
Japan sees bright future for flexible solar panels
Pliable perovskite panels are perfect for mountainous Japan, with its shortage of flat plots for traditional solar farms.
And a key component of the panels is iodine, something Japan produces more of than any country but Chile.
The push faces some obstacles: perovskite panels contain toxic lead and, for now, produce less power and have shorter lifespans than their silicon counterparts.
Still, with a goal of net-zero by 2050 and a desire to break China's solar supremacy, perovskite cells are 'our best card to achieve both decarbonisation and industrial competitiveness,' industry minister Yoji Muto said in November.
'We need to succeed in their implementation in society at all costs,' he said.
The government is offering generous incentives to get industry on board, including a 157-billion-yen (US$1bil) subsidy to plastic maker Sekisui Chemical for a factory to produce enough perovskite solar panels to generate 100 megawatts by 2027, enough to power 30,000 households.
By 2040, Japan wants to install enough perovskite panels to generate 20 gigawatts (GW) of electricity, equivalent to adding about 20 nuclear reactors.
That should help Japan's target to have renewable energy cover up to 50% of electricity demand by 2040.
The nation is looking to solar power, including perovskite and silicon-based solar cells, to cover up to 29% of all electricity demand by that time, a sharp rise from 9.8% in 2023.
'To increase the amount of renewable energy and achieve carbon neutrality, I think we will have to mobilise all the technologies available,' said Hiroshi Segawa, a specialist in next-generation solar technology at the University of Tokyo.
'Perovskite solar panels can be built domestically, from the raw materials to production to installation.
'In that sense, they could significantly contribute to things like energy security and economic security,' he told AFP.
Tokyo wants to avoid a repeat of the past boom and bust of the Japanese solar business.
In the early 2000s, Japanese-made silicon solar panels accounted for almost half the global market.
Now, China controls more than 80% of the global solar supply chain, from the production of key raw materials to assembling modules.
Silicon solar panels are made of thin wafers that are processed into cells that generate electricity.
They must be protected by reinforced glass sheets and metal frames, making the final products heavy and cumbersome.
Perovskite solar cells, however, are created by printing or painting ingredients such as iodine and lead onto surfaces like film or sheet glass.
The final product can be just a millimetre thick and a tenth the weight of a conventional silicon solar cell.
Perovskite panels' malleability means they can be installed on uneven and curved surfaces, a key feature in Japan, where 70% of the country is mountainous.
The panels are already being incorporated into several projects, including a 46-storey Tokyo building to be completed by 2028. The southwestern city of Fukuoka has also said it wants to cover a domed baseball stadium with perovskite panels.
And major electronics brand Panasonic is working on integrating perovskite into windowpanes.
'What if all of these windows had solar cells integrated in them?' said Yukihiro Kaneko, general manager of Panasonic's perovskite production validation development department, gesturing to the glass-covered high-rise buildings surrounding the firm's Tokyo office.
'That would allow power to be generated where it is used and reduce the burden on the national grid,' Kaneko added.
For all the enthusiasm, perovskite panels remain far from mass production.
They are less efficient than their silicon counterparts and have a lifespan of just a decade, compared to 30 years for conventional units.
The toxic lead they contain also means they need careful disposal after use.
However, the technology is advancing fast.
Some prototypes can perform nearly as powerfully as silicon panels, and their durability is expected to reach 20 years soon.
University professor Segawa believes Japan could have a capacity of 40 GW from perovskite by 2040, while the technology could also speed up renewable uptake elsewhere.
'We should not think of it as either silicon or perovskite. We should look at how we can maximise our ability to utilise renewable energy,' Segawa said.
'If Japan could show a good model, I think it can be brought overseas.' — AFP
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


New Straits Times
28 minutes ago
- New Straits Times
Oil slips as little impact seen from EU sanctions on Russia
HOUSTON: Oil prices settled slightly lower on Monday as the latest European sanctions on Russian oil were expected to have minimal impact on supplies, but losses were curbed by investors weighing a potential drop in diesel supplies. Brent crude futures settled down US$0.07, or zero point one per cent, to US$69.21 a barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude settled down US$0.14, or zero point two per cent, to US$67.20. The European Union approved on Friday the 18th package of sanctions against Russia over its war in Ukraine, which also targeted India's Nayara Energy, an exporter of oil products refined from Russian crude. "The market right now thinks that supply will still make it to market in one way, shape or another. There is not too much concern," said John Kilduff, a partner at Again Capital in New York. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said on Friday that Russia had built up a certain immunity to Western sanctions. The EU sanctions followed US President Donald Trump's threats last week to impose sanctions on buyers of Russian exports unless Russia agrees to a peace deal within 50 days. ING analysts said the part of the package likely to have an effect is the EU import ban on refined products processed from Russian oil in third countries, though ING said that could prove difficult to monitor and enforce. Curbing some of crude's losses during afternoon trade on Monday were investor concerns around diesel supplies resulting from the sanctions package, analysts said. "As the day has gone on, the diesel crack spread started to firm quite a bit, suggesting that the market cannot ignore the fact that any disruptions in Russian oil supply could tighten supplies of diesel and that seems to be giving us a bit of support today," said Phil Flynn, senior analyst with Price Futures Group. Low-sulphur gasoil futures' premium to Brent crude closed on Monday at US$26.31, up around three per cent, marking its highest close since February 2024. "We have a bit of room for error on the crude side, barrels can be shuffled around a bit, but it is harder to shuffle around tight supplies of diesel," Flynn added. Iran, another sanctioned oil producer, is due to hold nuclear talks with Britain, France and Germany in Istanbul on Friday, an Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson said on Monday. That follows warnings by the three European countries that a failure to resume negotiations would lead to international sanctions being reimposed on Iran. In the United States, the number of operating oil rigs fell by two to 422 last week, the lowest total since September 2021, Baker Hughes said on Friday. "Oil-focused drilling is expected to remain at subdued levels through the balance of the year," StoneX analyst Alex Hodes said in a note on Monday. "We aren't anywhere close to prices that merit a significant pullback in investment though," Hodes added. US tariffs on EU imports are set to kick in on Aug 1, though US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said on Sunday he was confident the United States could secure a trade deal with the bloc. US tariffs are potentially negative for oil demand and economic activity, Again Capital's Kilduff said.


The Star
an hour ago
- The Star
Moderate growth path
PETALING JAYA: Malaysia's economy is expected to remain on a moderate growth path through 2025, supported by resilient domestic demand but challenged by mounting global trade tensions, according to research houses. Despite the encouraging 4.5% year-on-year expansion in the second quarter of 2025 (2Q25) advance estimates, released by the Statistics Department on July 18, analysts cautioned that external uncertainties – especially ongoing tariff negotiations with the United States – could cap the upside for full-year growth. Hong Leong Investment Bank (HLIB) Research said that domestic demand would 'remain the key growth driver, underpinned by a healthy labour market and supportive government policy measures.' It also noted the role of rising tourism activity – evident in a 10.5 million tourist arrival count from January to May – and improving investment trends as key pillars of growth. 'The continuous improvement in tourism activity and healthy investment pipelines will provide further support to overall momentum,' it said. However, the research house warned that the country's growth prospect faces mounting pressures from an uncertain global environment, particularly due to the ongoing US-Malaysia trade negotiations. It maintained its 2025 gross domestic product (GDP) forecast at 4% and projecting no change to the overnight policy rate (OPR) for the rest of the year. Similarly, CIMB Research highlighted domestic demand's resilience but flagged a more cautious trajectory for the rest of the year. 'Overall, the 2Q25 advance GDP figures reaffirmed domestic demand as the key growth anchor, offsetting persistent external sector headwinds,' it said. The economy expanded by 4.4% in the first half of 2025 (1H25), a moderation from 5% in 1H24. CIMB Research kept its GDP forecast unchanged at 4.3%, but warned: 'Should existing US tariffs of 25% remain in place beyond the Aug 1 deadline, we estimate that the GDP growth could ease further to around 4%, mainly due to a potential drag on external demand.' CGS International (CGSI) Research took a more cautionary tone regarding the external environment. 'We suspect that the softening growth in 2Q25 marks the start of a slowdown in external demand,' it said, citing the implementation of revised US tariffs. However, CGSI Research acknowledged potential reprieve, adding: 'We think that tariff execution date remains a moving goal post, based on US President Donald Trump's open stance on negotiations.' Domestically, it pointed to labour reforms, stable inflation, and tourism as buffers and maintained a 2025 GDP growth projection of 4.2%, down from 5.1% in 2024. TA Research also maintained a steady outlook, holding its GDP forecast at 4.4%. While it recognised headwinds from trade frictions, it highlighted supportive domestic conditions. 'The recent cut in the OPR is expected to provide a boost to economic activity, particularly through improved consumer and business sentiment in 2H25,' the research house said. BIMB Research provided a range-bound estimate, placing maximum potential GDP growth at 4.5% for 2025, though citing 4% as a more likely baseline given downside risks. 'Slowdown of exports of goods and coupled with slight moderation on investment activities are the dragging factors for this revision,' it said. It added that despite tariff exclusions and pauses, growth is subjected to direct and indirect effects of the heightening global trade war. The finalised 2Q25 GDP figures are scheduled for release on Aug 15, and will be closely watched for further insights into the country's economic trajectory amid global volatility.


The Star
an hour ago
- The Star
Cooling exports cloud Malaysia's outlook
PETALING JAYA: Amid cooling export momentum following a front-loading phase, Malaysia's economy is navigating a more fragile recovery, weighed down by persistent global trade uncertainties and an uneven domestic rebound, analysts say. In June, the country's exports declined further by 3.5% year-on-year (y-o-y), missing a Bloomberg consensus' forecast of a 5.4% gain. This marked the second consecutive month of disappointing growth, further affirming the ebbing of front-loading activities, analysts said. Likewise, imports softened to low single-digit growth of 1.2%. The country's trade surplus grew to RM8.6bil in June. The near-term export outlook for Malaysia remains clouded by ongoing uncertainty over global trade and tariff policies, geopolitical risks and evolving domestic policy reforms. 'US President Donald Trump's tariff announcements over the past two weeks, from July 1, with an extended deadline to Aug 1 for further negotiations, has cast a shadow over Malaysia's export outlook for the remainder of this year and into 2026 as Malaysia is facing a higher US reciprocal tariff of 25% versus 24% announced on April 2. 'It is also significantly higher than the tariffs slapped on other regional peers such as Indonesia, Vietnam and the Philippines,' United Overseas Bank (M) Bhd (UOB) said in a economics and markets research report yesterday. Additionally, UOB said the Trump administration's artificial intelligence-related restrictions and sector-specific tariffs remain unclear and fluid as of now. 'These risks are real and growing, which will be disruptive to supply chains, investment flows and export competitiveness,' the bank added. On the domestic front, policy changes such as the expanded sales and service tax (SST), new electricity tariff structure, the mandatory 2% Employees Provident Fund contributions for foreign workers, and eInvoicing, are adding pressures to Malaysian businesses, including exporters. In response, business leaders have urged the government to ease the burden by cutting SST rates and reconsidering the fuel subsidy rationalisation programme. Similarly, Hong Leong Investment Bank Research (HLIB Research) is maintaining a cautious view for the second half of this year (2H25) due to ongoing tariff risks, plus concerns over sector specific tariffs on semiconductors. The research house is keeping its gross domestic product (GDP) growth forecast for this year at 4%. Pending clarity on US-Malaysia tariff negotiations, CIMB Research retained its full-year GDP forecast at 4.3% for this year, noting that the local economy expanded by 4.4% in 1H25, down from 5% in 1H24, reflecting a balanced but cautious growth trajectory. However, should existing US tariffs of 25% remain in place beyond the Aug 1 deadline, the research house estimates GDP growth could ease further to around 4%. It noted that front-loading in the United States, Taiwan and South Korea moderated, while shipments to China, the European Union and Asean had weakened amid the tariff uncertainty.