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Bitcoin Could See A Weekend Rally To $100,000 – Is BTC Ready For New Highs?

Bitcoin Could See A Weekend Rally To $100,000 – Is BTC Ready For New Highs?

Business Mayor03-05-2025

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As Bitcoin (BTC) attempts to break out from its weekly range, its price eyes the crucial $99,000-$100,000 resistance barrier, fueling bullish sentiment among investors. Multiple analysts forecast that the flagship's crypto next all-time high (ATH) rally is around the corner, with some suggesting that the initial jump could come in the coming days.
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Bitcoin To $100,000 This Weekend?
Over the past two weeks, Bitcoin has recovered from its sub-$80,000 correction, breaking above the $90,000 mark and reclaiming the $93,5000 resistance to re-enter its post-US elections price range.
Amid its recovery, the cryptocurrency consolidated between the $93,000-$96,000 range, moving sideways for the last weeks. The start-of-month pump has seen BTC break out of this range after being compressed during this period, resembling its performance from two weeks ago.
Analyst Daan Crypto Trades explained that BTC surged to the $83,000-$86,000 region during the mid-April recovery, consolidating for over a week before a small 2% breakout toward the $87,500 resistance. This was followed by a two-day 'tight chop' and a breakout to a new higher range.
Bitcoin's 'small breakout' from this week's range. Source: Daan Crypto Trades on X
He suggested that Bitcoin displays 'a similar setup as the week before' as it has ranged and compressed within the $93,000-$96,000 zone and jumped around 2% to the $97,700 mark.
Read More Why Is Dogecoin Price Down Today?
Additionally, the largest crypto by market capitalization's 'tight chop' phase could have started as its price has hovered between $97,050 and $97,700 for the past few hours.
If BTC replicates its recent performance, the flagship crypto could rally around 8% toward a new range at the end of the weekend and retest $99,000-$100,000 in the coming days.
BTC Resembles Q4 2024 Price Action
Meanwhile, analyst Rekt Capital suggested that Bitcoin could repeat its Q4 2024 performance. He highlighted that BTC has recovered from its downside deviation to reclaim its recent re-accumulation range, but it's facing a lower high resistance within this zone.
Notably, the cryptocurrency experienced the same situation in the post-halving re-accumulation range, initially rejected from the lower high to fall to the range's lows. Weeks later, Bitcoin broke above the lower high resistance, restesting it as support before breaking out and soaring to a new ATH.
The analyst noted that the idea was first explored before the US election pump, suggesting that BTC could mimic its Q1 2024 rally, fueled by the US spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs).
BTC's performance resembles Q4 2024. source: Rekt Capital on X
'It would be poetry if Bitcoin repeated history and followed through on the same path in this current Range as well,' he stated.
However, Rekt Capital detailed that for history to repeat, Bitcoin must get rejected at $99,000, hold the $93,500 mark as support, and break the $97,000-$99,000 range before being rejected at the $104,500 resistance.
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Then the flagship crypto would need to hold the $97,000-$99,000 range as support for a similar breakout to new ATHs.
The analyst concluded that if Bitcoin continues holding the $93,500 mark, the price will be positioned to move across its re-accumulation range. Nonetheless, BTC must break its 'black Lower High resistance within this Range, which is positioned at ~$99k this week.'
As of this writing, Bitcoin trades at $97,461, a 3% increase in the weekly timeframe.
Bitcoin's performance in the one-week chart. Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView
Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

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The decrease was mainly due to a reduction in marketing and promotion expenses of RMB265.1 million (US$36.5 million), labor outsourcing costs of RMB46.4 million (US$6.4 million), and staff costs of RMB7.9 million (US$1.1 million), which included a decrease in share-based compensation expenses of RMB2.1 million (US$0.3 million). Research and development expenses Research and development expenses were RMB20.9 million (US$2.9 million) in the third quarter of FY 2025, compared to RMB38.8 million in the third quarter of FY 2024, representing a decrease of 46.2%. The decrease was primarily due to lower staff costs of RMB16.0 million (US$2.2 million). General and administrative expenses General and administrative expenses were RMB25.0 million (US$3.5 million) in the third quarter of FY 2025, compared to RMB36.4 million in the third quarter of FY 2024, representing a decrease of 31.2%. The decrease was primarily due to lower staff costs of RMB8.0 million (US$1.1 million), which included a decrease in share-based compensation expenses of RMB5.5 million (US$0.8 million). Remeasurement gain of previously held equity interests in connection with step acquisitions Remeasurement gain of previously held equity interests in connection with step acquisitions were RMB8.1 million (US$1.1 million) in the third quarter of FY 2025, reflecting the fair value adjustment of initial investments in Letsvan before obtaining control. Details of the acquisition can be found in the Recent Developments section of this report. Others, net Others, net were RMB15.4 million (US$2.1 million) in the third quarter of FY 2025, compared to RMB7.7 million in the third quarter of FY 2024, primarily driven by the increased fair value gains in one of the Company's long-term investments. Net income and adjusted net income Net income was RMB41.1 million (US$5.7 million) in the third quarter of FY 2025, compared to RMB14.6 million in the third quarter of FY 2024. Adjusted net income was RMB37.8 million (US$5.2 million) in the third quarter of FY 2025, compared to RMB31.9 million in the third quarter of FY 2024. Earnings per share and adjusted earnings per share4 Basic and diluted net income per share were both RMB0.25 (US$0.03) in the third quarter of FY 2025, compared to basic and diluted net income per share of RMB0.09 in the third quarter of FY 2024. Basic and diluted adjusted net income per share were RMB0.23 (US$0.03), in the third quarter of FY 2025, compared to RMB0.19 in the third quarter of FY 2024. Balance Sheet As of March 31, 2025, the Company had cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash and short-term investments of RMB1,134.9 million (US$156.4 million), compared with RMB1,026.3 million as of June 30, 2024. Recent Developments Investments in Letsvan On March 24, 2025, the Company announced that it entered into definitive agreements to invest in Shenzhen Yiqi Culture Co., Ltd., a PRC-based company specializing in IP incubation, copyright commercialization, and the promotion and sales of pop toys. The transaction marks the Company's strategic entry into the pop toys market and broader consumer goods sector. Upon the completion of the investments in March 2025, Letsvan became a controlled subsidiary of the Company. Letsvan currently operates a number of established IPs, including "WAKUKU", "ZIYULI", "FUNII", "FIILA" and "PIDOL", with distribution channels spanning both online and offline platforms across China and Southeast Asian markets. Letsvan's current growth strategy encompasses three key areas: strengthening collaborations with major retail partners to enhance IP influence and expand sales, developing self-operated retail locations including a recently opened pop-up store at Chaoyang Joy City in Beijing, and building comprehensive online brand and sales capabilities. International expansion initiatives are underway. Letsvan has already established its footprints in certain Southeast Asian markets and has been exploring opportunities in other overseas markets including the United States. With respect to IPs, Letsvan continues to strengthen internal product incubation and operational capabilities, partner with third-party artists, and collaborate with established IPs to diversify its product portfolio. Recent product launches include the "WAKUKU Fox and Bunny Trick or Treat", which commenced offline distribution on May 17, 2025, followed by online channel availability on May 20, 2025. The Beijing Chaoyang Joy City pop-up store launch has generated favorable user response and increased product visibility in the market. 2024 Share Repurchase Program On June 11, 2024, the Company announced that the Board had approved a share repurchase program of up to US$20.0 million of the Company's Class A ordinary shares in the form of ADSs for a 12-month period beginning on June 11, 2024 and ending on June 10, 2025 (the '2024 Share Repurchase Program'). As of March 31, 2025, a total of 1.7 million ADSs had been repurchased for an aggregate consideration of US$3.6 million under the 2024 Share Repurchase Program. 2025 Share Repurchase Program On June 6, 2025, the Company announced that the Board had approved a new share repurchase program of up to US$20.0 million of the Company's Class A ordinary shares in the form of ADSs for a purchase period beginning from June 11, 2025 and ending on June 30, 2026 (the '2025 Share Repurchase Program'). Repurchases under the 2025 Share Repurchase Program may be made from time to time through open market transactions at prevailing market prices, in privately negotiated transactions, in block trades and/or through other legally permissible means. The repurchases will be subject to all applicable rules and regulations, including Rule 10b-18 and Rule 10b5-1 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, as well as the Company's insider trading policy. The number of ADSs repurchased and the timing of repurchases will also depend on a number of factors, including, but not limited to, price, trading volume and general market conditions, along with the Company's working capital requirements, general business conditions and other factors. The Board will review the 2025 Share Repurchase Program periodically, and may authorize adjustment of its terms and size or suspend or discontinue the program. The Company plans to fund the repurchases from its existing cash balance. Conference Call Information The Company's management team will hold an earnings conference call at 07:00 A.M. Eastern Time on Friday, June 6, 2025 (07:00 P.M. Beijing Time on the same day) to discuss the financial results. Listeners may access the call by dialing the following numbers: International: 1-412-902-4272 United States Toll Free: 1-888-346-8982 Mainland China Toll Free: 4001-201203 Hong Kong Toll Free: 800-905945 Conference ID: QuantaSing Group Limited The replay will be accessible through June 13, 2025 by dialing the following numbers: International: 1-412-317-0088 United States Toll Free: 1-877-344-7529 Replay Access Code: 3611954 A live and archived webcast of the conference call will be available at the Company's investor relations website at Non-GAAP Financial Measures To supplement the Company's consolidated financial statements, which are prepared and presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP, the Company uses gross billings of individual online learning services, adjusted net income and basic and diluted adjusted net income per share as its non-GAAP financial measures. Gross billings of individual online learning services for a specific period represents revenues of the Company's individual online learning services net of the changes in deferred revenues in such period, further adjusted by value-added tax in such period. Adjusted net income represents net income excluding share-based compensation expenses and remeasurement gain of previously held equity interests inconnection with step acquisitions. Basic and diluted adjusted net income per share represents adjusted net income attributable to QuantaSing Group Limited divided by weighted average number of ordinary shares outstanding during the periods used in computing adjusted net income per share, basic and diluted. The Company believes that the non-GAAP financial measures provide useful information about the Company's results of operations, enhance the overall understanding of the Company's past performance and future prospects and allow for greater visibility with respect to key metrics used by the Company's management in its financial and operational decision-making. The non-GAAP financial measures are not defined under U.S. GAAP and are not presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP. The non-GAAP financial measures have limitations as analytical tools, and when assessing the Company's operating performance, investors should not consider them in isolation, or as a substitute for revenue, net income, net income per share, basic and diluted or other consolidated statements of operations data prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. The Company's definition of non-GAAP financial measures may differ from those of industry peers and may not be comparable with their non-GAAP financial measures. The Company mitigates these limitations by reconciling the non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable U.S. GAAP performance measures, all of which should be considered when evaluating the Company's performance. For more information on these non-GAAP financial measures, please see the table captioned 'QuantaSing Group Limited Unaudited Reconciliation of GAAP and Non-GAAP Results' near the end of this release. Exchange Rate Information This announcement contains translations of certain Renminbi ('RMB') amounts into U.S. dollars ('US$') at specified rates solely for the convenience of the reader. Unless otherwise stated, all translations from Renminbi to U.S. dollars were made at the rate of RMB7.2567 to US$1.00, the exchange rate on March 31, 2025, set forth in the H.10 statistical release of the Federal Reserve Board. The Company makes no representation that the Renminbi or U.S. dollars amounts referred to could be converted into U.S. dollars or Renminbi, as the case may be, at any particular rate or at all. Safe Harbor Statements This announcement contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of Securities Act of 1933, as amended and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1955. All statements other than statements of historical or current fact included in this press release are forward-looking statements, including but not limited to statements regarding QuantaSing's financial outlook, beliefs and expectations. These statements can be identified by terminology such as 'will,' 'expects,' 'anticipates,' 'future,' 'intends,' 'plans,' 'believes,' 'estimates,' 'potential,' 'continue,' 'ongoing,' 'targets,' 'guidance' and similar statements. The Company may also make written or oral forward-looking statements in its periodic reports to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the 'SEC'), in its annual report to shareholders, in press releases, and other written materials and in oral statements made by its officers, directors or employees to third parties. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. A number of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement, including but not limited to the following: the Company's growth strategies; its future business development, results of operations and financial condition; its ability to attract and retain new users and learners and to increase the spending and revenues generated from users and learners; its ability to maintain and enhance the recognition and reputation of its brand; its expectations regarding demand for and market acceptance of its services and products; the expected growth, trends and competition in the markets that the Company operates in; changes in its revenues and certain cost or expense items; PRC governmental policies and regulations relating to the Company's business and industry, general economic and political conditions in China and globally, and assumptions underlying or related to any of the foregoing. Further information regarding these and other risks, uncertainties, or factors is included in the Company's filings with the SEC, including, without limitation, the final prospectus related to the IPO filed with the SEC dated January 24, 2023. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date this press release. All forward-looking statements are qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement, and the Company undertakes no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof. About QuantaSing Group Limited QuantaSing is a leading lifestyle solution provider that offers engaging, affordable and accessible online and offline services, as well as consumer products in selected areas that address senior users' wellness aspirations. QuantaSing has expanded into the pop toys sector and continues to strategically diversify its portfolio by capturing opportunities in promising consumer sectors while maintaining financial discipline. For more information, please visit: Contact Investor RelationsLeah GuoQuantaSing Group LimitedEmail: ir@ +86 (10) 6493-7857 Robin Yang, PartnerICR, LLCEmail: +1 (212) 537-0429 _________________________________1 Gross billings of individual online learning services is a non-GAAP financial measure. For a reconciliation of revenues of individual online learning services to gross billings of individual online learning services, see the 'Non-GAAP Financial Measures' section and the table captioned 'QuantaSing Group Limited Unaudited Reconciliation of GAAP and Non-GAAP Results' below.2 Adjusted net income is a non-GAAP financial measure. For a reconciliation of net income to adjusted net income, see the 'Non-GAAP Financial Measures' section and the table captioned 'QuantaSing Group Limited Unaudited Reconciliation of GAAP and Non-GAAP Results' below.3 Effective from the fourth quarter of FY 2024, the Company has introduced 'Revenues from Consumer Business' as a separate line item. This revenue was previously included in 'Revenues from Others'. The historical revenues presentation has been conformed to the current presentation.4 Basic and diluted adjusted net income per share are non-GAAP financial measures. For a reconciliation of basic and diluted net income per share to basic and diluted adjusted net income per share, see the 'Non-GAAP Financial Measures' section and the table captioned 'QuantaSing Group Limited Unaudited Reconciliation of GAAP and Non-GAAP Results' GROUP LIMITEDUNAUDITED CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS(Amounts in thousands, except for share and per share data) As of June 30,2024 March 31,2025 March 31,2025 RMB RMB US$ ASSETS Current assets: Cash and cash equivalents 779,931 985,677 135,830 Restricted cash 160 675 93 Short-term investments 246,195 148,532 20,468 Accounts receivable, net 16,676 37,392 5,153 Amounts due from related parties 4,488 489 67 Inventory, net 6,345 28,120 3,875 Prepayments and other current assets 275,549 173,582 23,920 Total current assets 1,329,344 1,374,467 189,406 Non-current assets: Property and equipment, net 6,569 11,571 1,595 Long-term investments 9,010 44,428 6,122 Intangible assets, net - 68,973 9,505 Operating lease right-of-use assets 58,889 29,479 4,062 Deferred tax assets 847 914 126 Goodwill - 187,598 25,852 Other non-current assets 21,360 5,177 713 Total non-current assets 96,675 348,140 47,975 TOTAL ASSETS 1,426,019 1,722,607 237,381 LIABILITIES Current liabilities: Short-term Borrowings - 14,500 1,998 Accounts payables 62,066 55,219 7,609 Accrued expenses and other current liabilities 190,508 186,084 25,643 Income tax payable 20,399 53,565 7,381 Contract liabilities, current portion 385,227 310,189 42,745 Advance from customers 162,257 148,332 20,441 Operating lease liabilities, current portion 49,099 30,837 4,249 Total current liabilities 869,556 798,726 110,066 Non-current liabilities: Contract liabilities, non-current portion 11,365 33,495 4,616 Operating lease liabilities, non-current portion 16,989 3,123 430 Deferred tax liabilities 11,625 42,269 5,825 Total non-current liabilities 39,979 78,887 10,871 TOTAL LIABILITIES 909,535 877,613 120,937QUANTASING GROUP LIMITEDUNAUDITED CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS- continued(Amounts in thousands, except for share and per share data) As of June 30,2024 March 31,2025 March 31,2025 RMB RMB US$ MEZZANINE EQUITY Non-controlling interests with liquidation preferences - 40,999 5,650 SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY Class A ordinary shares 81 81 11 Class B ordinary shares 34 34 5 Treasury stock (109,257 ) (41,898 ) (5,774 ) Additional paid-in capital 1,192,474 1,069,620 147,398 Accumulated other comprehensive income 17,313 18,491 2,548 Accumulative deficit (584,161 ) (335,573 ) (46,243 ) TOTAL QUANTASING GROUP LIMITED SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY 516,484 710,755 97,945 Non-controlling interests - 93,240 12,849 TOTAL SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY 516,484 803,995 110,794 TOTAL LIABILITIES, MEZZANINE EQUITY AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY 1,426,019 1,722,607 237,381QUANTASING GROUP LIMITEDUNAUDITED CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS AND COMPREHENSIVE INCOME(Amounts in thousands, except for shares and per share data) For the Three MonthsEnded March 31, For the Nine MonthsEnded March 31, 2024 2025 2025 2024 2025 2025 RMB RMB US$ RMB RMB US$ Revenues 945,570 570,706 78,645 2,795,248 2,107,757 290,457 Cost of revenues (145,848 ) (96,556 ) (13,306 ) (409,058 ) (353,516 ) (48,716 ) Gross Profit 799,722 474,150 65,339 2,386,190 1,754,241 241,741 Operating expenses: Sales and marketing expenses (729,620 ) (395,175 ) (54,457 ) (2,006,884 ) (1,317,206 ) (181,516 ) Research and development expenses (38,840 ) (20,891 ) (2,879 ) (123,655 ) (77,325 ) (10,656 ) General and administrative expenses (36,390 ) (25,049 ) (3,452 ) (114,211 ) (86,194 ) (11,878 ) Total operating expenses (804,850 ) (441,115 ) (60,788 ) (2,244,750 ) (1,480,725 ) (204,050 ) (Loss)/Income from operations (5,128 ) 33,035 4,551 141,440 273,516 37,691 Other income: Interest income 2,513 880 121 8,369 4,040 557 Remeasurement gain of previously held equity interests in connection with step acquisitions - 8,109 1,117 - 8,109 1,117 Others, net 7,685 15,400 2,122 22,163 31,418 4,330 Income before income tax 5,070 57,424 7,911 171,972 317,083 43,695 Income tax benefit/(expense) 9,560 (16,280 ) (2,243 ) 16,948 (68,495 ) (9,439 ) Net income 14,630 41,144 5,668 188,920 248,588 34,256 Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interests - 1 - - 1 - Net income attributable to QuantaSing Group Limited 14,630 41,145 5,668 188,920 248,589 34,256 Other comprehensive income/(loss) Foreign currency translation adjustments, net of nil tax 423 (289 ) (40 ) (4,954 ) 1,178 162 Total other comprehensive income/(loss) 423 (289 ) (40 ) (4,954 ) 1,178 162 Total comprehensive income 15,053 40,855 5,628 183,966 249,766 34,418 Total comprehensive loss attributable to noncontrolling interests - 1 - - 1 - Comprehensive income attributable to QuantaSing Group Limited 15,053 40,856 5,628 183,966 249,767 34,418 Net income per ordinary share - Basic 0.09 0.25 0.03 1.14 1.55 0.21 - Diluted 0.09 0.25 0.03 1.10 1.52 0.21 Weighted average number of ordinary shares used in computing net income per share - Basic 164,753,256 162,791,862 162,791,862 166,399,349 160,479,027 160,479,027 - Diluted 170,890,581 165,216,173 165,216,173 171,089,530 163,949,787 163,949,787 Share-based compensation expenses included in Cost of revenues (2,878 ) (1,431 ) (197 ) (9,945 ) (5,214 ) (719 ) Sales and marketing expenses (2,779 ) (642 ) (88 ) 8,678 (1,540 ) (212 ) Research and development expenses (3,599 ) (167 ) (23 ) (10,611 ) (2,474 ) (341 ) General and administrative expenses (8,039 ) (2,571 ) (354 ) (28,961 ) (8,073 ) (1,112 ) QUANTASING GROUP LIMITEDUNAUDITED RECONCILIATION OF GAAP AND NON-GAAP RESULTS(Amounts in thousands, except for shares and per share data) The following table below sets forth a reconciliation of revenues to gross billings for the periods indicated: For the Three MonthsEnded March 31, For the Nine MonthsEnded March 31, 2024 2025 2025 2024 2025 2025 RMB RMB US$ RMB RMB US$ Revenues of individual online learning services: 828,127 467,247 64,388 2,457,588 1,777,552 244,953 Add: value-added tax 52,986 27,919 3,847 147,665 101,969 14,052 Add: ending deferred revenues(1) 744,320 461,026 63,531 744,320 461,026 63,531 Less: beginning deferred revenues(1) (643,929 ) (440,632 ) (60,721 ) (661,360 ) (565,030 ) (77,863 ) ​ Gross billings of individual online learning services 981,504 515,560 71,045 2,688,213 1,775,517 244,673 (1) Deferred revenues include contract liabilities, advance from customers, and refund liability of individual online learning services included in 'accrued expenses and other current liabilities'.QUANTASING GROUP LIMITEDUNAUDITED RECONCILIATION OF GAAP AND NON-GAAP RESULTS - continued(Amounts in thousands, except for shares and per share data) The following table below sets forth a reconciliation of net income to adjusted net income and basic and diluted net income per share to basic and diluted adjusted net income per share for the periods indicated: For the Three MonthsEnded March 31, For Nine MonthsEnded March 31, 2024 2025 2025 2024 2025 2025 RMB RMB US$ RMB RMB US$ Net income 14,630 41,144 5,668 188,920 248,588 34,256 Add: Share-based compensation expenses 17,295 4,811 662 40,839 17,301 2,384 Less: Remeasurement gain of previously held equity interests in connection with step acquisitions - (8,109 ) (1,117 ) - (8,109 ) (1,117 ) ​ Adjusted net income 31,925 37,846 5,213 229,759 257,780 35,523 Attributable to noncontrolling interests - 1 - - 1 - Adjusted net income attributable to QuantaSing Group Limited 31,925 37,847 5,213 229,759 257,781 35,523 Weighted average number of ordinary shares used in computing net income per share - Basic 164,753,256 162,791,862 162,791,862 166,399,349 160,479,027 160,479,027 - Diluted 170,890,581 165,216,173 165,216,173 171,089,530 163,949,787 163,949,787 Weighted average number of ordinary shares used in computing adjusted net income per share - Basic 164,753,256 162,791,862 162,791,862 166,399,349 160,479,027 160,479,027 - Diluted 170,890,581 165,216,173 165,216,173 171,089,530 163,949,787 163,949,787 Net income per ordinary share - Basic 0.09 0.25 0.03 1.14 1.55 0.21 - Diluted 0.09 0.25 0.03 1.10 1.52 0.21 Non-GAAP adjustments to net income per ordinary share - Basic 0.10 (0.02 ) 0.00 0.24 0.06 0.01 - Diluted 0.10 (0.02 ) 0.00 0.24 0.05 0.01 Adjusted net income per ordinary share - Basic 0.19 0.23 0.03 1.38 1.61 0.22 - Diluted 0.19 0.23 0.03 1.34 1.57 0.22Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

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