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XRP price prediction: slipping nearly 8% in four days — is this sharp dip the calm before a $12.60 storm after the SEC win?

XRP price prediction: slipping nearly 8% in four days — is this sharp dip the calm before a $12.60 storm after the SEC win?

Economic Times6 days ago
Synopsis
XRP price forecast is at a critical point after slipping nearly 8% in four days, testing key support near $3.11. Traders are closely watching whether it can break above the $3.42 resistance, a move that could spark a rally toward $4.00 and beyond. Analysts point to strong institutional interest, bullish technical patterns, and Ripple's recent legal win against the SEC as key drivers. However, looming U.S. inflation data could add volatility.
XRP has taken a hit, sliding almost 8% over the past four days, but traders are wondering if this pullback is just the setup for a massive breakout fueled by its recent SEC victory. XRP is once again in the spotlight after a volatile week that saw the token retreat from recent highs, leaving traders debating whether this is a healthy pause before another rally or the start of a deeper pullback. Despite the dip, several prominent analysts remain convinced that XRP could be on the brink of a breakout toward $4.00 — and potentially much higher — if it can hold key support levels and overcome looming macroeconomic headwinds. Over the past four sessions, XRP has shed roughly 8%, sliding from above $3.40 to intraday lows near $3.11, according to TradingView data. Analysts attribute the decline to a wave of profit-taking after a strong rally earlier this month, as well as cautious positioning ahead of the U.S. CPI inflation data release — an event that could rattle the broader crypto market if it signals more aggressive Federal Reserve policy.
Despite the pullback, daily trading volumes remain elevated, suggesting that institutional interest in XRP has not waned. 'We're seeing some selling pressure, but it's more of a tactical repositioning than a loss of confidence,' one market strategist told Finance Magnates. Ali Chart, a well-known crypto analyst, points to a breakout from a multi-year triangle pattern and the legal clarity following Ripple's SEC court victory as the foundation for a much larger move. His near-term focus is a $3.50–$3.70 breakout zone, but his broader projection sees the possibility of XRP hitting $12.60 over the next market cycle.
Separately, a trader featured in The Tradable has identified $3.10 as a 'perfect dip' entry point, maintaining a bullish target of $4.00 in the coming weeks. 'If XRP can reclaim and hold above $3.42, the momentum could quickly snowball,' the trader noted.
Support zone: $3.05–$3.15
$3.05–$3.15 Immediate resistance: $3.42
$3.42 Upside target if breakout succeeds: $3.60–$4.00
$3.60–$4.00 Downside risk if support breaks: $2.95–$3.00
$2.95–$3.00 Drivers: U.S. CPI inflation data, profit-taking pressure, trading volume strength End of 2025 target: $5.05 (Coinpedia)
$5.05 (Coinpedia) Cycle rally potential: $8–$11 (NewsBTC 'euphoria phase')
$8–$11 (NewsBTC 'euphoria phase') Ultra-bullish forecast: $12.60 (Ali Chart, post-SEC win)
$12.60 (Ali Chart, post-SEC win) 2030 projection: $26.50 (Coinpedia)
$26.50 (Coinpedia) 2050 projection: $526 (speculative long-term scenario)
$526 (speculative long-term scenario) Drivers: Ripple's legal clarity, institutional adoption, macroeconomic environment, ETF approvals, technical breakout patterns
Technical analysts highlight $3.42 as the immediate resistance level that could unlock a push toward $3.60–$3.70, with $4.00 as the next major psychological barrier. On the downside, failure to defend $3.15 could open the door to a retest of the $2.95–$3.05 range.
These thresholds are likely to be tested in the days surrounding the U.S. CPI report, as macro-driven volatility tends to spill over into crypto markets.
Some bullish forecasters, including those at NewsBTC, believe XRP is positioned for an 'euphoria phase' between August and October 2025, fueled by positive technical patterns like a bullish flag breakout and historical cycle behavior. In this scenario, a clean break above $5.00 could ignite a rally toward $8–$11.
Coinpedia's long-term models take the optimism further, projecting $5.05 by the end of 2025, $26.50 by 2030, and even $526 by 2050 — though such ultra-bullish targets remain speculative and highly dependent on market adoption, regulatory stability, and macroeconomic conditions. XRP's current setup is a classic tug-of-war between short-term traders locking in profits and longer-term bulls positioning for what they see as a much bigger move ahead. With macroeconomic events looming, the next two weeks could prove pivotal in determining whether XRP finally breaks through the $3.42 resistance or slides back toward key support levels. For now, the message from the data is clear: liquidity remains strong, technicals are coiling, and one decisive breakout could be all it takes to shift the narrative from caution to euphoria. Q1: What is the current XRP price forecast for 2025? Analysts see potential for $4 short term and up to $12 long term if key resistance breaks.
Q2: Why is the XRP price going down today? Profit-taking and caution ahead of U.S. inflation data are driving the short-term dip.
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The correlation between Bitcoin and traditional markets—once dismissed by purists—is becoming harder to the dollar strengthens or Treasury yields rise, Bitcoin increasingly behaves like a high-beta tech stock rather than an uncorrelated shift matters for portfolio managers who once sold Bitcoin to clients as a diversification play. Instead, it's proving to be a leveraged expression of broader market now, the narrative is clear: after racing to records, Bitcoin is cooling under the weight of macro headwinds and opportunistic profit-taking. Whether this is a short pause or the start of a broader unwinding will hinge less on crypto hype and more on the Federal Reserve's next dropped below $115K as liquidation waves, profit-taking, and Fed rate cut worries triggered a sharp market and XRP also plunged as Bitcoin's decline sparked a wider crypto market sell-off.

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