
India can neither 'stop water, nor quit IWT'
But experts caution that even a small diversion or blockage could hurt Pakistan, if India were to manage to stop the flow of the Indus Basin rivers. They warn that any such move could set the stage for a full-fledged war between two countries.
In April, India said it was walking out of the IWT after gunmen killed 26 tourists in Indian Illegally Occupied Jammu Kashmir (IIOJK). A day later, Pakistan's National Security Committee (NSC) rejected the "unilateral" move, warning that "any diversion of Pakistan's water is to be treated as an act of war".
The 85-page IWT brokered by the World Bank and signed in 1960 is different from most global water treaties that share water according to their total volume of flows. On the contrary, the IWT divides the rivers – three eastern rivers to India and three western rivers to Pakistan.
The treaty was a "hydraulic partition" that followed political partition, Majed Akhter, senior lecturer in geography at King's College London told Al Jazeera. "It was needed to resolve issues of the operation of an integrated irrigation system in Punjab," he added.
However, Akhter pointed out that water sharing between the neighbours is linked to their dispute over Kashmir. "Territorial control of Kashmir means control of the waters of the Indus, which is the main source of water for the heavily agrarian economies" of Pakistan and India, he added.

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Business Recorder
8 hours ago
- Business Recorder
No policy shift on Kashmir dispute: FO
ISLAMABAD: Pakistan has emphatically stated that there is no change in its policy or stance on Jammu and Kashmir dispute and different allusions about the statement of the Deputy Prime Minister's remarks on Jammu and Kashmir are baseless and uncalled for. 'Pakistan's stance on the Indian Illegally Occupied Jammu and Kashmir (IIoJK) remains consistent and in line with the relevant UN Security Council (UNSC) resolutions. There is no change in our policy,' Foreign Office (FO) Spokesperson Shafqat Ali Khan told a weekly media briefing on Friday. Responding to a query, he said Pakistan and China share an all-weather and friendship, which remains robust and unaffected by the actions of the US president. Pakistan ready for composite dialogue with India, says DPM Dar To another query, Ambassador Shafqat stressed that Pakistan does not seek to embarrass any country and maintains a policy of constructive diplomatic engagement. Regarding mediation between Pakistan and India, the spokesperson added, 'We welcome any positive role that mutual friends can play in reducing tensions in South Asia.' Pakistan and India maintain embassies in each other's countries, operating with reduced diplomatic strength, he said, adding the Pak-India DGMOs remain in contact, though no substantial progress has been made beyond existing engagements. To another question, Ambassador Khan revealed the Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA) is a terrorist organisation, and evidence indicates Indian state-sponsorship of its activities. However, he clarified that there is no confirmation regarding Israeli involvement in Balochistan's insurgency. Pakistan is committed to promoting diplomatic solutions to regional issues, including those involving Iran. In this regard, the deputy prime minister recently held a conversation with his Iranian counterpart, during which bilateral matters were discussed, he remarked. The FO spokesperson reiterated that the policy regarding the repatriation of illegal foreigners, especially Afghan nationals remains unchanged and is being implemented consistently in letter and spirit. The issue of terrorist sanctuaries' remains a key topic of discussion between Pakistan and Afghanistan, he pointed out. The spokesperson said that details of the recent trade agreement between Pakistan and the United States will soon be released by the Ministry of Commerce and Trade. The government is actively pursuing all legal and diplomatic avenues to secure the release of Dr Aafia Siddiqui. Our policy on this matter remains unchanged. Furthermore, the spokesperson said Pakistan categorically rejects the baseless assertions and provocative claims made by the Indian leaders during the Lok Sabha debate on the so-called 'Operation Sindoor.' These statements reflect a dangerous tendency to distort facts, justify aggression, and glorify conflict for domestic consumption. The world knows that India attacked Pakistan without any verifiable evidence or a credible investigation into the Pahalgam attack. During the intervening night of 6 and 7 May 2025, India's targeting of the alleged terrorist infrastructure resulted actually in the martyrdom of innocent men, women, and children. India failed to achieve any of its strategic objectives. On the other hand, Pakistan's resounding success in neutralising the Indian fighter jets and military targets is an indisputable fact. The Indian narrative of an alleged 'nuclear blackmail' by Pakistan is a misleading and self-serving construct, and an attempt to veil its own escalatory impulses while shifting blame onto Pakistan. Copyright Business Recorder, 2025


Business Recorder
a day ago
- Business Recorder
Need to resolve all disputes for peace in SA: Tarar
ISLAMABAD: Minister for Information and Broadcasting Attaullah Tarar has said Hindutva ideology propagated by the Indian leadership poses the greatest threat to peace in South Asia. Speaking at a policy dialogue titled 'Peace in South Asia' hosted by the Institute of Regional Studies (IRS) on Thursday, the minister said the India is also sponsoring terrorism inside Pakistan. As regards Indus Water Treaty, the minister said it is a legally binding document and it cannot be held in abeyance unilaterally. He said Pakistan has made it clear that water is our lifeline and no compromise will be made on it. He said any attempt to hinder the flow of water will be responded to decisively. The minister also emphasised the need for the resolution of all disputes including that of Jammu and Kashmir. He pointed out that President Trump has at various occasions, directly mentioned the Kashmir dispute. He said India cannot usurp the rights of innocent Kashmiri people, emphasising that there must be respect for the United Nations (UN) Security Council resolutions. The information minister said Pakistan has consistently played its role for peace in the region and it will continue to do so in future as well. He, however, said Pakistan's desire for peace should not be construed as weakness. He said Pakistan has demonstrated to the world its capability to effectively respond to any unprovoked aggression. Copyright Business Recorder, 2025


Express Tribune
2 days ago
- Express Tribune
Emergent Indus water sharing challenges
The writer is an academic and researcher. He is also the author of Development, Poverty, and Power in Pakistan, available from Routledge Listen to article While the Indus Water Treaty (IWT) of 1960 is more of a water distribution treaty rather than a water sharing one, it has provided a longstanding framework for two neighbouring rival nations to share the transborder rivers emerging out of the Himalayan glaciers. At the time when this treaty was inked, water flowing through the six Indus tributaries was plentiful, and pollution or climate change were not considered major problems. Over time, however, this treaty has come under major stress not only due to its inability to contend with ecological or climate related stresses, but due to the insatiable demand for water and hydroelectricity by the burgeoning populations on both sides of the tense border. As an upper riparian state, India has threatened to weaponise water following recurrent conflicts with Pakistan. Disputes over Indian plans to damn the three western rivers allocated to Pakistan have also been growing. Last year, India informed Pakistan that it wanted to renegotiate the terms of the IWT. The latest cross-border skirmishes following the Pahalgam attacks in occupied Kashmir gave India an excuse to put the treaty in abeyance. The Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) at The Hague has recently announced that this treaty cannot be annulled unilaterally, and that the PCA has authority to adjudicate water disputes between the two countries. While Pakistan is pleased with this announcement, India has refused to recognise the PCA's authority in the case. Given this situation, whether the IWT will be reinstated, renegotiated, or remain indefinitely suspended remains to be seen. Pakistan is much more dependent on the Indus tributaries than India, so India's threats to divert or withhold water allocated to Pakistan is not an issue which is taken lightly. However, experts point out that India cannot immediately alter the flow of the western rivers. In the high flow season (May and September), the western rivers carry billions of cubic meters of water, and the existing upstream run-of-the-river dams on these rivers have very limited storage. But if India develops new infrastructure on the western rivers, it could gain greater control over the timing and volume of flows into Pakistan, especially during the dry season when the flows across the basin are lower. However, any large-scale dam or diversion project to channel water from the western rivers to other parts of India would take years to build. The sites available in occupied Kashmir for major water storage present geological hurdles, and the needed infrastructure development would also be very costly. Holding back high flows on rivers like the Chenab or Jhelum also risks flooding upstream regions in India itself. Pakistan currently does not have sufficient reservoirs to store enough water to deal with the crisis it would face if India were to succeed in disrupting the flow of the western rivers. Pakistan is thus speeding up construction of the Mohmand and Diamer-Bhasha dams. Yet, Pakistan won't be able to survive more than short-term disruptions to water flow despite this new infrastructure development. Moreover, the Indus delta is already shrinking due to reduced freshwater outflows, so increased uncertainty in upstream flows could accelerate that degradation, with devastating consequences for coastal livelihoods and fisheries. Pakistan has stated that any attempt by India to construct major new storage on the western rivers would be considered an act of war. Indian attempts to assert hegemony over shared water would also make it vulnerable to similar moves by China, as India itself is a lower riparian state on the Brahmaputra and the Indus rivers. Some suggest that Pakistan could use India's decision to walk away from the IWT to seek a renegotiated agreement by staking a claim to some of the water from the eastern rivers. However, rather than making a bid to get more water, Pakistan may gain more international sympathy if it focuses on human security and environmental security concerns instead, which the existing IWT is unable to resolve. Pakistan should thus aim for IWT modifications which enable conservation and climate mitigation measures that are mutually beneficial for both India and Pakistan.