logo
Oil softens on US tariff uncertainty and OPEC+ output expectations

Oil softens on US tariff uncertainty and OPEC+ output expectations

Business Recorder13 hours ago
LONDON: Oil prices fell slightly on Thursday as the possibility of U.S. tariffs being reinstated raised demand concerns ahead of an expected supply boost by major producers.
Brent crude futures fell 21 cents, or 0.3%, to $68.90 a barrel by 1217 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude declined 15 cents, or 0.2%, to $67.30.
Both contracts had hit one-week highs on Wednesday as Iran suspended cooperation with the U.N. nuclear watchdog, raising concerns the lingering dispute over its nuclear programme could again devolve into armed conflict.
A preliminary trade deal between the U.S. and Vietnam also boosted prices.
Tariff uncertainty looms large, however. The 90-day pause on the implementation of higher U.S. tariffs ends on July 9, with several large trading partners yet to wrap up trade deals, including the European Union and Japan.
The OPEC+ group of oil producers, meanwhile, is expected to agree to raise output by 411,000 barrels per day (bpd) at its policy meeting this weekend.
Adding to negative sentiment, a private-sector survey showed that service activity in China - the world's biggest oil importer - expanded at its slowest pace in nine months in June as demand weakened and new export orders declined.
A surprise build in U.S. crude inventories also highlighted demand concerns in the world's biggest crude consumer.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday that domestic crude inventories rose by 3.8 million barrels to 419 million barrels last week. Analysts in a Reuters poll had expected a drawdown of 1.8 million barrels.
The market will be watching for the U.S. monthly employment report on Thursday, which is likely to shape expectations over the depth and timing of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the second half of the year, analysts said.
Lower interest rates could spur economic activity that would boost oil demand.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

US natgas prices rise ahead of storage report
US natgas prices rise ahead of storage report

Business Recorder

timean hour ago

  • Business Recorder

US natgas prices rise ahead of storage report

NEW YORK: US natural gas futures edged up on Thursday as hotter mid-July forecasts were expected to increase demand for air-conditioning and gas-fired power, while LNG terminals coming back online after spring maintenance were also expected to boost exports. Front-month gas futures for August delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) traded 4.8 cents, or 1.4% higher, at $3.54 per million British thermal units by 09:49 a.m. EDT (1349 GMT). The price increase preceded the US Energy Information Administration's weekly storage report, due at 10:30 a.m. ET, that is expected to show energy firms last week injected more gas into storage for a 11th week in a row. Analysts forecast energy firms added 53 billion cubic feet of gas into storage during the week ended June 27. That compares with an injection of 35 bcf during the same week a year ago and a five-year (2020-2024) average increase of 61 bcf for this time of year. 'Power burns are starting to get some strength here due to seasonal factors. We've got some hot weather across the country,' said Robert DiDona, president of Energy Ventures Analysis. 'We just came out of a period of LNG maintenance. So the stronger export Mexican exports and stronger LNG exports are also contributing to demand.' The price recovery is likely driven by short-covering ahead of the US storage report and the long holiday weekend, while any bullish storage surprise or slight uptick in cooling demand should potentially trigger sharp price volatility in the natural gas market, Di Dona added. Financial firm LSEG said average gas output in the Lower 48 US states has risen to 106.7 billion cubic feet per day so far in July, slightly up from 106.4 bcfd in June, when spring pipeline maintenance had temporarily curbed production. LSEG estimated 237 total degree days over the next two weeks, compared with 206 estimated on Wednesday. It also forecast average gas demand in the Lower 48, including exports, increased to 106.6 billion cubic feet per day for the current week from 103.7 bcfd in the prior week. The normal level for this time of year is 174 TDDs. Total degree days measure the number of degrees a day's average temperature is above or below 65 degrees Fahrenheit (18 degrees Celsius), to estimate demand to cool or heat homes and businesses. The average amount of gas flowing to the eight big US LNG export plants rose to 15.4 bcfd in July so far, up from 14.4 bcfd in June, but down from a monthly record high of 16.0 bcfd in April. The feedgas average for July was slightly up from June, as units at some LNG plants returned from maintenance reductions. Meanwhile, Golden Pass LNG, which is owned by Exxon Mobil and QatarEnergy, has asked US regulators for permission to re-export liquefied natural gas from October 1, as the export plant nears production after previous delays. The company said it plans to import an LNG cargo to cool down its Texas-based export facility, which is still under construction. Cooling down the plant is typically the final step before it begins producing LNG. Dutch and British wholesale gas prices traded in a narrow range on Thursday due to stable supply from Norway and from liquefied natural gas, while demand from the power sector softened after the end of the heatwave.

European shares advance as markets take US jobs data in stride
European shares advance as markets take US jobs data in stride

Business Recorder

timean hour ago

  • Business Recorder

European shares advance as markets take US jobs data in stride

FRANKFURT: European shares closed higher on Thursday as investors took in stride a stronger-than-expected US jobs report, with bank stocks leading gains as focus remained on a potential trade deal between the European Union and the United States. The pan-European STOXX 600 index closed 0.5% higher, in tandem with a 0.9% rise in the US S&P 500. Germany's DAX advanced 0.6%, while France's CAC 40 added 0.2%. US job growth was unexpectedly solid in June, with the nonfarm payrolls reading shooting above market estimates for the month. 'Today's good news should be treated as such by the markets, with equities rising despite the accompanying pickup in interest rates,' said Jeff Schulze, head of economic and market strategy at ClearBridge Investments. US interest rate futures show traders betting on a September start to Federal Reserve rate cuts and a total of just two quarter-point reductions by yearend, not the three rate cuts that they had favoured prior to the data. Banks were the biggest boost to the STOXX 600, with British lenders Natwest and Lloyds leading the charge at a more than 3% rise each. British stocks, bonds and the pound stabilised after losses on Wednesday as Prime Minister Keir Starmer's office rushed to give finance minister Rachel Reeves his full backing after she appeared in tears in parliament. UK midcaps climbed 1.2%, while the internationally-focussed blue-chip index added 0.6%. Also giving a leg up to global markets was the announcement of a deal between the United States and Vietnam ahead of next week's deadline set by President Donald Trump for new US trade tariffs worldwide. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said the European Union was aiming first for a trade agreement in principle with the United States before the deadline. The US also lifted export restrictions on Chinese-bound shipments from chip design software developers and ethane producers. German engineering company Siemens AG closed 0.8% higher after jumping as much as 3% in response to easing US-China trade tensions. Republicans in the US House of Representatives advanced Trump's massive tax-cut and spending bill toward a final yes-or-no vote on Thursday. Shares of some European renewable energy companies extended gains from the previous session, with Vestas up close to 7%. The final version of the US bill is seen as more positive for wind power than an earlier version.

Gold falls as strong US payrolls data douses rate cut hopes
Gold falls as strong US payrolls data douses rate cut hopes

Business Recorder

timean hour ago

  • Business Recorder

Gold falls as strong US payrolls data douses rate cut hopes

NEW YORK: Gold fell 1% on Thursday as stronger-than-expected US payroll data cemented expectations that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut interest rates as early as previously anticipated, denting the metal's appeal. Spot gold fell 1% to $3,325.48 per ounce as of 1303 GMT, while US gold futures were down 0.7% to $3,336.00. The dollar and US stock index futures rose after non-farm payrolls increased by 147,000 jobs last month, the Labour Department's Bureau of Labour Statistics showed. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls rising 110,000. Stronger dollar makes bullion more expensive for overseas buyers. 'The better than expected jobs number means we see a lesser likelihood of a Fed rate cut earlier than currently anticipated. As a result, the dollar strengthened which is adding pressure to the gold market,' said David Meger, director of metals trading at High Ridge Futures. 'The key is the fact that the idea or possibility of a July rate cut is off the table.' Investors are now pricing in 53 basis points of Federal Reserve rate cuts by the end of the year, starting in October, down from around 66 basis points expected prior to the report. Non-yielding gold tends to perform well in a low-interest-rate environment. On the trade front, an agreement between the United States and Vietnam was announced on Wednesday ahead of a July 9 deadline when US tariffs are set to take effect. Meanwhile, Republicans in the US House of Representatives advanced Trump's massive tax-cut and spending bill, estimated to potentially add $3.4 trillion to the nation's debt, toward a final yes-or-no vote. 'As the indebtedness of the US continues to grow, investors might become more concerned about the US dollar, which should benefit gold in the longer-term,' said Carsten Menke, an analyst at Julius Baer. Spot silver edged down 0.2% to $36.51 per ounce, platinum lost 2.9% to $1,376.80 and palladium shed 2.3% to $1,128.78.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store