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Mystics vs. Sun odds, tips and betting trends - 8/21/2025

Mystics vs. Sun odds, tips and betting trends - 8/21/2025

USA Today3 hours ago
The Washington Mystics (16-19) battle the Connecticut Sun (7-27) at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, August 21, 2025. The matchup airs on NBCS-BOS, MNMT, and NBC CT.
Its most recent time out, Washington was defeated by Connecticut 80-69 at home. Sonia Citron (19 PTS, 41.2 FG%, 3-7 from 3PT) and Shakira Austin (12 PTS, 7 REB, 42.9 FG%) led the Mystics, while Saniya Rivers (17 PTS, 66.7 FG%) and Olivia Nelson-Ododa (15 PTS, 9 REB, 45.5 FG%) were the top contributors for the Sun.
Before watching this matchup, here's everything you need to know about Thursday's action on the court.
Watch the WNBA on Fubo!
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun odds and betting lines
WNBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Wednesday at 6:05 a.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Mystics moneyline insights
Sun moneyline insights
Mystics vs. Sun: Game time and info
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A'ja Wilson is a chaos agent in the 2025 WNBA MVP race
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A'ja Wilson is a chaos agent in the 2025 WNBA MVP race

Las Vegas Aces forward A'ja Wilson could pull off a photo finish upset in the 2025 WNBA MVP race. For months, Minnesota Lynx forward Napheesa Collier has been arguably the best player in the league. Collier came out of the gates with intensity and helped Minnesota establish the best record in the WNBA (28-6), including winning nine straight games to open the season. The Aces? Not so much. Their slow start to the season and 11 losses before the All-Star break did them little favors. Not to mention, Wilson also had a rough start and missed several games with injuries. However, now it's Collier who's out with an injury, and her absence has left the door open for other players to creep into the MVP conversation. WNBA PLAYOFF PICTURE 2025: 6 spicy storylines as postseason nears What helps a player get MVP consideration? Averaging a double-double and ranking second in the WNBA in points per game, rebounds per game and blocks per game. Wilson also has eight matchups where she scored 30 or more points this season, including 32 points, 12 rebounds, five blocks and four assists against the Atlanta Dream Tuesday night. Not impressed? What about averaging 26.9 points, 13.1 rebounds, 1.6 steals and 1.9 blocks during the Aces' league-leading eight-game win streak? Wilson hasn't just entered the chat; she's become a full-on chaos agent in the MVP race. There's still a great chance that Collier wins the MVP race, but Wilson is causing enough commotion right now to make voters think twice about who should be MVP. If Wilson continues on her current incredible tear and Las Vegas climbs into the top-three spots in the league standings ― As of this publishing, the Aces are fifth ― she could win her *checks notes* fourth MVP award, the most in WNBA history. Don't sleep on A'ja Wilson.

How Natalie Nakase and the Valkyries redefined WNBA expansion by being 'joyfully relentless'
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How Natalie Nakase and the Valkyries redefined WNBA expansion by being 'joyfully relentless'

After 16 years in pro basketball, Natalie Nakese faced her hardest assignment yet. Her first WNBA head coaching job was to lead the Golden State Valkyries, the league's newest expansion team with ambitious goals, having to build chemistry from scratch and unite a group of castoffs without a recent expansion blueprint to follow. Along with the natural pressures of a brand-new team, the Valkyries were debuting against a backdrop of a growing spotlight on the league, serving as the first step toward unprecedented expansion with six new franchises by 2030. Nakase's resume — which included 10 seasons with the Los Angeles Clippers and three years as an assistant coach with the Las Vegas Aces — would help, but few coaches experience the strenuous challenges of coaching a debuting team. The Valkyries gave Nakese the keys but "nothing" else, the new WNBA head coach chuckled. With a blank canvas, she needed to work with team president Jess Smith, the franchise's first employee, and general manager Ohemaa Nyanin, who came from New York's front office, to deploy a strategy that could meet the team's lofty dream of winning a championship in the first five seasons. Surpassing the WNBA expansion team record for victories during a debut year was just one of many steps. Everyone had to trust that Nakase's vision and philosophy would work. Presumably, at some point, the unspoken pressure to produce would eventually bubble up. But that's not a notion she subscribes to.'Pressure is just a word people like to say, but you can't actually see pressure. It's just a made-up word that people [use] to, I think, get into your mind," Nakase told For The Win. She welcomed the freedom and flexibility, but it was a double-edged sword. Nearly every coaching staff she'd previously been part of had a well-established franchise behind it. She'd have to cultivate a team identity among mostly unprotected expansion draft selections and then deliver success in a win-now league. She landed on a simple formula: Process over results, betting one would lead to the other. She hoped the roster of perceived castaways could write their own story rooted in their varying past successes and failures. The 45-year-old's intentions sounded easy to grasp, but implementing them was an entirely different matter. Most players who joined the team wouldn't be familiar with Nakase as a coach, and several wouldn't have the benefit of previously playing together either. 'A concept that I'm going to constantly remind our players is that we want to get 1 percent better every single day. As simple as that sounds, I'm going to go back to simplicity,' Nakase explained. 'We want to control what we can control, and that's our effort. That's our attention to detail. That's learning our concepts.' Nakase's fearlessness oozed into the Valkyries' young roster Despite Nakese's confidence, the history of immediate expansion team success wasn't on her side. Seven WNBA franchises in league history have dipped below a 15 percent win percentage during a single season, and three of them were organizations in their debut season, per ESPN. The league's newest expansion team before the Valkyries, the Atlanta Dream, went 4-30 in their first WNBA season in 2008. Starting with the expansion draft, the Valkyries needed to balance selecting the strongest players with the need for ones who potentially would work well together in the hope of avoiding pitfalls of new teams. Nakase and her staff selected former Aces guard Kate Martin, whom she coached in Vegas, and New York Liberty forward Kayla Thornton, who won a championship with the New York Liberty last season. As more selections rolled in, with names like Indiana Fever center Temi Fagbenle and Phoenix Mercury forward Monique Billings, an early perception about Golden State began to form. The Valkyries built a talented roster, but they didn't have a true standout star or a definitive leader to build around. None of that seemed to affect Nakase or her roster. 'We're a bunch of underrated players, players who had to play the sixth-woman role. We're relentless,' forward Monique Billings said. 'We've had to play multiple roles on different teams. We've been counted out. Underdogs.' Three weeks into the 2025 WNBA season, the first signature victory of the Nakase era was in the books. In a 95-68 dismantling of her former Aces team in June, the Valkyries unleashed a sweltering defense that felt eerily reminiscent of the scheme that earned Vegas back-to-back championships. Defenders super-glued themselves to the Aces' hips, leaving no room to operate. With unspoken synchronization and arms extended wide and rapidly moving (similar to peacocks warning of impending danger), the Valkyries dared Las Vegas to shoot. Their punishing offensive style also showed flashes of Aces coach Becky Hammon's scheme. It leaned into a stupefying pace that exploited Las Vegas' slow defensive response time. If there was a sliver of hesitation from Hammon's squad, Nakase's Golden State team hammered the perimeter with back-breaking 3-pointers and zipped through the paint with breathtaking speed, creating shot after shot en route to a Nakase masterclass. 'From day one, she said she wanted killers on the team,' Billings said. The players were proud in the locker room after their first key victory, guard Kate Martin told For The Win about the Aces win. They had been focusing on learning from mistakes, having a defensive mentality and playing team basketball — exactly what Nakase had been preaching. 'We knew that going into it, there hadn't been Valkyries basketball before,' Martin said. 'There hasn't been a culture set, so we get to set that tone of what Valkyries basketball is. We just knew that we wanted to give it our all since it's new, and we want to give our all in every single thing we do.' '[Nakase is] a great leader. She demands a lot from us, but she leads with tough love, and I love that,' Fagbenle added. Perhaps most impressive wasn't just the way they were playing — tough, gritty, hard-nosed basketball — it was who they were beating. Among its victories after cruising past the Aces, Golden State took down superstar Caitlin Clark's Indiana Fever and one of the most experienced teams in the WNBA, the veteran-heavy Seattle Storm, twice in June — when Nakase was named Coach of the Month. Surprising Coach Natalie with her @WNBA June Coach of the Month award is the ideal way to start a Thursday morning 💜@JWinery | Celebrating Milestones As the middle of the season neared, Golden State surpassed early expectations. The preseason predictions for Nakase's roster ranged in value, but many outlets and pundits settled around roughly nine wins. The Valkyries had 10 by the All-Star break in July and sent Thornton to Indianapolis as the first All-Star in franchise history. Golden State's early success was a good omen for its chances to finish the season above .500. Since the WNBA's debut in 1996, only one expansion franchise, the Detroit Shock, ended its debut with a winning record, per The Athletic. (In 1998, Detroit finished the regular season with a 17-13 record.) The Valkyries surpassed the Shock on August 15 with their 18th win, setting a new WNBA record for most wins by an expansion team in a debut season. 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But being here, I kinda got out of that shell a little bit.' However, Hayes, Thornton and Fagbenle stopped just short of revealing the team's secret formula for triumph, subtly opting to keep some items in-house. But having a solid group in the locker room 'really goes a long way,' Hayes said. 'We're bought into what we wanna do, that we're playing for each other,' Thornton said. 'When we go out there, we play with joy. We don't try to think about other things. We live the moment.' The Valkyries laid the foundation for 'the future state' of the WNBA Golden State's front office also seemed to buy into the foundation of the Valkyries' culture being built on joy. Team President Jess Smith emphasized that the more success the franchise had since launching, the harder it was to stay satisfied with what they've accomplished. The goalposts kept moving. Smith described their joint effort to continually think big with Nakase and the players with a distinct two-word phrase: 'Joyfully relentless.' 'We are having so much fun, but there is no give,' Smith said. 'There is no 'Alright, we did it.' We're like, 'We want more.' It's insatiable at all times. … We've kind of compiled this group of people who love to win.' May 14, 2024 — the Golden State Valkyries launched in New York City ✨🪽🗡️💜 Full feature: The Valkyries fully admit that they prioritized bringing people on board who like focusing on achieving goals and being aligned on a simple mission: If they are successful, it means the WNBA benefits and so do future expansion franchises. Their victories and growth sow the seeds for other investment opportunities. 'It's about doing the right thing and doing it for something bigger than ourselves and the future state of this league and women's sports that drives us every single day,' Smith said. The front offices around the league — including the Portland Fire and Toronto Tempo, new franchises debuting in 2026 — have noted Golden State's early success. The resounding takeaway was not only that other teams respect what the Valkyries have done in such a short amount of time, but also the way they operate is something several franchises admire. Fire interim president Clare Hamill, who joined the franchise in late June, said she was grateful Smith reached out to help answer any questions, as Portland prepares for its debut. And she couldn't help but gush about how the Valkyries have leaned into serving their early supporters. "They've crushed it,' Hamill said. 'They have done a fantastic job. They've done it because they've focused on the fans and the fan experience and the audiences that they serve.' Similarly, Tempo general manager Monica Wright Rogers praised Golden State's general manager for her approach to roster construction. From Wright Rogers' perspective, it was evident that Nyanin's time with the Liberty helped shape part of her talent philosophy, particularly scouting international talent and overall impact players. 'Oh, man. I've been very impressed with them from both the business and a basketball side. … I think they're just really setting the bar high for all expansion teams, which is great if you're a competitor.' Wright Rogers said. 'I think what they've done is lean into some of the second-tier players that really have been great role players on WNBA rosters, and obviously, something that has proven to be successful for them. I'm, obviously, not going to give away all the secrets, but definitely taking notes of that.' Atlanta Dream general manager Dan Padover, a 15-year WNBA veteran, also seemed to echo Wright Rogers' sentiments. The Dream, a 2008 expansion franchise, are well past the years of assimilation, but they are paying attention to what's happening in San Francisco. 'They really built the blueprint for — if you're gonna have an expansion franchise in this league — how to do it. I think it's gonna be very hard to copy.' Padover said. 'Kudos to them. I think it's been a great thing for the league. Great thing for that market. And I think we've all been very impressed with what they've pulled off thus far.'

Lynx-Liberty takeaways: The WNBA's hottest rivalry looks primed for another postseason showdown
Lynx-Liberty takeaways: The WNBA's hottest rivalry looks primed for another postseason showdown

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Lynx-Liberty takeaways: The WNBA's hottest rivalry looks primed for another postseason showdown

Sabrina Ionescu delivered another game-sealing dagger to secure New York's first and only win against Minnesota in a four-game Finals rematch that spanned a mere 20 days of the season. Her logo-adjacent and-1 3-pointer at Barclays Center on Tuesday night gave the Liberty an 85-75 victory, though Minnesota took the series, 3-1. The looming takeaway from the season series is how little can be gleaned from it if the two are to meet again in the postseason. Liberty forward and two-time league MVP Breanna Stewart didn't play a single minute in the series while rehabbing a right knee injury. Napheesa Collier, the odds-on favorite to win her first MVP this season, played in the first game before missing the rest with an ankle injury. New York battled through injuries to the majority of its frontcourt, a double-whammy on top of a wonky scheduling stretch. Neither team had much time to ingratiate their late-season additions of DiJonai Carrington (Lynx) and Emma Meesseman (Liberty). Those X-factors lent an advantage to the Lynx, who have a roster reliant upon the chemistry of their starters. They returned all five of them, whereas the Liberty tinkered and continue to adjust with players in and out of the availability report. When plays broke down and the shot clock closed in, the Lynx were better at finding an open teammate than the Liberty were in their ever-changing rotations and lineups. It also played a pivotal role defensively, where the Lynx already thrive. The Lynx won the 2024 regular season series, 2-1, and took the Commissioner's Cup championship. But the Liberty won the 2024 Finals in a full five-game series that included two overtime games on each end. This year's Finals will be best-of-seven for the first time in league history. Here's what to take away from the 2025 Lynx-Liberty series, and the two players who will play key roles again in a potential rematch. Points are at a premium Every single possession is crucial in these matchups. Neither side can afford to miss the easy layups, which New York did late in the third game of the series. Nor can either cough the ball up repeatedly, another highlighted issue on the Liberty end. New York lost the turnover battle over the four games, 55-41, allowing Minnesota a 61-44 points off turnovers advantage. The carelessness with the ball in the fourth quarters of New York's losses was particularly damaging. Entry passes to the post were difficult against a team that packs the paint, and the Lynx forced multiple shot clock violations. Turnovers and second-chance points will be key statistical categories in a rematch. The Liberty need to value the ball more or find ways to overcome it. They hit a series-high 13 3-pointers in Tuesday's win, shooting 40.6%, and limiting Minnesota to a series-low 6-of-22 (27.3%). Officiating will continue to play a role In the two games at Minnesota's Target Center, fans filled the lower bowls with various T-shirts decrying the officiating calls they feel won the Liberty the 2024 title. The overall frustration at officiating that's clouded the entire WNBA season won't disappear anytime soon, and certainly won't if these two meet in the playoffs. After a significant free-throw discrepancy in Minnesota's 86-80 win on Saturday, Liberty head coach Sandy Brondello told local reporters after practice on Monday, 'Minnesota can't be complaining too much now.' Minnesota went 23-of-33 at the line while New York was 5-of-8 in the largest free-throw difference of the regular-season series. It was the second-largest of any game this season. Each of the four games was called by a different officiating crew. Any discrepancy that large between teams of this caliber opens itself up to fair critique that should be based on equity over equality. The reality is, one team might foul more than the other. Players and coaches want consistency in calls and making the right ones, even when it's a difficult situation, versus ensuring the free-throw trips are even by game's end. The 2025 title is highly likely to come down to those types of calls again. It won't be only late-game; it will come throughout the contests. Who can handle officiating and the emotions that come with it better? What will the sides point out to referees? How will coaches sway public sentiment on it throughout the course of a potential postseason series? All those factors should come into play. Lynx key: Courtney Williams' aggression The numbers continue to back up Lynx head coach Cheryl Reeve's assertion during the 2024 Finals that when Williams, their under-the-radar 2024 free agent signing, is aggressive and makes plays, the Lynx are in a good spot. She's averaging a career-best 19.7 points per 40 minutes on two more field goal attempts per game (18.7 FGA ranks 11th in the league) and remains top-five in average assists per 40 (8.5). The 10th-year journeywoman guard remains one of their most critical pieces in this matchup. In three of Minnesota's four losses to New York since May 2024, Williams hit fewer than 30% of her field goal attempts and scored in single digits twice. In the lone 2024 regular-season loss, Williams went 3 of 13 (23.1%) for nine points. In the Game 5 overtime loss, she was 2-of-14 (14.3%) for four points and three assists, a low mark in the series. Even Game 3, which came down to a game-winner by Ionescu at Target Center, was a 28.6% performance by Williams. She was 3-of-10 from inside the arc. Williams is the league's mid-range standout, and when the Liberty let her get to those spots — especially early on in these close contests — it becomes a snowball. She scores 40.4% of her points there, leading the league by a large margin. Paige Bueckers is second at 28.5% among those who have played at least 25 games. When Williams can tack on a couple of 3-pointers in the series, she becomes dominant. She had two in the Finals Game 1 upset at Barclays for 23 points, then one-upped the performance on Saturday with a 26-point outing. She was 3-of-6 from 3. Reeve credited her for keeping the Lynx in the game on Tuesday. Williams scored a team-high 17 points as the only starter to score more than six points. Liberty key: Unlock Jonquel Jones early The Liberty depend heavily on Jonquel Jones, a versatile 6-foot-6 center who can hit from 3 as easily as she can control the paint. But her impact on this series remained limited until Tuesday night's 22-point, 10-rebound double-double. New York unlocked her early. She started the game with a turnaround fadeaway jumper, followed by a kick-out assist to Leonie Fiebich for a 3-pointer and her own 3 on an assist from Meesseman. The veteran 2021 MVP scored 17 in the first half, tying her previous season-high against Minnesota set on Saturday. That was the first game played against the Lynx with additional post depth. It was also her best game on the boards, a battle Minnesota dominated, 106-96, in their three wins. New York won the boards, 37-33, and second-chance points, 19-12, on Tuesday. Putting Jones, who returned after the All-Star break from an ankle injury, in the actions early opens up the rest of the roster to operate. Ionescu scored 17 with 11 assists, and the team assisted on 79% of their field goals. It was one of their best ball-sharing performances against Minnesota this year. Newest rivalry is here Despite the wonky structure of the WNBA's inaugural Rivals Week, it's clear the league nailed its claim of an emerging rivalry between the Liberty and Lynx. The series now features a level of chatter off the court that matches the competition on it. Williams stirred the pot last week on her StudBudz stream when she commented on the Lynx's acquisition of free agent guard Jaylyn Sherrod, who won the 2024 championship with the Liberty but was waived this month to open up a roster spot for Meesseman. 'She left that punk-ass team and she with the good guys now,' Williams said. 'Straight up, believe it.' Brondello, when asked about it afterward, laughed and said she had heard about the comment. She offered a take in stark contrast to Reeve's rivalry comments the week prior. 'I think rivalries are great,' Brondello said on Monday. 'Yes, do we have a rivalry? They (Lynx) play it down. Of course we have a rivalry and it's great for the league. I don't know why they play it down. Yeah, we don't like each other. That's just how it is.' After Tuesday's game, Liberty guard Natasha Cloud told reporters, "I know Minny loves to talk about us a lot. We live rent-free, but this is another game of just really feeling good about ourselves." The fourth and final game of the regular season proved to be the most intense of the series, an understandable side effect of playing so many games in so little time. Luckily for the league and its fans, it merely adds anticipation to a Finals redux.

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