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The Children's Place Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Results

The Children's Place Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Results

Globe and Mail11-04-2025

Reports Third Consecutive Quarter of Adjusted Operating Profits
Net Sales of $409 million for Fourth Quarter and $1.386 billion for Full Year
Significant Improvement in Gross Profit Margin to 29% for Fourth Quarter and 33% for Full Year
Lowest Level of SG&A Spending in more than 15 Years during Fourth Quarter and Full Year
Improvement in Operating Income of $68.6 million for Fourth Quarter 2024 versus 2023
Significant Improvement in Liquidity Position with Completion of
$90 Million Rights Offering subsequent to Year-End
SECAUCUS, N.J., April 11, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The Children's Place, Inc. (Nasdaq: PLCE), the largest pure-play children's specialty retailer in North America with an omni-channel portfolio of brands and an industry-leading digital-first model, today announced financial results for the fourth quarter ended February 1, 2025.
Muhammad Umair, President and Interim Chief Executive Officer said, 'During the fourth quarter, we continued our efforts to expand gross margin, reduce inefficient SG&A spending and remain laser-focused on improving the profitability of the business, which has enabled us to achieve a third consecutive quarter of adjusted operating profits. As expected, along with the ongoing transformation of our business model, these strategic changes and other macroeconomic headwinds have continued to put pressure on top-line sales. However, we remain extremely pleased with the resulting sequential improvement in the gross profit margin for all four quarters this year.'
Mr. Umair added, 'With the recent completion of our rights offering, we were also successful in deleveraging our balance sheet. We were able to raise additional capital of $90 million, with $29.8 million in gross cash proceeds, and the remaining $60.2 million being used to pay down a substantial portion of our first term loan from Mithaq. A pro forma balance sheet has been presented in this press release to reflect the impact of the rights offering on our balance sheet, had it been settled prior to the close of our fiscal 2024 year-end.'
Mr. Umair continued, 'Looking ahead for fiscal 2025, we remain determined to deliver profitable top-line sales as we continue to refine our omni-channel strategy and rebalance our product mix, by offering relevant product that resonates with parents. As we continue to optimize our marketing spend, we will re-invest in a revitalized loyalty program with a best-in-class unified customer database that will allow us to acquire, retain and reactivate our customers. As part of our reimagined business strategy, we are committed to strengthening and enhancing our store portfolio by improving the performance of our existing store fleet, while developing innovative designs to be used in targeted store openings for both The Children's Place and Gymboree brands in the back-half of 2025 and beyond.
Our Executive Chairman, Turki S. AlRajhi, provides a long-term outlook for the Company, with further details on these strategic initiatives and other business priorities, in his letter to shareholders that can be found on our corporate website at: https://corporate.childrensplace.com/chairmans-letters.'
Mr. Umair concluded, 'At a time when many families are already feeling pressure on their wallets, potential tariffs could represent additional headwinds for the apparel sector. We do expect margin pressure as a result, though we believe our existing country migration and diversification strategies have us well-positioned to partially offset potential impacts. At the same time, we see an opportunity as families grow increasingly value-conscious to continue to deliver quality at accessible prices, which can position us to capture trade-down traffic and support our customers when they need us most.'
Fourth Quarter 2024 Results
Net sales decreased $46.4 million, or 10.2%, to $408.6 million in the three months ended February 1, 2025, compared to $455.0 million in the three months ended February 3, 2024. The decrease in net sales was driven by a combination of the anticipated decrease in e-commerce revenue, as the Company proactively rationalized its unprofitable promotional strategies, inflated marketing spending and 'free shipping' offers to improve profitability. The Company also experienced a decrease in brick-and-mortar revenue due to a lower store count and lower sales volume. This was partially offset by an increase in wholesale revenue, as we continue to strengthen relationships with our partners. We are exploring opportunities to expand our wholesale relationships and identify new revenue streams that can drive further revenue growth and profitability.
Comparable retail sales decreased 15.3% for the quarter, largely driven by the planned decrease in e-commerce revenue, as the Company proactively sacrificed unprofitable sales to improve profitability.
Gross profit increased $17.7 million to $116.6 million in the three months ended February 1, 2025, compared to $98.9 million in the three months ended February 3, 2024. The gross margin rate increased 680 basis points to 28.5% during the three months ended February 1, 2025, compared to 21.7% in the prior year period. The increase in margin was caused by a combination of factors, including reductions in product input costs, including cotton and supply chain costs, which negatively impacted margins in the prior year. These improvements in input costs were combined with the success of the Company's strategies to rationalize profit-draining promotions and limit unprofitable shipping offers, in addition to optimized shipping carrier rates, which resulted in a significant reduction in freight costs.
Selling, general, and administrative expenses were well-controlled at $100.6 million in the three months ended February 1, 2025, compared to $117.6 million in the three months ended February 3, 2024. Adjusted selling, general, and administrative expenses were $99.5 million in the three months ended February 1, 2025, compared to $118.7 million in the comparable period last year, and leveraged 170 basis points to 24.4% of net sales, despite the planned lower sales. This decrease was due to significant reductions in marketing expenses, as the Company eliminated inflated and unprofitable marketing costs and to a lesser extent, due to reductions in store payroll and corporate payroll. Similar to the third quarter, this represents the lowest level of Adjusted selling, general, and administrative expenses in more than 15 years for the fourth quarter of a fiscal year.
Operating income was $6.8 million in the three months ended February 1, 2025, compared to Operating loss of $(61.8) million in the three months ended February 3, 2024. Adjusted operating income was $8.3 million in the three months ended February 1, 2025, compared to an Adjusted operating loss of $(30.9) million in the comparable period last year, and leveraged 880 basis points to 2.0% of net sales.
Net interest expense was $8.7 million in the three months ended February 1, 2025, compared to $8.5 million in the three months ended February 3, 2024. The increase was due to the higher amortization of deferred financing costs associated with the unsecured loans entered into with the Company's majority shareholder, Mithaq Capital SPC ('Mithaq'), partially offset by lower average interest rates associated with the Company's revolving credit facility.
Provision for income taxes was $6.1 million in the three months ended February 1, 2025, compared to $58.6 million during the three months ended February 3, 2024. The decrease was primarily driven by the establishment of a valuation allowance against the Company's net deferred tax assets in the comparable period last year. The Company continues to adjust the valuation allowance based upon its ongoing operating results.
Net loss was $(8.0) million, or $(0.62) per diluted share, in the three months ended February 1, 2025, compared to $(128.8) million, or $(10.24) per diluted share, in the three months ended February 3, 2024. Adjusted net loss was $(9.6) million, or $(0.75) per diluted share, compared to $(92.7) million, or $(7.37) per diluted share, in the comparable period last year.
Fiscal Year 2024 Results
Net sales decreased $216.2 million, or 13.5%, to $1.386 billion in the twelve months ended February 1, 2025, compared to $1.603 billion in the twelve months ended February 3, 2024. The decrease in net sales was primarily due to anticipated declines in e-commerce demand due to the rationalization of promotions, reductions in inflated and unprofitable marketing spend and the strategic decision to change 'free shipping' offers, as the Company proactively sacrificed unprofitable sales in an effort to improve profitability. The Company also experienced a decrease in brick-and-mortar revenue due to a lower store count and lower sales volume. This was partially offset by an increase in wholesale revenue, as we continue to strengthen relationships with our partners. Comparable retail sales decreased 13.4% for the twelve months ended February 1, 2025, largely due to the planned decrease in e-commerce revenue.
Gross profit increased $14.2 million to $459.5 million in the twelve months ended February 1, 2025, compared to $445.3 million in the twelve months ended February 3, 2024. The gross margin rate increased 530 basis points to 33.1% during the twelve months ended February 1, 2025, compared to 27.8% in the prior year period. The increase in margin was primarily due to reductions in product input costs, including cotton and supply chain costs, which negatively impacted margins in the prior year. These improvements in input costs were combined with the success of the Company's strategies to rationalize profit-draining promotions and limit unprofitable shipping offers, in addition to optimized shipping carrier rates, which resulted in a significant reduction in freight costs.
Selling, general, and administrative expenses were $405.6 million in the twelve months ended February 1, 2025, compared to $447.3 million in the twelve months ended February 3, 2024. Adjusted selling, general, and administrative expenses were $370.3 million in the twelve months ended February 1, 2025, compared to $432.5 million in the prior year, and leveraged 30 basis points to 26.7% of net sales. This decrease was due to significant reductions in marketing expenses, as the Company eliminated inflated and unprofitable marketing costs and to a lesser extent, due to reductions in store payroll, corporate payroll and professional fees. The Company was successful in reducing Adjusted selling, general, and administrative expenses by $62.3 million despite an increase in incentive compensation and equity compensation of $11.1 million. This represents the lowest level of Adjusted selling, general, and administrative expenses in more than 15 years for a full fiscal year.
Operating loss was $(13.7) million in the twelve months ended February 1, 2025, compared to $(83.8) million in the twelve months ended February 3, 2024. Operating loss was impacted by incremental expenses of $66.4 million, which included an impairment charge of $28.0 million on the Gymboree tradename, primarily due to reductions in Gymboree sales forecasts, restructuring costs of $11.7 million primarily due to changes in the senior leadership team, several charges due to the Company's change of control due to the investment in the Company by Mithaq, including $10.8 million of non-cash equity compensation charges and $3.8 million in other fees, and $7.0 million of financing-related charges related to several new financing initiatives. These charges have been classified as non-GAAP adjustments leading to a shift back to profitability with an Adjusted operating income of $52.7 million in the twelve months ended February 1, 2025, or an improvement of $85.2 million compared to an Adjusted operating loss of $(32.5) million in the prior year, and leveraged 580 basis points to 3.8% of net sales.
Net interest expense was $35.7 million in the twelve months ended February 1, 2025, compared to $30.0 million in the twelve months ended February 3, 2024. The increase in interest expense was primarily driven by higher interest-equivalent charges from loans entered into with Mithaq, and higher average interest rates associated with the Company's revolving credit facility due to the impact of refinancings, partially offset by lower average borrowings on the revolving credit facility.
Provision for income taxes was $8.4 million in the twelve months ended February 1, 2025, compared to $40.7 million during the twelve months ended February 3, 2024. The decrease was primarily driven by the establishment of a valuation allowance against the Company's net deferred tax assets in the prior year and a shift in the jurisdictional earnings mix. The Company continues to adjust the valuation allowance based upon its ongoing operating results.
Net loss, which included certain non-cash impairment charges, restructuring charges, and charges due to the Company's change in control, was $(57.8) million, or $(4.53) per diluted share, in the twelve months ended February 1, 2025, compared to $(154.5) million, or $(12.34) per diluted share, in the twelve months ended February 3, 2024. Adjusted net income was $5.5 million, or $0.43 per diluted share, compared to an Adjusted net loss of $(103.3) million, or $(8.25) per diluted share, in the prior year.
Store Update
During the fourth quarter, the Company opened its first new store in more than two years, which was a Gymboree stand-alone store located in Garden State Plaza Mall. The Company closed 16 stores in the three months ended February 1, 2025, and ended the year with 495 stores.
Balance Sheet and Cash Flow
As of February 1, 2025, the Company had $5.3 million of cash and cash equivalents, $40.2 million of borrowing availability under its revolving credit facility and an additional $40.0 million of availability under the unsecured Commitment Letter provided by Mithaq, representing total liquidity of $85.5 million. The Company had $245.7 million outstanding on its revolving credit facility and has not drawn down on its Mithaq credit facility. Additionally, the Company used $117.6 million in operating cash flows in the twelve months ended February 1, 2025.
Inventories were $399.6 million as of February 1, 2025, compared to $362.1 million as of February 3, 2024.
On February 6, 2025, the Company raised $90 million in capital and issued 9.2 million shares of Common Stock, pursuant to the completion of its rights offering. The shares issued were settled through the receipt of $29.8 million in cash, which was substantially used to prepay amounts owed under our revolving credit facility with Wells Fargo and other bank lenders, and a reduction of $60.2 million in the amount owed by the Company under its first term loan from Mithaq. Had the transaction been completed on February 1, 2025, the cash available to prepay our revolving credit facility would have increased to $35.2 million and our aggregate long-term debt due to Mithaq would have decreased to $106.8 million, as of the end of the fiscal year. Refer to the 'Pro forma Balance Sheet' presented later in this press release which reflects the impact of the rights offering on the Company's financial position.
Non-GAAP Reconciliation
The Company's results are reported in this press release on a GAAP and as adjusted, non-GAAP basis. Adjusted net income (loss), adjusted net income (loss) per diluted share, adjusted gross profit, adjusted selling, general, and administrative expenses, and adjusted operating income (loss) are non-GAAP measures, and are not intended to replace GAAP financial information, and may be different from non-GAAP measures reported by other companies. The Company believes the income and expense items excluded as non-GAAP adjustments are not reflective of the performance of its core business, and that providing this supplemental disclosure to investors will facilitate comparisons of the past and present performance of its core business.
Please refer to the 'Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Information to GAAP' later in this press release, which sets forth the non-GAAP operating adjustments for the 13-week period and 52-week period ended February 1, 2025, and for the 14-week period and 53-week period ended February 3, 2024.
About The Children's Place
The Children's Place is the largest pure-play children's specialty retailer in North America with an omni-channel portfolio of brands and an industry-leading digital-first model. Its global retail and wholesale network includes two digital storefronts, 495 stores in North America, wholesale marketplaces and distribution in 13 countries through six international franchise partners. The Children's Place designs, contracts to manufacture, and sells fashionable, high-quality, head-to-toe outfits predominantly at value prices, primarily under its proprietary brands: 'The Children's Place', 'Gymboree', 'Sugar & Jade', and 'PJ Place'. For more information, visit: www.childrensplace.com and www.gymboree.com.
Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains or may contain forward-looking statements made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including but not limited to statements relating to the Company's strategic initiatives and results of operations, including adjusted net income (loss) per diluted share. Forward-looking statements typically are identified by use of terms such as 'may,' 'will,' 'should,' 'plan,' 'project,' 'expect,' 'anticipate,' 'estimate,' 'believe' and similar words, although some forward-looking statements are expressed differently.
These forward-looking statements are based upon the Company's current expectations and assumptions and are subject to various risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results and performance to differ materially.
Some of these risks and uncertainties are described in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including in the 'Part 1, item1A. Risk Factors' section of its annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended February 3, 2024.
Included among the risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results and performance to differ materially are the risk that the Company will be unable to achieve operating results at levels sufficient to fund and/or finance the Company's current level of operations and repayment of indebtedness, the risk that changes in trade policy and tariff regimes, including newly imposed U.S. tariffs and any responsive non-U.S. tariffs, may impact the Company's international manufacturing and operations or our customers' discretionary spending habits, the risk that the Company will be unsuccessful in gauging fashion trends and changing consumer preferences, the risks resulting from the highly competitive nature of the Company's business and its dependence on consumer spending patterns, which may be affected by changes in economic conditions (including inflation), the risk that changes in the Company's plans and strategies with respect to pricing, capital allocation, capital structure, investor communications and/or operations may have a negative effect on the Company's business, the risk that the Company's strategic initiatives to increase sales and margin, improve operational efficiencies, enhance operating controls, decentralize operational authority and reshape the Company's culture are delayed or do not result in anticipated improvements, the risk of delays, interruptions, disruptions and higher costs in the Company's global supply chain, including resulting from disease outbreaks, foreign sources of supply in less developed countries, more politically unstable countries, or countries where vendors fail to comply with industry standards or ethical business practices, including the use of forced, indentured or child labor, the risk that the cost of raw materials or energy prices will increase beyond current expectations or that the Company is unable to offset cost increases through value engineering or price increases, various types of litigation, including class action litigations brought under securities, consumer protection, employment, and privacy and information security laws and regulations, risks related to the existence of a controlling shareholder, and the uncertainty of weather patterns, as well as other risks discussed in the Company's filings with the SEC from time to time.
Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date they were made. The Company undertakes no obligation to release publicly any revisions to these forward-looking statements that may be made to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
Contact: Investor Relations (201) 558-2400 ext. 14500
THE CHILDREN'S PLACE, INC.
(In thousands, except per share amounts)
(Unaudited)
Fourth Quarter Ended Fiscal Year Ended
February 1,
2025 February 3,
2024 February 1,
2025 February 3,
2024
Net sales $ 408,562 $ 455,034 $ 1,386,269 $ 1,602,508
Cost of sales 291,977 356,123 926,808 1,157,234
Gross profit 116,585 98,911 459,461 445,274
Selling, general and administrative expenses 100,574 117,587 405,550 447,343
Depreciation and amortization 9,206 11,652 39,612 47,186
Asset impairment charges — 31,429 28,000 34,543
Operating income (loss) 6,805 (61,757) (13,701) (83,798)
Related party interest expense (1,939) — (6,493) —
Other interest expense, net (6,778) (8,518) (29,254) (30,000)
Loss before provision for income taxes (1,912) (70,275) (49,448) (113,798)
Provision for income taxes 6,078 58,561 8,371 40,743
Net loss $ (7,990) $ (128,836) $ (57,819) $ (154,541)
Loss per common share (1)
Basic $ (0.62) $ (10.24) $ (4.53) $ (12.34)
Diluted $ (0.62) $ (10.24) $ (4.53) $ (12.34)
Weighted average common shares outstanding (1)
Basic 12,805 12,577 12,766 12,522
Diluted 12,805 12,577 12,766 12,522
(1) In connection with the completion of the rights offering on February 6, 2025, the Company's weighted average common shares outstanding and basic and diluted loss per share were retroactively adjusted for all periods presented by a factor of 1.002.
THE CHILDREN'S PLACE, INC.
(In thousands, except per share amounts)
(Unaudited)
Fourth Quarter Ended Fiscal Year Ended
February 1,
2025 February 3,
2024 February 1,
2025 February 3,
2024
Net loss $ (7,990) $ (128,836) $ (57,819) $ (154,541)
Non-GAAP adjustments:
Fleet optimization 571 1,546 1,428 3,086
Restructuring costs 498 (225) 11,678 10,458
Accelerated depreciation 432 597 2,246 1,959
Asset impairment charges — 31,429 28,000 34,543
Change of control — — 14,589 —
Contract termination costs — — 7,008 2,961
Credit agreement / lender-required consulting fees — 1,012 2,390 1,762
Canada distribution center closure — — 781 —
Professional and consulting fees — — 580 —
Provision for legal settlement — 3,000 (2,279) 3,000
Settlement payment received — (6,461) — (6,461)
Aggregate impact of non-GAAP adjustments 1,501 30,898 66,421 51,308
Income tax effect (1) (3,113) 5,228 (3,113) (80)
Net impact of non-GAAP adjustments (1,612) 36,126 63,308 51,228
Adjusted net income (loss) $ (9,602) $ (92,710) $ 5,489 $ (103,313)
GAAP net loss per common share $ (0.62) $ (10.24) $ (4.53) $ (12.34)
Adjusted net income (loss) per common share $ (0.75) $ (7.37) $ 0.43 $ (8.25)
(1) The tax effects of the non-GAAP items are calculated based on the statutory rate of the jurisdiction in which the discrete item resides, adjusted for the impact of any valuation allowance.
THE CHILDREN'S PLACE, INC.
(In thousands, except per share amounts)
(Unaudited)
Fourth Quarter Ended Fiscal Year Ended
February 1,
2025 February 3,
2024 February 1,
2025 February 3,
2024
Operating income (loss) $ 6,805 $ (61,757) $ (13,701) $ (83,798)
Non-GAAP adjustments:
Fleet optimization 571 1,546 1,428 3,086
Restructuring costs 498 (225) 11,678 10,458
Accelerated depreciation 432 597 2,246 1,959
Asset impairment charges — 31,429 28,000 34,543
Change of control — — 14,589 —
Contract termination costs — — 7,008 2,961
Credit agreement / lender-required consulting fees — 1,012 2,390 1,762
Canada distribution center closure — — 781 —
Professional and consulting fees — — 580 —
Provision for legal settlement — 3,000 (2,279) 3,000
Settlement payment received — (6,461) — (6,461)
Aggregate impact of non-GAAP adjustments 1,501 30,898 66,421 51,308
Adjusted operating income (loss) $ 8,306 $ (30,859) $ 52,720 $ (32,490)
Fourth Quarter Ended Fiscal Year Ended
February 1,
2025 February 3,
2024 February 1,
2025 February 3,
2024
Selling, general and administrative expenses $ 100,574 $ 117,587 $ 405,550 $ 447,343
Non-GAAP adjustments:
Fleet optimization (571) (1,546) (1,428) (3,086)
Restructuring costs (498) 225 (11,678) (10,458)
Change of control — — (13,684) —
Contract termination costs — — (7,008) (2,961)
Credit agreement / lender-required consulting fees (1,012) (2,390) (1,762)
Canada distribution center closure — — (781) —
Professional and consulting fees — — (580) —
Provision for legal settlement — (3,000) 2,279 (3,000)
Settlement payment received — 6,461 — 6,461
Aggregate impact of non-GAAP adjustments (1,069) 1,128 (35,270) (14,806)
Adjusted selling, general and administrative expenses $ 99,505 $ 118,715 $ 370,280 $ 432,537
(In thousands)
February 1,
2025 February 3,
2024*
Assets:
Cash and cash equivalents $ 5,347 $ 13,639
Accounts receivable 42,701 33,219
Inventories 399,602 362,099
Prepaid expenses and other current assets 20,354 43,169
Total current assets 468,004 452,126
Property and equipment, net 97,487 124,750
Right-of-use assets 161,595 175,351
Tradenames, net 13,000 41,123
Other assets 7,466 6,958
Total assets $ 747,552 $ 800,308
Liabilities and Stockholders' Deficit:
Revolving loan $ 245,659 $ 226,715
Accounts payable 126,716 225,549
Current portion of operating lease liabilities 67,407 69,235
Accrued expenses and other current liabilities 78,336 94,905
Total current liabilities 518,118 616,404
Long-term debt — 49,818
Related party long-term debt 165,974 —
Long-term portion of operating lease liabilities 107,287 118,073
Other long-term liabilities 15,584 25,032
Total liabilities 806,963 809,327
Stockholders' deficit (59,411) (9,019)
Total liabilities and stockholders' deficit $ 747,552 $ 800,308
* Derived from the audited consolidated financial statements included in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended February 3, 2024.

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With results like that, it is little wonder its commercial customer count is up fivefold over the past three years. Such gains undoubtedly played a role in the aforementioned stock price growth, but regrettably for Palantir bulls, the increases likely do not justify the software-as-a-service (SaaS) stock 's valuation, and here's why. In Q1, revenue of $884 million rose 39% compared to year-ago levels. With that growth, its net income of $214 million surged 103% higher over the same period. Unfortunately, triple-digit growth is not sustainable for even the best of companies, and the current valuation likely prices it for perfection. That "perfection" is likely not in the cards for Palantir. Analysts forecast revenue growth will slow to 36% for 2025 before falling to 29% in 2026. That is likely to do little to make the 96 P/S ratio more attractive, particularly when the larger and faster-growing Nvidia sells for 24 times sales. Indeed, Palantir is likely to play a key role in the AI field for years to come. Nonetheless, valuation matters at some point, and investors could find themselves stuck in a losing stock for years to come if the sentiment around the stock starts to turn negative. Should you invest $1,000 in Palantir Technologies right now? Before you buy stock in Palantir Technologies, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Palantir Technologies wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $669,517!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $868,615!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor 's total average return is792% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to171%for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of June 2, 2025 John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Jake Lerch has positions in Amazon and Nvidia. Justin Pope has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Will Healy has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon, Cisco Systems, Nvidia, and Palantir Technologies. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Is It Too Late to Buy MercadoLibre Stock?
Is It Too Late to Buy MercadoLibre Stock?

Globe and Mail

time6 hours ago

  • Globe and Mail

Is It Too Late to Buy MercadoLibre Stock?

MercadoLibre (NASDAQ: MELI) stock took several years to reach new highs after dropping over 50% once the air let out of the 2020-2021 stock market bubble, inflated by zero-percent interest rates as part of the COVID-19 pandemic response. But since hitting new highs late last year, it's been off to the races. Shares of the Latin American e-commerce giant have surged 50% since January. Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Learn More » You might be wondering whether this is a new chapter for a stock that has returned nearly 9,000% since 2007, or if MercadoLibre is currently in another bubble getting ready to burst. I dove into the numbers to determine whether it's too late to buy MercadoLibre. Here is what you need to know. Is this the Amazon of Latin America? There is a resemblance. One of the most common comparisons you'll see for MercadoLibre is that it's the Amazon of Latin America. MercadoLibre is a leading e-commerce company in Latin America, much like Amazon is in the United States. However, I think the resemblance goes deeper than you'd guess. Like Amazon, MercadoLibre has expanded beyond its e-commerce business model. MercadoLibre now operates several businesses, including commerce, advertising, logistics, and a fintech unit (Mercado Pago) that offers financial products and services to merchants and consumers. E-commerce, financial services, and advertising are massive markets. MercadoLibre's push into all three has helped it sustain rapid growth. The company's annual revenue has grown over sevenfold since 2020, and continues to grow at a nearly 37% pace: MELI Revenue (TTM) data by YCharts The risk and reward of emerging markets MercadoLibre has grown so fast, in part, because it operates in Latin America, an emerging market. It's not as economically developed as, say, the United States, where most Americans might take a smartphone, credit card, or basic banking services for granted. Many people in Latin America still lack access to these modern luxuries; however, the region has made significant strides over the past decade. Internet access and financial inclusion both skyrocketed from the early 2010s to the early 2020s, and the COVID-19 pandemic helped propel Latin American consumers and businesses onto digital banking and e-commerce platforms. These trends have driven remarkable user growth for MercadoLibre. In Q1 2025, the company's commerce business had 66.6 million unique active buyers, representing a 25% year-over-year increase. Meanwhile, the fintech business had 64.3 million active users, a 31% jump from the previous year. Emerging markets do have risks, though. Latin American countries don't have nearly the economic firepower of the United States. Brazil and Mexico's GDP per capita are $10,294 and $13,790, respectively. Therefore, MercadoLibre may not be able to monetize its users to the extent that Amazon can with American consumers, for example. Additionally, the company reports its financials in U.S. dollars, creating a significant drag due to currency exchange fluctuations. In Q1 2025, MercadoLibre grew its total net revenue by 64% year over year on a currency-neutral basis, but reported just 37% growth due to the stronger U.S. dollar. These headwinds could place more pressure on user acquisition, and MercadoLibre's growth could slow if its robust user growth stalls. Is it too late to buy MercadoLibre? Fortunately, MercadoLibre still appears to have plenty of room to expand. There are over 660 million people in Latin America, meaning MercadoLibre only serves about 10% of its addressable market. As the company's stellar Q1 2025 user growth illustrated, that momentum remains plenty strong yet. Right now, MercadoLibre's valuation should be the primary focus for prospective investors. Wall Street analysts estimate MercadoLibre will grow earnings by an average of 30% annually over the long term. That's an ambitious growth estimate, but MercadoLibre is firing on all cylinders, so it's a reasonable expectation. The stock's torrid run since January has elevated its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio from 45 to 63. It values MercadoLibre at a premium to the broader stock market, but at a PEG ratio of 2.1, I think it's still a reasonable price tag for such a fast-growing business. MercadoLibre's rapidly expanding top and bottom lines, multiple business segments, and lengthy track record of success are tell-tale signs of a quality business. The stock isn't a bargain following its recent run, but it's certainly not too late to buy and hold this winner. Don't miss this second chance at a potentially lucrative opportunity Ever feel like you missed the boat in buying the most successful stocks? Then you'll want to hear this. On rare occasions, our expert team of analysts issues a 'Double Down' stock recommendation for companies that they think are about to pop. If you're worried you've already missed your chance to invest, now is the best time to buy before it's too late. And the numbers speak for themselves: Nvidia: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2009, you'd have $367,516!* Apple: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2008, you'd have $38,712!* Netflix: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2004, you'd have $669,517!* Right now, we're issuing 'Double Down' alerts for three incredible companies, available when you join Stock Advisor, and there may not be another chance like this anytime soon. See the 3 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of June 2, 2025 John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Justin Pope has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon and MercadoLibre. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Prediction: These 2 Stocks Could Beat the Market in the Next Decade
Prediction: These 2 Stocks Could Beat the Market in the Next Decade

Globe and Mail

time14 hours ago

  • Globe and Mail

Prediction: These 2 Stocks Could Beat the Market in the Next Decade

Those concerned about recent market volatility can take comfort in the fact that equity markets will likely deliver competitive returns over the next decade. Selling shares of top companies now may result in lower stock market gains than investors might have otherwise earned over the long term if they had held on. The better strategy is to stick to your holdings and be on the lookout for companies that can perform well, perhaps even better, than the market given enough time. Two stocks that might have what it takes are Roku (NASDAQ: ROKU) and MercadoLibre (NASDAQ: MELI). Here's more on these potential market beaters. Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue » 1. Roku Although Roku started 2025 strong, its shares have been in free fall for the past few weeks, partly due to somewhat disappointing financial results and guidance. Potential tariff-related headwinds are also not helping. Despite these concerns, the company's financial results remain strong, and its ecosystem continues to grow and strengthen. In the first quarter, Roku's revenue increased by 16% year over year to $1 billion. Streaming hours were 35.8 billion, 5.1 billion more than in the comparable period of the previous fiscal year. As more people spend more time on Roku's platform, the company's ecosystem becomes more valuable to advertisers, a classic example of the network effect. During the first period, Roku's platform revenue, which includes ad-related sales, increased by 17% year over year, compared to 11% year-over-year growth for its device segment, where it reports sales of its namesake streaming devices. Roku remains unprofitable, but it also made some progress on this front in the quarter, reporting a net loss per share of $0.19, which is better than the $0.35 reported in Q1 2024. Roku could feel some volatility in the near term, and the impact of tariffs remains somewhat uncertain. However, Roku has sold its devices at a loss before when faced with the choice. The company prioritizes deepening engagement within its ecosystem -- that's where the long-term opportunity lies. So, if tariffs lead to higher manufacturing costs for its devices, Roku will likely adopt the same strategy as before. Meanwhile, television viewing time is expected to continue shifting away from cable and toward streaming in the long run. And whichever giant in the industry wins the race makes little difference to Roku, which grants its users access to most of the big players in the streaming market. Advertising dollars will follow viewers wherever they go, providing Roku with plenty of revenue growth opportunities. Lastly, Roku's shares look reasonably valued. The company's forward price-to-sales ratio is just 2.3. The official undervalued range starts at 2, but the leader in the connected TV market in North America, even ahead of some tech giants, is worth the slight premium, in my view. Though the stock has dipped in the past few weeks, investors focused on the long game should seriously consider picking up the company's shares and holding on to them for the next decade. 2. MercadoLibre MercadoLibre is the undisputed leader in e-commerce in Latin America. The company has successfully fended off competition from local players and international powerhouses, including Amazon. But MercadoLibre isn't just an e-commerce platform -- it provides a comprehensive suite of services to merchants. The company's fintech platform also looks promising. MercadoLibre's dominance in these markets is leading to strong performances and financial results. The stock has increased by 48% this year. In the first quarter, the company's net revenue increased by 37% year over year to $5.9 billion. MercadoLibre's net income came in at $494 million, up 43.6% compared to the year-ago period. Other important metrics trended up, including gross merchandise volume, fintech monthly active users, and more. Those are the kinds of performances investors are used to with MercadoLibre. It arguably justified its forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 52.2, nearly twice the 27.9 average for the consumer discretionary sector. Here's the flip side: If MercadoLibre fails to perform in line with market expectations, its shares will drop significantly. Furthermore, although it does business in Latin America and won't suffer directly from the impact of tariffs, general economic instability that could result from President Donald Trump's trade policies would still have an impact on the stock. These are all legitimate concerns, but long-term investors should still consider buying the stock. There is massive whitespace in the e-commerce market in Latin America. Nobody is better positioned to benefit from it. MercadoLibre's revenue and profits should grow rapidly in the next 10 years. Even if the stock experiences a correction due to its valuation, in the long run, it should still outperform the market, just as it has in the past, despite some volatility and steep valuation metrics. MercadoLibre remains a strong candidate to outperform the market through 2035. Should you invest $1,000 in Roku right now? Before you buy stock in Roku, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Roku wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $669,517!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $868,615!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor 's total average return is792% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to171%for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of June 2, 2025

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