
Trump is torpedoing his own Ukraine peace deal
Zelensky needs to understand the specifics of what is being offered before he can evaluate the pros and cons of any deal. The same holds true for European countries that are increasingly stepping up to boost their military readiness and assume more of the burden for Europe's defence, in response to US demands. In the absence of a meaningful US presence to secure peace, it will fall to them to stand with Ukraine in the face of Russia's expansionist goals.
So, when president Trump uses vague language implying some sort of coordinating role, it is no wonder that allies are left uneasy and non-committal. Some have now seemed to downgrade their own commitments to Ukraine – from tens of thousands of soldiers, to a much smaller force well away from the Russian border. And that's not to mention the not so minor detail that Russia was always unlikely to accept any Western forces stationed in Ukraine. The Kremlin now says it wants an effective veto over any Western guarantees.
But these, as it turns out, are not the details that interest Trump.
This is not to say that no details matter to the president. Some seem to be quite important. Like the placement of a red carpet on the ground in Alaska to welcome the Russian leader. Or the spectacle of a flyover by US military aircraft. Or the staging of an Honour Guard for all the international media to see. Trump the showman knows how to throw a hell of an event, with little regard to the signal it sends to the rest of the world when he greets a murderous dictator like a revered statesman.
We shouldn't be surprised. This is the president who gilded the Oval Office in gold. He must have spent countless hours considering the optics of political rallies, only to ascend to the podium with no script in hand, leading to rambling speeches. His carefully laid out 'liberation day' announcement, threatening tariffs on friends and foes alike, was followed by months of back and forth about if-and-when those tariffs would come into effect, and against whom, and at what level. Most relevant was his brash promise to end the war in Ukraine within 24 hours of his inauguration, a promise that was self-evidently short on details.
And here is the rub: diplomacy is the stuff of details and specifics. Negotiations require patience and consistency. Just ask the US diplomats who brokered the Dayton Accords and Good Friday Agreement. The hard part happens behind closed doors, not in front of the cameras.
It turns out president Trump doesn't seem to care about those particulars. His impulse for an immediate end to the killing in Ukraine is understandable, but the danger is that he is so hooked on the optics of achieving peace and the diplomatic spectacle of high-stake summits, that he'll force Kyiv to accept any deal, even one that leaves it seriously worse off. If so, his desperation to be seen as a dealmaker will leave the entire democratic world worse off.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


The Guardian
6 minutes ago
- The Guardian
Ukraine war briefing: ‘Coalition of the willing' talks held as Russia stalls
Work is under way on the military component of security guarantees for Ukraine that European leaders and Donald Trump have committed to if there is a peace deal. A small group of military leaders held discussions in Washington to work out options, a western official told Reuters on Wednesday, shortly after a bigger virtual meeting wrapped up. Gen Dan Caine, chairman of the US joint chiefs of staff, held the talks which also involved around half a dozen other Nato defence chiefs. The chair of the Nato military committee, Adm Giuseppe Cavo Dragone, called it a 'great, candid discussion … Priority continues to be a just, credible and durable peace.' As the 'coalition of the willing' began to take on a preliminary shape, Andriy Yermak, chief of staff to Ukraine's president, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, said Ukraine was also working on a plan with its allies on how to proceed 'in case the Russian side continues to prolong the war and disrupt agreements on bilateral and trilateral formats of leaders' meetings.' Yermak also said that 'our teams, above all the military, have already begun active work on the military component of security guarantees'. Russia meanwhile continued to display its apparent intention to delay a possible meeting between Vladimir Putin and Zelenskyy, writes Pjotr Sauer. Sergei Lavrov, Putin's foreign minister, complained on Wednesday that Moscow should be included in any talks on Ukraine's security guarantees: 'To discuss security guarantees seriously without Russia is a road to nowhere.' Russia gave Ukraine a supposed 'security guarantee' under the Budapest memorandum of 1994, which Putin has long since comprehensively violated by attacking Ukraine. Lavrov avoided any direct reference to a possible Putin-Zelenskyy summit and said China, Russia's ally in the war, should be among Ukraine's security guarantors. Kyiv is likely to view that with deep scepticism given that Russia uses equipment and materials from China to attack Ukraine, and that the two countries have vowed to pursue a 'no-limits' partnership. Analysts suggested Putin would probably only meet Zelenskyy to accept a complete Ukrainian capitulation. Tatiana Stanovaya, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, said: 'He has repeatedly stated that such a meeting would only be possible if there were well-prepared grounds, which in practice means Zelenskyy's acceptance of Russia's terms for ending the war.' Drones attacked Kyiv over Wednesday night into Thursday morning as the Ukrainian air force issued a national alert for missile attacks after Russian warplanes took off. Earlier, on Wednesday, at least three people were killed in a Russian artillery attack on the eastern Ukrainian city of Kostiantynivka, local officials said. Another four were wounded. The governor, Vadym Filashkin, said it involved eight strikes from a multiple rocket launch system and targeted a local market. At least 14 people, including a family with three children, were wounded in a Russian attack on Ukraine's northern region of Sumy. A 'massive drone strike' on the southern Ukrainian region of Odesa injured one person and caused a large fire at a fuel and energy facility, Ukraine's state emergency service said on Wednesday. Ukrainian drone forces meanwhile scored a major hit on the Novoshakhtinsk oil refinery in Russia's Rostov region where fires and explosions were captured on video. A Russian military drone exploded in Polish farmland on Wednesday, blowing the windows out of houses and igniting a furious response from authorities. 'Once again, we are facing a provocation from the Russian Federation, with a Russian drone,' said Wladyslaw Kosiniak-Kamysz, the Polish defence minister. The explosion was in a cornfield near the village of Osiny about 100km (60 miles) from Warsaw and near the borders with Ukraine and Russian-allied Belarus. Poland's foreign minister, Radoslaw Sikorski, condemned 'a new violation of our airspace from the east … The foreign ministry will protest to the perpetrator of this violation.' It was believed to be a Russian drone type called Gerbera, which is often used as a decoy in attacks against Ukraine. Poland's Gen Dariusz Malinowski said the aircraft 'was a decoy drone, which was not armed but carried a self-destruct warhead'. Russian drones and missiles have crossed into the airspace of Nato members Latvia, Lithuania, Poland and Romania several times in the three and a half years since Russia began its invasion of Ukraine. The latest incident comes less than a month after a Russian military drone flew into Lithuania from Belarus.


The Independent
35 minutes ago
- The Independent
Trump has bought up $100 million in bonds from biggest companies including T-Mobile and Meta since taking office
Since taking office, Donald Trump has bought at least $103 million worth of bonds, including debt issued by corporations that could be impacted by federal policy, like T-Mobile, Meta, and Home Depot, according to government financial disclosures. According to the August 12 filing with the U.S. Office of Government Ethics, the president made nearly 700 bond purchases while in the White House, investing in bonds not only from name-brand companies but obscure local governments and utilities districts. The disclosures, obtained by Bloomberg, do not list the exact size of the purchases, but they do show that the president bought between $500,000 and $1,000,000 in bonds from T-Mobile and Home Depot in February, as well as debt worth between $250,000 and $500,000 from Facebook parent Meta. Meta, alongside a variety of other big names in the tech world, donated $1 million to Trump's inauguration fund. A White House official told Reuters that Trump and his family had no role in managing the purchases, which were carried out by a third-party financial institution. The official added that federal ethics officials certified the purchases as in compliance with applicable laws. Critics have alleged that Trump, a billionaire businessman and TV personality before becoming president, has continued highly lucrative activities while holding office. Under federal ethics laws, presidents are not required to divest assets that might pose a conflict of interest, but most have done so anyway since the late 1970s, moving their assets into blind trusts managed by independent monitors. Trump is the first president not to have done so since 1978, and his business empire is held in a trust managed by his two sons. The Republican's net worth has more than doubled since the final year of his first term, and since retaking office, the president has continued to promote his business interests, including by visiting a new Trump golf course in Scotland and hosting top investors in his cryptocurrency business for a tour of the White House in May. On average, the president has visited one of his properties roughly once every other day since taking office, and has promoted his businesses at least 60 times, according to the watchdog group Citizens for Ethics in Washington. The president's sons, meanwhile, have pursued lucrative deals in the crypto world alongside Zach Witkoff, son of U.S. Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff. A fund linked to the United Arab Emirates government, a U.S. ally, used $2 billion in the Trump family's World Liberty Financial cryptocurrency to invest in a crypto exchange. The Trump sons have also inked multiple business deals in the Middle Eas t since their father took office, including a Trump branded golf course in Qatar partially backed by the country's sovereign wealth fund.


Reuters
36 minutes ago
- Reuters
Oil prices gain as US inventory withdrawals point to strong demand
TOKYO, Aug 21 (Reuters) - Oil prices gained slightly on Thursday as larger-than-expected declines crude oil and fuel inventories in the U.S., the world's biggest oil user, supported expectations for steady demand. Brent crude futures were up 13 cents, or 0.19%, to $66.97 a barrel at 0055 GMT, after gaining 1.6% in the previous session. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose 15 cents, or 0.24%, to $62.86, after climbing 1.4% on Wednesday. U.S. crude inventories fell by 6 million barrels last week to 420.7 million barrels, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday, versus analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 1.8 million-barrel draw. , Gasoline stocks dropped by 2.7 million barrels, versus expectations for a 915,000-barrel draw, the EIA said, indicating steady driving demand during the summer travel season. That was also seen in a jump in the four-week average for jet fuel consumption to its highest since 2019. "Crude oil prices rebounded as signs of strong demand in the U.S. boosted sentiment," Daniel Hynes, senior commodity strategist at ANZ, said in a note on Thursday. Still, Hynes cautioned that some "bearish sentiment remains evident as traders continue to monitor negotiations to end Russia's war against Ukraine." Russia said on Wednesday attempts to resolve security issues relating to Ukraine without Moscow's participation were a "road to nowhere," as U.S. and European military planners have begun exploring post-conflict security guarantees for Ukraine. The drawn-out efforts to secure peace in Ukraine mean that Western sanctions on Russian oil supply continue to remain in place. The possibility of further U.S. sanctions and tariffs on Russian oil buyers also hang over the market. Russia, however, remains adamant it will keep providing crude to willing buyers, with Russian diplomats in India saying on Wednesday the country expects to continue supplying oil to India despite warnings from the U.S. U.S. President Donald Trump has announced an additional tariff of 25% on Indian goods from August 27 because of their Russian crude purchases. The European Union has also sanctioned Indian private refiner Nayara Energy, which is backed by Russian oil company Rosneft. Indian refiners initially backed off their Russian buying but company officials at state-run Indian Oil and Bharat Petroleum have bought Russian oil for September and October delivery, resuming purchases after discounts widened.