National Hurricane Center Watching Area Off Southeast Coast For Development
The National Hurricane Center is tracking an area off the Southeast coast for a chance of tropical or subtropical development later this week, but regardless of that, heavy rain and poor beach conditions can be expected over the next few days.
A stalled front and upper-level disturbance will team up to create stormy conditions from Florida to the Carolinas over the next few days.
What the National Hurricane Center is watching for is the possibility that a non-tropical low-pressure system could develop and gradually acquire tropical or subtropical characteristics, if it remains over water rather than inland.
Right now, the chance of a tropical or subtropical depression or storm forming is low in the area shown below off the Southeast Coast. This system should move away from the Southeast coast by Friday and Saturday and head out to sea.
The first name of the Atlantic hurricane season will be Andrea.
Localized heavy rain will spread from Florida to the coastal Carolinas over next few days no matter if there is any attempt at development or not.
That will include mainly South Florida on Tuesday. Flash flooding cannot be ruled out, including in Miami.
Areas from Florida to the coastal Carolinas could then see pockets of heavy rain from Wednesday into Thursday. That could include Savannah, Georgia, Charleston, South Carolina, and Wilmington, North Carolina.
Beaches on the Southeast coast will also see rough surf and a risk of rip currents, so take heed of warnings if you are headed to beach.
This region is no stranger to tropical development for the month of June. Parts of the Caribbean, Gulf and Southeast Coast are all common areas for development this time of year, as shown below shaded in yellow.
So the good news is, this is nothing out of the ordinary.
Caitlin Kaiser graduated from the Georgia Institute of Technology with both an undergraduate and graduate degree in Earth and Atmospheric Sciences before starting her career as a digital meteorologist with weather.com.
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