logo
BJ's Wholesale Club Beats Earnings Estimates on Favorable Shopping Trends

BJ's Wholesale Club Beats Earnings Estimates on Favorable Shopping Trends

Epoch Times23-05-2025
Based on strong membership and digital sales growth, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. reported earnings for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025 that beat market estimates. Despite the challenging consumer environment, the company maintained its guidance for the rest of the year.
On May 22, the operator of membership warehouse clubs in the eastern half of the United States reported adjusted earnings of $1.14 per diluted share for the quarter ended May 3, surpassing Zacks' average analyst estimate of 91 cents.
Revenues were $5.15 billion, up 4.8 percent from a year earlier, due to an 8.1 percent rise in membership fee income and a 35 percent jump in digitally enabled comparable sales growth.
'We reported a strong start to the year, demonstrating the power of our model and continued momentum in our long-term growth priorities,' said Bob Eddy, chairman and CEO of BJ's Wholesale Club.
'Delivering great value is essential in today's environment, and I am proud of our team members who remain committed to caring for the families who depend on us.'
BJ has been benefiting from several shopping trends, including the growing popularity of wholesale clubs and superstores. According to
Related Stories
5/21/2025
5/21/2025
Another trend is the merging of online and offline sales, giving rise to a new channel known as 'digitally enabled sales.' Customers can place orders online and either pick them up at local stores or have them delivered to their homes the same day. This approach has helped traditional brick-and-mortar retailers compete more effectively with Amazon.
Adding to these favorable retail trends is the application of membership fees, which allows wholesale club operators to target more affluent customers through market segmentation.
In addition to boosting sales, these factors have helped wholesale clubs better allocate capital, creating superior returns for investors.
According to data published by Gurufocus.com, BJ Wholesale Club's return on invested capital (ROIC) was 10.44 percent, nearly twice the rate the company paid to raise capital in the markets.
BJ's shares fell by 1.3 percent on May 22. The stock has been up 29.79 percent year to date, and 212 percent over the past five years, beating the S&P 500 Index, which is flat for the year and up by 98 percent over the same five-year period.
Laura Felice, executive vice president and chief financial officer of BJ's Wholesale Club, sees the company continuing its growth path and maintaining its guidance for the rest of the year.
'As we look to fiscal 2025, we are confident in our team, our positioning in the marketplace, and the growth drivers that are within our control. We will remain focused on executing against our long-term priorities to drive continued traffic and market share gains,' she said.
'Based on what we know today, we are leaving our fiscal 2025 guidance unchanged and will continue to evaluate as the year progresses.'
On March 6, the company's guidance for fiscal 2025 called for comparable club annual sales growth, excluding the impact of gasoline sales, in the range of 2.0 percent to 3.5 percent, and adjusted earnings per share in the range of $4.10 to $4.30.
Meanwhile, the company remains on track to open 25 to 30 new clubs over the next two years as it updates and upgrades its business model.
'In the past several years, we've updated our clubs with the latest sign packages and invested to support our key growth initiatives, including digital and Fresh two-point zero,' Eddy said during the earnings conference call.
'We're also looking to identify relocation opportunities to better position our fleet for tomorrow.'
Georgios Koimisis, a professor of economics and finance at Manhattan University, is skeptical about BJ's ability to continue its winning streak on Main Street and Wall Street.
'BJ's stock has outperformed the broader market this year,' he told The Epoch Times via email. 'However, while BJ's seems to be managing costs and profits well, it has not consistently grown sales beyond expectations.'
Koimisis sees this situation worsening in the current environment of rising long-term interest rates and plunging consumer confidence.
'With growing economic uncertainty, any slowdown in consumer spending could shift focus from profits to sales performance, making sustained revenue growth a more important factor of investor confidence going forward,' he said.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Economic fears of investors are here — and fed by Trump's reaction
Economic fears of investors are here — and fed by Trump's reaction

Yahoo

time32 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Economic fears of investors are here — and fed by Trump's reaction

For months, the U.S. economy appeared to be weathering the disruptive effects of President Donald Trump's trade and immigration policies. But over the course of 72 hours, that sunny outlook darkened, as the latest government data this week showed the president's revolutionary remaking of the world's largest economy had hit a snag. Subscribe to The Post Most newsletter for the most important and interesting stories from The Washington Post. Friday's disappointing jobs report revealed a labor market that is much weaker than either the White House or Federal Reserve understood. Inflation, the voter irritant that helped return Trump to the Oval Office, is proving newly stubborn. And consumers are growing more cautious with their spending. After campaigning on a pledge to free business from worrying about Washington's dictates, Trump has made public policy - and his own norm-busting behavior - the primary variables affecting the $30 trillion U.S. economy, economists said. It all adds up to an economy that grew at an annual rate of 1.2 percent over the first half of the year, a notable downshift from its 2.4 percent pace at the end of 2024. The S&P 500 index, which has been on a tear since mid-April, reacted by shedding 2.5 percent of its value this week. 'We're seeing dramatic changes in policy across multiple dimensions. Trump inherited an economy that was in very good shape, that was in balance. He is trying to move it to a different equilibrium. And the corporate sector and everyone else are in the process of adjusting,' said Eric Winograd, senior vice president of AllianceBernstein in New York. That adjustment grew even tougher on Friday, when the president ordered the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics fired over claims that she had tampered with employment figures to hurt him politically, without presenting evidence. Even as the costs of his policies became more apparent, the action ignited worries that Trump's volatile temperament could cause additional economic harm by undermining market confidence in the government data that investors, business executives and policymakers require to make decisions. Firing a nonpartisan analyst for delivering bad news was 'straight out of an autocratic playbook,' said Heidi Shierholz, former chief economist of the Labor Department and now the president of the Economic Policy Institute, a left-of-center think tank. 'If policymakers and the public can't trust the data - or suspect the data are being manipulated - confidence collapses and reasonable economic decision-making becomes impossible. It's like trying to drive a car blindfolded,' she said. What provoked Trump's ire was news that employers had created just 73,000 jobs in July and that the BLS had overstated hiring for the prior two months by 258,000 positions. The downward revisions left total new hiring over the past three months at an anemic 106,000 compared with the 368,000 jobs created during the same period in 2024. Trump's command to cashier Erika McEntarfer, a veteran labor economist who had helmed the agency since January 2024, drew widespread criticism including from the ex-Heritage Foundation economist he had appointed to that post in 2017, William Beach, who called the firing 'totally groundless.' The president's thirst for complete control of public agencies' data and decisions extends to the nation's central bank. On Friday, Trump - who has simultaneously said the economy was 'booming' and called for urgent interest rate cuts to spur growth - resumed his attacks on Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell. 'Jerome 'Too Late' Powell, a stubborn MORON, must substantially lower interest rates, NOW,' Trump wrote on social media, one week after telling reporters the Fed chief was 'a very good man.' The president has repeatedly mused about a near-unprecedented firing of Powell for refusing to cut rates to levels normally seen during profound economic weakness. This week, the Fed's monetary policy committee opted to stand pat, with Powell later telling reporters that the labor market was 'solid.' The weak jobs report that Trump assailed may, ironically, increase the odds that the Fed will cut rates at its next meeting, in September. Investors believe there is a more than 80 percent chance of a rate cut next month, based on trading in financial instruments that track central bank actions, according to CME Group. On Friday, Adriana Kugler, a member of the Fed's Board of Governors, announced her resignation, giving Trump an early opportunity to name a replacement who shares his desire for cheaper money. Kugler, whose term does not expire until January, was named to the board by President Joe Biden in 2023. She plans to return to her position as a professor at Georgetown University. As a 2024 candidate, Trump promised to 'cut costly and burdensome regulations.' The president has slashed environmental mandates, taken a largely hands-off stance toward development of artificial intelligence, and mandated the elimination of 10 old regulations for each new rule. Yet the sheer scale of Trump's economic ambitions, and his 24-7 social media pronouncements, have made Washington the focus of business and investment decision-making. 'Government policy [has] been the biggest change over the past couple of months,' said Erica Groshen, senior labor market adviser at Cornell University who served as BLS commissioner from 2013 to 2017. Trump's policies are dominating labor market trends. Uncertainty about his trade policy, which has lifted tariffs to their highest average rate since the 1930s, is freezing business decision-making, including over hiring, economists said. In July, the only industries engaging in significant new hiring were health care and social assistance. The rest of the private sector lost a combined 49,000 jobs over the past three months, according to Kathy Bostjancic, Nationwide's chief economist. 'That really reflects this large degree of uncertainty that businesses are feeling about trade policy and the economic agenda, and particularly tariffs,' she said. 'It's the uncertainty here that is the real killer because it paralyzes companies. They don't know what to do.' At Craig's Coffee, a roastery and cafe in Detroit, policy uncertainty has forced owner Craig Batory to hit the brakes on hiring and expansion. He started the year ready to offer raises to his staff of eight and to hire at least two new employees, but scrapped those plans when the president intensified his campaign to remake global trade. The majority of Batory's coffee comes from Brazil and will soon be subject to a 50 percent tax. 'Since the tariffs were announced, everything's gone on hold,' he said. 'All of the money we'd set aside for hiring, product testing, research and development, end-of-year bonuses - all of that immediately went away because we had to save it to cover the rising cost of green coffee.' With major brands such as Procter & Gamble, Nike and Hasbro planning to raise prices, customers seem worried, too. About 30 percent of Batory's regulars have pared their monthly subscriptions this year from two bags of coffee to one, he said. 'It feels like everything has been indefinitely paused,' he said. 'I'm kind of holding my breath, hoping things change.' While fallout from the president's ambitious trade overhaul is slowing hiring, the administration's border policies are simultaneously shrinking the labor supply. The immigration crackdown, including restrictions on student visas, is a worry for Kevin Chapin, who owns a violin sales and repair shop in New Haven, Connecticut. About one-third of his business comes from foreign college students who play the violin. Several have already told him they're staying in their home countries this year because of the Trump administration's policies. 'We're anticipating a hit once school begins in the fall,' Chapin said. 'Our whole industry is very nervous.' He's frozen expansion plans, and when his only employee got a job offer in June, Chapin encouraged him to take it. 'I hate to say it, but I was glad to not have him on payroll anymore because it was a relief financially,' he said, adding that he and his wife have been working overtime to keep the business going. 'Under normal circumstances, I would've hired someone right away. But now I'm going to wait a few months until the bank account gets to a more comfortable place.' Chapin spent thousands of dollars buying up extra inventory early this year, hoping to stock up before new tariffs kicked in. Now he's low on cash and anticipating higher costs from new tariffs, raising the cost of instruments from China, horsehair from Mongolia and accessories from Europe. So far, companies' need for more workers and the number of job seekers available have declined more or less to the same degree, keeping the unemployment rate from spiking, said Winograd, the economist. But a smaller labor force with less hiring has troubling implications. 'It sends a signal that the growth rate of the economy is likely to be slower,' Winograd added. At the White House, officials this week celebrated a spate of recent trade deals and tariff announcements as marking an end to the uncertain environment that has chilled hiring and investment. 'We've been hearing a lot about uncertainty over the last few months, but that's all resolved now,' Stephen Miran, chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, told CNN, speaking before the president fired the BLS chief. 'So, it's all going to get much, much better from here.' Related Content Pets are being abandoned, surrendered amid Trump's immigration crackdown The Post exposed this farmer's struggle. Then the USDA called. Kamala Harris will not run for California governor, opening door for 2028 run Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

Toast (TOST) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release
Toast (TOST) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release

Yahoo

timean hour ago

  • Yahoo

Toast (TOST) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release

The market expects Toast (TOST) to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. The earnings report, which is expected to be released on August 5, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower. While the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call, it's worth handicapping the probability of a positive EPS surprise. Zacks Consensus Estimate This restaurant software provider is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.24 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +1100%. Revenues are expected to be $1.53 billion, up 23.4% from the year-ago quarter. Estimate Revisions Trend The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period. Investors should keep in mind that an aggregate change may not always reflect the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise Earnings Whisper Estimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction). The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier. Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only. A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP. Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell). How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Toast? For Toast, the Most Accurate Estimate is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bullish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of +1.70%. On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #4. So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that Toast will beat the consensus EPS estimate. Does Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue? Analysts often consider to what extent a company has been able to match consensus estimates in the past while calculating their estimates for its future earnings. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number. For the last reported quarter, it was expected that Toast would post earnings of $0.19 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.20, delivering a surprise of +5.26%. Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times. Bottom Line An earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss. That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported. Toast doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release. Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Toast, Inc. (TOST) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research ( Zacks Investment Research Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

Earnings playbook: Disney and Advanced Micro Devices lead another busy week of reports
Earnings playbook: Disney and Advanced Micro Devices lead another busy week of reports

CNBC

timean hour ago

  • CNBC

Earnings playbook: Disney and Advanced Micro Devices lead another busy week of reports

The busiest week of earnings has passed, but there are still dozens of key reports still to come that could shake up Wall Street. About 120 S & P 500 companies are scheduled to post their latest earnings. Among them are Disney , Advanced Micro Devices and Dow Jones Industrial Average member Pfizer . Those come after investors last week got quarterly reports from megacap names including Microsoft , Apple , Amazon and Meta Platforms . Roughly two-thirds of the companies in the S & P 500 index have posted quarterly results, with more than 82% exceeding earnings expectations, according to FactSet. Take a look at CNBC Pro's breakdown of what to expect in this week's key reports. All times are ET. Tuesday Pfizer is set to report earnings before the bell. A call is scheduled for 10 a.m. Last quarter: PFE topped expectations as it expanded cost-cutting efforts . This quarter: Analysts expect the pharmaceutical giant to report a slight year-over-year earnings decline, according to LSEG. What to watch: Investors will look for guidance around President Donald Trump's push to lower drug prices — and how that could affect Pfizer's future earnings. The earnings call will likely focus on "RFK Jr and possible risks to vaccines; [and] obesity franchise aspirations and/or other early pipeline opportunities like PFE's next-gen PCV vaccines," BofA analyst Tim Anderson said last month, referring to the Secretary of Health and Human Services. What history shows: Pfizer has a strong track record of exceeding earnings estimates, with the company's bottom line beating expectations 87% of the time, according to Bespoke Investment Group. AMD is set to report earnings after the close, followed by a conference call at 5 p.m. Last quarter: AMD beat on earnings but said it would take a $1.5 billion revenue hit due to restrictions on sales of chips to China. This quarter: Analysts polled by LSEG expect a mixed quarter, with earnings forecast to have dropped nearly 30% year over year, while revenue is anticipated to have grown more than 25%. What to watch: "We see an upside bias for FQ2 (June) results driven by both PC and server" demand, wrote UBS analyst Tim Arcuri on July 28, who rates AMD a buy. "Investors should, however, not expect any quantitative data center GPU commentary for next year as it is probably still too early for AMD to talk about next year other than to say that it feels very good about growth," he added, referring to graphics processing units. What history shows: AMD has fallen after two of the last three earnings releases, including a 6.3% slide after Q4 results came out and an 11% slump following mixed Q3 figures. Super Micro Computer is set to report earnings postmarket. Management's conference call with analysts and institutional investors is slated for 5 p.m. Last quarter: SMCI issued weak guidance, citing " economic uncertainty and tariff impacts ." This quarter: The data center company is expected to post a steep, year-over-year decline in earnings, LSEG data shows. What to watch: JPMorgan analyst Samik Chatterjee placed SMCI on "negative catalyst watch" ahead of these forthcoming earnings, noting "upside in relation to AI demand drivers is likely to be offset by margin pressures stemming from an increasingly competitive landscape, driving downside to the premium valuation multiple SMCI shares are currently trading at." What history shows: According to Bespoke, Super Micro only beats earnings estimates 64% of the time. However, the stock averages a 2.3% advance when the company reports its latest financials. Wednesday Disney is set to report earnings before the bell, followed by a call at 8:30 a.m. Last quarter: DIS climbed on a surprise uptick in streaming subscribers . This quarter: Analysts anticipate the theme park and media giant will report year-over-year earnings growth of about 7%, per LSEG. What to watch: Disney shares have struggled recently, losing more than 5% in the past month, while the S & P 500 is up slightly. Can this report put the House of Mouse back on track? What history shows: Disney earnings have topped earnings expectations in seven of the last eight quarters, per Bespoke. Thursday Eli Lilly is set to report earnings premarket, with a call slated for 8:30 a.m. Last quarter: LLY posted a 45% sales surge on strong demand for weight loss drugs. This quarter: Analysts polled by LSEG expect the Indianapolis-based drugmaker to reveal earnings growth of around 40%. What to watch: Investors will look for continued momentum out of Eli Lilly's Mounjaro weight loss drug. Last week, Lilly said Mounjaro has shown similar heart health benefits in a head-to-head trial with diabetes drug Trulicity, also made by Lilly. What history shows: Bespoke data shows Lilly beats Wall Street expectations 66% of the time. However, the stock doesn't perform well on earnings days, averaging a 0.2% decline.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store