Tips, inside mail, market movers for Saturday, July 26, 2025

The Australian

7 days ago

Adam Dobbin brings you all the information you need to back a winner on a big day of metropolitan racing around the country.
The six-year-old gelding is a winner at six of his 10 starts and faces the starter for the first time today since sustaining a front suspensory injury in November last year.
Co-trainer Troy Corstens has endured a wretched run of setbacks with the gifted galloper, which only raced for the first time late into his five-year-old season.
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Punters are rallying around Baraqiel to make a winning return today, with the gelding currently holding favouritism at $3.30 ahead of emerging type Bridal Waltz ($5.50) and New York Lustre ($6.00).
Today's Caulfield card also sees winter star Jimmy The Bear go about his business, tackling the 2400m for the first time at rock bottom odds.
The grand galloper has been racing in rarefied air in recent months, his six runs this time in returning four wins and two seconds.
At tomato sauce odds for today's assignment, he's expected to make light work of the 2400m journey.
This week, senior racing writer Ben Dorries also spent time with Racing NSW boss Peter V'landys to talk about everything from Rosehill, the haters, politics and his future. Read the full interview here, read his accompanying story on PVL's talks with DAZN over a global racing channel and watch the video below.
• Tips from the big bookies: Saturday, July 26
■ ■ ■ ■ ■ TRACK CONDITIONS
ROYAL RANDWICK
Weather: Expected showers with forecast top temperature of 18c.
Track: Soft (6).
Rail: Out 11m from 1000m to winning post, 8m remainder.
DOOMBEN
Weather: Sunny with expected showers and a forecast top temperature of 22c.
Track: Soft (5).
Rail: Out 3m the entire.
CAULFIELD
Weather: Cloud cover with light rain and a top temperature of 12c.
Track: Soft (5).
Rail: Out 4m the entire.
MORPHETTVILLE
Weather: Cool, light showers expected with forecast top temperature of 13c.
Track: Heavy (9).
Rail: True.
• LAURIE'S LONGSHOTS: Laurie Sainsbury thinks $17 chance 'can run a race'
■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ROYAL RANDWICK TIPS
BEST BET
Race 3 No.6 IN SUMMER
Looks ideally suited up to the 1800m and with the gun gate to boot. Sets up beautifully here third up after closing off hard for third in this grade over the mile last time out. Ticks all the boxes.
NEXT BEST
Race 2 No.2 KINGSTON CHARM
Has run well at both outings this time in and should have finished closer last time out when third. Zac Lloyd jumps aboard here and should be able to slot in nicely midfield from the cushy draw. Poised to run a race. — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) March 9, 2024
• EXPERT TIPS: Clinton Payne's race-by-race tips, analysis and preview for Randwick on Saturdays
■ ■ ■ ■ ■ DOOMBEN TIPS
BEST BET
Race 7 No.9 CASTILLIAN
Has been in fantastic form winning his past two and worth noting he trounced subsequent winner Restonica at Ipswich. Goes up in weight but has lugged more in the past and Angela Jones stays on board. Go well.
NEXT BEST
Race 5 No.14 LEAD ME ON
Did a bit wrong but still got the job done over the road at Eagle Farm last week and with the claim on the quick back up no reason he can't put together another forward performance. Showing promise.
• EXPERT TIPS: Graeme Carey's best bets, quaddie picks and race-by-race analysis for Doomben on Saturday
■ ■ ■ ■ ■ CAULFIELD TIPS
BEST BET
Race 2 No.11 VERDOUX
Lightly raced four-year-old which has finished top two in five career starts. Jumpout caught the eye, gets the aid of barrier one and has Blake Shinn aboard. Set to run a race.
NEXT BEST
Race 5 No.5 BOSSY BENITA
Hit the line hard to win first up at Sandown Lakeside after trialling well confirming she's resumed in splendid order. Stays at the 1200m second up and on the strength of that last start expecting to see her take another leap forward today.
• EXPERT TIPS: Brad Waters' Caulfield Saturday tips, race-by-race analysis and quaddie picks
■ ■ ■ ■ ■ RANDWICK BY THE NUMBERS
JOCKEY WATCH
Jason Collett: 10 rides, average price $5.75
Zac Lloyd: 7 rides, average price $9
Tommy Berry: 6 rides, average price $10
Josh Parr: 4 rides, average price $10.10
Tom Sherry: 6 rides, average price $12.35
JOCKEY-TRAINER COMBO STRIKE RATE
36.4% Jason Collett / Bjorn Baker (Race 9 No.12 REGIMENTAL COLOURS)
31.4% Adam Hyeronimus / Joe Pride (Race 8 No.1 STORM THE RAMPARTS, Race 7 No. 5 LITTLE CONTREAU)
25% Ash Morgan / Bjorn Baker (Race 5 No.6 BATTLETON, Race 10 No.6 PUNTIN)
20.7% Josh Parr / Bjorn Baker (Race 4 No.4 STARDEEL)
20.4% Kerrin McEvoy / James Cummings (Race 7 No.9 DRIFT NET)
SECTIONAL STARS
Randwick Race 1 No.7 NAZWAH
Randwick Race 8 No.11 BUNDEENA
Randwick Race 9 No.9 ROYAL COMMODORE
RATINGS RULERS
Randwick Race 5 No.4 OH DIAMOND LIL ($2.15)
Randwick Race 3 No.6 IN SUMMER ($2.60)
Randwick Race 4 No.1 CODETTA ($6)
■ ■ ■ ■ ■
ROYAL RANDWICK MARKET MOVERS (by Ladbrokes)
Race 1: Nashville Jack $6.50-$5 ($365 @ $6.50), Nazwah $2.70-$2 ($1180 & $600 twice @ $2.70, $1380, $1000 & $900 twice @ $2.45, $650 @ $2.25, $1200 & $500 @ $2.15, $800 @ $2, $940 @ $1.85)
Race 2: Forecaster $8-$6, Callistemon $4.80-$4, Jacob's Time $51-$41 ($100 w/p @ $51/$11)
Race 3: In Summer $3.10-$2.40 ($350 @ $3), Red Rags To Bulls $11-$9.50 ($100 @ $11, $220 & $100 @ $10)
Race 4: Signor Tortoni $7.50-$5 ($310 @ $7.50), Stardeel $4.80-$4 ($1000 @ $4.40, $1000 @ $4.15), Bartolf $27-$17
Race 5: Battleton $12-$8Aberlour $6-$5.50 ($500 @ $6)
Race 6: Nana's Wish $11-$10 ($125 & $100 @ $11) She's Unusual $5.50-$3.10 ($500 @ $5.50, $500 @ $5 including 6c deduction, $1000 @ $3.45), Bright Red $10-$5.50 ($220 @ $10 including 6c deduction)
Race 7: Little Cointreau $8-$5 ($285 @ $8, $333 @ $7), Drift Net $7-$6.50 ($365 @ $6.50), Lugh $17-$11 ($125 @ $17)
Race 8: World Alliance $13-$10 ($220 @ $11), Termagent ($200 @ $38, $145 @ $34, $500 place @ $6.50 & $5.75), Tarpaulin $6-$3.90 ($1000 @ $6, $555 & $500 @ $5.75, $445 @ $5.50)
Race 9: Cassiel $5-$3.70, Zouripper $13-$12 ($150 @ $13)
Race 10: Miracle Spin $13-$6.50 ($200 @ $11), Puntin $3.45-$3.20 ($600 @ $3.45, $1000, $850 & $600 @ $3.40, $550 & $500 @ $3.30, $910 & $850 @ $3.20)
• Randwick Turf Talk: Shayno's smoking hot $15 tip
■ ■ ■ ■ ■ BIG BETS
ROYAL RANDWICKRace 1 No.7 NAZWAH – $10,000 at $2.10Race 1 No.7 NAZWAH – $5000 @ $2.20Race 4 No.4 STARDEEL – $1000 @ $4.20Race 5 No.4 OH DIAMOND LIL – $9000 @ $2.15Race 6 No.5 SHE'S UNUSUAL – $1000 @ $3.50Race 7 No.4 SACRED ROCKS – $5000 @ $2.40Race 7 No.4 SACRED ROCKS – $11,000 @ $2.45Race 8 No.13 TARPAULIN – $3000 at $5Race 9 No.3 CASSIEL – $3000 @ $4.00
Race 10 No.6 PUNTIN – $8000 at $3.30
• BIG BETS FOR THIS SATURDAY
DOOMBENRace 1 No.7 BOOMSHANKA – $2000 @ $3.50Race 1 No.7 BOOMSHANKA – $2000 @ $2.80Race 2 No.8 KADALL – $3500 @ $3.40Race 2 No.8 KADALL – $3500 @ $3.40Race 7 No.8 DEEP RESPECT – $2000 @ $7.50
Race 9 No.1 MISTER BIANCO – $1800 @ $3.40
CAULFIELDRace 1 No.2 OLE DANCER – $4000 @ $3.10Race 1 No.4 CANNYWORTH – $2000 (each-way) @ $9.50/$2.35Race 2 No.11 VERDOUX – $4000 @ $3.50Race 4 No.3 ANT – $2500 @ $4Race 5 No.7 NOETZIE – $1000 @ $3.20Race 7 No.9 NEWLOOK – $1000 (each-way) @ $15/$4Race 8 No.3 BARAQIEL – $1000 @ $3.20
Race 8 No.3 BARAQIEL – $4000 @ $3
■ ■ ■ ■ ■
INTERSTATE MAIL (VIC/SA)
Caulfield Race 6 No.7 SAVAGERY VIBE
Caulfield Race 8 No.5 KIN
Morphettville Race 4 No.1 BANCOORA
Morphettville Race 7 No.4 THE AUTUMN BELLE
• EXPERT TIPS: $23 top tip at Belmont, four top selections at Morphettville
PROVINCIAL MAIL (NSW)
Kembla Grange Race 1 No.5 HURRY MISS
Kembla Grange Race 3 No.8 VALEDICTORIAN
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