
Rupee holds steady at 86.06 amid RBI Intervention
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Mumbai: The Indian rupee ended nearly unchanged at 86.06 per dollar despite opening with a weakening bias and trading to 86.23 on Monday. A fall in the dollar index and likely intervention by the Reserve Bank of India helped contain losses in the currency, traders said.The rupee opened at 86.19 per dollar, 10 paisa weaker from its previous close of 86.08/$1 as high crude oil prices continued to weigh on the currency and as Israel and Iran continued attacks over the weekend. The currency traded in the range of 85.95/$1 to 86.23/$1 on Monday."There was dollar demand seen from foreign investors and oil companies to cover their oil payments for the next few days as oil prices were up since the Iran-Israel confrontation began," said Anil Bhansali, head of treasury at Finrex Treasury Advisors.But a mildly softer dollar index at 97 levels from 98 seen at the start of the day helped contain losses.Intervention by the Reserve Bank of India above 86.20/$1 levels also helped ease the pressure on rupee, traders said.In the coming days, weakening bias is expected to continue for the rupee due to geopolitical uncertainties.'There may continue to remain some pressure on the rupee till the point the geopolitical uncertainties prevail. For USD-INR, immediate support comes at 85.60 levels while a break above 86.23 may open doors for 86.50 levels,' said Kunal Sodhani, head of treasury, forex and rates at Shinhan Bank India.Meanwhile, traders are looking forward to the developments on the trade deal between India and the US.
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Time of India
36 minutes ago
- Time of India
Gold price prediction today: What will be the impact of Iran-Israel conflict - where are gold rates headed on June 17, 2025 and in the near-term?
Overall, as the things stand presently, gold is likely to trade with a slight bearish tilt. (AI image) Gold price prediction today: The ongoing Iran-Israel conflict has brought gold back into focus as a safe haven investment and gold rate has been rising for some days now. Praveen Singh, Senior Fundamental Research Analyst- Currencies and Commodities at Mirae Asset Sharekhan shares his views on gold price outlook and what levels investors should watch out for: Gold Performance: On June 16, spot gold surged to $3,451 in the overnight trade as Iran and Israel stepped up their attacks on each other in the weekend. Gold prices eased as the day progressed on the notion that the ongoing military conflict would be confined. The Wall Street Journal reporting that Tehran has signalled its willingness to deescalate the conflict and resume nuclear talks with the US provided the US does not join the Israeli attacks further boosted the downside pressure on the yellow metal. 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Casualties have been reported by both nations as Israel dealt the worst military blow to the Islamic Republic since it was invaded by Iraq in 1980. Spot gold surged 3.68% in the week ending June 13 as the metal rose sharply in the last two trading days of the week on geopolitical concerns emanating from the Middle East due to the Iran-Israel conflict. Gold ETF: Total known global gold ETF holdings stood at 88.85 as of June 13 as ETFs recorded net inflows for the third straight week. Holdings are up 7.25% YTD. Hedge fund managers reduce net bullish gold bets: As per CFTC data, money managers decreased their bullish gold bets by 657 net-long positions to 129,851 in the week ending June 10 as long-only positions fell 772 lots to 164,315 lots. The short-only total at 34,664 was the lowest in 11 weeks. 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The US Federal Reserve will deliver its monetary policy decision on June the FOMC is expected to keep the overnight Fed Fund rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, traders will look forward to clues to possible rate cuts as CPI and PPI data of May have been somewhat comforting. The Bank of England is set to announce its monetary policy on June 19. Traders expect the Bank to keep the Bank rate unchanged at 4.25%; however, the Bank's hint at possible easing going forward would be the major attraction for traders. Gold Price Outlook: In the very short term, gold moves will depend on the Iran-Israel conflict. US President Trump has confirmed Iran's inclination to talk about de-escalating the ongoing military conflict. However, Israel also needs to reciprocate. Positive ETF inflows and weakness in the US Dollar also support the yellow metal. Overall, if both Israel and Iran agree to sort out their differences through dialogues and Iran agrees to hold a nuclear deal talk, gold will fall further. In that case, gold can fall to as low as $3228. However, if the situation remains uncertain and the conflict continues, gold will have a good buying support. Overall, as the things stand presently, gold is likely to trade with a slight bearish tilt, though there are multiple factors like fiscal concerns, weaker Dollar, central banks' buying gold, geopolitical concerns due to wars and conflicts elsewhere, and investors looking for alternatives to the US assets, etc., that are supporting the gold rally. Considering Israel-Iran conflict de-escalation, traders may take a light sell position in the metal for very short-term trading. It is to be noted that US retail sales data and upcoming FOMC meeting will also be on traders' radar. Support is at $3375 (Rs 98,600)/$3328 (Rs 97,200). Resistance is at $3450 (Rs 100,800)/$3500 (Rs 102,200)/$3580 (Rs 104,500). In case of worsening Iran-Israel conflict situation coupled with heightened tariff concerns, gold may rise to $3700 (Rs 108,100). 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The Hindu
37 minutes ago
- The Hindu
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