
How to invest when stocks are sinking
President Donald Trump's tariff announcements have roiled markets and sent US stocks bouncing all over the place. While the uncertainty on Wall Street can be unsettling, selling your stocks in panic would likely only make it worse.
Although recent market swings can be daunting, market volatility is more normal than you'd think, according to Jeff Buchbinder, chief technical strategist at LPL Financial.
'Volatility is like a toll investors pay on the road to attractive long-term returns,' Buchbinder said in a recent note.
The last thing you want to do is 'panic sell.' Volatility is a short-term feature of markets. So, too, are so-called corrections, when stocks fall 10% from their most recent high.
Historically, the US stock market has climbed higher in the long term, smoothing out kinks and rewarding investors who stayed in the market.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Sunday told NBC News that he was 'not at all' worried about recent drops in the stock market.
'I've been in the investment business for 35 years, and I can tell you that corrections are healthy,' Bessent said. 'They're normal. What's not healthy is straight up.'
Still, seeing your retirement account take a hit can be unnerving, especially given the whiplash of recent market swings. But if you're investing for retirement or long-term financial goals, the best thing to do during moments of uncertainty is to keep calm and tune out the noise.
'Reacting emotionally to the markets can wreck your returns,' said Jon Ulin, a certified financial planner and chief executive at Ulin & Co. Wealth Management.
'Panic selling often means locking in losses and missing the best rebound days,' Ulin said.
A core tenet of investing is that no one can really 'time' the market. Swings can be so unpredictable that staying invested is a better strategy than selling and trying to pick the best opportunity to get back into a fund or stock you sold. People who sell when times are tough tend to lose out in the long run.
'Protecting your portfolio isn't about timing the market — it's about time in the market with a strategy that can withstand the storm,' Ulin said.
If you've checked your retirement account and felt unsettled — you're likely not alone.
The S&P 500's performance from Trump's inauguration to March 7, or 46 days into his second term, was the index's worst start to a presidency since President Barack Obama's first term, according to Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research.
Trump's whipsawing tariff proposals are the primary reason for the markets' rollercoaster ride, because they have created an environment of uncertainty. US stocks have slid amid the ensuing economic chaos, with the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite largely erasing their gains since the election.
The benchmark S&P 500 last week closed down 10% from its record high reached on February 19, its first correction since October 2023.
Nonetheless, it's important to recognize that market downturns are normal occurrences. The S&P 500 on average has three drops between 5% and 10% each year, according to Buchbinder.
Stocks on average see one correction a year, according to Buchbinder. Before the S&P 500 closed in correction territory last week, it had been over a year since its last correction. If you're planning to hold your investments long term, such drops in one year don't necessarily matter.
Heading into this year, US stocks had been at record highs, with some strategists questioning whether they were overvalued. The S&P 500 posted back-to-back gains of more than 20% in 2023 and 2024 — a feat not achieved since President Bill Clinton was in office in the 1990s.
After those sky-high gains, investors were already uncertain whether the good times would last. Big tech stocks that propped up the S&P 500 in 2024 have sputtered this year. While downturns are frustrating, they also present opportunities to 'buy the dip' and purchase stocks while they are cheaper.
'Encouragingly, history hints (but does not guarantee) that quick drops below the 10% decline threshold typically resulted in shorter and shallower total declines, followed by more rapid recoveries,' Stovall said in a note Monday.
'Unfortunately, the greatest uncertainty surrounding this decline and possible recovery is that its major headwind — the tariff tiff — appears far from over,' Stovall added.
While markets face continued tariff uncertainty, it can be helpful to return to investing 101.
A portfolio that is well-diversified across different types of stocks and bonds can help you mitigate losses during market swings. That becomes especially apparent during times of heightened volatility.
'Spreading risk across different asset classes, sectors and regions is investing 101,' Ulin said. 'Think of diversification as your portfolio's seatbelt, keeping you secure when markets hit rough air.'
If your portfolio is overexposed to US stocks, it might be smart to consider buying stocks in global markets like Europe and to further diversify by investing in Treasury bonds. Diversification might also look like investing in stocks in industries that have less exposure to tariffs, or 'tariff-proofing' your portfolio, Ulin said.
As with all things in investing, there is no one-size-fits-all. Each person has their own unique financial goals and tolerance for risk.
Periods of volatility present opportunities to reflect on whether or not your investments still align with your financial goals, according to Tom Hainlin, national investment strategist at US Bank Wealth Management.
That means reviewing your investing goals and reassessing whether you're well situated to pay for big-ticket items you might have coming up, whether you have enough cash for emergencies and whether there are new opportunities to buy stocks given the recent declines. If you are closer to retirement, you might consider parking more cash in Treasury bills or other cash-equivalent assets, as one of the most essential steps to take is to try and minimize sequence risk.
The bottom line: Volatility — though unnerving — is normal. Keep a level head and look for opportunities to diversify and bolster your portfolio.
'Regularly review your asset allocation, rebalance when needed and tune out the noise,' Ulin said. 'Long-term success is built on discipline, not panic.'
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles

Business Insider
22 minutes ago
- Business Insider
Government data is now in question. Here's where macro investors are turning to fill the gaps.
No savvy investor makes a decision off a single data point, but there are some numbers that carry more weight than others. For many macro investors, the North Star has long been the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the unit within the Department of Labor that measures, among other things, inflation, unemployment rates, and wage growth. Those in charge of the BLS have long been non-partisan economists, but President Donald Trump's firing of Commissioner Erika McEntarfer on August 1 and his top pick for her replacement, chief economist at the right-leaning Heritage Foundation, EJ Antoni, have many concerned with the validity of future government data, especially as Antoni floated pausing monthly jobs reports. It's concerning for macro traders who rely on this data to make their bets, but there are non-governmental data sources that many already use. While helpful, these alternative databases can't replicate the widespread foundation BLS numbers provided for decades, where all market participants worked for the same set of basic facts about the state of the world's biggest economy. Still, traders are ramping up their use of this data in light of Trump's moves. "What's going to be tricky here is how to judge numbers coming out of the Bureau of Labor Statistics moving forward," said Andreas Steno Larsen, onetime macro investor and researcher, on his weekly podcast. He compared the firing to something that would happen "in Latin America" and predicted that investors would "look for alternative sources" to get a second opinion on the official data. Four macro investors pointed to the well-known ADP jobs report, which comes out monthly and tracks payroll from private employers, and MIT's Billion Prices Project as ways to track employment and inflation, respectively, in the US. The investors declined to be named because their firms don't authorize them to speak publicly. Some investors tap datasets that constantly scrape e-commerce prices, such as PriceStats, and track how different products rise and fall over time. This is a useful tool to understand Trump's tariff policies' impact, given the volume of online goods that US consumers buy from overseas. Payroll and scheduling company Homebase tracks more than 150,000 small businesses and produces monthly employment reports. LinkUp has tracked online job postings since 2007. Numerator has become a key source for in-person consumer data at places such as restaurants and home improvement stores. "Given the recent BLS conversations, we've recently seen demand for our data increase," Homebase CEO John Waldmann said in a statement. Not a replacement These alternative data sources are just that — alternative. They were used to get a sneak peek or a deeper look at inflation or unemployment figures that the government would release, not replace them entirely. They also sometimes vary. For example, ADP's payroll figures often diverge from the BLS's monthly jobs report, and MIT's Billion Prices Project can capture inflation trends sooner than the official CPI but is less comprehensive. "We don't see them replacing economic statistics altogether in the near future," said Julie Meigh, the head of ESG & macro research at alt-data platform Neudata, about non-traditional datasets. Even if BLS data becomes less trustworthy, the different macro investors who spoke with Business Insider said they'll still need to use it in some fashion unless there's a structural change in financial products. For example, Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, or TIPS, change when the Consumer Price Index from the government is announced. For those who have exposure to these types of assets, ignoring the BLS is not possible even if the data becomes untrustworthy. As one trader at one of the world's biggest macro hedge funds said, he was surprised markets weren't more spooked by Trump's firing. Equity markets were near record highs, and bond yields stayed mostly steady. "I think it's clear that institutions are not as strong as many had thought," this individual said.


Business Insider
29 minutes ago
- Business Insider
'Critical Role…in Our Nation's Defense': Boeing Stock (NYSE:BA) Slips as Strikers Call on Lawmakers
The latest strike at aerospace stock Boeing (BA) continues unabated, with no talks yet on the schedule, and the strikers turning to a surprisingly desperate ploy. Boeing strikers at the St. Louis area plants are calling on lawmakers to step in and help deliver a contract. This did not sit well with Boeing investors, though, and they sent shares down fractionally in Wednesday afternoon's trading. Elevate Your Investing Strategy: Take advantage of TipRanks Premium at 50% off! Unlock powerful investing tools, advanced data, and expert analyst insights to help you invest with confidence. Tom Boelling, Directing Business Representative for IAM District 837, made it clear: 'IAM District 837 members have spoken loud and clear, they deserve a contract that reflects their skill, dedication, and the critical role they play in our nation's defense.' To that end, IAM has called on Missouri lawmakers to step in and push Boeing toward actually coming back to negotiate. While the District 837 workers are a big part of Boeing's operation, handling a large part of the fighter jet operations and munitions work, they produce certain components for Boeing's commercial aircraft line as well. But the operation is about a tenth, give or take, the size of the one that went on strike last year. It is something of a surprise that Boeing strikers have not sought President Trump's help, especially given how many planes Trump has had a hand in moving for Boeing. Air India Retrofit With the Air India disaster likely still ringing in its collective, and largely metaphorical, ears, Air India has launched a program to retrofit the 787 aircraft in its fleet. The program impacts 26 aircraft in total, reports note, and will add a slate of features to the aircraft in question. The retrofit will bring, among other things, a new 'three-class configuration with Business Class, Premium Economy, and Economy Class seats.' Each cabin will get new seats and new in-flight entertainment systems. There will be plenty of new fixtures as well; carpeting, curtains, upholstery, galleys, and even lavatories will be getting replacements as part of the move. This should go quite a way to ensuring passengers pick Air India when traveling therein. Is Boeing a Good Stock to Buy Right Now? Turning to Wall Street, analysts have a Strong Buy consensus rating on BA stock based on 19 Buys and three Holds assigned in the past three months, as indicated by the graphic below. After a 38.05% rally in its share price over the past year, the average BA price target of $256 per share implies 10.15% upside potential.
Yahoo
35 minutes ago
- Yahoo
As the S&P 500 ends above 6,400 for the first time, here are a few reasons for caution
The stock market surged to a fresh record high on Tuesday after consumer prices edged up slightly in July, with the S&P 500 index SPX ending above 6,400 for the first time in history. Gradual price increases in July gave investors more confidence around the Federal Reserve's ability to cut interest rates in September, which could help insulate the economy from President Donald Trump's tariff fight. 'I am a senior citizen': My car needs $3,500 for repairs, but only has a trade-in value of $6,000. Do I bother fixing it? 'Absolutely no one pays attention': I could steal from my children's trust fund without them having a clue Yet a growing concern has been that tariff shocks still lurk on the horizon. Should that happen, higher prices could clamp down further on consumer spending — the economy's biggest driver. 'I am losing sleep based on the unknowns around tariffs,' said Mike Petrakis, founder and chief executive at PowerPay, a fintech home-improvement lender that expects to do $5 billion to $6 billion in originations this year, which would be a record for the company. While inflation has been hitting lower-income homeowners harder than wealthier clients, Petrakis said consumers replacing a roof or remodeling a bathroom still aren't yet seeing tariffs resulting in higher prices for projects. That's because big national contractors on PowerPay's platform have been able to absorb those costs for now, taking a modest hit to their margins, according to Petrakis. However, he expects consumers to see prices on home-improvement projects to be reset next year, though he hopes instead that 'tariff noise goes away' in six months. See: There's 'no evidence' of tariff inflation, top Trump aide says. Is he right? PowerPay, which started lending in late 2019, has been in the unique position of benefiting from a boom in home improvements since the pandemic. As home prices skyrocketed during the COVID crisis, owners with ultralow 30-year fixed mortgage rates started taping into the trillions of dollars in new home equity to fix up their homes. But like other businesses, those projects also hinge on the ability and willingness of consumers to keep spending. 'So far, many businesses have managed to soften the impact of rising costs by relying on pre-tariff inventories, utilizing trade zones and accepting slimmer profit margins,' said Lydia Boussour, a senior economist at EY-Parthenon, in a Tuesday client note. The consumer-price index rose 0.3% in July, increasing less than expected. It was steady at 2.7% on a yearly basis. Read: Key inflation rate shows biggest rise in 6 months, CPI shows, but Fed rate cut still appears in play Still, when tariff 'buffers gradually fade, inflation will likely intensify in the coming months,' Boussour said, adding that her team expects yearly headline and core CPI inflation to near 3.2% by year's end — 'entirely a function of the administration's tariff-centric trade agenda.' Consumers getting hit with higher costs from tariffs could set up investors for trouble. 'If things get too quiet, even the tiniest little thing could cause volatility to spike or cause the equity market to get hurt,' said Joe Ferrara, an investment strategist at Gateway Investment Advisers, which manages low-volatility equity strategies. While he thinks companies have grown more cautious, including by lowering their guidance in light of Trump's tariffs, a reckoning for households looks likely. 'I still don't think the consumer has fully felt the brunt of all the tariffs,' Ferrara said Tuesday. Paying a dollar more for bunch of bananas might be manageable, he said, but anyone needing to buy a big-ticket item, like a new washing machine or a car, could face paying hundreds of dollars more, due to tariffs, he said. 'That's a big impact,' he said. 'The next year or so could be really interesting for the consumer, if we still stay in this kind of inflation picture.' See: Ford warns its tariff hit will grow to $2 billion, offers downbeat guidance The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA both added 1.1% on Tuesday, while the Nasdaq Composite Index COMP gained 1.4% and Wall Street's Cboe Volatility Index, VIX or 'fear gauge,' tumbled more than 9% to 14.73, its lowest close since Dec. 26, according to FactSet. A fresh look at spending patterns by U.S. income groups shows the highest earners have been driving growth in the wake of the pandemic, almost by themselves. Researchers at the Federal Reserve, in a July paper, found that high-income households earning at least $100,000 a year continued to spendstrongly since mid-2021, while spending by low- and middle-income households lagged through the end of 2024. 'We've just got this huge bifurcated economy right now,' said Byron Anderson, head of fixed income at Laffer Tengler Investments, noting that U.S. corporations may be doing well, but lower-income earners already looked tapped out when it comes to spending. Anderson thinks corporations can handle 'eating' tariffs for now, but that they eventually would lead to lower growth and lower earnings. Rate cuts from the Fed could help, especially if another weak jobs report causes panic and results in a few jumbo-sized rate cuts. Still, Anderson worries it still might be too late to save the broader consumer. Petrakis, the CEO at PowerPay, thinks Fed rate cuts could help, but that the 30-year fixed mortgage rate still would need to drop to around 5.5% to spur a fresh refinancing wave, a level last seen in 2022. As the S&P 500 ends above 6,400 for the first time, here are a few reasons for caution Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data