Yankees at Blue Jays Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for July 23
The Yankees snapped a five-game losing streak to the Blue Jays with a 5-4 win on Tuesday. Ben Rice delivered the game-winning homer in the top of the ninth inning to break free of a 4-4 tie. This is the rubber match with the winner taking the series — Yankees took the first series (2-1) and the Blue Jays swept the second (4-0).
Let's dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two. We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game details & how to watch Yankees at Blue Jays
Date: Wednesday, July 23, 2025
Time: 7:07PM EST
Site: Rogers Centre
City: Toronto, ON
Network/Streaming: AmazonPV, Sportsnet
Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.
Odds for the Yankees at the Blue Jays
The latest odds as of Wednesday:
Moneyline: Yankees (-137), Blue Jays (+115)
Spread: Yankees -1.5
Total: 8.0 runs
Probable starting pitchers for Yankees at Blue Jays
Pitching matchup for July 23, 2025: Max Fried vs. Chris Bassitt
Yankees: Max Fried, (11-3, 2.43 ERA)
Last outing: 9.00 ERA, 3 Earned Runs Allowed, 6 Hits Allowed, 3 Walks, and 2 StrikeoutsBlue Jays: Chris Bassitt, (10-4, 3.89 ERA)
Last outing: 0.00 ERA, 0 Earned Runs Allowed, 10 Hits Allowed, 0 Walks, and 5 Strikeouts
Yankees: Max Fried, (11-3, 2.43 ERA)
Last outing: 9.00 ERA, 3 Earned Runs Allowed, 6 Hits Allowed, 3 Walks, and 2 Strikeouts
Blue Jays: Chris Bassitt, (10-4, 3.89 ERA)
Last outing: 0.00 ERA, 0 Earned Runs Allowed, 10 Hits Allowed, 0 Walks, and 5 Strikeouts
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Expert picks & predictions for tonight's game between the Yankees and the Blue Jays
'This series will be a defining one in the AL East race that has seen the Toronto Blue Jays take ahold of. Toronto is up in the series season and swept New York earlier in the season, so it's an ideal time for the Yankees to strike back.
The odds are down to plus-money on the Yankees to win the division, which could be back to -150 with a series win over the Blue Jays.'
Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.
Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Wednesday's game between the Yankees and the Blue Jays:
Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Toronto Blue Jays at +1.5.
Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 8.0.
Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC.
Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Yankees at Blue Jays
Toronto is 5-3 versus New York this season and 5-1 in the last six
New York is 3-1 in the last four games
New York is 14-6 in Fried's 20 starts
With Chris Bassitt starting the Blue Jays have won 5 straight home games against the Yankees
The Under is 12-8 (60%) in the Blue Jays' games this season with Chris Bassitt as the starter
The Blue Jays have covered in 3 straight games with Chris Bassitt as the opener
If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
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Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
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