The Last Say: Tips, inside mail, market movers for today's racing
Produce the determined performance she did to salute first up off a seven-week break last start and the Dundeel mare should take a power of beating.
Trainer Ciaron Maher has kept It's A Knockout to the 1400 metre for the second up assignment where he'll again make full use of Braith Nock's 2kg claim which is growing in worth by the day.
While It's A Knockout looks poised to deliver another knockout punch at Randwick, it's the hugely popular Jimmy The Bear that is one of the headline attractions at Caulfield.
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Honest as they come, Jimmy has been in a rich vein of form this winter and looks to have everything in order to continue that trend today up to the 2000 metres.
The Caulfield meeting is highlighted by the Group 3 Sir John Monash Stakes, the first sign we reach each year to remind us that the spring is rapidly approaching.
• Coyle looks to raise stakes for flying mare Lulumon
The Joe Pride-trained In Flight is holding favouritism for the 1100m clash in what will no doubt be a spirited affair with the speed on from the get go.
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TRACK CONDITIONS
ROYAL RANDWICK
Weather: Mostly sunny day and a forecast top temperature of 18c.
Track: Soft (5)
Rail: 6m out
DOOMBEN
Weather: Sunny with a forecast top temperature of 15c.
Track: Soft (5)
Rail: 1m out
CAULFIELD
Weather: Mostly sunny with chance of late cloud cover with a top temperature of 17c.
Track: Soft (6)
Rail: True (entire)
MURRAY BRIDGE
Weather: Cool, partly cloudy day with forecast top temperature of 16c.
Track: Soft (5)
Rail: Out 3m from 1200m chute, true remainder
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BEST BET
Race 9 No.10 IT'S A KNOCKOUT: Stays at the 1400 metre journey following an impressive first up win over this trip last time out. Gets a good draw and with Braith Nock's 2kg claim in play again can go back-to-back.
NEXT BEST
Race 10 No.10 SLINKY: Has caught the eye of sectional observers working home well in both runs this time in. Expect the step up to 1400m to work to her advantage as will a more suitable barrier draw. Looks poised to run a bold race.
• RANDWICK TIPS: Clinton Payne's race-by-race tips, analysis and preview
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BEST BET
Race 4 No.2 TUFF TU MUS: Racing in brilliant form and see no reason that changes today. Is unbeaten in four Doomben appearances, Tiff Brooker stays aboard after guiding him in a recent trial and the good gate should see him mighty hard to hold out.
NEXT BEST
Race 6 No.3 FAT FINGERS: On the quick back up after finishing midfield at the Sunshine Coast last week. Will give away a start but will get her ideal ground today and gets 3kg weight relief with Cobi Vitler in the saddle. Look for her charging home late.
• DOOMBEN TIPS: Graeme Carey's best bets, quaddie picks and race-by-race analysis
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BEST BET
Race 4 No.2 JIMMY THE BEAR: No prizes for finding a rampaging Jimmy The Bear but for those searching for an anchor for the day, it really does look like him. Good draw should ensure an economical run out to the 2000m at his sixth run for the prep.
NEXT BEST
Race 6 No.8 KAHHOFF: Grabbed late at Flemington last time out after putting away a strong midweek field the start prior. Rarely far away and from a good draw at his pet distance can give a sight nudging double figure odds.
• CAULFIELD TIPS: Brad Waters' best bets, quaddie picks, race-by-race analysis
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JOCKEY / TRAINER WATCH
47.8% – Randwick Race 4 No.4 BENGAL (Nick Heywood/Luke Pepper)
42% – Randwick Race 8 No.8 PUNTIN (Ashley Morgan/Bjorn Baker)
21% – Randwick Race 10 No.6 VERY SEWREEL (Josh Parr/Bjorn Baker)
19.7% – Randwick Race 5 No.9 HOVLAND (Andrew Adkins/John O'Shea-Tom Charlton)
19.6% – Randwick Race 9 No.6 TIME QUEST (Ashley Morgan-Matthew Smith)
JOCKEY WATCH
JASON COLLETT – 9 rides, average price $4
RACHEL KING – 10 rides, average price $6.55
JOSH PARR – 6 rides, average price $8.75
BEN OSMOND – 5 rides, average price $9
BRAITH NOCK – 5 rides average price $10.10
RATINGS RULERS
Race 6 Number 10 - PIPPIE BEACH $3.40
Race 9 Number 10 - IT'S A KNOCKOUT $3.00
Race 10 Number 5 - CHANGING COLOURS $4.20
SECTIONAL STARS (best last 600m)
Race 4 Number 11 - CELERITY $5.60 34.28
Race 4 Number 9 - FLAME OF HESTIA $4.80 34.62
Race 10 Number 10 - SLINKY $6.00 33.91
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ROYAL RANDWICK MARKET MOVERS
Race 1: No. 4 CROSSBOW ($8 into $3.80)
Race 2: No. 6 IN SUMMER ($6 into $4), No. 11 SHUTTER ($51 into $31)
Race 3: No. 2 GLAD YOU THINK SO ($26 into $18), No. 10 CALLISTEMON ($4.80 into $3)
Race 4: No. 4 BENGAL ($34 into $19), No. 5 RANTAN ($51 into $26)
Race 5: No. 3 FEDERER ($5 into $3.80), No. 10 AROHA STONE ($10 into $7)
Race 6: No. 3 SALT LAKE CITY ($14 into $10), No. 4 ZAPHOD ($5.50 into $4)
Race 7: No. 3 LULUMON ($7 into $4.60), No. 4 AVONE ($11 into $6)
Race 8: No. 4 OH DIAMOND LIL ($6.50 into $4.80), No. 12 FIDDLERS GREEN ($11 into $7)
Race 9: No. 10 IT'S A KNOCKOUT ($4.20 into $3)
Race 10: No. 5 CHANGING COLOURS ($5 into $4.20), No. 10 SLINKEY ($14 into $6.50)
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BIG BETS
ROYAL RANDWICK
Race 1 No. 4 – Crossbow – $3000 @ $3.60
Race 3 No. 10 – Callistemon – $6000 @ $4.20
Race 5 No. 3 – Federer – $1000 @ $3.70
Race 6 No. 4 – Zaphod – $1000 @ $4
Race 8 No. 8 – Puntin – $3500 @ $4.50
Race 8 No. 8 – Puntin – $4000 @ $4.60
Race 9 No. 10 – It's A Knockout– $5000 @ $2.40
Race 9 No. 10 – It's A Knockout – $4000 @ $2.60
DOOMBEN
Race 1 No. 4 – Pre Eminence – $1200 @ $2.70
Race 4 No. 3 – Tuff Tu Mus – $2500 @ $3
Race 7 No. 15 – Artful Girl – $1500 @ $11
Race 8 No. 10 – John Rambo – $2000 @ $4
Race 9 No. 11 – She Ours – $1000 @ $6
Race 9 No. 11 – She Ours – $5000 @ $8
CAULFIELD
Race 1 No. 2 – Signature Scent – $4000 @ $2.25
Race 2 No. 7 – Shadhavar – $9000 @ $4
Race 3 No. 2 – Supercilious – $4000 @ $4
Race 4 No. 2 – Jimmy The Bear – $15,000 @ $1.60
Race 4 No. 2 – Jimmy The Bear – $10,000 @ $1.70
Race 8 No. 6 – In Flight – $9000 @ $2.90
Race 8 No. 6 – In Flight – $5000 @ $2.80
Race 9 No. 5 – Aztec State – $5000 @ $3.40
• LAURIE'S LONGSHOTS: $26 chance 'goes close with average luck'
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INTERSTATE MAIL (VIC/SA)
Caulfield Race 3 No.3 XARPO
Caulfield Race 4 No.2 JIMMY THE BEAR
Caulfield Race 6 No.6 KEEP YOUR COOL
Caulfield Race 7 No.9 THE OPEN
Murray Bridge Race 7 No.4 RICHE D'AMOUR
Murray Bridge Race 9 No.2 MERCHANT BOSS
• MURRAY BRIDGE, BUNBURY TIPS: $15 chance 'huge value'
PROVINCIAL MAIL (NSW)
Newcastle Race 1 No.9 Nullarbor Jane
Newcastle Race 7 No.12 Dubai Gold
#Good luck today and I hope you back plenty of winners
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