‘The Pitt' bump: Noah Wyle gaining on Adam Scott in latest Emmy odds
Just days after The Pitt's first season hung up its stethoscope, Noah Wyle's Emmy odds continue to rise.
The Best Actor contender, who plays Dr. Michael "Robby" Robinavitch, received rave reviews for the storyline in which he had a mental breakdown after losing yet another patient while working an all-day shift. One month ago, Wyle ranked in fifth place to win Best Drama Actor among the Gold Derby odds, but buoyed by positive word-of-mouth for his performance on The Pitt, he's now in the No. 2 position to claim his first career statuette. He previously received five supporting Emmy bids for ER (1995-99).
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The only person standing in Wyle's way, according to the Gold Derby predictions, is Severance star Adam Scott. Lest we forget, Scott also received a goat-load of kudos following the finale of his show, particularly for the scene in which the "innie" and "outie" versions of his character, Mark Scout, negotiated with each other via camcorder. Mark's season-long mission to find save his wife, Gemma (Dichen Lachman), allowed Scott to reach new depths as an actor. As such, he's held the top spot in our rankings since early March.
As of now, the other likely nominees for Best Drama Actor are Gary Oldman (Slow Horses), Pedro Pascal (The Last of Us), Sterling K. Brown (Paradise), and Eddie Redmayne (The Day of the Jackal). Oldman and Redmayne are both Best Actor Oscar winners, for Darkest Hour (2017) and The Theory of Everything (2014), respectively, while Brown is a triple Emmy champ for The People v. O.J. Simpson (2016), This Is Us (2017), and Lincoln: Divided We Stand (2021).
SEE 2025 Emmy Awards calendar: Key dates
Below, are our current Emmy predictions in Best Drama Actor as well as 15 other categories, updated Tuesday. You can see how the races have evolved over time by looking back at our previous Emmy snapshots on March 19, March 28, and April 7.
Gold Derby's Emmy odds are based on the combined forecasts of more than 2,200 people (and counting), including experts we've polled from major media outlets, editors who cover awards year-round for this website, and the mass of users who make up our biggest predictions bloc. Track the Emmy predictions by exploring all of our charts and graphs, and be sure to sound off in the TV forums.
Fabio Lovino/HBO
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Severance — 4/1 2. The Last of Us — 11/2 3. The White Lotus — 6/1 4. The Pitt — 8/1 5. Slow Horses — 17/2 6. The Diplomat — 19/2 7. Squid Game — 14/1 8. Andor — 18/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Paradise, The Handmaid's Tale, The Day of the Jackal, House of the Dragon, Yellowjackets, Bad Sisters
Alex Bailey/Netflix
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Kathy Bates (Matlock) — 71/20 2. Bella Ramsey (The Last of Us) — 9/2 3. Keri Russell (The Diplomat) — 9/2 4. Britt Lower (Severance) — 5/1 5. Elisabeth Moss (The Handmaid's Tale) — 10/1 6. Melanie Lynskey (Yellowjackets) — 14/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Keira Knightley (Black Doves), Nicola Coughlan (Bridgerton), Helen Mirren (1923), Sharon Horgan (Bad Sisters), Angela Bassett (9-1-1), Zoe Saldaña (Lioness)
Apple TV+
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Adam Scott (Severance) — 71/20 2. Noah Wyle (The Pitt) — 9/2 3. Gary Oldman (Slow Horses) — 5/1 4. Pedro Pascal (The Last of Us) — 5/1 5. Sterling K. Brown (Paradise) — 13/2 6. Eddie Redmayne (The Day of the Jackal) — 15/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Lee Jung-jae (Squid Game), Jon Hamm (Your Friends and Neighbors), Diego Luna (Andor), Jeff Bridges (The Old Man), Harrison Ford (1923), Billy Bob Thornton (Landman)
Netflix
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Carrie Coon (The White Lotus) — 9/2 2. Parker Posey (The White Lotus) — 5/1 3. Allison Janney (The Diplomat) — 6/1 4. Kaitlyn Dever (The Last of Us) — 7/1 5. Natasha Rothwell (The White Lotus) — 19/2 6. Aimee Lou Wood (The White Lotus) — 11/1 7. Patricia Arquette (Severance) — 12/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Leslie Bibb (The White Lotus), Julianne Nicholson (Paradise), Dichen Lachman (Severance), Kristin Scott Thomas (Slow Horses), Michelle Monaghan (The White Lotus), Katherine LaNasa (The Pitt)
Apple TV+
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. John Turturro (Severance) — 9/2 2. Walton Goggins (The White Lotus) — 9/2 3. Tramell Tillman (Severance) — 13/2 4. Jack Lowden (Slow Horses) — 7/1 5. Jason Isaacs (The White Lotus) — 9/1 6. Sam Rockwell (The White Lotus) — 10/1 7. Jeffrey Wright (The Last of Us) — 16/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Patrick Schwarzenegger (The White Lotus), Jonathan Pryce (Slow Horses), Zach Cherry (Severance), Patrick Ball (The Pitt), Lee Byung-hun (Squid Game), James Marsden (Paradise)
Disney/Patrick Harbron
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Hacks — 4/1 2. The Bear — 13/2 3. Only Murders in the Building — 7/1 4. The Studio — 7/1 5. Abbott Elementary — 8/1 6. Shrinking — 10/1 7. Nobody Wants This — 11/1 8. What We Do in the Shadows — 16/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
The Four Seasons, A Man on the Inside, Poker Face, The Residence, St. Denis Medical, Agatha All Along
ABC
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Jean Smart (Hacks) — 3/1 2. Ayo Edebiri (The Bear) — 9/2 3. Quinta Brunson (Abbott Elementary) — 11/2 4. Kristen Bell (Nobody Wants This) — 13/2 5. Selena Gomez (Only Murders in the Building) — 21/2 6. Natasha Lyonne (Poker Face) — 13/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Uzo Aduba (The Residence), Kathryn Hahn (Agatha All Along), Tina Fey (The Four Seasons), Bridget Everett (Somebody Somewhere), Charlotte Gainsbourg (Étoile), Kate Hudson (Running Point)
Apple TV+
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Martin Short (Only Murders in the Building) — 37/10 2. Jeremy Allen White (The Bear) — 39/10 3. Seth Rogen (The Studio) — 11/2 4. Adam Brody (Nobody Wants This) — 11/2 5. Steve Martin (Only Murders in the Building) — 17/2 6. Jason Segel (Shrinking) — 10/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Ted Danson (A Man on the Inside), Steve Carell (The Four Seasons), Matt Berry (What We Do in the Shadows), Luke Kirby (Étoile), David Alan Grier (St. Denis Medical), Nathan Lane (Mid-Century Modern)
ABC
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) — 31/10 2. Liza Cólon-Zayas (The Bear) — 9/2 3. Sheryl Lee Ralph (Abbott Elementary) — 13/2 4. Jessica Williams (Shrinking) — 13/2 5. Catherine O'Hara (The Studio) — 17/2 6. Janelle James (Abbott Elementary) — 19/2
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Meryl Streep (Only Murders in the Building), Patti LuPone (Agatha All Along), Meg Stalter (Hacks), Kathryn Hahn (The Studio), Linda Lavin (Mid-Century Modern), Chloe Fineman (Saturday Night Live)
Karen Ballard/Max
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Ebon Moss-Bachrach (The Bear) — 71/20 2. Harrison Ford (Shrinking) — 9/2 3. Paul W. Downs (Hacks) — 9/2 4. Michael Urie (Shrinking) — 13/2 5. Tyler James Williams (Abbott Elementary) — 8/1 6. Ike Barinholtz (The Studio) — 11/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Bowen Yang (Saturday Night Live), Colman Domingo (The Four Seasons), Brett Goldstein (Shrinking), Timothy Simons (Nobody Wants This), Kenan Thompson (Saturday Night Live), Ted McGinley (Shrinking)
Apple TV+
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Adolescence — 46/25 2. The Penguin — 16/5 3. Disclaimer — 15/2 4. Dying for Sex — 8/1 5. Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story — 12/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Say Nothing, Black Mirror, Presumed Innocent, Dope Thief, La Maquina, Fight Night: The Million Dollar Heist
Disney+
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Rebel Ridge — 23/10 2. Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy — 3/1 3. Out of My Mind — 6/1 4. Am I OK? — 11/1 5. Mountainhead — 13/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
The Parenting, The Gorge, The Supremes at Earl's All-You-Can-Eat, G20, Another Simple Favor, Swiped
Apple TV+
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Cristin Milioti (The Penguin) — 43/20 2. Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) — 11/4 3. Cate Blanchett (Disclaimer) — 9/2 4. Renée Zellweger (Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy) — 21/2 5. Kaitlyn Dever (Apple Cider Vinegar) — 13/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Ellen Pompeo (Good American Family), Lola Petticrew (Say Nothing), Julianne Moore (Sirens), Anya Taylor-Joy (The Gorge), Uzo Aduba (The Supremes at Earl's All-You-Can-Eat), Meghann Fahy (Sirens)
Apple TV+
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Colin Farrell (The Penguin) — 7/4 2. Stephen Graham (Adolescence) — 4/1 3. Kevin Kline (Disclaimer) — 6/1 4. Cooper Koch (Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story) — 7/1 5. Brian Tyree Henry (Dope Thief) — 14/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Robert De Niro (Zero Day), Jake Gyllenhaal (Presumed Innocent), Aaron Pierre (Rebel Ridge), Nicholas Alexander Chavez (Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story), Miles Teller (The Gorge), Gael Garcia Bernal (La Maquina)
Apple TV+
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Deirdre O'Connell (The Penguin) — 9/2 2. Erin Doherty (Adolescence) — 11/2 3. Lesley Manville (Disclaimer) — 6/1 4. Jenny Slate (Dying for Sex) — 7/1 5. Sissy Spacek (Dying for Sex) — 15/2 6. Chloe Sevigny (Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story) — 12/1 7. Christine Tremarco (Adolescence) — 20/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Angela Bassett (Zero Day), Ruth Negga (Presumed Innocent), , Leila George (Disclaimer), Edie Falco (The Parenting), Joan Allen (Zero Day), Shohreh Aghdashloo (The Penguin)
Netflix
PREDICTED NOMINEES
1. Owen Cooper (Adolescence) — 4/1 2. Javier Bardem (Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story) — 9/2 3. Liev Schreiber (The Perfect Couple) — 15/2 4. Rhenzy Feliz (The Penguin) — 13/1 5. Jesse Plemons (Zero Day) — 15/1 6. Kodi Smit-McPhee (Disclaimer) — 16/1 7. Ashley Walters (Adolescence) — 18/1
POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Peter Sarsgaard (Presumed Innocent), Rob Delaney (Dying for Sex), Jay Duplass (Dying for Sex), Brian Cox (The Parenting), Diego Luna (La Maquina), Sacha Baron Cohen (Disclaimer)
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