
Tariffs, tribunals and the trouble with American power
YOU can tell a lot about a country not just by the wars it wages, but by the emergencies it declares, especially when those emergencies are economic, and the weapons of choice are tariffs.
That's what makes the recent US Court of International Trade (CIT) ruling so important and revealing. Because it didn't just m strike down President Trump's so-called "Liberation Day" tariffs; it struck at the very
foundation of how America has come to usem - and abuse - its economic power in a world that's watching closely.
Let's rewind. On April 2, 2025, the Trump administration announced a sweeping set of tariffs under the banner of a national emergency.
Ten per cent across the board. Twenty-five per cent on countries accused of failing to stop fentanyl. Thirty per cent on China, later hiked to 145 per cent.
It was aggressive. It was improvisational. And it was built on a fragile legal foundation: the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), a Cold War-era statute meant for rogue regimes and wartime exigencies, not for fighting trade deficits or playing tariff roulette with allies.
This past week, the courts called that bluff. In a unanimous decision - handed down by judges appointed by Reagan, Obama, and Trump - the CIT ruled that the president had overstepped the bounds of IEEPA.
The tariffs, they said, were not just broad - they were legally untethered, imposed with pretextual justifications and zero regard for the statute's intent.
And just like that, the gears of Trump's most audacious trade weapon ground to a halt.
But don't be fooled - this isn't just a procedural hiccup. It's a watershed moment in the tug-of-war between presidential power and institutional restraint.
The ruling didn't just say "no" to tariffs; it said "no" to using emergency powers as a shortcut around democracy. It reasserted something many in Washington have forgotten: that trade policy, like war, is meant to be anchored in congressional authority, not unilateral whim.
And yet, the game isn't over.
Trump's team, and the broader apparatus of economic nationalism, still has tools in its belt: Section 232 (national security tariffs) and Section 301 (retaliatory duties for unfair trade practices). These remain untouched by the court's ruling.
The problem? They're slower. They require public comment, investigation, deliberation - things this administration often sees as bugs, not features.
That's why IEEPA was so seductive. It let the White House move fast and break things. It let policy emerge from impulse, not process. But that same speed is what now exposes the fragility of the whole edifice.
Because when courts intervene, when lawsuits multiply - from states, importers, and even Native American tribes - what you're left with isn't just blocked tariffs.
You're left with uncertainty as policy. And uncertainty, as any economist will tell you, is its own kind of tax.
It's a tax on investment. A tax on supply chains. A tax on consumer confidence. You can see it in the numbers. US GDP shrank 0.3 per cent in the first quarter of 2025. Prices for fresh produce jumped 5.4 per cent. Apparel? Up 17 per cent.
Meanwhile, the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index has reached its highest levels since the early days of Covid.
When Macy's and Ford are pricing in policy chaos, and investors are bracing for legal whiplash, you don't have a trade strategy - you have a crisis of credibility.
And that credibility matters. Because while the administration scrambles to appeal the ruling, other governments - Japan, Germany, Brazil, even Canada - are drawing their own conclusions.
They see a country that can't guarantee the durability of its own trade rules from one quarter to the next. They see lawsuits in Florida, D.C., and New York battling over tariff legality, and wonder whether the US is still the anchor of the rules-based order - or just another actor improvising at scale.
Even within the US, the institutional reckoning has begun. Lawmakers like Republican Don Beyer and Republican. Suzan DelBene are introducing bills to claw back congressional authority over tariffs.
Legal scholars like George Mason's Ilya Somin are warning that no other statute offers the same unchecked reach as IEEPA - which is exactly why it was used in the first place. And trade policy veterans like Cato's Scott Lincicome are sighing with relief - if not certainty - now that at least
one court has stood up and said, "enough."
So where does this leave us?
It leaves us at a crossroads. One path leads toward a restoration of discipline and institutional integrity - where Congress reclaims its rightful role, and emergency laws are used for actual emergencies.
The other path leads deeper into the fog where executive power expands unchecked, and economic strategy becomes a rolling headline war fought through tweet, tariff, and tribunal.
Because in the end, this isn't just about trade. It's about how power is used in a democracy. It's about whether economic statecraft can be wielded responsibly in a multipolar world.
And it's about whether the United States still believes that credibility and coherence are strengths worth preserving.
Trump's tariffs may have been paused. But the bigger question - about how America governs its economy in an age of fragmentation - remains wide open.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


New Straits Times
an hour ago
- New Straits Times
Asia could outstrip Europe as key beneficiary of US capital flight
AS global investors consider reducing their exposure to United States financial assets, the key question is where money flowing out of the US will go. While Europe may be the obvious destination, relative value metrics may favour emerging Asia. Even though US equities have recovered from the steep losses suffered in the week following US President Donald Trump's announcement of his "Liberation Day" tariffs, the same cannot be said of the US bond market. Since hitting a recent low on April 4, the 10-year Treasury yield has spiked by around 50 basis points, with bond investors demanding more compensation for the risk of holding longer-dated US debt. Worryingly, the benchmark Treasury yield has surged higher than nominal US gross domestic product growth — a key risk measure. Additionally, the usual positive correlation between Treasury yields and the US dollar has broken off, as rising yields are no longer attracting money to the "safest" asset in the world. The euro's almost 10 per cent rise against the dollar this year suggests that a significant portion of the capital flowing out of the US is going to Europe, likely driven by concerns about US policy as well as expectations of higher regional growth. Further monetary easing by the European Central Bank should promote economic activity, as should the expected surge in fiscal spending. The fiscal splurge is already offering a boost to European equities — the surprise winner thus far in 2025 — especially defence, industrial and technology stocks. Meanwhile, in emerging Asia — another potential destination for US capital outflows — the debt picture is better and the growth outlook is stronger. Government debt in many Asian countries is low, ranging from 37 per cent of GDP in Indonesia to around 85 per cent in China and India. Benchmark bond yields across the region have been declining since October 2023, speaking to fixed income investors' limited concerns about Asian countries' fiscal situations. In fact, yields in China, Thailand and Korea are all below those in the US, though those in Indonesia and India remain higher. Modest debt burdens mean there is also plenty of room for more fiscal stimulus in many countries, which could improve consumption, while the benign inflation environment should enable central banks in the region to continue cutting rates to stimulate growth. Emerging Asia also offers far more high-growth, technology companies than Europe. The release of the affordable Chinese artificial intelligence model, DeepSeek, Beijing's focus on semiconductors and advanced manufacturing and the country's electric vehicle dominance could all attract tech-focused investors looking for an alternative to the US. Even though European equities have outperformed their US counterparts significantly in 2025, the 12-month forward price-to-earnings multiple of the major European index, the STOXX50, is considerably lower than that of the S&P 500, at 15.4x and 21.0x, respectively, as of May 23. But the major emerging Asia equity index, the MSCI Asia ex Japan, is even cheaper at 13.4x. Moreover, earnings growth forecasts are higher in Asia than in either the US or Europe through 2026. Finally, reallocation of assets from the US could have a bigger positive impact on Asia than on Europe because of their relative sizes. Let's say five per cent of the US free floating market cap of around US$58 trillion, or roughly US$3 trillion, moves out. That would represent 36 per cent of Asia's market cap, but only 22 per cent of Europe's. Caution remains warranted, though. Asian nations' trade negotiations with the US will likely still encounter twists and turns, and increasing protectionism could hinder the region's more export-oriented economies. The capital flowing into emerging Asia is a double-edged sword because of the impact on Asian currencies versus the US dollar. If Asian currencies strengthen much more, the region's export engine could stutter. Investors, thus, have to keep a close eye on macroeconomics, geopolitics and policy statements, not just valuation metrics. But given emerging Asia's benign debt environment and positive growth outlook, both the region's equity and fixed income markets have the potential to benefit from the death of American exceptionalism.


The Star
4 hours ago
- The Star
Russia urges US and UK to restrain Ukraine after attacks on bombers
FILE PHOTO: Russia's Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov attends the BRICS Meeting of Ministers of Foreign Affairs in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, April 28, 2025. Mauro Pimentel/Pool via REUTERS/File Photo MOSCOW (Reuters) -Moscow said on Wednesday that military options were "on the table" for its response to Ukrainian attacks deep inside Russia and accused the West of being involved in them. Russia also urged the United States and Britain to restrain Kyiv after the attacks, which Ukrainian officials have lauded as showing Kyiv can still fight back after more than three years of war. British and U.S. officials have said they had no prior knowledge of Ukraine's attacks on Russian nuclear-capable long-range bombers at military bases over the weekend. Ukraine also tried to blow up a rail and road link with Crimea on Tuesday, and Russia says Kyiv blew up a highway bridge over a passenger train late on Saturday. U.S. President Donald Trump's Ukraine envoy said the risk of escalation from the war "going way up" after the attacks on the nuclear-capable bombers. A week earlier, Trump rebuked Russian President Vladimir Putin over a fierce aerial attack on Ukraine. "We urge London and Washington to react in such a way as to stop further escalation," Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov, who oversees relations with the U.S. and arms control, was quoted as saying by Interfax news agency. "All options are on the table," Ryabkov said, when asked what Russia's response to Ukraine's attacks would be. "This is a question for our military." Russia and the U.S. together hold about 88% of all nuclear weapons. Asked whether Russia thought the West was involved in the recent attacks, Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said the West supplied weapons, gave target coordinates, refused to condemn such attacks and actively incited them. "These are several areas that prove the fact of the involvement, both direct and indirect, and the guilt of the West for the terrorist attacks that are taking place against civilians and civilian infrastructure facilities by the Kyiv regime," Zakharova said. Kyiv has not commented on the bridge attacks. Each side has accused the other of carrying out acts of terrorism during the conflict and each blames the other for a lack of progress at peace talks. Trump was not informed in advance of Ukraine's drone attacks on Russia, White House spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt said on Tuesday. A British government official said the government was not informed ahead of time. (Reporting by Dmitry Antonov; Writing by Gleb Stolyarov; Editing by Guy Faulconbridge and Timothy Heritage)


The Sun
4 hours ago
- The Sun
US private sector hiring sharply slows, drawing Trump ire
WASHINGTON: US private sector hiring hit its slowest pace since early 2023 in May, according to data from payroll firm ADP on Wednesday, significantly missing expectations in a month where all eyes are on the effects of President Donald Trump's trade war. Private sector employment rose by 37,000 jobs last month, slowing from the 60,000 figure in April and swiftly drawing a fiery response from Trump on social media. ''Too Late' Powell must now LOWER THE RATE,' Trump said on his Truth Social platform, blasting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell whom he has repeatedly pressured to cut the benchmark lending rate. While the US central bank has started bringing down interest rates from the high levels of recent years, officials have proceeded cautiously as they monitor progress in cooling stubborn inflation. When inflation is low, central banks may opt to reduce rates, which typically encourages economic activity by reducing borrowing costs. But Trump's frustration comes at a time when 'hiring is losing momentum' after a strong start to this year, according to ADP chief economist Nela Richardson. She added in a statement that pay growth was also 'little changed in May.'