2025 Emmy Predictions: Outstanding Television Movie
The State of the Race
This is not meant to be rude to the film 'Am I Ok?,' a Sundance 2022 premiere that finally made it onto HBO Max last summer, but do voters know that it's an Emmys contender? There are actual Outstanding TV Movie contenders that have campaigned so much harder, so it is a surprise to see the Dakota Johnson-led comedy still place so high on prognosticators' lists. In fact, HBO Max itself has never been nominated in this category before. HBO proper hasn't even been nominated for TV Movie the past two years.
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That is likely set to change with new HBO contender 'Mountainhead,' which continued the risky strategy of premiering at the very end of the Emmys eligibility window, but did so in a smarter way, putting it on voters' radars the second Emmys season started, and impressing them with how quickly it was made. It is also written and directed by 'Succession' creator Jesse Armstrong, who already has several Emmys to his name.
'Mountainhead' is one of four films that are on just about every nominations predictions list, with two other contenders being obvious enough for the general public to guess. First is 'Rebel Ridge,' one of the biggest Netflix films of the year, which has taken star Aaron Pierre to a new level of success where he's even getting James Bond casting rumors leveled at him. Interesting too that the streaming service did not submit 'Carry-On,' a similarly popular hit action film that premiered closer to the holidays, as it would have probably cannibalized Netflix's chances of winning this category.
The other movie that seems bound for an Emmy nomination is 'Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy,' the fourth Bridget Jones film starring Renée Zellweger. Though it premiered on Peacock in the United States, the movie was actually a big hit abroad. The Emmy race for Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie is pretty thin too, so Zellweger, who was nominated for an Oscar for her performance in the first film, is likely to have an Emmy nomination that will draw more voters toward watching the sequel.
Less on the public's radar, but a staple of the most recent TV awards is the film 'Out of My Mind,' streaming on Disney+. The YA novel adaptation about a young girl with cerebral palsy trying to find her voice was a sleeper hit at Sundance 2024, and has since won a Peabody Award and been one of the Television Academy honorees this year. The film especially has great word-of-mouth, eliciting tears from the majority of the audience at its official for your consideration event at the Academy Museum.
In terms of what could actually be nominated in the slot people predict 'Am I Ok?' will be in, look no further than Tina Mabry's 'The Supremes at Earl's All-You-Can-Eat.' Not only does it star Uzo Aduba, who is a TV Academy favorite, it comes from reigning category winner Hulu.
Predicted Nominees:'Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy' (Peacock)'Mountainhead' (HBO)'Out of My Mind' (Disney+)'Rebel Ridge' (Netflix)'The Supremes at Earl's All-You-Can-Eat' (Hulu)
Contenders:'Another Simple Favor' (Prime Video)'G20' (Prime Video)'Star Trek: Section 31' (Paramount+)
In a Perfect World:'It's What's Inside' (Netflix)'The Other, Gold' (Tubi)'Sweethearts' (HBO Max)
More Limited Series and TV Movie Category Predictions:Outstanding Limited or Anthology SeriesOutstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series or a MovieOutstanding Lead Actress in a Limited Series or a MovieOutstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or a MovieOutstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or a Movie
View IndieWire's full set of predictions for the 77th Emmy Awards.Last Year's Winner: 'Quiz Lady'Still Eligible: No.Hot Streak: None of the networks have had back-to-back wins since the category became Outstanding Television Movie, and left out anthology entries like the Emmy winning episodes of 'Black Mirror' and 'Sherlock.' However, Hulu has really made a splash in this space the past two years, so it is entirely possible one of its films continues the streak.Notable Ineligible Films: 'Carry-On' (the film was not submitted for Emmys consideration); 'Deep Cover' (the film will not premiere in time to be eligible); 'Swiped' (the film will not premiere in time to be eligible)
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