
German services sector grows modestly in March, PMI shows
The final HCOB Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for the services sector fell to 50.9 in March from 51.1 in February, staying slightly above the 50.0 threshold that indicates growth.
"The service sector seems to be losing momentum, though it was not exactly racing ahead before," said Cyrus de la Rubia, Chief Economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank AG.
Firms faced challenges with new business inflows dropping at the fastest rate in six months, driven by heightened uncertainty and slow decision-making among customers.
The decline was partly attributed to reduced foreign orders, exacerbated by tough market conditions, competition and a stronger euro.
Employment continued to rise, with the pace of job creation slightly accelerating from the previous month, the survey showed.
Looking ahead, firms expressed increased optimism, buoyed by expectations of fiscal expansion in Germany and hopes for growth driven by new products, services, and technological change.
"The fact that hiring is still happening and confidence in future business activity has even ticked up suggests we are not looking at a long-term slump," de la Rubia said.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Reuters
an hour ago
- Reuters
Oil prices rise after supply concerns resurface as Ukraine peace talks stall
BEIJING, Aug 20 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose on Wednesday as supply concerns are resurfacing while peace talks ending Russia's invasion of Ukraine are likely to take longer, leaving in place sanctions on Russian crude and raising the chance of further restrictions on its buyers. Brent crude futures were at $65.93 a barrel by 0149 GMT, up 14 cents, or 0.21%. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures for September delivery, set to expire on Wednesday, rose 37 cents to $62.72 a barrel, up 0.59%. The more-active October contract was at $61.92 a barrel, up 15 cents. Prices settled down more than 1% on Tuesday on optimism a deal to end the war seemed closer, which would mean the easing sanctions on Russia and an increase in global supply. However, despite comments from U.S. President Donald Trump on Tuesday the U.S. might provide air support as part of a deal to end Russia's war in the country, he also conceded Russian President Vladimir Putin might not want to make a deal after all. Trump on Monday said he was arranging a meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Zelenskiy, to be followed by a trilateral summit among the three presidents. Trump said on Tuesday he discussed holding possible talks between Zelenskiy and Putin in Hungary with the country's Prime Minister Viktor Orban. Russia has not confirmed it will take part in talks with Zelenskiy. "The likelihood of a quick resolution to the conflict with Russia now seems unlikely," said Daniel Hynes, senior commodity strategist at ANZ, in a note on Wednesday. In the U.S., BP (BP.L), opens new tab said on Tuesday operations at its 440,000-barrel-per-day refinery in Whiting, Indiana, were affected due to flooding caused by a severe thunderstorm overnight, potentially weighing on the facility's crude demand. The site is a key fuel producer for the Midwest market.


Reuters
an hour ago
- Reuters
Humble coconut oil turns into a luxury on rising demand, shrinking output
MUMBAI/JAKARTA/KUALA LUMPUR, Aug 20 (Reuters) - Prices of coconut oil are surging in Asia, where top consumer India leads the charge with a tripling in two years, as supply shortages and booming demand for the nutrient-rich water enclosed within turn the kitchen staple into a premium product. The edible oil is slipping out of the reach of price-conscious consumers, and those accustomed to its distinctive flavour, deeply embedded in regional cuisine, must search harder to find alternatives. "I will switch to the more affordable refined sunflower oil for everyday cooking and save coconut oil for dishes where its flavour is absolutely irreplaceable," said Leelamma Cherian, who lives in India's southern state of Kerala. The price surge that began in the second half of 2024 was accelerated by output disruptions across major producer nations from India to Southeast Asia, caused by seasons of lower rainfall, extended heat, and more ravages by pests and disease. Prices in India have nearly tripled in less than two years, to a record 423,000 rupees ($4,840) a metric ton, while global prices surged to an all-time high of $2,990 per ton over the same period. A group of producer nations, the International Coconut Community (ICC), says growing demand in the face of production limits will keep second-half global prices in the range of $2,500 to $2,700, well over the 2023 figure of about $1,000. Coconut oil supplies usually improve in Southeast Asia in the second half, and new season output will help ease prices off records, said a Singapore-based vegetable oil trader. "Still, prices probably won't drop below $2,000 anytime soon," he said. A fall below $1,800 a ton in the next two years was unlikely, he added, pointing to the neglect of plantations and unfavourable weather in recent years as factors likely to delay a broader production recovery, especially at a time when supplies of other similar lauric oils are tight. "While prices are expected to ease gradually, the current rally is likely to establish a new normal." The price surge also affects unripe green coconuts harvested for their electrolyte-laden water, and products such as copra, milk, and powder, while squeezing makers of shampoo and skincare items, who prize the oil for its high content of lauric acid. Globally, coconut oil output is falling as trees age, replanting proves inadequate, and plantations grapple with a shortage of better seed varieties, said Dorab Mistry, a director of Indian consumer goods company Godrej International. World coconut oil production was 3.67 million tons in 2024–25, with no growth over the past three decades, barring minor annual fluctuations, the U.S. agriculture department says. As weather conditions increasingly swing from hot, dry spells to sudden heavy rains, both extremes disrupt coconut production, said Joe Ling, executive director of Malaysia's Linaco Group, a leading supplier. These days, at least one producing country is affected - if dry weather is not curtailing output in Indonesia or Malaysia, it is highly likely that typhoons are disrupting production in the Philippines, or vice versa, Ling said. Yields fell in 2023 as the El Niño weather phenomenon brought above-average heat and below-average rains to key growing regions, said a Mumbai-based dealer at a global trading house, who sought anonymity in line with company policy. The shortfall was only reflected in 2024, since coconuts typically need nearly a year to mature after flowering. In the wake of years of underinvestment thanks to low prices, coconut production was further hit by the COVID-19 outbreak, as lockdowns brought a slump in demand and prices. That in turn led farmers to neglect plantations, resulting in lower yields just as demand began to recover when social media influencers drummed up attention to the health benefits of coconut water. Higher demand for the water prompted farmers to harvest coconuts earlier and further narrowed the supply of mature nuts used to make oil and copra. Even at higher prices, the perceived health benefits continue to fuel demand for coconut food products, said Ling of Linaco Group. The rally has led his company to raise prices almost monthly and maintain supplies despite upsetting customers, Ling added. Coconut oil's premium over rival palm kernel oil, also primarily produced in Asia, has surged to a record $1,000 per ton, up from the usual $100 to $200. Palm kernel oil prices have also risen, climbing 30% this year. Any major shift away from coconut oil could drive up prices of alternatives, including palm kernel oil for industry and palm, soy, and sunflower oils for households. While coconut oil is popular in Asia, demand for copra, coconut cream, and milk is strong in Britain, China, Europe, Malaysia, the United States, and the United Arab Emirates. To capitalise on rising demand, Indonesian farmers are increasingly shipping whole coconuts instead of extracting oil, said Amrizal Idroes, vice chairman of the Indonesian Coconut Processing Industry Association. Indonesia's coconut oil exports fell 15% between January and June, while shipments of items such as desiccated coconut and endocarp coconut rose by 58% annually, government data showed. Shortages have spurred calls for changes to trade policies that make more oil available at home. In Indonesia, the Association urged suspension of coconut exports for six to 12 months to stabilise prices, while in India, the Solvent Extractors' Association asked New Delhi to allow imports of coconut oil and copra. India regulates imports of coconut oil tightly, with a duty of more than 100% that makes them expensive, and traders required to seek permits from state trading enterprises. Higher prices have spurred farmers to expand planting, with strong seedling demand depleting most nurseries' stocks this year, said an official of India's state-run Coconut Development Board, who sought anonymity. But yield from new plantations take four or five years to come in, so prospects are bleak for prices to subside quickly. ($1=87.44 rupees)


Reuters
2 hours ago
- Reuters
China leaves benchmark lending rates unchanged, matching forecast
SHANGHAI, Aug 20 (Reuters) - China kept benchmark lending rates unchanged for the third consecutive month on Wednesday, meeting market expectations, as authorities signalled they are in no rush to deliver monetary stimulus despite a string of recent disappointing economic data. The steady LPR fixings highlighted the central bank's preference for targeted structural policies to support specific sectors of the economy, rather than resorting to broad-based monetary easing. A de-escalation in trade tensions between Washington and Beijing also reduced urgency for more stimulus, as the world's two largest economies agreed to extend a tariff truce for another 90 days. The one-year loan prime rate (LPR) was kept at 3.0%, while the five-year LPR was unchanged at 3.5%. In a Reuters survey of 23 market participants conducted this week, all participants predicted no change to either of the two rates. In the latest quarterly monetary policy report, the central bank said it would implement and refine moderately loose monetary policy while cautioning against funds idling within the banking system. A string of July data pointed to signs of economic slowdown. China's factory output growth slumped to an eight-month low last month, retail sales slowed sharply, and new yuan loans contracted for the first time in 20 years. China said last week that it would offer interest subsidies for businesses in eight consumer service sectors to support services consumption. ** HO WOEI CHEN, ECONOMIST, UOB "Authorities may place greater emphasis on more targeted measures on the property market and consumption demand such as the loan interest subsidy policy and trade-in subsidies." She expects a 10-basis-point rate reduction in the fourth quarter of this year, adding the "prospect of a further 50-basis-point cut to reserve requirement ratio (RRR) remains in place." China "must continue to exert efforts in macro policies and increase them at appropriate time to promote the continued implementation of existing and established policies while maintaining policy continuity and stability," the official People's Daily said in a commentary on Wednesday. It added that it will enhance policy flexibility to cope with changes in the external environment.