistent producer, but I still expect Worthy to provide WR1/WR2 value the majority of the time. Deep Sleepers 30. Matthew Golden, 31. Cooper Kupp, 40. Ricky Pearsall The Green Bay Packers' wide receivers room is a little hard to predict, but I would take a chance on rookie Matthew Golden if you are targeting a WR2/WR3 late in your fantasy draft. His current average draft position is after the eighth round, which could end up being an extremely good value if he turns into the Packers' WR1. Injuries are already impacting the Packers' pass catching group. Jayden Reed is dealing with a foot issue, while Christian Watson is expected to start the season on the physically unable to perform list. Romeo Doubs also was shaken up at a recent practice. The Packers have a very favorable schedule, with six games against teams that ranked inside the Top 10 for the most fantasy points allowed to wide receivers in 2024. They face just three teams that ranked inside the Top 10 for allowing the fewest points to the position, including just one Top-5 unit. If Golden stays healthy, he should have the opportunity to become quarterback Jordan Love's go-to guy. He is my No. 30 option. Pearsall is another player with a potential avenue to WR1 status on his team entering 2025. The San Francisco 49ers pass catcher totaled just 400 yards and three scores on 31 catches during his rookie campaign, which started with a six-game absence as he recovered from being shot last off-season. The 49ers are dealing with major troubles in their wide receivers room, with Jauan Jennings nursing a calf injury and No. 1 target Brandon Aiyuk out until at least Week 6 because of knee issues. Pearsall eclipsed 60 yards and found the end zone in three of his final nine games of the season, but should provide that type of production on a more consistent basis with his expected opportunities in 2025. The 49ers also have one of the best schedules for fantasy football wide receivers, with a league-high seven games against teams that ranked inside the Top 10 for the most points allowed to the position in 2024. They don't have a single matchup against a team that ranked inside the Top 10 for the fewest fantasy points allowed to wide receivers. Pearsall, my No. 40 wide receiver, is my favorite sleeper at the position. Top 75 Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Rankings 1. Ja'Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals, Bye Week 10 2. Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings, Bye Week 6 3. CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys, Bye Week 10 4. Nico Collins, Houston Texans, Bye Week 6 5. Malik Nabers, New York Giants, Bye Week 14 6. Puka Nacua, Los Angeles Rams, Bye Week 8 7. A.J. Brown, Philadelphia Eagles, Bye Week 9 8. Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins, Bye Week 12 9. Brian Thomas Jr., Jacksonville Jaguars, Bye Week 12 10. Amon-Ra St. Brown, Detroit Lions, Bye Week 8 11. Marvin Harrison Jr., Arizona Cardinals, Bye Week 8 12. Drake London, Atlanta Falcons, Bye Week 5 13. Tee Higgins, Cincinnati Bengals, Bye Week 10 14. D.J. Moore, Chicago Bears, Bye Week 5 15. Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Seattle Seahawks, Bye Week 8 16. Garrett Wilson, New York Jets, Bye Week 9 17. Ladd McConkey, Los Angeles Chargers, Bye Week 12 18. Davante Adams, Los Angeles Rams, Bye Week 8 19. DK Metcalf, Pittsburgh Steelers, Bye Week 5 20. Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Bye Week 9 21. Courtland Sutton, Denver Broncos, Bye Week 12 22. Terry McLaurin, Washington Commanders, Bye Week 12 23. 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