logo
Dana White's Contender Series: Season 9, Week 1: Odds And Predictions

Dana White's Contender Series: Season 9, Week 1: Odds And Predictions

Forbes2 days ago
The ninth season of Dana White's Contender Series kicks off on Tuesday, August 12 from the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. This season, Season 9 of the Tuesday night fight cards runs for 10 weeks. The fighters are competing to earn a UFC contract. Five fights are scheduled for this week's event in three different weight divisions.
Since the DWCS began in 2017, UFC CEO Dana White has awarded 287 UFC contracts to the competitors. Last year, in Season 8 of the DWCS , White handed out 42 UFC deals.
Three fighters have become UFC champions after appearing on a DWCS card: Sean O'Malley, Jamahal Hill, and Jack Della Maddalena.
Season 9, Episode 1 of the DWCS airs on ESPN+ at 7:00 p.m. ET.
Below, we look at the matchups, betting odds, picks, and predictions for the August 12 DWCS fight card.
Ilian Bouafia Vs. Neemias Santana
A middleweight matchup between Ilian Bouafia and Neemias Santana is slated to headline the first episode of Season 9 of the DWCS. Bouafia brings a 6-0 record into the event. He is a 6-foot-five inch kickboxer, who last competed under the Ares FC banner. Bouafia's most recent fight was a February 2025 unanimous decision win over Paulin Begai. The bout marked the first time Boufia went the distance. His previous five outings ended via knockout, with four of those stoppages coming in the first round and the other in the second stanza.
Santana is 7-2-1 over his career. He checks in at 6-foot-two. Santana is coming off a second-round knockout win over Marcos Vinicius on a March 2025 LFA card. He is 3-0-1 heading into Tuesday and has not lost since 2022.
According to BetOnline, Bouafia is a -260 betting favorite over the +175 Santana.
Bouafia uses his length well and uses a technical kickboxing style. As for Santana, he is a pressure fighter, who looks to use his power to wrap things up.
The pick is Bouafia to win via knockout, but Santana, thanks to his approach, might be a pick to score an upset KO.
Radley da Silva Vs. George Mangos
This Radley da Silva vs. George Mangos bout takes place at featherweight. Da Silva (7-1) is a three-time defending featherweight champ under the Battlefield Fight League banner. The 30-year-old last defended that title in January with a second-round submission win over Drew Brokenshire. Da Silva has three submission wins, three decision victories and one KO. His only loss came in his first pro bout in 2013.
Like his opponent in this scrap, the 21-year-old Mangos (7-0) is a defending champion. He won the HEX Fight Series crown in 2024 and has defended that belt, most recently knocking out Ethan Thomas in 34 seconds in their March 2025 scrap. Mangos has five submissions and two knockout wins. He has gone into the third round once.
The current betting odds for Da Silva vs. Mangos has Mangos listed at -150 and Da Silva at +120.
Both of these men are good grapplers, but Mangos might have the advantage there. He is also the better striker. With his better all-around skillset, the betting pick is for a Mangos decision win.
Ty Miller Vs. Jimmy Drago
In the middle of Tuesday's DWCS fight card is a welterweight matchup between Ty Miller and Jimmy Drago. Miller brings a perfect 5-0-0-1 record with him into the contest. The 25-year-old Miller is coming off a no contest on an LFA card in December. Before that he three knockouts and two decision victories.
Drago is a former Ring of Combat champ. The 7-2-0-1 fighter is also coming off a no contest in his most recent matchup, a March 2025 scrap under the Cage Fury banner. Drago has four knockouts, two decisions and one submission win. He has one knockout loss and one submission setback.
The betting odds for this bout find Miller at -185 and Drago at +155.
The pick is for Miller to score a decision victory.
Christopher Ewert Vs. Yuri Panferov
Christopher Ewert and Yuri Panferov are scheduled to meet at 185 pounds. Ewert is a perfect 7-0 since making his pro debut in 2022. The 31-year-old was set to make his UFC debut at UFC 317, but a massive weight miss cost him that opportunity and his UFC contract. However, the promotion is giving him a second chance at a contract via the DWCS. Ewert has five knockouts and two decisions. He last fought in January of this year, going the distance on a Fury FC card.
Panferov has an 8-1 record. The 28-year-old competed on the DWCS in 2023, losing to Torrez Finney via rear naked choke. Since that setback, Panferov is 2-0 with two knockout victories for CES. He has not fought since November 2024. Three of his career wins are by knockout, and the other five have come via submission. Panferov's most recent fight ended with 10 seconds left in the third stanza.
Ewert is a -170 betting favorite over the +140 Panferov.
Look for Ewert to be motivated to earn a UFC contract in this matchup after missing weight for UFC 317. He should be able to exploit the gaps in Panferov's striking and get a knockout win.
Baysangur Susurkaev Vs. Murtaza Talha
Opening Season 9 of the DWCS is a middleweight fight between Baysangur Susurkaev and Murtaza Talha. Susurkaev is the biggest favorite on the card at -350. He has an 8-0 record with seven knockouts and one decision. The 24-year-old is coming off a knockout on a February Fury FC card. The only question about Susurkaev is that he is taking this fight on short notice.
The 29-year-old Talha fell short in 2023 when he had an opportunity to earn a DWCS deal. In that matchup, Rodolfo Bellato knocked out Talha in the second round. Since then, Talha is 1-0 with a win over Oleg Klimov who was 0-1 as a pro. So, it is a bit of a head scratcher as to why he is getting a second look on the DWCS. Talha is a +275 underdog.
The pick is for Susurkaev to pick up a knockout win.
We will have more on Season 9 of the DWCS as the events take place. On Tuesday night, we will have results, reactions and contract winners for Season 9, Episode 1 of the Dana White Contender Series.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Tom Dundon reportedly reaches agreement to buy Portland Trail Blazers
Tom Dundon reportedly reaches agreement to buy Portland Trail Blazers

Yahoo

time28 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Tom Dundon reportedly reaches agreement to buy Portland Trail Blazers

Tom Dundon has reportedly reached an agreement to buy the Portland Trail Blazers from the estate of deceased owner Paul Allen, Eben Novy-Williams of Sportico reported Wednesday. Dundon also owns the NHL franchise, the Carolina Hurricanes. Allen's estate reportedly dictated that his teams should be sold following his death, which occurred in October 2018. Allen also owned the Seattle Seahawks and was a part-owner of the Seattle Sounders FC. This breaking news story will be updated.

Live updates and highlights from from Dolphins' first joint practice with Lions
Live updates and highlights from from Dolphins' first joint practice with Lions

Yahoo

time28 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Live updates and highlights from from Dolphins' first joint practice with Lions

The Miami Dolphins' second joint practice of the year is underway and it comes against the team that finished the 2024 regular season tied for the best record in the NFL. The Detroit Lions have lofty Super Bowl hopes and promise to be a strong test for the Dolphins in Wednesday and Thursday practices, as well as on Saturday afternoon in a preseason matchup. According to one Lions linebacker, it may be too strong of a test for Miami. Follow along here as we track all the latest updates and developments from the first of two joint practices between the Dolphins and Lions: Dolphins-Lions joint practice updates This will be updated throughout the day Chop Robinson carted off The Dolphins' star edge rusher suffered an injury Wednesday with one onlooker observing that Robinson appeared to be favoring his arm or shoulder. A couple early interceptions for QB Zach Wilson Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle back on the field The Dolphins' pair of starting receivers are among the players who returned from injury and are available Wednesday. Jaelan Phillips is among those still out of action. a This article originally appeared on Dolphins Wire: Dolphins vs. Lions: Live updates, highlights from first joint practice

Best value bets for UFC 319: Khamzat Chimaev vs. Dricus du Plessis
Best value bets for UFC 319: Khamzat Chimaev vs. Dricus du Plessis

Yahoo

time28 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Best value bets for UFC 319: Khamzat Chimaev vs. Dricus du Plessis

Finally. That must be what most MMA fans are thinking with Khamzat Chimaev getting his first title shot. Having burst onto the scene early in the COVID-19 pandemic, Chimaev benefited from the strange dynamics that affected global sports at that time. He made his debut on 'Fight Island,' the UFC's initial solution to creating a 'sports bubble' to allow competitions. Chimaev was dominant in his debut and was quickly rebooked for another Fight Island card, setting a UFC mark for fastest turnaround in just 10 days. He would go on to earn performance bonuses in each of his first five appearances, and thus the legend was solidified. Given his rapid rise and dominant performances, it's perhaps surprising it has taken this long to earn a title shot. But mixed in along the way were injuries, fight cancellations and eventually a change in weight class. Here we are, finally. Time to see if the hype train reaches the top of the mountain, or if the established champion gets to play one of the biggest spoilers in recent history. Here are my best bets for UFC 319, which takes place Saturday at the United Center in Chicago. Khamzat Chimaev (-210) vs. Dricus Du Plessis (+170) Every Chimaev fan knows he's an undefeated freak. And though he's 8-0 in the UFC, far fewer know du Plessis is actually 9-0 in the UFC over slightly less time and against — on average — heavier opponents. But streaks are less important than performance metrics, which is what I'll rely on when evaluating the matchup. I just find it interesting Chimaev has been a massive favorite in all of his UFC appearances, while DDP has quietly accomplished more as a pick 'em or underdog in plenty of his fights. Chimaev's statistics are extremely good, with just one odd exception of not avoiding punches. When you're that good, I guess defending punches matters less. But when lining these two up for comparison, I also would make Chimaev the favorite. Yet the current odds of roughly 2-to-1 for Chimaev are just a touch high for me, given the dogged wins DDP has earned against elite middleweights. The first big question will be how Chimaev's first takedown attempt goes. We shouldn't have to wait long, as he attempts one takedown every 48 seconds while standing. DDP's takedown defense is below average at just 50%, though he's only faced six attempts over nine fights. Perhaps opponents have avoided testing him on the mat out of respect. Chimaev has never been controlled on the ground — not even for one second — but his only two fights to go to the cards have been against established grapplers (Gilbert Burns and Kamaru Usman), so that's where I think the best angle is. DDP has used his grappling in most of his fights, and more often in his title fight appearances. His ground game may not turn the fight to his favor, but it could be enough to survive the early onslaught from Chimaev and potentially force later rounds. While the analytics suggest a bit of value on DDP with such a clear plus-money return, I'm still wary he has simply taken advantage of opponents who were predominantly single-threat strikers during his title run. Facing his toughest ground threat to date gives me pause on the very slight lean toward the 'dog, though I'm left hoping DDP does indeed outperform and takes the fight over 2.5 rounds. Best bets: du Plessis or pass, over 2.5 rounds Chase Hooper (-285) vs. Alexander Hernandez (+225) Chimaev isn't the only elite grappler on the card. Chase Hooper has matured inside the Octagon, recently dominating one of the most seasoned wrestlers of all time in Jim Miller. Hooper is another fighter who wastes little time between takedown attempts, and while Hernandez has above-average defense, it's likely a matter of time before he gets taken down. That scenario has me checking two important metrics for Hernandez that could be countermeasures against an overly assertive grappler: knockdown power and submissions. Unfortunately for Hernandez, he's below average in both of those metrics. The most likely scenario is Hooper will pursue, using strikes as a setup for takedowns — and once there, keeping the fight there. Hernandez's best chance is a counter against Hooper's poor head-strike defense. Hooper has been dropped four times, but three came in one fight he lost by TKO, and the other was in a fight he went on to win. So I like Hooper to remain resilient and put the fight on the ground where he can backpack his way to victory. Best bet: Hooper to win (-285) Edson Barboza (-150) vs. Drakkar Klose (+125) This matchup ultimately will be a striker versus grappler dynamic, featuring one of the most prolific knockout artists in UFC history returning to the Octagon for his 31st appearance. With 16 career knockdowns, Barboza's knockdown rate is much higher than the UFC average, and he's scored those knockdowns via impressive and diverse methods. Klose looks average on paper and is unlikely to want to stand and trade (or eat leg kicks) for long. He'll be undersized and outranged against Barboza, even more reason for Klose to change levels. Klose's roots are in wrestling, but his takedown success rate is below average, while Barboza's defense has been solid against over 100 career takedown attempts from opponents. Overall, these factors back Barboza as a worthy favorite. Let's hope he still has enough left in the tank for what is likely his last fight before turning 40. Best bet: Barboza to win (-150) Michal Oleksiejczuk (-225) vs. Gerald Meerschaert (+185) The stats here scream finish, one way or the other, in yet another striker versus grappler matchup. Oleksiejczuk is an understandable favorite, given all his advantages on the feet. With superior accuracy and knockdown power, Meerschaert's loose defense and aging and damaged chin are clear ingredients for a striking finish. However, Meerschaert has been here before and knows he needs to get this fight to the mat. Luckily for him, his opponent's takedown defense is poor, and he has a glaring weakness defending submissions. That combination of factors means we could see a Meerschaert submission prop past +300. You might use 'Does Not Go the Distance' in a chalk-filled parlay, but also shop for maximum return on a small upset submission play. Best bet: Meerschaert-Oleksiejczuk under 1.5 rounds

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store